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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 19, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Raptors34%9384
14Hawks66%9987
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.2
42.2
38.0
20
45%
10
0
0
1
0
1
3
7
4-5
80%
8-16
4-9
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.6
41.0
34.9
9
50%
5
2
4
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
52%
1-4
25%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.6
40.7
36.8
12
50%
9
9
1
1
2
4
1
8
0-0
-
6-8
4-8
75%
47%
0-4
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.8
39.0
37.0
22
60%
14
3
0
1
0
2
5
9
8-10
80%
7-14
7-14
50%
50%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.6
21.3
25.3
4
29%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
48%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.1
24.7
16.9
8
50%
2
5
1
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.0
19.6
15.2
9
41%
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
11.6
4.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.5
14.5
1
2-3
49%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.3
14.2
0
3-6
45%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
9.4
0
1-2
52%
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.3
2.7
0
0-1
48%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.6
45.2
38.8
28
59%
6
2
0
1
0
2
0
6
5-6
83%
7-15
6-13
47%
49%
3-6
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.1
43.5
35.6
22
51%
14
3
2
1
0
1
2
12
4-8
50%
9-18
6-11
50%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.7
43.3
35.6
23
70%
4
5
2
1
0
4
1
3
2-3
67%
6-8
4-8
75%
47%
3-7
43%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
32.8
22.4
2
17%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-4
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.9
10.5
26.6
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.5
34.3
24.7
12
42%
5
3
1
1
1
2
1
4
3-3
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
1-7
14%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
18.5
11.3
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 23.9
6.0
2.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-2
0%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.6
3.5
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.0
2.0
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.0
0.5
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.6
1.4
0
0-0
52%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.6
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.