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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 19, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Mavericks49%9695
1676ers51%9793
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.6
40.0
37.9
24
44%
6
0
1
1
0
4
1
5
10-10
100%
7-21
8-17
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.8
37.2
34.9
22
100%
12
6
0
2
0
2
1
11
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
6-8
75%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.7
34.3
21.6
10
32%
8
2
4
1
0
3
2
6
4-6
67%
3-12
4-8
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
24.6
29.3
7
70%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.5
19.8
19.9
2
114%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
60%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.3
34.4
33.9
20
59%
1
4
4
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
8-11
5-10
73%
51%
1-5
20%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
19.4
8.9
4
67%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.7
16.8
25.5
4
67%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
4-8
100%
48%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.6
10.8
14.9
2
50%
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.4
2.8
12.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.4
16.9
1
1-2
43%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
7.9
0
1-1
51%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.9
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.0
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.0
41.7
37.5
18
54%
12
1
2
2
0
5
5
7
3-4
75%
3-12
5-10
25%
51%
3-3
100%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.8
35.9
34.3
12
43%
8
7
1
1
0
4
3
5
2-2
100%
5-12
6-11
42%
50%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.6
35.9
33.0
11
60%
4
4
1
1
0
3
1
3
3-5
60%
4-6
5-10
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
24.8
23.5
6
60%
9
1
0
0
3
2
1
8
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.5
17.4
20.2
2
14%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.2
25.6
27.4
25
57%
6
0
1
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
6-12
4-9
50%
46%
4-9
44%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.7
23.9
13.5
6
63%
5
1
1
1
0
0
4
1
2-4
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.1
18.0
13.9
11
63%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.5
16.9
21.1
2
25%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
5-9
25%
52%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.8
8.1
0
0-1
49%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
3.0
0
0-0
42%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.7
2.1
0
0-0
48%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.9
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.