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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 19, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pacers29%96100
5Hornets71%103103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.8
42.9
35.5
30
59%
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
4
5-6
83%
5-16
6-12
31%
47%
5-7
71%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
40.7
35.4
11
43%
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-4
50%
3-7
4-8
43%
46%
1-4
25%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.7
34.8
35.5
17
56%
11
5
0
1
0
2
2
9
5-5
100%
6-8
2-5
75%
47%
0-5
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.3
28.4
26.3
11
41%
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
48%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
19.3
27.2
3
52%
7
2
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
29.6
17.6
14
78%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
2-2
100%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.8
22.9
19.9
8
37%
2
4
2
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-10
3-6
30%
45%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.6
11.5
15.4
6
61%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.9
7.2
11.7
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.0
2.8
22.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
48%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.1
4.6
0
1-2
51%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.6
1.6
0
0-0
53%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.9
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.9
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.6
39.3
35.4
26
78%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
5-6
83%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
5-9
56%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
39.0
37.7
27
67%
5
9
1
3
0
5
0
5
10-12
83%
7-13
7-14
54%
53%
1-2
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
36.3
31.1
17
49%
5
1
0
1
1
1
0
5
2-3
67%
3-8
2-5
38%
45%
3-8
38%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
17.1
1.9
2
20%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
47%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.3
15.2
32.4
6
104%
4
1
0
1
2
1
3
1
2-2
100%
2-2
4-7
100%
60%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.0
35.4
27.3
7
67%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-5
80%
0-0
2-3
-
54%
1-3
33%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.8
16.8
9.3
7
60%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.7
15.6
8.1
1
17%
6
1
0
0
1
1
0
6
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.2
12.4
9.0
4
67%
3
0
2
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
4.9
9.0
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.7
4.1
3.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.4
4.1
2.6
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.2
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.