for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Bulls54%102109
25Kings46%10188
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.9
34.6
24.8
17
64%
6
1
0
1
3
0
3
3
1-5
20%
8-11
3-5
73%
53%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.8
34.5
35.8
20
63%
7
0
2
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
9-15
6-12
60%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.8
31.9
33.4
20
54%
1
0
2
1
1
3
0
1
5-6
83%
6-15
4-9
40%
49%
1-1
100%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
30.5
27.7
14
55%
10
3
3
1
2
0
3
7
2-6
33%
6-10
4-8
60%
47%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.3
29.7
33.1
4
33%
3
11
2
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
7-13
33%
50%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.7
22.7
15.8
4
50%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.1
21.6
27.4
11
71%
1
7
2
1
0
2
1
0
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.2
14.4
20.8
10
56%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
2-6
33%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.1
12.8
11.6
4
69%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
2-2
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.2
3.6
3.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
3.6
3.0
5
87%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.0
6.2
0
1-2
44%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.4
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.1
41.8
36.3
16
54%
6
1
2
1
1
3
0
6
1-2
50%
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
1-5
20%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.5
40.5
30.2
15
62%
12
1
1
1
1
2
6
6
5-7
71%
5-9
5-9
56%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.0
36.1
37.7
27
59%
3
3
1
1
1
2
0
3
8-9
89%
5-14
5-10
36%
49%
3-5
60%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
25.3
27.4
4
33%
3
2
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.8
22.7
26.8
9
63%
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
5-5
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
23.9
22.6
5
43%
2
0
1
1
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.8
21.1
19.2
8
46%
9
3
1
0
0
1
5
4
4-4
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
48%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.4
12.8
16.8
2
14%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-3
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
4.7
4.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.2
4.6
4.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.9
3.6
5.2
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.9
2.9
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.