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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 6, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Hawks51%92102
25Bobcats49%9197
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.6
40.4
37.2
29
61%
7
1
0
1
2
2
2
5
18-20
90%
4-12
4-8
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.7
36.9
35.5
15
52%
4
4
0
1
0
4
0
4
3-3
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.2
35.9
36.6
9
28%
3
2
1
1
5
1
0
3
3-7
43%
3-12
6-12
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
31.1
19.6
17
85%
5
1
0
1
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
5-6
83%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
29.8
25.9
5
43%
4
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.0
25.0
23.1
10
43%
8
1
2
1
0
2
4
4
2-4
50%
4-10
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.5
23.5
28.0
13
69%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
47%
2-4
50%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.0
12.1
10.2
2
114%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
5.3
9.4
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.6
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.1
1.0
0
0-0
46%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.7
1.0
0
0-0
45%
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.0
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.8
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.6
41.9
39.4
15
40%
8
8
4
1
1
4
1
7
4-4
100%
4-13
4-9
31%
45%
1-4
25%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.4
39.7
28.3
15
53%
19
2
0
1
1
3
6
13
3-7
43%
6-11
5-8
55%
55%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.8
36.3
34.4
16
75%
3
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
6-6
100%
5-7
5-9
71%
52%
0-1
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.4
29.8
38.3
17
64%
6
4
0
1
0
1
1
5
5-5
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.6
18.3
17.9
4
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
41%
0-3
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.0
29.2
13.8
6
60%
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
47%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
19.5
8.6
11
63%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
2-5
40%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.2
16.2
17.7
8
45%
2
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
2-2
100%
0-4
1-3
0%
43%
2-4
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.2
9.1
12.4
5
83%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.8
7.1
0
1-2
48%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.4
5.1
0
1-2
49%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.8
2.3
0
0-1
52%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.0
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.