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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Heat39%96103
17Pacers61%100114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.0
35.5
32.7
24
58%
7
3
1
2
2
4
2
5
4-8
50%
10-14
8-16
71%
51%
0-3
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.4
26.0
18.7
3
30%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
12.9
29.9
9
92%
0
5
0
2
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
8.9
32.1
2
25%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
50%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
7.8
14.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.8
34.5
28.3
11
44%
1
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
41%
2-9
22%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.3
27.9
15.5
6
77%
3
5
1
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
42%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.3
27.0
13.3
13
70%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
41%
2-5
40%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.2
23.8
8.5
17
66%
8
2
0
0
1
2
2
6
1-2
50%
5-9
1-2
56%
47%
2-3
67%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.1
23.4
20.0
11
51%
11
1
0
1
0
1
1
10
1-2
50%
2-8
4-9
25%
48%
2-2
100%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.5
12.1
19.1
5
56%
4
0
0
0
2
1
2
2
1-1
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.2
3.0
0
0-1
47%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.7
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.4
35.9
26.3
30
71%
6
5
2
1
0
0
2
4
6-7
86%
6-10
3-7
60%
49%
4-8
50%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.8
33.8
32.4
19
49%
5
4
2
1
2
0
1
4
5-5
100%
4-10
6-12
40%
48%
2-7
29%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
33.4
31.7
15
76%
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
48%
3-6
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.7
31.3
31.1
19
80%
12
4
1
1
0
1
2
10
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
5-6
83%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
14.5
23.7
0
0%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.9
22.8
29.1
12
50%
3
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
6-7
86%
3-9
5-11
33%
47%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.7
19.0
6.4
12
69%
7
1
2
0
0
1
3
4
4-6
67%
4-6
1-1
67%
54%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.1
17.2
22.6
0
0%
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
4-7
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.9
16.2
9.0
5
50%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
9.2
13.9
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
4.2
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.7
2.6
17.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.9
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.9
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.