Final Win Prob. pScore
438%95
88
162%99
105
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo Cavaliers
97.89083.9
LAL logo Lakers
120.78793.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLELAL
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE88
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)88
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0LALMISS Yue 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0LALSUB: Yue FOR Bryant88
105
Q4 - 0:31.0LALLAKERS Rebound88
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0CLEMISS Pavlovic 21' Jump Shot88
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0LALGasol 9' Jump Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Bryant 12 AST)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09CLEHickson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09CLESUB: Williams FOR Williams87
103
Q4 - 1:09CLESUB: Kinsey FOR Varejao87
103
Q4 - 1:09CLESUB: D. Jackson FOR James87
103
Q4 - 1:09LALGasol S.FOUL (P1.PN)87
103
Q4 - 1:09CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09CLEHickson Putback Dunk (10 PTS)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09CLEMISS James 11' Jump Shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16CLEMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29LALAriza 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Fisher 5 AST)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38LALAriza Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (7 PTS)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38LALAriza Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (6 PTS)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38CLEPavlovic FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P4.PN)85
98
Q4 - 1:39CLEAriza STEAL (4 STL)85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56LALAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bryant 11 AST)85
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 2:13LALGasol REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)85
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 2:15LALMISS Fisher 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 2:29CLEWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)85
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 2:42LALGasol Dunk (20 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)85
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 2:56CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)85
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 2:56CLECavaliers Rebound84
93
Q4 - 2:56CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 284
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 2:56LALOdom S.FOUL (P5.PN)84
93
Q4 - 3:10LALFisher 23' Jump Shot (11 PTS)84
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 3:32LALLAKERS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)84
91
Q4 - 3:32CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)84
4.9%
91
95.1%
Q4 - 3:32CLEJames Tip Shot (22 PTS)84
4.9%
91
95.1%
Q4 - 3:34CLEMISS James Layup82
2.7%
91
97.3%
Q4 - 3:42CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)82
3.4%
91
96.6%
Q4 - 3:43LALMISS Odom 8' Jump Hook Shot82
3.0%
91
97.0%
Q4 - 4:04CLEWilliams 28' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)82
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 4:14CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)79
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 4:15LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot79
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 4:31CLEHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)79
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 4:31CLEHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)78
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 4:31LALAriza S.FOUL (P2.PN)77
91
Q4 - 4:39CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 4:40LALMISS Fisher Layup77
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 4:55LALAriza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)77
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 4:56CLEMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 5:04CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 5:06LALMISS Gasol 11' Jump Shot77
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 5:18LALSUB: Fisher FOR Vujacic77
91
Q4 - 5:18CLEVarejao P.FOUL (P3.T4)77
91
Q4 - 5:34CLEVarejao Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)77
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 5:39CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 5:40LALMISS Bryant 21' Jump Shot75
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 6:06CLEJames Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Pavlovic 3 AST)75
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 6:23CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)73
91
Q4 - 6:34LALBryant Driving Slam Dunk (20 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)73
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 6:38CLEAriza STEAL (3 STL)73
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 6:43LALBryant Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T15)73
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 6:59LALOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)73
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 7:00LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 7:18LALGasol REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)73
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 7:19CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 2 of 273
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 7:19CLECavaliers Rebound73
89
Q4 - 7:19CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 1 of 273
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 7:19LALSUB: Gasol FOR Bynum73
89
Q4 - 7:19CLESUB: Hickson FOR Szczerbiak73
89
Q4 - 7:19LALBynum S.FOUL (P5.T4)73
89
Q4 - 7:37LALAriza Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Bryant 10 AST)73
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 7:42CLEAriza STEAL (2 STL)73
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 7:48CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 7:49LALMISS Bryant Layup73
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 8:00LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 8:02CLEVujacic BLOCK (1 BLK)73
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 8:13LALBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)73
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 8:13LALLAKERS Rebound73
86
Q4 - 8:13LALMISS Bynum Free Throw 1 of 273
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 8:13CLEWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T3)73
86
Q4 - 8:31LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q4 - 8:32CLEMISS Pavlovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 8:49LALVujacic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)73
3.0%
86
97.0%
Q4 - 8:49LALVujacic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)73
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q4 - 8:49CLESUB: Varejao FOR Hickson73
84
Q4 - 8:4973
84
Q4 - 8:49CLEPavlovic S.FOUL (P3.T2)73
84
Q4 - 9:02CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)73
4.8%
84
95.2%
Q4 - 9:02CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR Gibson72
84
Q4 - 9:02CLECavaliers Rebound72
84
Q4 - 9:02CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 272
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q4 - 9:02LALBynum S.FOUL (P4.T3)72
84
Q4 - 9:17CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
4.7%
84
95.3%
Q4 - 9:19LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 172
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q4 - 9:19CLEJames S.FOUL (P1.T1)72
84
Q4 - 9:19LALBryant 13' Floating Jump Shot (18 PTS)72
84
Q4 - 9:27LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
5.9%
82
94.1%
Q4 - 9:29CLEMISS Szczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
6.4%
82
93.6%
Q4 - 9:50LALBryant 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS)72
7.3%
82
92.7%
Q4 - 10:06LALLAKERS Rebound72
80
Q4 - 10:06LALMISS Bryant Free Throw Technical72
10.2%
80
89.8%
Q4 - 10:06CLECavaliers T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Szczerbiak )72
80
Q4 - 10:16CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)72
10.2%
80
89.8%
Q4 - 10:16CLEWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)71
9.9%
80
90.1%
Q4 - 10:16LALOdom S.FOUL (P4.T2)70
80
Q4 - 10:16CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
8.2%
80
91.8%
Q4 - 10:16CLEBynum BLOCK (2 BLK)70
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q4 - 10:16CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
8.2%
80
91.8%
Q4 - 10:18CLEMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot70
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q4 - 10:20CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
8.2%
80
91.8%
Q4 - 10:27LALMISS Bryant Layup70
7.7%
80
92.3%
Q4 - 10:42CLEJames 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS)70
6.7%
80
93.3%
Q4 - 11:03LALBryant 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
6.1%
80
93.9%
Q4 - 11:20LALVujacic S.FOUL (P1.T1)68
77
Q4 - 11:20CLEHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
9.1%
77
90.9%
Q4 - 11:20CLEHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
8.6%
77
91.4%
Q4 - 11:20CLESUB: Gibson FOR Wright66
77
Q4 - 11:20CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)66
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q4 - 11:21CLEMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot66
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q4 - 11:44LALOdom Driving Layup (8 PTS)66
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q4 - 12:0066
75
Q3 - 0:00.0LAL66
9.1%
75
90.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0LALOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)66
10.0%
75
90.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0CLEMISS Pavlovic 3PT Jump Shot66
10.5%
75
89.5%
Q3 - 0:10.0CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
11.7%
75
88.3%
Q3 - 0:11.0LALMISS Vujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
11.1%
75
88.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0CLEVarejao Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)66
9.9%
75
90.1%
Q3 - 0:44.0LALVujacic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)64
8.0%
75
92.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
6.8%
75
93.2%
Q3 - 0:48.0LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
7.6%
75
92.4%
Q3 - 1:10LALGasol REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)64
7.2%
75
92.8%
Q3 - 1:12CLEMISS Gibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
7.6%
75
92.4%
Q3 - 1:31LALVujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)64
8.5%
75
91.5%
Q3 - 1:51CLEJames Driving Slam Dunk (15 PTS)64
12.3%
72
87.7%
Q3 - 2:13LALBryant Driving Layup (11 PTS)62
10.9%
72
89.1%
Q3 - 2:23LALGasol REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)62
12.9%
70
87.1%
Q3 - 2:24CLEMISS Varejao Layup62
13.5%
70
86.5%
Q3 - 2:33LALSUB: Ariza FOR Radmanovic62
70
Q3 - 2:33LALLAKERS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)62
70
Q3 - 2:33LALOdom P.FOUL (P3.T2)62
70
Q3 - 2:51LALGasol Layup (18 PTS) (Bryant 9 AST)62
15.1%
70
84.9%
Q3 - 2:59LALOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
17.6%
68
82.4%
Q3 - 3:00CLEMISS Szczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
18.5%
68
81.5%
Q3 - 3:20LALGasol 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS)62
21.1%
68
78.9%
Q3 - 3:36CLEJames Traveling Turnover (P4.T9)62
24.0%
66
76.0%
Q3 - 3:58CLESzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
27.7%
66
72.3%
Q3 - 3:59LALMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
26.5%
66
73.5%
Q3 - 4:19CLEGibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Szczerbiak 2 AST)62
24.1%
66
75.9%
Q3 - 4:42CLESUB: Gibson FOR Williams59
66
Q3 - 4:42CLESUB: Szczerbiak FOR Wallace59
66
Q3 - 4:42LALSUB: Vujacic FOR Fisher59
66
Q3 - 4:42LALSUB: Odom FOR Bynum59
66
Q3 - 4:42CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)59
66
Q3 - 4:42LALGasol 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bryant 8 AST)59
18.7%
66
81.3%
Q3 - 5:00CLEVarejao Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Pavlovic 2 AST)59
21.1%
64
78.9%
Q3 - 5:27LALFisher 22' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)57
19.1%
64
80.9%
Q3 - 5:52CLEPavlovic Layup (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)57
21.4%
62
78.6%
Q3 - 5:59CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
19.0%
62
81.0%
Q3 - 6:00CLEMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
17.1%
62
82.9%
Q3 - 6:09CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
19.4%
62
80.6%
Q3 - 6:11LALMISS Bryant 3PT Jump Shot55
18.6%
62
81.4%
Q3 - 6:20LALGasol REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)55
16.8%
62
83.2%
Q3 - 6:22CLEMISS James Layup55
17.6%
62
82.4%
Q3 - 6:44LALBryant 11' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)55
19.4%
62
80.6%
Q3 - 6:53LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
21.8%
60
78.2%
Q3 - 6:55CLEMISS Pavlovic 14' Jump Shot55
22.8%
60
77.2%
Q3 - 7:21LALGasol 7' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS)55
25.1%
60
74.9%
Q3 - 7:43CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)55
28.0%
58
72.0%
Q3 - 7:43CLECavaliers Rebound54
58
Q3 - 7:43CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 254
27.3%
58
72.7%
Q3 - 7:43LALBynum S.FOUL (P3.T1)54
58
Q3 - 7:55LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)54
28.1%
58
71.9%
Q3 - 8:00LALGasol REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)54
25.0%
58
75.0%
Q3 - 8:00CLEBynum BLOCK (1 BLK)54
25.9%
58
74.1%
Q3 - 8:22LALBryant Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)54
28.2%
58
71.8%
Q3 - 8:32LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
31.1%
56
68.9%
Q3 - 8:33CLEMISS Pavlovic 3PT Jump Shot54
32.1%
56
67.9%
Q3 - 8:41CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
34.7%
56
65.3%
Q3 - 8:44LALMISS Bryant 7' Hook Shot54
33.5%
56
66.5%
Q3 - 8:59CLEFisher STEAL (1 STL)54
31.1%
56
68.9%
Q3 - 9:18LALRadmanovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)54
34.5%
56
65.5%
Q3 - 9:33CLEWilliams Driving Layup (11 PTS)54
41.4%
53
58.6%
Q3 - 9:42LALBynum Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T12)52
38.0%
53
62.0%
Q3 - 9:53CLERadmanovic STEAL (1 STL)52
34.5%
53
65.5%
Q3 - 10:19LALBynum 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Fisher 4 AST)52
37.7%
53
62.3%
Q3 - 10:36LALGasol REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)52
41.1%
51
58.9%
Q3 - 10:37CLEMISS James 20' Jump Shot52
42.2%
51
57.8%
Q3 - 11:03LALFisher Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Bryant 7 AST)52
44.4%
51
55.6%
Q3 - 11:11LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
47.6%
49
52.4%
Q3 - 11:12CLEMISS James 22' Jump Shot52
48.7%
49
51.3%
Q3 - 11:18CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
51.3%
49
48.7%
Q3 - 11:19LALMISS Bryant 3PT Jump Shot52
50.2%
49
49.8%
Q3 - 11:24LALFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
47.6%
49
52.4%
Q3 - 11:27LALMISS Bryant 17' Jump Shot52
50.2%
49
49.8%
Q3 - 11:45CLEJames 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Varejao 2 AST)52
47.6%
49
52.4%
Q3 - 12:0050
49
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE50
44.4%
49
55.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0LALBryant 16' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
43.7%
49
56.3%
Q2 - 0:11.0LALSUB: Vujacic FOR Odom50
47
Q2 - 0:11.0CLEWilliams Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)50
47.9%
47
52.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0LALOdom Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)50
50.4%
47
49.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
47.8%
47
52.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0CLECavaliers Rebound49
47
Q2 - 0:46.0CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 249
47.1%
47
52.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0LALOdom S.FOUL (P2.PN)49
47
Q2 - 0:48.0LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)49
47.1%
47
52.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0LALOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)49
44.5%
47
55.5%
Q2 - 0:55.0CLEOdom BLOCK (3 BLK)49
45.3%
47
54.7%
Q2 - 1:03LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)49
46.7%
47
53.3%
Q2 - 1:15CLEWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)49
44.3%
47
55.7%
Q2 - 1:15LALSUB: Radmanovic FOR Ariza48
47
Q2 - 1:15CLECavaliers Rebound48
47
Q2 - 1:15CLEMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 248
42.7%
47
57.3%
Q2 - 1:15CLESUB: Williams FOR Pavlovic48
47
Q2 - 1:15LALFisher S.FOUL (P2.PN)48
47
Q2 - 1:39LALOdom Layup (6 PTS) (Bryant 6 AST)48
43.5%
47
56.5%
Q2 - 1:43LALOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
47.6%
45
52.4%
Q2 - 1:48CLEMISS Gibson 15' Jump Shot48
48.3%
45
51.7%
Q2 - 2:05CLESzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
49.8%
45
50.2%
Q2 - 2:06LALMISS Bryant 19' Jump Shot48
48.8%
45
51.2%
Q2 - 2:16CLEGibson P.FOUL (P1.T4)48
45
Q2 - 2:17LALOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
46.5%
45
53.5%
Q2 - 2:18LALMISS Fisher 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
48.8%
45
51.2%
Q2 - 2:35CLEGibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)48
46.6%
45
53.4%
Q2 - 2:41CLESUB: Szczerbiak FOR Varejao45
45
Q2 - 2:41CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)45
45
Q2 - 2:41LALFisher P.FOUL (P1.T4)45
45
Q2 - 2:50LALGasol 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bryant 5 AST)45
40.3%
45
59.7%
Q2 - 3:02CLEJames 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
42.9%
43
57.1%
Q2 - 3:20LALOdom Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST)43
40.3%
43
59.7%
Q2 - 3:31CLEWallace Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)43
42.9%
41
57.1%
Q2 - 3:47CLESUB: Wallace FOR Szczerbiak41
41
Q2 - 3:47LALAriza P.FOUL (P1.T3)41
41
Q2 - 3:50LALGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)41
40.3%
41
59.7%
Q2 - 3:51LALGasol REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)41
36.9%
41
63.1%
Q2 - 3:53LALMISS Fisher 3PT Jump Shot41
39.3%
41
60.7%
Q2 - 3:59LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
36.9%
41
63.1%
Q2 - 4:00CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
37.9%
41
62.1%
Q2 - 4:08CLESzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
39.9%
41
60.1%
Q2 - 4:10LALMISS Bryant 21' Jump Shot41
38.9%
41
61.1%
Q2 - 4:26CLEJames Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T5)41
36.8%
41
63.2%
Q2 - 4:26LALSUB: Gasol FOR Bynum41
41
Q2 - 4:26CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
39.9%
41
60.1%
Q2 - 4:27CLEOdom BLOCK (2 BLK)41
37.7%
41
62.3%
Q2 - 4:43CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
39.9%
41
60.1%
Q2 - 4:45LALMISS Bynum Free Throw 2 of 241
39.5%
41
60.5%
Q2 - 4:45LALLAKERS Rebound41
41
Q2 - 4:45LALMISS Bynum Free Throw 1 of 241
37.8%
41
62.2%
Q2 - 4:45CLEVarejao S.FOUL (P2.T3)41
41
Q2 - 4:59CLEPavlovic 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)41
36.8%
41
63.2%
Q2 - 5:15LALBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)38
31.6%
41
68.4%
Q2 - 5:15LALLAKERS Rebound38
40
Q2 - 5:15LALMISS Bynum Free Throw 1 of 238
32.3%
40
67.7%
Q2 - 5:15CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR Williams38
40
Q2 - 5:15LALSUB: Bryant FOR Vujacic38
40
Q2 - 5:15LALLAKERS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)38
40
Q2 - 5:15CLEVarejao S.FOUL (P1.T2)38
40
Q2 - 5:20LALOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
31.7%
40
68.3%
Q2 - 5:21CLEMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
32.4%
40
67.6%
Q2 - 5:28CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
34.2%
40
65.8%
Q2 - 5:30LALAriza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)38
31.6%
40
68.4%
Q2 - 5:30LALMISS Ariza Tip Shot38
33.4%
40
66.6%
Q2 - 5:31LALMISS Odom Layup38
33.4%
40
66.6%
Q2 - 5:38LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
31.6%
40
68.4%
Q2 - 5:39CLEMISS James Layup38
32.4%
40
67.6%
Q2 - 5:49LALFisher 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)38
34.2%
40
65.8%
Q2 - 6:03CLESzczerbiak 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 1 AST)38
39.3%
37
60.7%
Q2 - 6:23LALMISS Bynum 2' Layup36
36.1%
37
63.9%
Q2 - 6:23LALOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
37.1%
37
62.9%
Q2 - 6:23LALOdom Foul Turnover (P2.T7)36
37.1%
37
62.9%
Q2 - 6:23LALOdom OFF.Foul (P1)36
37
Q2 - 6:37CLESzczerbiak 16' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)36
34.0%
37
66.0%
Q2 - 6:53CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
31.9%
37
68.1%
Q2 - 6:56LALMISS Odom Layup34
31.0%
37
69.0%
Q2 - 7:04CLESzczerbiak P.FOUL (P1.T1)34
37
Q2 - 7:10CLESzczerbiak 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)34
29.2%
37
70.8%
Q2 - 7:19LALJump Ball Fisher vs. Szczerbiak: Tip to Varejao31
37
Q2 - 7:19CLESUB: James FOR Hickson31
37
Q2 - 7:19CLESUB: Varejao FOR Wright31
37
Q2 - 7:36LALBynum 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)31
24.8%
37
75.2%
Q2 - 7:38LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
26.9%
35
73.1%
Q2 - 7:41LALMISS Fisher Reverse Layup31
28.5%
35
71.5%
Q2 - 7:48LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
26.8%
35
73.2%
Q2 - 7:50CLEMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot31
27.6%
35
72.4%
Q2 - 8:09LALOdom Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Vujacic 2 AST)31
29.3%
35
70.7%
Q2 - 8:14LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
31.7%
33
68.3%
Q2 - 8:16CLEOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)31
32.4%
33
67.6%
Q2 - 8:23CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
34.0%
33
66.0%
Q2 - 8:27LALMISS Odom 5' Hook Shot31
33.3%
33
66.7%
Q2 - 8:3831
33
Q2 - 8:38LALLAKERS Rebound31
31.7%
33
68.3%
Q2 - 8:39CLEMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot31
32.4%
33
67.6%
Q2 - 8:55LALBynum 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Vujacic 1 AST)31
34.0%
33
66.0%
Q2 - 9:09CLEWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)31
36.3%
31
63.7%
Q2 - 9:13LALBynum P.FOUL (P2.T2)28
31
Q2 - 9:24LALAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
31.5%
31
68.5%
Q2 - 9:50CLEHickson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)28
29.2%
31
70.8%
Q2 - 9:59CLESzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
27.1%
31
72.9%
Q2 - 10:00LALMISS Odom 3PT Jump Shot26
26.4%
31
73.6%
Q2 - 10:06LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
25.2%
31
74.8%
Q2 - 10:11CLEMISS Hickson Layup26
25.8%
31
74.2%
Q2 - 10:30LALVujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)26
27.3%
31
72.7%
Q2 - 10:45LALAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
31.6%
28
68.4%
Q2 - 10:48LALAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
31.6%
28
68.4%
Q2 - 10:48LALMISS Ariza Tip Shot26
33.2%
28
66.8%
Q2 - 10:51LALMISS Bynum 7' Hook Shot26
33.2%
28
66.8%
Q2 - 11:04CLEAriza STEAL (1 STL)26
31.7%
28
68.3%
Q2 - 11:07CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
34.0%
28
66.0%
Q2 - 11:08CLEMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot26
32.4%
28
67.6%
Q2 - 11:24LALBynum 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Fisher 3 AST)26
34.0%
28
66.0%
Q2 - 11:41CLEWilliams 9' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
36.3%
26
63.7%
Q2 - 11:47LALBynum P.FOUL (P1.T1)24
26
Q2 - 12:0024
26
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE24
34.0%
26
66.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound24
34.0%
26
66.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Gibson 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
32.4%
26
67.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0LALVujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)24
33.5%
26
66.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0CLEOdom STEAL (1 STL)24
38.6%
23
61.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0LALGasol 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
40.4%
23
59.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
43.4%
21
56.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0LALMISS Vujacic 18' Jump Shot24
44.7%
21
55.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0CLEBryant STEAL (1 STL)24
43.4%
21
56.6%
Q1 - 1:01LALVujacic 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)24
44.8%
21
55.2%
Q1 - 1:05LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
50.2%
18
49.8%
Q1 - 1:07LALMISS Vujacic Layup24
51.3%
18
48.7%
Q1 - 1:12CLEVujacic STEAL (1 STL)24
50.2%
18
49.8%
Q1 - 1:22CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
51.8%
18
48.2%
Q1 - 1:23LALMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
51.4%
18
48.6%
Q1 - 1:34LALGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)24
50.2%
18
49.8%
Q1 - 1:35LALMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 224
51.6%
18
48.4%
Q1 - 1:35LALLAKERS Rebound24
18
Q1 - 1:35LALMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 224
50.0%
18
50.0%
Q1 - 1:35CLEWright S.FOUL (P1.PN)24
18
Q1 - 1:49CLEHickson Layup (2 PTS)24
50.2%
18
49.8%
Q1 - 1:51CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
47.1%
18
52.9%
Q1 - 1:53CLEMISS James Layup22
46.0%
18
54.0%
Q1 - 2:02LALOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
47.0%
18
53.0%
Q1 - 2:14CLEJames 20' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)22
45.1%
18
54.9%
Q1 - 2:38LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)20
42.4%
18
57.6%
Q1 - 2:38CLESUB: Szczerbiak FOR Pavlovic20
17
Q1 - 2:38CLESUB: Wright FOR Varejao20
17
Q1 - 2:38LALSUB: Vujacic FOR Fisher20
17
Q1 - 2:38LALSUB: Ariza FOR Bynum20
17
Q1 - 2:38LALSUB: Odom FOR Radmanovic20
17
Q1 - 2:38CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)20
17
Q1 - 2:38CLEPavlovic S.FOUL (P2.T4)20
17
Q1 - 2:38LALBryant 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
17
Q1 - 2:51CLEPavlovic 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)20
47.4%
15
52.6%
Q1 - 3:09LALBynum 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)18
44.7%
15
55.3%
Q1 - 3:28LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
47.0%
13
53.0%
Q1 - 3:30CLEMISS James 21' Jump Shot18
47.7%
13
52.3%
Q1 - 3:57LALGasol 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)18
49.3%
13
50.7%
Q1 - 4:10CLESUB: Gibson FOR Williams18
11
Q1 - 4:10CLESUB: Hickson FOR Wallace18
11
Q1 - 4:10LALLAKERS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 1)18
11
Q1 - 4:10CLEWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T3)18
11
Q1 - 4:12LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
49.8%
11
50.2%
Q1 - 4:14CLEMISS James Layup18
50.4%
11
49.6%
Q1 - 4:25LALFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)18
51.9%
11
48.1%
Q1 - 4:38CLEPavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)18
49.7%
11
50.3%
Q1 - 4:49LALRadmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)15
45.7%
11
54.3%
Q1 - 5:06CLEJames 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)15
49.0%
8
51.0%
Q1 - 5:21CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
47.2%
8
52.8%
Q1 - 5:22LALMISS Fisher 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
46.6%
8
53.4%
Q1 - 5:33CLEPavlovic Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
45.0%
8
55.0%
Q1 - 5:57LALGasol Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Radmanovic 1 AST)11
43.3%
8
56.7%
Q1 - 6:06CLEJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
44.5%
6
55.5%
Q1 - 6:14CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)8
41.0%
6
59.0%
Q1 - 6:17LALMISS Radmanovic 3PT Jump Shot8
40.4%
6
59.6%
Q1 - 6:24CLEWallace P.FOUL (P1.T2)8
6
Q1 - 6:32LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
39.2%
6
60.8%
Q1 - 6:33CLEMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot8
39.7%
6
60.3%
Q1 - 6:51LALBynum Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)8
40.9%
6
59.1%
Q1 - 6:58CLEPavlovic P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
4
Q1 - 7:08CLEWilliams 18' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
42.2%
4
57.8%
Q1 - 7:31LALFisher 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)6
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 7:37LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)6
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 7:38LALMISS Gasol Layup6
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 7:40LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 7:42LALMISS Bynum 8' Jump Shot6
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 7:54LALLAKERS Rebound6
41.9%
2
58.1%
Q1 - 7:54CLEBryant BLOCK (1 BLK)6
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 8:00CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 8:01LALMISS Bryant 14' Jump Shot6
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 8:10LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
41.7%
2
58.3%
Q1 - 8:12CLEMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot6
42.1%
2
57.9%
Q1 - 8:24LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
43.0%
2
57.0%
Q1 - 8:32LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
41.5%
2
58.5%
Q1 - 8:33CLEMISS Varejao 19' Jump Shot6
41.9%
2
58.1%
Q1 - 8:48LALBryant P.FOUL (P1.T1)6
2
Q1 - 9:05LALGasol Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
42.2%
2
57.8%
Q1 - 9:19CLEVarejao 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 9:28CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)4
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 9:30CLEMISS Varejao 17' Jump Shot4
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 9:40CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)4
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 9:42CLEMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot4
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 9:53LALBynum Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T1)4
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 10:01LALLAKERS Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 1)4
2
Q1 - 10:05CLEWilliams 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)4
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 10:11CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)2
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 10:13CLEMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
37.0%
2
63.0%
Q1 - 10:18CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 10:19CLEMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot2
37.1%
2
62.9%
Q1 - 10:33CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 10:34CLEMISS Varejao Layup2
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 10:50CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 10:51LALMISS Bynum Layup2
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 11:08CLEVarejao 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)2
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 11:38LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 11:38LALGasol Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)0
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 11:40LALMISS Fisher 19' Jump Shot0
37.9%
0
62.1%
Q1 - 12:00LALJump Ball Bynum vs. Wallace: Tip to Fisher0
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventCLELAL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.95 47.3%
LAL
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
12
24
50%
LAL
14
27
52%
Midrange
CLE
14
33
42%
LAL
20
33
61%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
LAL
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
Free Throws
CLE
12
19
63%
LAL
7
15
47%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2340%11.5 / 29
M. Williams1647%8.0 / 17
S. Pavlovic1250%6.0 / 12
J. Hickson1179%5.5 / 7
A. Varejao1045%5.0 / 11
W. Szczerbiak770%3.5 / 5
D. Gibson660%3.0 / 5
B. Wallace375%1.5 / 2
L. Wright0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Gasol2279%11.0 / 14
K. Bryant2045%10.0 / 22
A. Bynum1454%7.0 / 13
S. Vujacic1488%7.0 / 8
D. Fisher1146%5.5 / 12
T. Ariza10100%5.0 / 5
L. Odom840%4.0 / 10
V. Radmanovic675%3.0 / 4
S. Sun0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
77
+16
-13
93
LAL
72
+17
-15
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.95 47.3%
LAL
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.0
112.4
CLE 97.8
LAL 120.7 +22.9
Pace
89.1
94.7
CLE 83.9
LAL 93.8 +9.8
Avg. Poss. Time
17.2
15.1
CLE 17.2
LAL 15.4 −1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.9%
51.3%
CLE 47.5%
LAL 58.3% +10.8%
TO %
13.4%
13.8%
CLE 12.8% −1.4%
LAL 14.2%
ORB %
27.8%
29.3%
CLE 34.9%
LAL 39.5% +4.6%
FTrt
31.2
29.9
CLE 23.8 +5.9
LAL 17.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
57.7%
CLE 55.9%
LAL 61.4% +5.5%
STL %
8.1%
9.2%
CLE 10.0%
LAL 10.3% +0.3%
BLK %
8.7%
8.2%
CLE 13.3% +1.0%
LAL 12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.3%
54.2%
CLE 47.3%
LAL 58.3% +11.0%
Rim FG%
62.0%
61.0%
CLE 50.0%
LAL 51.9% +1.9%
Mid FG%
40.8%
41.8%
CLE 42.4%
LAL 60.6% +18.2%
3P %
39.3%
36.1%
CLE 34.8%
LAL 41.7% +6.9%
FT %
75.7%
77.1%
CLE 63.2% +16.5%
LAL 46.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
35.5%
CLE 30.0%
LAL 32.1% +2.1%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
42.8%
CLE 41.3%
LAL 39.3% −2.0%
3P Att. %
25.9%
21.7%
CLE 28.7% +0.2%
LAL 28.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCLELAL
Possessions9087
Possession Minutes25.722.3
Points88105
Rebounds4145
Assists1927
Steals99
Blocks87
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (1)17 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)28 (3)
Field Goals34-8044-84
At-the-Rim FG12-2414-27
Midrange FG14-3320-33
2-Point FG26-5734-60
3-Point FG8-2310-24
Free Throws12-197-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
42.2
23
40%
9
4
4
1
6
1
2
7
4-8
50%
8-20
40%
1-5
20%
G · 6'7" 235 · 25
34.4
12
50%
0
3
1
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-6
33%
G · 6'1" 198 · 26
34.0
16
47%
6
5
0
0
5
2
2
4
2-2
100%
4-11
36%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 260 · 26
33.7
10
45%
12
2
1
3
1
3
3
9
0-2
0%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 34
18.9
3
75%
6
1
1
1
0
1
5
1
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 23
23.2
6
60%
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32
22.9
7
70%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20
19.4
11
79%
4
0
1
2
0
0
3
1
5-5
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33
8.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 253 · 23
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 189 · 25
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 26
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#20 · G · 6'3" 205 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · C · 7'3" 260 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G · 6'3" 180 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
47%
41
19
9
8
13
0
15
26
12-19
63%
26-57
46%
8-23
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.