FinalWin Prob.pScore
1733%93
84
1467%99
87
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
94.48984.4
ATL logo ATL
94.69297.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL84
0%
87
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0TORMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 0:12.0ATLJohnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (28 PTS)84
7.1%
87
92.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
18.1%
85
81.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0TORMISS Moon 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
22.9%
85
77.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)84
37.1%
85
62.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0ATLMISS Evans 3' Layup84
31.7%
85
68.3%
Q4 - 0:50.0TORSmith STEAL (2 STL)84
22.2%
85
77.8%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)84
37.6%
85
62.4%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)84
40.3%
84
59.7%
Q4 - 1:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)84
52.8%
83
47.2%
Q4 - 1:16TORMISS Graham 9' Jump Shot84
57.6%
83
42.4%
Q4 - 1:31TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)84
66.9%
83
33.1%
Q4 - 1:33ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 284
64.7%
83
35.3%
Q4 - 1:33ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)84
55.9%
83
44.1%
Q4 - 1:46TORUkic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)84
62.9%
82
37.1%
Q4 - 2:07TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
76.4%
82
23.6%
Q4 - 2:09ATLMISS Bibby 29' 3PT Jump Shot84
72.7%
82
27.3%
Q4 - 2:23TORParker 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)84
62.5%
82
37.5%
Q4 - 2:44ATLJohnson 9' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)82
55.8%
82
44.2%
Q4 - 2:55TORBosh 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS)82
60.7%
80
39.3%
Q4 - 3:01TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)80
53.0%
80
47.0%
Q4 - 3:03TORMISS Ukic 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
42.6%
80
57.4%
Q4 - 3:16TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
53.6%
80
46.4%
Q4 - 3:18TORMISS Bargnani 28' 3PT Jump Shot80
42.7%
80
57.3%
Q4 - 3:37ATLEvans 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)80
48.9%
80
51.1%
Q4 - 3:40ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
57.6%
78
42.4%
Q4 - 3:43ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
64.5%
78
35.5%
Q4 - 4:04TORBosh 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)80
58.0%
78
42.0%
Q4 - 4:12TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)78
49.1%
78
50.9%
Q4 - 4:14ATLMISS Murray Running Dunk78
45.9%
78
54.1%
Q4 - 4:32TORMoon 28' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)78
38.8%
78
61.2%
Q4 - 4:49TORBosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)75
22.9%
78
77.1%
Q4 - 4:50ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 275
21.9%
78
78.1%
Q4 - 4:50ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 275
18.1%
78
81.9%
Q4 - 5:08TORUkic Traveling Turnover (P4.T12)75
18.8%
78
81.2%
Q4 - 5:27TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
24.7%
78
75.3%
Q4 - 5:28ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 275
23.8%
78
76.2%
Q4 - 5:28ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)75
20.3%
78
79.7%
Q4 - 5:28ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (23 PTS)75
24.4%
77
75.6%
Q4 - 5:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)75
31.2%
76
68.8%
Q4 - 5:44TORMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot75
33.5%
76
66.5%
Q4 - 5:50TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
39.3%
76
60.7%
Q4 - 5:51ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot75
36.7%
76
63.3%
Q4 - 6:07TORBosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)75
31.6%
76
68.4%
Q4 - 6:07TORBosh Tip Shot (18 PTS)75
31.6%
76
68.4%
Q4 - 6:10TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 173
20.8%
76
79.2%
Q4 - 6:20TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
15.8%
76
84.2%
Q4 - 6:21ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
14.6%
76
85.4%
Q4 - 6:45TORMoon Dunk (6 PTS) (Ukic 5 AST)71
12.0%
76
88.0%
Q4 - 7:05ATLMurray 29' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Evans 3 AST)69
10.4%
76
89.6%
Q4 - 7:28ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
16.5%
73
83.5%
Q4 - 7:29TORMISS Bargnani 18' Jump Shot69
17.8%
73
82.2%
Q4 - 7:35TORBosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)69
21.1%
73
78.9%
Q4 - 7:37TORMISS Parker 28' 3PT Jump Shot69
17.8%
73
82.2%
Q4 - 7:56ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)69
21.1%
73
78.9%
Q4 - 8:22TORParker 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ukic 4 AST)69
32.0%
70
68.0%
Q4 - 8:45ATLJohnson 7' Jump Shot (22 PTS)67
26.5%
70
73.5%
Q4 - 8:54TORBibby STEAL (2 STL)67
32.0%
68
68.0%
Q4 - 8:56ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)67
37.7%
68
62.3%
Q4 - 9:03ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
32.4%
68
67.6%
Q4 - 9:05TORMISS Ukic 12' Jump Shot67
34.0%
68
66.0%
Q4 - 9:21ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
37.7%
68
62.3%
Q4 - 9:21ATLMurray Tip Shot (9 PTS)67
37.7%
68
62.3%
Q4 - 9:23ATLMISS Murray 3' Driving Layup67
47.7%
66
52.3%
Q4 - 9:38TORBosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)67
43.8%
66
56.2%
Q4 - 9:54TORRaptors Rebound67
49.5%
66
50.5%
Q4 - 9:55ATLMISS Murray 2' Running Layup67
47.7%
66
52.3%
Q4 - 10:00ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
43.8%
66
56.2%
Q4 - 10:02TORMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot67
44.5%
66
55.5%
Q4 - 10:19ATLSmith Putback Layup (21 PTS)67
48.4%
66
51.6%
Q4 - 10:20ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)67
54.2%
64
45.8%
Q4 - 10:21ATLMISS Johnson 6' Running Jump Shot67
58.0%
64
42.0%
Q4 - 10:45TORKapono 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ukic 3 AST)67
54.2%
64
45.8%
Q4 - 10:50TORKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
42.8%
64
57.2%
Q4 - 10:53ATLMISS Smith 7' Hook Shot64
41.2%
64
58.8%
Q4 - 11:05ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
37.3%
64
62.7%
Q4 - 11:06TORMISS Moon 17' Jump Shot64
38.7%
64
61.3%
Q4 - 11:22TORUkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
42.1%
64
57.9%
Q4 - 11:24ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot64
40.6%
64
59.4%
Q4 - 11:40TORUkic Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T9)64
37.3%
64
62.7%
Q4 - 11:50ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)64
42.1%
64
57.9%
Q4 - 11:50ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)64
43.5%
63
56.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL64
47.7%
62
52.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
52.8%
62
47.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORMISS Voskuhl 17' Jump Shot64
48.4%
62
51.6%
Q3 - 0:10.0TORVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
51.6%
62
48.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0ATLMorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
47.1%
62
52.9%
Q3 - 0:11.0ATLMISS Morris Tip Shot64
50.2%
62
49.8%
Q3 - 0:13.0ATLMISS Johnson 8' Running Jump Shot64
50.2%
62
49.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)64
47.1%
62
52.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0TORUkic 9' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)64
52.2%
61
47.8%
Q3 - 1:05TORUkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
45.8%
61
54.2%
Q3 - 1:08ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot62
44.4%
61
55.6%
Q3 - 1:26ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
41.4%
61
58.6%
Q3 - 1:27TORMISS Kapono 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
42.7%
61
57.3%
Q3 - 1:54ATLBibby 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)62
45.8%
61
54.2%
Q3 - 2:00ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
51.2%
59
48.8%
Q3 - 2:02TORMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot62
51.1%
59
48.9%
Q3 - 2:05TORVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
54.3%
59
45.7%
Q3 - 2:06TORMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot62
51.1%
59
48.9%
Q3 - 2:25ATLSmith 3' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)62
54.4%
59
45.6%
Q3 - 2:43TORKapono 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)62
59.1%
57
40.9%
Q3 - 2:46TORRaptors Rebound60
54.4%
57
45.6%
Q3 - 2:47TORMISS Bargnani 14' Jump Shot60
51.2%
57
48.8%
Q3 - 2:56ATLBibby Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)60
54.5%
57
45.5%
Q3 - 3:11ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
48.4%
57
51.6%
Q3 - 3:12TORMISS Bargnani 19' Jump Shot60
49.9%
57
50.1%
Q3 - 3:26ATLJohnson 3' Driving Layup (19 PTS)60
53.3%
57
46.7%
Q3 - 3:50TORBargnani 8' Jump Shot (18 PTS)60
57.5%
55
42.5%
Q3 - 3:53TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
53.3%
55
46.7%
Q3 - 3:56TORMISS Kapono 27' 3PT Jump Shot58
50.0%
55
50.0%
Q3 - 4:01ATLMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)58
52.7%
55
47.3%
Q3 - 4:05ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
47.6%
55
52.4%
Q3 - 4:05TORMISS Bargnani 3' Running Reverse Layup58
49.1%
55
50.9%
Q3 - 4:18ATLMurray Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)58
52.7%
55
47.3%
Q3 - 4:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)58
47.6%
55
52.4%
Q3 - 4:33TORMISS Graham 20' Jump Shot58
49.2%
55
50.8%
Q3 - 4:53ATLSmith 5' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)58
52.7%
55
47.3%
Q3 - 5:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
54.9%
53
45.1%
Q3 - 5:07TORMISS Moon 28' 3PT Jump Shot58
56.3%
53
43.7%
Q3 - 5:30TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
59.6%
53
40.4%
Q3 - 5:32ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot58
58.2%
53
41.8%
Q3 - 5:42ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
55.0%
53
45.0%
Q3 - 5:44TORMISS Graham 4' Reverse Layup58
56.4%
53
43.6%
Q3 - 6:04ATLJohnson 12' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)58
58.2%
53
41.8%
Q3 - 6:12ATLJump Ball Jones vs. Bosh: Tip to Murray58
61.8%
51
38.2%
Q3 - 6:14TORMISS Parker 28' 3PT Jump Shot58
63.0%
51
37.0%
Q3 - 6:18TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
65.8%
51
34.2%
Q3 - 6:20ATLMISS Bibby Running Layup58
64.6%
51
35.4%
Q3 - 6:24TORSmith STEAL (1 STL)58
61.8%
51
38.2%
Q3 - 6:33TORRaptors Rebound58
65.8%
51
34.2%
Q3 - 6:34TORMISS Bargnani 8' Running Hook Shot58
63.1%
51
36.9%
Q3 - 6:48TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
65.9%
51
34.1%
Q3 - 6:49ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot58
64.6%
51
35.4%
Q3 - 7:04ATLHAWKS Rebound58
60.1%
51
39.9%
Q3 - 7:04TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)58
63.9%
51
36.1%
Q3 - 7:04TORMISS Bosh Tip Shot58
61.3%
51
38.7%
Q3 - 7:06TORMISS Graham 8' Jump Shot58
61.3%
51
38.7%
Q3 - 7:26ATLSmith Running Layup (13 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)58
64.0%
51
36.0%
Q3 - 7:44TORBargnani 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)58
67.4%
49
32.6%
Q3 - 8:05ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)56
63.2%
49
36.8%
Q3 - 8:26TORParker Driving Layup (8 PTS)56
66.4%
47
33.6%
Q3 - 8:30TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
63.2%
47
36.8%
Q3 - 8:34ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot54
62.0%
47
38.0%
Q3 - 8:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
59.3%
47
40.7%
Q3 - 8:54TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 254
59.9%
47
40.1%
Q3 - 8:54TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)54
62.4%
47
37.6%
Q3 - 9:07TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
58.7%
47
41.3%
Q3 - 9:09ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot53
57.6%
47
42.4%
Q3 - 9:29TORParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)53
55.1%
47
44.9%
Q3 - 9:33TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)53
58.8%
47
41.2%
Q3 - 9:35ATLMISS Evans 28' 3PT Jump Shot53
57.7%
47
42.3%
Q3 - 9:47TORParker 20' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)53
55.1%
47
44.9%
Q3 - 10:01ATLBibby 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
50.5%
47
49.5%
Q3 - 10:07ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
54.0%
45
46.0%
Q3 - 10:09TORMISS Bargnani 19' Jump Shot51
55.1%
45
44.9%
Q3 - 10:34ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)51
57.6%
45
42.4%
Q3 - 10:45ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
64.4%
42
35.6%
Q3 - 10:46TORMISS Bargnani 8' Running Jump Shot51
65.4%
42
34.6%
Q3 - 11:06ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T9)51
66.5%
42
33.5%
Q3 - 11:19ATLHAWKS Rebound51
63.2%
42
36.8%
Q3 - 11:21ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
65.5%
42
34.5%
Q3 - 11:38ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
63.2%
42
36.8%
Q3 - 11:40TORMISS Moon 20' Fadeaway Jumper51
64.2%
42
35.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR51
66.6%
42
33.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound51
66.6%
42
33.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Parker 44' 3PT Jump Shot51
64.3%
42
35.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)51
65.0%
42
35.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)51
65.5%
41
34.5%
Q2 - 0:05.0TORBargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)51
68.8%
40
31.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
70.9%
40
29.1%
Q2 - 0:07.0ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
70.2%
40
29.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0TORBargnani 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)51
68.8%
40
31.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
65.2%
40
34.8%
Q2 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
64.4%
40
35.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0TORMoon Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)49
62.8%
40
37.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0ATLBibby Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)47
58.9%
40
41.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0TORBosh 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)47
56.3%
40
43.7%
Q2 - 1:20ATLSmith Driving Layup (11 PTS)45
51.5%
40
48.5%
Q2 - 1:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
55.6%
38
44.4%
Q2 - 1:27TORMISS Bosh 6' Hook Shot45
56.4%
38
43.6%
Q2 - 1:34TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
58.0%
38
42.0%
Q2 - 1:36ATLMISS Smith 4' Turnaround Jump Shot45
57.3%
38
42.7%
Q2 - 2:01TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
54.0%
38
46.0%
Q2 - 2:01TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
53.6%
38
46.4%
Q2 - 2:14TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
51.0%
38
49.0%
Q2 - 2:15ATLMISS Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
50.0%
38
50.0%
Q2 - 2:40TORUkic 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)43
47.8%
38
52.2%
Q2 - 2:49TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
44.7%
38
55.3%
Q2 - 2:50ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 241
44.2%
38
55.8%
Q2 - 2:50ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
42.3%
38
57.7%
Q2 - 3:00ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
44.7%
37
55.3%
Q2 - 3:01TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 241
44.3%
37
55.7%
Q2 - 3:01TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)41
46.5%
37
53.5%
Q2 - 3:16ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)40
44.4%
37
55.6%
Q2 - 3:37TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)40
47.0%
35
53.0%
Q2 - 3:37TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)39
46.5%
35
53.5%
Q2 - 3:57ATLMurray 4' Driving Layup (7 PTS)38
44.4%
35
55.6%
Q2 - 4:06TORUkic 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)38
46.4%
33
53.6%
Q2 - 4:16TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
43.6%
33
56.4%
Q2 - 4:17ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot36
42.6%
33
57.4%
Q2 - 4:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
40.4%
33
59.6%
Q2 - 4:28TORMISS Bosh 5' Running Hook Shot36
41.4%
33
58.6%
Q2 - 4:44TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
43.6%
33
56.4%
Q2 - 4:45ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 136
43.2%
33
56.8%
Q2 - 4:52TORParker 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ukic 2 AST)36
46.4%
31
53.6%
Q2 - 5:08TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)34
43.1%
31
56.9%
Q2 - 5:09ATLMISS Murray 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
42.2%
31
57.8%
Q2 - 5:15ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
40.3%
31
59.7%
Q2 - 5:16TORMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot34
41.1%
31
58.9%
Q2 - 5:38ATLSmith Dunk (6 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)34
43.1%
31
56.9%
Q2 - 6:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
45.2%
29
54.8%
Q2 - 6:03TORMISS Bosh 12' Fadeaway Jumper34
46.3%
29
53.7%
Q2 - 6:20ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)34
48.7%
29
51.3%
Q2 - 6:39TORBosh 3' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)34
54.0%
26
46.0%
Q2 - 6:59TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
51.6%
26
48.4%
Q2 - 7:01ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
49.8%
26
50.2%
Q2 - 7:24TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
47.8%
26
52.2%
Q2 - 7:40TORRaptors Rebound30
45.1%
26
54.9%
Q2 - 7:40ATLMISS Gardner 28' 3PT Jump Shot30
44.2%
26
55.8%
Q2 - 7:51ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
42.2%
26
57.8%
Q2 - 7:53TORMISS Voskuhl 9' Turnaround Jump Shot30
43.1%
26
56.9%
Q2 - 8:10ATLJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)30
44.4%
26
55.6%
Q2 - 8:23ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q2 - 8:25TORMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot30
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q2 - 8:45TORKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
44.4%
26
55.6%
Q2 - 8:47ATLMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot30
43.6%
26
56.4%
Q2 - 8:52ATLGardner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q2 - 8:53TORMISS Bargnani 16' Jump Shot30
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q2 - 8:55TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
44.4%
26
55.6%
Q2 - 8:57TORMurray BLOCK (1 BLK)30
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q2 - 9:10TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
43.8%
26
56.2%
Q2 - 9:12ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
43.0%
26
57.0%
Q2 - 9:26TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ukic 1 AST)30
41.2%
26
58.8%
Q2 - 9:45ATLJohnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)28
38.6%
26
61.4%
Q2 - 10:02TORBargnani 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)28
40.9%
24
59.1%
Q2 - 10:12ATLLaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
38.5%
24
61.5%
Q2 - 10:26ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
35.9%
24
64.1%
Q2 - 10:28TORMISS Bargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
36.7%
24
63.3%
Q2 - 10:35TORVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
38.5%
24
61.5%
Q2 - 10:37ATLMISS Law 20' Jump Shot26
37.7%
24
62.3%
Q2 - 10:45ATLMurray Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)26
35.9%
24
64.1%
Q2 - 10:54ATLHAWKS Rebound26
38.4%
23
61.6%
Q2 - 10:55ATLMISS Gardner 28' 3PT Jump Shot26
40.2%
23
59.8%
Q2 - 11:11TORUkic 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
38.2%
23
61.8%
Q2 - 11:21TORKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
35.9%
23
64.1%
Q2 - 11:22ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
35.2%
23
64.8%
Q2 - 11:35ATLGardner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
33.5%
23
66.5%
Q2 - 11:36TORMISS Voskuhl 19' Jump Shot24
34.2%
23
65.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL24
35.9%
23
64.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound24
33.5%
23
66.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
35.2%
23
64.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0TORMurray STEAL (1 STL)24
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0TORRaptors Rebound24
35.1%
23
64.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot24
34.6%
23
65.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0ATLHAWKS Rebound24
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0TORMISS Ukic 9' Turnaround Jump Shot24
33.9%
23
66.1%
Q1 - 0:59.0ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
35.2%
23
64.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
35.7%
22
64.3%
Q1 - 1:14TORParker Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T4)24
37.7%
21
62.3%
Q1 - 1:31ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)24
39.2%
21
60.8%
Q1 - 1:37TORParker 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
42.2%
19
57.8%
Q1 - 1:58ATLMurray Running Layup (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)22
39.2%
19
60.8%
Q1 - 2:01TORBibby STEAL (1 STL)22
41.7%
17
58.3%
Q1 - 2:19ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)22
43.6%
17
56.4%
Q1 - 2:34TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
46.3%
15
53.7%
Q1 - 2:34TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
45.9%
15
54.1%
Q1 - 2:44ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)20
43.6%
15
56.4%
Q1 - 2:45ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
41.8%
15
58.2%
Q1 - 2:50TORMISS Bargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
42.3%
15
57.7%
Q1 - 3:09TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
43.5%
15
56.5%
Q1 - 3:10ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
42.8%
15
57.2%
Q1 - 3:18ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
41.3%
15
58.7%
Q1 - 3:19TORMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot20
42.0%
15
58.0%
Q1 - 3:31TORRaptors Rebound20
43.5%
15
56.5%
Q1 - 3:32ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot20
42.8%
15
57.2%
Q1 - 3:37ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
41.3%
15
58.7%
Q1 - 3:38TORJones BLOCK (1 BLK)20
42.0%
15
58.0%
Q1 - 3:59ATLSmith 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)20
43.5%
15
56.5%
Q1 - 4:08ATLHAWKS Rebound20
40.5%
15
59.5%
Q1 - 4:08ATLMISS Smith 7' Running Jump Shot20
42.1%
15
57.9%
Q1 - 4:18ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
40.5%
15
59.5%
Q1 - 4:20ATLMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup20
42.1%
15
57.9%
Q1 - 4:36TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
40.6%
15
59.4%
Q1 - 4:36TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
40.2%
15
59.8%
Q1 - 4:50TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
38.6%
15
61.4%
Q1 - 4:52TORMISS Moon 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
37.1%
15
62.9%
Q1 - 4:58TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
38.6%
15
61.4%
Q1 - 5:00ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Running Layup18
37.9%
15
62.1%
Q1 - 5:20TORBargnani Running Layup (8 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)18
36.2%
15
63.8%
Q1 - 5:38ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)16
34.4%
15
65.6%
Q1 - 5:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
38.2%
12
61.8%
Q1 - 5:43ATLMISS Johnson 8' Running Jump Shot16
39.8%
12
60.2%
Q1 - 6:07TORGraham Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)16
37.8%
12
62.2%
Q1 - 6:10TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
35.9%
12
64.1%
Q1 - 6:11ATLMISS Pachulia 4' Jump Shot14
35.3%
12
64.7%
Q1 - 6:22TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
33.9%
12
66.1%
Q1 - 6:22TORBosh Putback Layup (4 PTS)14
33.9%
12
66.1%
Q1 - 6:24TORMISS Bosh 8' Running Hook Shot12
30.8%
12
69.2%
Q1 - 6:44ATLJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
32.1%
12
67.9%
Q1 - 7:06TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
35.5%
9
64.5%
Q1 - 7:06TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
35.2%
9
64.8%
Q1 - 7:18TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
33.8%
9
66.2%
Q1 - 7:19ATLMISS Johnson 21' Fadeaway Jumper10
33.1%
9
66.9%
Q1 - 7:39TORGraham Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
31.7%
9
68.3%
Q1 - 7:43ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
33.8%
9
66.2%
Q1 - 7:48TORBosh 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
31.7%
9
68.3%
Q1 - 8:05ATLJohnson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)8
29.8%
9
70.2%
Q1 - 8:21TORMoon 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
31.6%
7
68.4%
Q1 - 8:39ATLBibby 5' Running Layup (7 PTS)6
29.8%
7
70.2%
Q1 - 8:44TORPachulia STEAL (1 STL)6
31.6%
5
68.4%
Q1 - 8:50ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
33.4%
5
66.6%
Q1 - 9:04TORBargnani 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)6
31.7%
5
68.3%
Q1 - 9:11TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.8%
5
70.2%
Q1 - 9:13ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot4
29.4%
5
70.6%
Q1 - 9:21ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.3%
5
71.7%
Q1 - 9:22TORMISS Graham 4' Jump Shot4
28.8%
5
71.2%
Q1 - 9:28TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
29.8%
5
70.2%
Q1 - 9:29TORMISS Bargnani 28' 3PT Jump Shot4
28.8%
5
71.2%
Q1 - 10:02ATLBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)4
29.8%
5
70.2%
Q1 - 10:20TORGraham 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)4
32.9%
2
67.1%
Q1 - 10:35TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 10:36ATLMISS Smith 5' Driving Layup2
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 10:51ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 10:53TORMISS Parker 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 11:17ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 11:36TORBargnani 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)2
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 11:46ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
30.9%
0
69.1%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Bosh: Tip to Bibby0
29.4%
0
70.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.91 45.7%
ATL
0.97 48.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
14
21
67%
ATL
16
28
57%
Midrange
TOR
19
45
42%
ATL
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
2
3.0
18
11%
17%
ATL
7
10.5
26
27%
40%
Free Throws
TOR
12
15
80%
ATL
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2258%11.0 / 19
A. Bargnani2045%10.0 / 22
A. Parker1250%6.0 / 12
J. Moon950%4.5 / 9
J. Kapono941%4.5 / 11
R. Ukic850%4.0 / 8
J. Graham429%2.0 / 7
J. Voskuhl0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2861%14.0 / 23
M. Bibby2372%11.5 / 16
J. Smith2250%11.0 / 22
R. Murray1243%6.0 / 14
M. Evans217%1.0 / 6
Z. Pachulia0-0.0 / 2
T. Gardner0-0.0 / 2
A. Law0-0.0 / 1
R. Morris0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
75
+15
-14
90
ATL
79
+10
-13
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.91 45.7%
ATL
0.97 48.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
109.2
TOR 94.4
ATL 94.6 +0.2
Pace
92.6
89.8
TOR 84.4
ATL 97.3 +12.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.9
TOR 17.1
ATL 14.8 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
50.4%
TOR 42.9%
ATL 46.2% +3.3%
TO %
13.8%
13.6%
TOR 13.4%
ATL 12.9% +0.5%
ORB %
24.1%
26.0%
TOR 26.1% +12.1%
ATL 14.0%
FTrt
27.9
32.3
TOR 17.9
ATL 25.3 +7.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
56.1%
TOR 57.1% +5.6%
ATL 51.5%
STL %
6.8%
8.2%
TOR 11.2% +4.7%
ATL 6.5%
BLK %
7.6%
7.4%
TOR 3.8% +0.8%
ATL 3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
53.2%
TOR 45.7%
ATL 48.3% +2.6%
Rim FG%
57.9%
60.5%
TOR 66.7% +9.6%
ATL 57.1%
Mid FG%
42.3%
40.2%
TOR 42.2% +2.2%
ATL 40.0%
3P %
37.2%
36.6%
TOR 11.1%
ATL 26.9% +15.8%
FT %
82.4%
73.8%
TOR 80.0% +10.0%
ATL 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.4%
32.2%
TOR 25.0%
ATL 35.4% +10.4%
Mid Att. %
52.3%
42.4%
TOR 53.6%
ATL 31.6% +21.9%
3P Att. %
19.3%
25.3%
TOR 21.4%
ATL 32.9% +11.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.06 and 2.06.
Game TotalsTORATL
Possessions8992
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points8487
Rebounds4940
Assists2017
Steals106
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (4)34 (3)
Field Goals35-8433-79
At-the-Rim FG14-2116-28
Midrange FG19-4510-25
2-Point FG33-6626-53
3-Point FG2-187-26
Free Throws12-1514-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 245 · 23
42.2
20
45%
10
0
0
0
1
3
3
7
4-5
80%
8-16
50%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 205 · 29
41.0
9
50%
5
2
4
0
1
5
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
G · 6'6" 210 · 34
40.7
12
50%
9
9
1
2
4
1
1
8
0-0
-
6-8
75%
0-4
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 25
39.0
22
58%
14
3
0
0
2
1
5
9
8-10
80%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 230 · 27
21.3
4
29%
2
0
2
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 190 · 24
24.7
8
50%
2
5
1
0
5
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 28
19.6
9
41%
3
1
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
11.6
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 31
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
F · 6'10" 280 · 22
#43 · F · 6'9" 235 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
46%
49
20
10
2
14
0
12
37
12-15
80%
33-66
50%
2-18
11%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.