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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Wizards27%9094
1576ers73%98104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.9
42.0
38.5
20
59%
3
5
2
2
0
2
1
2
9-9
100%
4-11
6-12
36%
48%
1-2
50%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.6
39.9
37.9
25
55%
15
0
1
1
0
1
3
12
2-4
50%
10-16
6-13
63%
48%
1-5
20%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
33.6
27.9
16
63%
5
3
1
1
1
1
1
4
4-4
100%
6-11
2-4
55%
43%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.0
32.1
22.2
10
56%
1
2
0
1
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.6
15.7
31.3
2
25%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
42%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.8
23.4
7.5
1
7%
3
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
0-4
0%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.1
20.2
10.5
15
66%
4
7
2
0
0
1
2
2
1-3
33%
7-10
1-3
70%
44%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.0
13.5
15.2
2
53%
6
0
0
0
2
1
3
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.7
10.3
17.3
2
20%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.3
8.8
12.3
1
27%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-1
0%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.1
0.4
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.4
18.9
1
3-7
49%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.1
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.2
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.6
42.4
32.4
18
45%
9
1
2
1
0
3
3
6
2-2
100%
5-12
5-9
42%
56%
2-7
29%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.0
38.4
36.7
20
60%
4
4
2
2
0
0
0
4
1-4
25%
8-12
6-11
67%
53%
1-3
33%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.9
34.1
35.6
6
100%
6
9
1
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-3
6-11
100%
52%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.5
23.8
19.9
20
67%
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
7-10
3-6
70%
49%
2-5
40%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
13.9
28.2
0
0%
2
0
0
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.3
28.7
26.5
14
60%
2
7
1
1
2
4
1
1
2-4
50%
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
2-5
40%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.9
26.3
22.3
9
77%
3
0
0
1
4
0
0
3
1-2
50%
4-5
4-8
80%
52%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.5
12.8
14.4
8
69%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.7
10.1
10.1
3
54%
7
1
0
0
0
3
2
5
1-4
25%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.1
9.6
12.8
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.8
3.2
0
0-0
49%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
1.9
0
0-0
44%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.9
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.