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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Thunder22%9590
12Jazz78%105110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.2
38.7
29.1
20
59%
8
3
1
1
0
4
5
3
6-7
86%
7-11
4-10
64%
44%
0-3
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.3
37.5
40.5
29
62%
10
4
0
1
0
5
3
7
9-10
90%
10-17
7-15
59%
48%
0-2
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
36.7
33.4
11
38%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
1-3
33%
5-12
4-9
42%
46%
0-1
0%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 22.9
23.9
18.3
5
42%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.3
22.6
25.9
8
75%
9
0
0
1
0
2
4
5
2-3
67%
3-4
3-5
75%
52%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.5
27.0
20.2
6
38%
4
0
0
0
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.6
23.5
28.1
7
90%
2
4
0
1
0
5
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.5
18.3
7.7
2
33%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
8.6
14.8
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.2
3.2
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.1
6.0
0
1-1
41%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
1.5
0
0-0
47%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.5
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.4
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.0
38.9
34.5
16
63%
9
7
0
1
1
0
3
6
4-6
67%
6-10
7-12
60%
56%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
35.1
37.7
24
81%
2
12
4
1
0
6
0
2
3-4
75%
6-7
6-11
86%
52%
3-6
50%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.9
34.5
32.0
15
55%
4
1
4
2
1
1
1
3
5-8
63%
5-9
5-9
56%
56%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.7
33.1
34.8
20
55%
7
2
0
1
0
1
2
5
3-5
60%
7-14
5-10
50%
51%
1-2
50%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
23.1
28.4
15
75%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-9
4-7
67%
53%
1-1
100%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.9
25.8
20.6
8
40%
1
4
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
2-7
29%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.7
16.4
15.2
6
38%
4
1
2
1
2
1
3
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
50%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.1
15.1
8.0
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
56%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.2
10.3
9.1
0
0%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.9
2.6
9.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
54%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.6
2.6
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.2
2.5
3.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.0
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.