Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, January 19, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Bulls | 47% | 102 | 98 |
 | 23 | Knicks | 53% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Mavericks | 49% | 96 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Raptors | 33% | 93 | 84 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Bobcats | 38% | 87 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Timberwolves | 55% | 96 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 5 | Hornets | 71% | 103 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Pistons | 67% | 93 | 87 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Celtics | 74% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Bucks | 37% | 94 | 85 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Lakers | 62% | 99 | 105 |
Sunday, January 18, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 54% | 101 | 117 |
| 17 | Raptors | 46% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Heat | 54% | 95 | 104 |
 | 29 | Thunder | 46% | 94 | 94 |
Saturday, January 17, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 69% | 99 | 105 |
| 20 | Nets | 31% | 93 | 85 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 91 | 97 |
| 24 | Bobcats | 44% | 89 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hornets | 52% | 90 | 91 | |
| 12 | Pistons | 48% | 89 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 47% | 100 | 107 |
| 23 | Knicks | 53% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 54% | 95 | 92 |
| 21 | Bulls | 46% | 94 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 35% | 90 | 86 |
| 11 | Rockets | 65% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 10 | Mavericks | 62% | 101 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Magic | 43% | 97 | 106 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 57% | 100 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 58% | 96 | 92 |
| 30 | Clippers | 42% | 93 | 101 |
Friday, January 16, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 39% | 99 | 104 |
| 14 | Pacers | 61% | 102 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 58% | 94 | 87 |
| 17 | 76ers | 42% | 91 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 49% | 101 | 89 |
| 27 | Wizards | 51% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hornets | 44% | 89 | 78 | |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 56% | 91 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 67% | 98 | 101 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 33% | 93 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 71% | 96 | 79 |
| 30 | Thunder | 29% | 89 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 24% | 98 | 105 |
| 8 | Suns | 76% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 55% | 102 | 129 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 51% | 105 | 114 |
| 22 | Warriors | 49% | 104 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 36% | 99 | 109 |
| 1 | Lakers | 64% | 103 | 103 |
Thursday, January 15, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 95 | 105 |
| 20 | Nets | 51% | 96 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 72% | 99 | 93 |
| 21 | Bulls | 28% | 91 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 39% | 101 | 113 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 61% | 105 | 119 |
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 41% | 96 | 106 |
| 14 | Pacers | 59% | 99 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 95 | 79 |
| 20 | 76ers | 48% | 94 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 37% | 95 | 102 |
| 16 | Raptors | 63% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 18% | 90 | 86 | |
| 1 | Celtics | 82% | 102 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 38% | 98 | 122 |
| 23 | Knicks | 62% | 102 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 37% | 93 | 102 |
| 17 | Bucks | 63% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 76% | 101 | 93 |
| 30 | Thunder | 24% | 92 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hornets | 54% | 95 | 104 | |
| 12 | Mavericks | 46% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 42% | 96 | 111 |
| 4 | Spurs | 58% | 99 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 30% | 104 | 135 |
| 21 | Warriors | 70% | 110 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 58% | 94 | 97 |
| 29 | Clippers | 42% | 92 | 80 |
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bobcats | 31% | 85 | 80 |
| 13 | Pistons | 69% | 91 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 81% | 98 | 102 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 19% | 87 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 53% | 97 | 99 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 47% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 56% | 99 | 105 |
| 12 | Rockets | 44% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 37% | 96 | 97 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 63% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 30% | 98 | 102 |
| 7 | Suns | 70% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 71% | 103 | 139 |
| 25 | Kings | 29% | 96 | 107 |
Monday, January 12, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 58% | 97 | 97 |
| 27 | Wizards | 42% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 21% | 89 | 109 |
| 1 | Celtics | 79% | 100 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 25% | 94 | 99 |
| 17 | Nets | 75% | 103 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 23% | 94 | 101 |
| 6 | Hornets | 77% | 104 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 97 | 109 |
| 22 | Bulls | 42% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 26% | 97 | 113 |
| 8 | Jazz | 74% | 105 | 120 |
Sunday, January 11, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 69% | 97 | 94 |
| 17 | Raptors | 31% | 91 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 43% | 93 | 109 |
| 20 | Hawks | 57% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 73% | 101 | 109 |
| 29 | Clippers | 27% | 93 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | 42% | 91 | 105 |
| 4 | Spurs | 58% | 94 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 55% | 109 | 117 |
| 21 | Warriors | 45% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 65% | 102 | 95 |
| 26 | Kings | 35% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 21% | 93 | 105 |
| 2 | Lakers | 79% | 104 | 108 |
Saturday, January 10, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bobcats | 49% | 91 | 92 |
| 27 | Wizards | 51% | 92 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 46% | 98 | 104 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 54% | 100 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 27% | 94 | 109 |
| 22 | Bulls | 73% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 33% | 96 | 76 |
| 12 | Rockets | 67% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 27% | 88 | 82 |
| 5 | Jazz | 73% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 27% | 98 | 100 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 73% | 106 | 113 |
Friday, January 9, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 34% | 94 | 87 |
| 5 | Magic | 66% | 99 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bobcats | 40% | 90 | 87 |
| 18 | 76ers | 60% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 32% | 93 | 82 |
| 17 | Raptors | 68% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 45% | 90 | 83 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 55% | 92 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Clippers | 12% | 83 | 80 |
| 7 | Hornets | 88% | 98 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 73% | 99 | 98 |
| 30 | Thunder | 27% | 91 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 39% | 94 | 86 |
| 23 | Bulls | 61% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 38% | 95 | 102 | |
| 22 | Bucks | 62% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | 32% | 91 | 93 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 68% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 58% | 98 | 119 |
| 26 | Kings | 42% | 96 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 21% | 99 | 119 |
| 2 | Lakers | 79% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 39% | 100 | 100 |
| 10 | Suns | 61% | 104 | 128 |
Thursday, January 8, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 23% | 98 | 94 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 77% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Clippers | 16% | 83 | 84 |
| 4 | Spurs | 84% | 96 | 106 |
Wednesday, January 7, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | 43% | 95 | 106 |
| 12 | Hawks | 57% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 14% | 82 | 81 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 86% | 96 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 59% | 97 | 99 |
| 27 | Wizards | 41% | 94 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 22% | 87 | 89 |
| 1 | Celtics | 78% | 97 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 36% | 93 | 89 |
| 25 | Nets | 64% | 98 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 38% | 95 | 110 |
| 20 | Bucks | 62% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 34% | 96 | 87 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 66% | 102 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 27% | 93 | 97 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 73% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 30% | 101 | 113 |
| 10 | Suns | 70% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hornets | 41% | 94 | 90 | |
| 9 | Jazz | 59% | 97 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 43% | 88 | 83 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 90 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 67% | 111 | 114 |
| 19 | Warriors | 33% | 105 | 106 |
Tuesday, January 6, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 75% | 94 | 106 |
| 22 | Bobcats | 25% | 85 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 16% | 89 | 80 |
| 4 | Magic | 84% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 55% | 94 | 96 |
| 18 | 76ers | 45% | 92 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 45% | 97 | 94 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 55% | 98 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 61% | 105 | 99 |
| 30 | Thunder | 39% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 33% | 97 | 94 |
| 23 | Bulls | 67% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Clippers | 17% | 86 | 102 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 83% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 31% | 94 | 116 | |
| 2 | Lakers | 69% | 100 | 105 |