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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Nets37%9588
16Hawks63%100105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.0
37.1
33.8
18
48%
4
5
2
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-9
5-10
22%
47%
4-9
44%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.9
37.0
35.6
20
51%
5
6
0
1
0
4
1
4
10-15
67%
5-10
6-12
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.7
30.8
17.5
17
110%
5
1
0
1
0
3
4
1
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
3-3
100%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.8
25.3
31.8
15
56%
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
3-3
100%
6-12
5-11
50%
50%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.7
22.4
28.7
2
25%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.5
27.2
21.8
2
13%
7
0
2
1
1
3
1
6
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
46%
0-2
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.2
22.7
14.3
10
67%
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
3
0-1
0%
5-7
2-3
71%
54%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.7
21.9
26.2
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
11.5
13.9
4
43%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
2-6
33%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 25.0
2.3
2.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.1
1.8
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.9
6.0
0
0-1
47%
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.3
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.6
43.2
39.3
29
72%
4
5
1
1
0
4
0
4
5-7
71%
9-12
6-12
75%
49%
2-5
40%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.6
35.7
36.2
16
59%
11
1
1
1
0
2
2
9
5-6
83%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
1-4
25%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.7
35.1
32.5
20
61%
4
2
4
1
0
4
1
3
3-3
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
3-8
38%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.0
26.8
23.6
7
99%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
7-8
88%
0-0
2-5
-
49%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.2
26.1
37.0
4
33%
5
6
0
1
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
7-13
33%
52%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.5
30.8
26.2
23
81%
5
3
3
1
0
1
1
4
4-5
80%
8-9
3-7
89%
48%
1-3
33%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
17.6
12.1
4
69%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
58%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.0
12.8
5.6
2
25%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
47%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
8.7
18.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.6
1.9
2.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.7
1.2
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.1
1.7
0
0-0
51%
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.0
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.