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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 19, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bulls47%10298
23Knicks53%103102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.8
40.0
32.5
20
59%
10
2
2
1
0
1
3
7
2-2
100%
9-16
5-11
56%
49%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.3
36.7
36.1
20
48%
4
8
0
1
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
9-20
7-15
45%
48%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
34.6
24.1
19
77%
10
0
0
1
3
5
3
7
3-3
100%
8-11
3-7
73%
45%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.8
34.0
33.5
8
26%
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-1
0%
1-8
4-9
13%
47%
2-7
29%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.9
28.9
17.9
7
45%
18
0
1
1
3
1
7
11
3-4
75%
2-6
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.0
28.6
24.5
13
57%
4
7
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
4-6
2-4
67%
45%
1-4
25%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.1
20.0
29.4
2
11%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-5
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.3
12.7
24.5
4
34%
2
0
1
1
0
3
2
0
2-2
100%
1-5
5-10
20%
48%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.7
4.6
14.1
5
125%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.0
8.7
0
1-2
43%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.1
5.2
0
1-1
51%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.1
3.8
0
0-1
38%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32.0
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.8
37.3
29.3
24
76%
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
3-4
75%
3-8
2-6
38%
43%
5-6
83%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 25.7
35.4
38.3
11
33%
10
3
0
1
1
2
2
8
5-6
83%
3-14
7-12
21%
58%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.4
33.8
34.3
19
60%
5
3
2
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
45%
1-5
20%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.2
33.5
27.8
4
46%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
2-3
67%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.7
19.3
35.3
6
60%
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
5-10
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
29.6
31.7
11
38%
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-3
67%
3-7
4-9
43%
47%
1-6
17%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 24.6
20.3
22.6
12
52%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-6
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-2
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.4
16.4
6.9
9
64%
4
2
2
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.9
14.4
9.3
6
61%
4
0
1
0
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.9
2.8
0
0-0
46%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.2
2.5
0
0-1
39%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.2
1.2
0
0-0
47%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 26.1
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 33.4
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.