Final Win Prob. pScore
1137%96
97
963%101
99
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo Mavericks
100.09788.0
DEN logo Nuggets
103.196106.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN97
99
Q4 - 0:00.0DALAndersen STEAL (3 STL)97
99
Q4 - 0:02.0DENSUB: Jones FOR Smith97
99
Q4 - 0:02.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)97
99
Q4 - 0:02.0DALSUB: Green FOR Bass97
98
Q4 - 0:02.0DENSUB: Andersen FOR Kleiza97
98
Q4 - 0:02.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)97
98
Q4 - 0:02.0DALTerry S.FOUL (P5.PN)97
97
Q4 - 0:19.0DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Andersen97
97
Q4 - 0:19.0DENSUB: Smith FOR Jones97
97
Q4 - 0:19.0DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)97
97
Q4 - 0:19.0DALNowitzki Driving Dunk (44 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)97
97
Q4 - 0:28.0DALMavericks Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 3)95
97
Q4 - 0:28.0DENCarter Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)95
97
Q4 - 0:30.0DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
95
Q4 - 0:31.0DALMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot95
95
Q4 - 0:51.0DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)95
95
Q4 - 0:51.0DENNene 7' Jump Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)95
95
Q4 - 1:01DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)95
93
Q4 - 1:03DALMISS Terry 21' Fadeaway Jumper95
93
Q4 - 1:25DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)95
93
Q4 - 1:25DENSUB: Jones FOR Smith95
92
Q4 - 1:25DENSUB: Andersen FOR Kleiza95
92
Q4 - 1:25DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)95
92
Q4 - 1:25DALKidd S.FOUL (P4.T3)95
91
Q4 - 1:32DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (42 PTS)95
91
Q4 - 1:32DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (41 PTS)94
91
Q4 - 1:32DENKleiza S.FOUL (P4.PN)93
91
Q4 - 1:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)93
91
Q4 - 1:50DENMISS Smith Layup93
91
Q4 - 2:11DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)93
91
Q4 - 2:31DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
91
Q4 - 2:32DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
91
Q4 - 2:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (40 PTS)90
91
Q4 - 2:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (39 PTS)89
91
Q4 - 2:50DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Martin88
91
Q4 - 2:5088
91
Q4 - 2:50DENMartin P.FOUL (P6.PN)88
91
Q4 - 3:01DENCarter 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)88
91
Q4 - 3:15DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
89
Q4 - 3:17DENMISS Martin 9' Jump Shot88
89
Q4 - 3:22DENNUGGETS Rebound88
89
Q4 - 3:23DENMISS Martin Driving Layup88
89
Q4 - 3:30DALBass P.FOUL (P2.T2)88
89
Q4 - 3:46DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)88
89
Q4 - 3:46DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)87
89
Q4 - 3:46DENMartin S.FOUL (P5.PN)86
89
Q4 - 4:02DALMavericks Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)86
89
Q4 - 4:02DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)86
89
Q4 - 4:16DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)86
86
Q4 - 4:17DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
86
Q4 - 4:25DALKidd REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
86
Q4 - 4:26DENMISS Carter 8' Running Jump Shot86
86
Q4 - 4:52DALTerry 18' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)86
86
Q4 - 4:54DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
86
Q4 - 4:56DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot84
86
Q4 - 5:14DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)84
86
Q4 - 5:39DALNowitzki 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (36 PTS)84
86
Q4 - 5:55DALMavericks Rebound82
86
Q4 - 5:55DALMISS Terry Driving Layup82
86
Q4 - 6:17DENSmith Traveling Turnover (P3.T16)82
86
Q4 - 6:30DENSUB: Nene FOR Andersen82
86
Q4 - 6:30DENSUB: Billups FOR Jones82
86
Q4 - 6:30DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)82
86
Q4 - 6:31DALTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)82
86
Q4 - 6:35DALBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
86
Q4 - 6:37DENMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot79
86
Q4 - 6:51DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)79
86
Q4 - 6:52DENMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot79
86
Q4 - 7:06DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)79
86
Q4 - 7:08DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
86
Q4 - 7:23DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
86
Q4 - 7:25DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
86
Q4 - 7:30DALKidd REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
86
Q4 - 7:33DENMISS Smith 16' Fadeaway Jumper79
86
Q4 - 7:54DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)79
86
Q4 - 7:54DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)78
86
Q4 - 7:54DENSUB: Martin FOR Kleiza77
86
Q4 - 7:54DALSUB: Kidd FOR Barea77
86
Q4 - 7:54DENSmith S.FOUL (P2.T4)77
86
Q4 - 8:13DENAndersen 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)77
86
Q4 - 8:34DALBass Dunk (10 PTS)77
84
Q4 - 8:36DALBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
84
Q4 - 8:38DALMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
84
Q4 - 8:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)75
84
Q4 - 8:57DENMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot75
84
Q4 - 9:16DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
84
Q4 - 9:17DALMISS Barea Driving Layup75
84
Q4 - 9:21DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
84
Q4 - 9:23DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
84
Q4 - 9:46DENSmith 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)75
84
Q4 - 10:02DALWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
82
Q4 - 10:02DALMavericks Rebound74
82
Q4 - 10:02DALMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 274
82
Q4 - 10:02DENAndersen S.FOUL (P3.T3)74
82
Q4 - 10:10DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
82
Q4 - 10:11DENMISS Carter 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
82
Q4 - 10:30DALTerry P.FOUL (P4.T1)74
82
Q4 - 10:32DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
82
Q4 - 10:33DALMISS Barea Layup74
82
Q4 - 10:47DALSUB: Wright FOR George74
82
Q4 - 10:47DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)74
82
Q4 - 10:48DENJones Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)74
82
Q4 - 10:59DALGeorge Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)74
80
Q4 - 11:20DENCarter 5' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)74
80
Q4 - 11:37DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)74
78
Q4 - 11:37DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)73
78
Q4 - 11:37DENAndersen S.FOUL (P2.T2)72
78
Q4 - 11:48DENAndersen P.FOUL (P1.T1)72
78
Q4 - 12:0072
78
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL72
78
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN72
78
Q3 - 0:00.0DENAndersen 47' 3PT Running Bank Shot (13 PTS)72
78
Q3 - 0:01.0DALAndersen STEAL (2 STL)72
75
Q3 - 0:01.0DENJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)72
75
Q3 - 0:01.0DALSUB: Green FOR George72
74
Q3 - 0:01.0DALSUB: Terry FOR Wright72
74
Q3 - 0:01.0DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Singleton72
74
Q3 - 0:01.0DALSingleton S.FOUL (P1.PN)72
74
Q3 - 0:01.0DENJones Layup (13 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)72
74
Q3 - 0:08.0DALBarea Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)72
72
Q3 - 0:08.0DALSUB: Singleton FOR Terry71
72
Q3 - 0:08.0DALSUB: Wright FOR Nowitzki71
72
Q3 - 0:08.0DALMavericks Rebound71
72
Q3 - 0:08.0DALMISS Barea Free Throw 1 of 271
72
Q3 - 0:08.0DENSmith S.FOUL (P1.PN)71
72
Q3 - 0:25.0DENKleiza Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)71
72
Q3 - 0:30.0DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (30 PTS)71
72
Q3 - 0:46.0DENCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
72
Q3 - 0:46.0DENCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)69
71
Q3 - 0:46.0DENSUB: Smith FOR Billups69
70
Q3 - 0:46.0DALGeorge P.FOUL (P1.PN)69
70
Q3 - 0:59.0DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Dampier69
70
Q3 - 0:59.0DALBarea Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)69
70
Q3 - 1:19DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
70
Q3 - 1:20DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
70
Q3 - 1:35DALBass Driving Dunk (8 PTS)69
70
Q3 - 1:55DENJones Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Kleiza 2 AST)67
70
Q3 - 2:09DALSUB: George FOR Wright67
68
Q3 - 2:09DENSUB: Jones FOR Nene67
68
Q3 - 2:09DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)67
68
Q3 - 2:09DALBass P.FOUL (P1.T4)67
68
Q3 - 2:09DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)67
68
Q3 - 2:10DALMISS Barea 11' Jump Shot67
68
Q3 - 2:29DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)67
68
Q3 - 2:38DALBass 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dampier 3 AST)67
68
Q3 - 2:58DENAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)65
68
Q3 - 3:00DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)65
68
Q3 - 3:02DENMISS Kleiza 3PT Jump Shot65
68
Q3 - 3:15DALWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)65
68
Q3 - 3:15DALSUB: Bass FOR Nowitzki64
68
Q3 - 3:15DALMavericks Rebound64
68
Q3 - 3:15DALMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 264
68
Q3 - 3:15DENKleiza S.FOUL (P3.T4)64
68
Q3 - 3:33DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)64
68
Q3 - 3:54DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (28 PTS)64
68
Q3 - 4:07DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)62
68
Q3 - 4:09DENMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
68
Q3 - 4:24DALWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)62
68
Q3 - 4:24DALWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
68
Q3 - 4:24DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Jones60
68
Q3 - 4:24DENSUB: Andersen FOR Martin60
68
Q3 - 4:24DALSUB: Barea FOR Kidd60
68
Q3 - 4:24DENMartin S.FOUL (P4.T3)60
68
Q3 - 4:24DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
68
Q3 - 4:25DALMISS Terry Reverse Layup60
68
Q3 - 4:27DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)60
68
Q3 - 4:30DENMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot60
68
Q3 - 4:42DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
68
Q3 - 4:45DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
68
Q3 - 4:52DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
68
Q3 - 4:53DALMISS Terry 18' Fadeaway Jumper60
68
Q3 - 5:10DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
68
Q3 - 5:11DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot60
68
Q3 - 5:32DENSUB: Carter FOR Smith60
68
Q3 - 5:32DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)60
68
Q3 - 5:32DENNUGGETS Rebound60
68
Q3 - 5:34DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
68
Q3 - 5:37DALKidd REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)60
68
Q3 - 5:39DENMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot60
68
Q3 - 5:54DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)60
68
Q3 - 6:08DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)57
68
Q3 - 6:26DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
68
Q3 - 6:28DENMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 257
68
Q3 - 6:28DENNUGGETS Rebound57
68
Q3 - 6:28DENMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 257
68
Q3 - 6:28DALTerry S.FOUL (P3.T3)57
68
Q3 - 6:29DALJones STEAL (5 STL)57
68
Q3 - 6:38DENJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
68
Q3 - 6:38DALSUB: Terry FOR Green57
67
Q3 - 6:38DENJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)57
67
Q3 - 6:38DALGreen S.FOUL (P3.T2)57
66
Q3 - 6:51DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
66
Q3 - 6:52DALMISS Kidd 13' Fadeaway Jumper57
66
Q3 - 7:01DALKidd REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
66
Q3 - 7:02DENMISS Nene 14' Fadeaway Jumper57
66
Q3 - 7:23DENMartin Violation:Defensive Goaltending57
66
Q3 - 7:23DALNowitzki 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS)57
66
Q3 - 7:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)55
66
Q3 - 7:40DENMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot55
66
Q3 - 7:50DALJones STEAL (4 STL)55
66
Q3 - 7:53DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)55
66
Q3 - 8:02DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
66
Q3 - 8:03DALMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
66
Q3 - 8:07DALKidd REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)55
66
Q3 - 8:09DALMISS Kidd 21' Jump Shot55
66
Q3 - 8:27DENBillups 11' Jump Shot (16 PTS)55
66
Q3 - 8:50DALGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)55
64
Q3 - 8:59DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
64
Q3 - 9:01DENMISS Nene 19' Jump Shot52
64
Q3 - 9:22DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
64
Q3 - 9:23DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
64
Q3 - 9:35DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
64
Q3 - 9:38DENMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot52
64
Q3 - 9:51DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)52
64
Q3 - 9:51DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)51
64
Q3 - 9:51DENMartin S.FOUL (P3.T2)50
64
Q3 - 9:52DALKidd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
64
Q3 - 9:53DENMISS Billups 22' Jump Shot50
64
Q3 - 10:17DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Dampier 2 AST)50
64
Q3 - 10:22DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
64
Q3 - 10:24DALMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot47
64
Q3 - 10:38DENMartin Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)47
64
Q3 - 10:45DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
64
Q3 - 10:46DALMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
64
Q3 - 10:50DALKidd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
64
Q3 - 10:51DALMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot47
64
Q3 - 11:13DENNene Layup (18 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)47
64
Q3 - 11:21DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
62
Q3 - 11:23DALMISS Kidd 22' Jump Shot47
62
Q3 - 11:30DENNene P.FOUL (P2.T1)47
62
Q3 - 11:42DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
62
Q3 - 11:42DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
61
Q3 - 11:42DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P3.T1)47
60
Q3 - 12:0047
60
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL47
60
Q2 - 0:00.0DENBillups Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)47
60
Q2 - 0:09.0DALBarea Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)47
58
Q2 - 0:09.0DENSUB: Smith FOR Jones46
58
Q2 - 0:09.0DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)46
58
Q2 - 0:09.0DALSUB: Wright FOR Green45
58
Q2 - 0:09.0DALSUB: George FOR Terry45
58
Q2 - 0:09.0DALSUB: Bass FOR Nowitzki45
58
Q2 - 0:09.0DENMartin P.FOUL (P2.PN)45
58
Q2 - 0:31.0DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)45
58
Q2 - 0:35.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
58
Q2 - 0:36.0DALMISS Green 10' Running Bank Shot45
58
Q2 - 0:48.0DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
58
Q2 - 0:49.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
58
Q2 - 0:49.0DENMISS Martin Putback Dunk45
58
Q2 - 0:51.0DENMISS Jones 4' Running Jump Shot45
58
Q2 - 0:57.0DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
58
Q2 - 0:58.0DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot45
58
Q2 - 1:11DENBillups 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)45
58
Q2 - 1:23DALGreen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)45
58
Q2 - 1:38DENJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
58
Q2 - 1:38DENJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)45
57
Q2 - 1:38DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P2.PN)45
56
Q2 - 1:41DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
56
Q2 - 1:42DALMISS Barea 7' Turnaround Jump Shot45
56
Q2 - 1:51DENBillups P.FOUL (P2.T3)45
56
Q2 - 2:12DENCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)45
56
Q2 - 2:26DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
53
Q2 - 2:28DALMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
53
Q2 - 2:40DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
53
Q2 - 2:40DALSUB: Barea FOR Kidd45
52
Q2 - 2:40DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
52
Q2 - 2:40DALKidd P.FOUL (P3.PN)45
51
Q2 - 2:50DALGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)45
51
Q2 - 2:50DALGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
51
Q2 - 2:52DALMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot45
51
Q2 - 2:58DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)45
51
Q2 - 2:58DENNene P.FOUL (P1.T2)45
51
Q2 - 3:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
51
Q2 - 3:07DENMISS Carter Reverse Layup45
51
Q2 - 3:27DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)45
51
Q2 - 3:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)42
51
Q2 - 3:35DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
51
Q2 - 3:48DALNowitzki 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)42
51
Q2 - 4:09DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)40
51
Q2 - 4:09DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)40
50
Q2 - 4:09DENSUB: Billups FOR Smith40
49
Q2 - 4:09DALGreen S.FOUL (P2.T4)40
49
Q2 - 4:21DALNowitzki Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)40
49
Q2 - 4:26DENSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)38
49
Q2 - 4:33DALJones STEAL (3 STL)38
49
Q2 - 4:46DENSUB: Martin FOR Andersen38
49
Q2 - 4:46DENSUB: Jones FOR Kleiza38
49
Q2 - 4:46DENKleiza P.FOUL (P2.T1)38
49
Q2 - 5:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
49
Q2 - 5:02DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
49
Q2 - 5:14DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
49
Q2 - 5:15DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Turnaround Jump Shot38
49
Q2 - 5:39DALSUB: Green FOR Barea38
49
Q2 - 5:3938
49
Q2 - 5:39DENAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)38
49
Q2 - 5:46DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)38
49
Q2 - 6:05DENKleiza Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)36
49
Q2 - 6:11DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)36
47
Q2 - 6:12DALMISS Kidd 12' Running Jump Shot36
47
Q2 - 6:19DALBarea REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
47
Q2 - 6:21DENMISS Smith 8' Floating Jump Shot36
47
Q2 - 6:28DENNUGGETS Rebound36
47
Q2 - 6:28DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw Technical36
47
Q2 - 6:28DALMavericks T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Diop )36
47
Q2 - 6:34DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
47
Q2 - 6:36DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 236
47
Q2 - 6:36DALSUB: Diop FOR Dampier36
47
Q2 - 6:36DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)36
47
Q2 - 6:36DALDampier S.FOUL (P3.T3)36
46
Q2 - 6:44DALBarea 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
46
Q2 - 6:50DENKleiza Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)34
46
Q2 - 6:58DALAndersen STEAL (1 STL)34
46
Q2 - 7:15DENNene 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)34
46
Q2 - 7:28DALNowitzki 7' Running Bank Shot (10 PTS)34
44
Q2 - 7:40DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
44
Q2 - 7:43DENMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot32
44
Q2 - 7:55DALTerry Foul Turnover (P2.T7)32
44
Q2 - 7:55DALTerry OFF.Foul (P2)32
44
Q2 - 7:55DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Bass32
44
Q2 - 7:55DALMavericks Rebound32
44
Q2 - 7:55DALAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)32
44
Q2 - 8:21DENCarter Layup (2 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)32
44
Q2 - 8:24DALKleiza STEAL (1 STL)32
42
Q2 - 8:43DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)32
42
Q2 - 8:43DENAndersen Tip Shot (10 PTS)32
42
Q2 - 8:45DENMISS Carter Driving Layup32
40
Q2 - 8:51DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
40
Q2 - 8:52DALMISS Bass 19' Jump Shot32
40
Q2 - 9:05DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)32
40
Q2 - 9:07DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)32
40
Q2 - 9:07DALSUB: Kidd FOR George32
39
Q2 - 9:07DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)32
39
Q2 - 9:07DALTerry S.FOUL (P1.T2)32
38
Q2 - 9:16DENNUGGETS Rebound32
38
Q2 - 9:17DALMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot32
38
Q2 - 9:32DENNUGGETS Violation: Delay of game Violation32
38
Q2 - 9:33DENNene Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)32
38
Q2 - 9:50DALBass Slam Dunk (4 PTS)32
36
Q2 - 10:01DENKleiza Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)30
36
Q2 - 10:13DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)30
36
Q2 - 10:42DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)30
36
Q2 - 10:42DENAndersen Tip Shot (8 PTS)30
36
Q2 - 10:44DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
34
Q2 - 10:48DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
34
Q2 - 10:50DALAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)30
34
Q2 - 11:02DENKleiza Foul Turnover (P1.T2)30
34
Q2 - 11:02DENKleiza OFF.Foul (P1)30
34
Q2 - 11:07DALBass 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)30
34
Q2 - 11:18DALSUB: Dampier FOR Nowitzki28
34
Q2 - 11:18DENSUB: Smith FOR Billups28
34
Q2 - 11:18DENSUB: Nene FOR Martin28
34
Q2 - 11:31DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)28
34
Q2 - 11:31DENNUGGETS Rebound28
33
Q2 - 11:31DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 228
33
Q2 - 11:31DALBarea S.FOUL (P1.T1)28
33
Q2 - 11:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
33
Q2 - 11:35DALNowitzki Layup (8 PTS)28
33
Q2 - 11:36DALMISS Terry Layup26
33
Q2 - 11:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
33
Q2 - 11:42DENMISS Martin Layup26
33
Q2 - 11:44DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
33
Q2 - 11:45DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
33
Q2 - 11:45DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot26
33
Q2 - 11:47DENMISS Kleiza Layup26
33
Q2 - 12:0026
33
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN26
33
Q1 - 0:00.0DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
33
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Barea 17' Fadeaway Jumper26
33
Q1 - 0:07.0DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
33
Q1 - 0:08.0DENMISS Kleiza 3PT Jump Shot26
33
Q1 - 0:19.0DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
33
Q1 - 0:36.0DALBarea REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
33
Q1 - 0:37.0DALMISS Barea Driving Finger Roll Layup24
33
Q1 - 0:45.0DENBillups P.FOUL (P1.T4)24
33
Q1 - 1:03DALSUB: Bass FOR Diop24
33
Q1 - 1:03DALMavericks Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)24
33
Q1 - 1:04DENAndersen Dunk (6 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)24
33
Q1 - 1:24DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
31
Q1 - 1:25DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper24
31
Q1 - 1:43DENAndersen Driving Layup (4 PTS)24
31
Q1 - 1:46DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
29
Q1 - 1:47DALMISS Diop Tip Shot24
29
Q1 - 1:56DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
29
Q1 - 1:59DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper24
29
Q1 - 2:15DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
29
Q1 - 2:15DENAndersen Putback Dunk (2 PTS)24
29
Q1 - 2:19DENMISS Billups 8' Running Jump Shot24
27
Q1 - 2:44DALTerry 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)24
27
Q1 - 2:57DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
27
Q1 - 2:59DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 222
27
Q1 - 2:59DENNUGGETS Rebound22
27
Q1 - 2:59DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 222
27
Q1 - 2:59DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)22
27
Q1 - 2:59DALDiop L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)22
27
Q1 - 2:59DENNUGGETS Rebound22
27
Q1 - 2:59DALMISS Nowitzki 7' Fadeaway Jumper22
27
Q1 - 3:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
27
Q1 - 3:03DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot22
27
Q1 - 3:10DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
27
Q1 - 3:11DENMISS Billups 12' Fadeaway Jumper22
27
Q1 - 3:36DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)22
27
Q1 - 3:36DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Jones21
27
Q1 - 3:36DENSUB: Andersen FOR Nene21
27
Q1 - 3:36DENJones S.FOUL (P2.T3)21
27
Q1 - 3:36DALTerry Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)21
27
Q1 - 3:39DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
27
Q1 - 3:40DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
27
Q1 - 3:54DALNowitzki Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)19
27
Q1 - 4:12DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)17
27
Q1 - 4:12DALSUB: Diop FOR Dampier17
26
Q1 - 4:12DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)17
26
Q1 - 4:12DALDampier L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)17
25
Q1 - 4:12DENNUGGETS Rebound17
25
Q1 - 4:12DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot17
25
Q1 - 4:21DALJones STEAL (2 STL)17
25
Q1 - 4:28DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
25
Q1 - 4:30DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 217
25
Q1 - 4:30DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
25
Q1 - 4:30DALSUB: George FOR Wright17
24
Q1 - 4:30DENSUB: Carter FOR Smith17
24
Q1 - 4:30DALSUB: Barea FOR Kidd17
24
Q1 - 4:30DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P1.PN)17
24
Q1 - 4:39DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
24
Q1 - 4:41DALMISS Wright Reverse Layup17
24
Q1 - 4:47DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
24
Q1 - 4:48DENMISS Nene Driving Layup17
24
Q1 - 5:04DALDampier Dunk (6 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)17
24
Q1 - 5:07DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
24
Q1 - 5:11DENMISS Smith Driving Finger Roll Layup15
24
Q1 - 5:27DALKidd Foul Turnover (P3.T3)15
24
Q1 - 5:27DALKidd OFF.Foul (P2)15
24
Q1 - 5:39DALMavericks Rebound15
24
Q1 - 5:39DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot15
24
Q1 - 5:57DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
24
Q1 - 6:16DENNene Layup (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)13
24
Q1 - 6:19DALSUB: Terry FOR Green13
22
Q1 - 6:31DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
22
Q1 - 6:32DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot13
22
Q1 - 6:44DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)13
22
Q1 - 6:46DEN13
22
Q1 - 6:46DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)13
22
Q1 - 6:53DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
19
Q1 - 6:54DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
19
Q1 - 7:16DENJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
19
Q1 - 7:16DENJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
18
Q1 - 7:16DALWright S.FOUL (P1.T4)13
17
Q1 - 7:18DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
17
Q1 - 7:20DALMISS Kidd 12' Turnaround Bank Shot13
17
Q1 - 7:27DENMartin P.FOUL (P1.T2)13
17
Q1 - 7:38DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)13
17
Q1 - 7:38DALKidd S.FOUL (P1.T3)13
16
Q1 - 7:38DENBillups 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)13
16
Q1 - 7:41DENNUGGETS Rebound13
14
Q1 - 7:41DENMISS Smith Driving Finger Roll Layup13
14
Q1 - 7:51DALGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)13
14
Q1 - 8:00DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
14
Q1 - 8:02DENMISS Billups Layup10
14
Q1 - 8:08DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
14
Q1 - 8:09DALMISS Dampier Driving Layup10
14
Q1 - 8:21DENBillups 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
14
Q1 - 8:46DALWright Dunk (2 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)10
12
Q1 - 8:52DENNene 6' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)8
12
Q1 - 9:02DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10
Q1 - 9:04DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 18
10
Q1 - 9:04DENJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
10
Q1 - 9:04DALDampier Layup (4 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)8
10
Q1 - 9:09DENNene Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
10
Q1 - 9:09DALNene STEAL (1 STL)6
10
Q1 - 9:25DENJones Driving Dunk (3 PTS)6
10
Q1 - 9:30DALJones STEAL (1 STL)6
8
Q1 - 9:40DENMartin Dunk (4 PTS)6
8
Q1 - 9:43DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 9:44DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
6
Q1 - 9:51DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
6
Q1 - 9:53DALMISS Wright Driving Dunk6
6
Q1 - 10:08DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
6
Q1 - 10:08DALDampier S.FOUL (P1.T2)6
5
Q1 - 10:08DENNene Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
5
Q1 - 10:22DALDampier Layup (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)6
3
Q1 - 10:33DENMartin Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
3
Q1 - 10:49DALKidd Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)4
1
Q1 - 10:52DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
1
Q1 - 10:54DENMISS Smith 17' Fadeaway Jumper2
1
Q1 - 11:02DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
1
Q1 - 11:03DALMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
1
Q1 - 11:17DENJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
1
Q1 - 11:17DENNUGGETS Rebound2
0
Q1 - 11:17DENMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 22
0
Q1 - 11:17DALGreen S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:36DALGreen 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Dampier: Tip to Kidd0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDALDEN
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.98 49.0%
DEN
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
13
24
54%
DEN
20
33
61%
Midrange
DAL
15
38
39%
DEN
9
30
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
DEN
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
DAL
20
24
83%
DEN
29
38
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki4469%22.0 / 32
J. Terry1653%8.0 / 15
B. Bass1071%5.0 / 7
G. Green850%4.0 / 8
A. Wright630%3.0 / 10
E. Dampier660%3.0 / 5
J. Barea528%2.5 / 9
J. Kidd211%1.0 / 9
D. Diop0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2357%11.5 / 20
Nene2077%10.0 / 13
D. Jones1680%8.0 / 10
C. Andersen1583%7.5 / 9
A. Carter1350%6.5 / 13
K. Martin531%2.5 / 8
L. Kleiza531%2.5 / 8
J. Smith27%1.0 / 14
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
81
+16
-16
97
DEN
80
+15
-16
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.98 49.0%
DEN
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
110.2
DAL 100.0
DEN 103.1 +3.1
Pace
91.7
94.5
DAL 88.0
DEN 106.9 +18.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.7
DAL 16.4
DEN 13.5 −2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
51.2%
DAL 45.3% +0.4%
DEN 44.9%
TO %
13.2%
15.8%
DAL 15.1% −0.1%
DEN 15.2%
ORB %
26.6%
27.5%
DAL 30.4% +3.7%
DEN 26.7%
FTrt
27.4
38.2
DAL 28.2
DEN 48.7 +20.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.9%
59.5%
DAL 51.4%
DEN 63.6% +12.2%
STL %
7.8%
9.1%
DAL 7.2%
DEN 10.4% +3.2%
BLK %
8.0%
9.7%
DAL 12.7% +9.5%
DEN 3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
54.8%
DAL 49.0%
DEN 50.5% +1.5%
Rim FG%
57.7%
60.5%
DAL 54.2%
DEN 60.6% +6.4%
Mid FG%
44.9%
38.7%
DAL 39.5% +9.5%
DEN 30.0%
3P %
35.0%
37.1%
DAL 30.4% +3.7%
DEN 26.7%
FT %
81.9%
76.0%
DAL 83.3% +7.0%
DEN 76.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
39.7%
DAL 28.2%
DEN 42.3% +14.1%
Mid Att. %
47.0%
37.6%
DAL 44.7%
DEN 38.5% −6.2%
3P Att. %
24.1%
22.7%
DAL 27.1% +7.8%
DEN 19.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.
Game TotalsDALDEN
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes26.421.6
Points9799
Rebounds4744
Assists1821
Steals710
Blocks82
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)32 (3)
Field Goals35-8533-78
At-the-Rim FG13-2420-33
Midrange FG15-389-30
2-Point FG28-6229-63
3-Point FG7-234-15
Free Throws20-2429-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 31
42.1
44
69%
14
0
1
0
1
3
2
12
12-12
100%
13-20
65%
2-6
33%
G · 6'4" 210 · 36
29.4
2
11%
9
7
0
1
6
4
3
6
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-3
0%
G · 6'7" 215 · 25
28.4
6
30%
4
3
1
2
0
1
1
3
4-6
67%
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 34
23.5
6
60%
4
3
2
3
0
3
2
2
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 205 · 23
16.6
8
50%
1
0
0
0
3
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
G · 6'2" 185 · 31
36.7
16
53%
4
3
1
0
2
5
1
3
1-1
100%
3-10
30%
3-5
60%
G · 6'0" 185 · 25
22.0
5
28%
2
2
1
0
2
1
1
1
3-4
75%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 24
20.5
10
71%
5
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 31
10.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 280 · 27
9.8
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 27
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 23
#42 · F · 6'6" 218 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
49%
47
18
7
8
16
0
14
33
20-24
83%
28-62
45%
7-23
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.