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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 19, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Pistons67%9387
28Grizzlies33%8779
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.6
42.0
32.8
27
63%
5
2
2
1
0
4
1
4
5-8
63%
11-17
5-11
65%
48%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.7
39.2
35.6
14
58%
2
4
1
2
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
7-10
6-12
70%
47%
0-2
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.9
34.4
36.4
4
17%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-10
5-11
20%
49%
0-2
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.3
34.1
29.9
13
47%
8
2
3
1
0
0
1
7
4-4
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
1-5
20%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.9
32.8
35.6
14
58%
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
7-11
6-12
64%
49%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.4
25.2
22.8
8
84%
16
0
2
1
1
1
3
13
2-4
50%
3-3
3-6
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.9
19.0
12.3
7
62%
5
0
0
0
1
2
2
3
3-6
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.9
5.7
6.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
3.9
12.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.0
3.7
3.9
0
0%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.7
15.9
0
2-3
58%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
2.5
0
0-0
52%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.0
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
41.5
32.3
15
47%
8
1
1
1
1
4
1
7
0-0
-
6-14
5-10
43%
49%
1-2
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.0
38.3
33.5
12
52%
13
1
1
1
1
2
8
5
4-6
67%
4-9
5-9
44%
52%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.2
36.6
33.3
15
41%
5
3
1
1
0
3
1
4
4-5
80%
4-12
5-10
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.3
32.2
23.4
10
85%
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
17.1
10.1
8
40%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-9
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.5
32.5
30.4
12
43%
11
0
0
1
1
1
2
9
0-0
-
6-13
5-10
46%
52%
0-1
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.8
18.7
23.3
3
39%
1
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.1
13.0
12.1
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
7.8
13.2
2
25%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.3
2.3
18.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.7
5.5
0
0-1
44%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.7
1.7
0
0-0
49%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.6
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.