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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 13, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Hawks30%98102
7Suns70%104107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.5
41.8
34.6
11
25%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-15
6-12
20%
48%
1-6
17%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.6
40.2
32.0
16
79%
12
1
1
1
1
2
4
8
5-7
71%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
1-1
100%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.7
37.9
33.3
17
45%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
4-11
3-7
36%
46%
2-6
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.9
31.9
24.4
10
56%
11
1
0
1
0
1
7
4
0-0
-
5-9
3-5
56%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.1
31.7
34.5
24
46%
10
1
1
1
1
2
4
6
6-9
67%
9-21
5-10
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.5
27.1
18.3
14
80%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
44%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
9.3
12.0
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
8.3
23.0
3
52%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.0
6.7
2.5
2
114%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.0
5.1
12.0
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.6
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.6
3.1
0
0-1
45%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.7
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 36.9
39.9
29.0
26
60%
10
2
0
0
3
1
2
8
6-11
55%
10-17
6-10
59%
58%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 34.9
35.8
33.6
23
76%
5
6
1
1
1
2
1
4
5-5
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
4-7
57%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.2
35.4
35.5
17
69%
5
5
0
1
3
2
1
4
3-3
100%
7-11
8-13
64%
57%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 36.3
34.9
29.2
6
39%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
1-4
4-7
25%
53%
0-2
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.0
30.6
36.0
7
35%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
4-9
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 26.1
23.5
20.4
22
93%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
52%
4-5
80%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 28.8
23.2
18.2
6
50%
10
4
1
1
0
3
1
9
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
52%
2-3
67%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.1
13.2
20.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
53%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.5
3.5
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 20.8
5.5
0
1-1
54%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.9
4.1
0
1-1
49%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
3.9
0
0-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.