Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, February 6, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Bobcats | 49% | 91 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Magic | 59% | 103 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 66% | 102 | 110 |
 | 20 | Knicks | 34% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Raptors | 36% | 90 | 92 |
| 13 | Hornets | 64% | 95 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Thunder | 34% | 93 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, February 5, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 43% | 98 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Lakers | 31% | 94 | 110 |
| 1 | Celtics | 69% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Mavericks | 40% | 98 | 87 |
| 10 | Jazz | 60% | 101 | 115 |
Wednesday, February 4, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Clippers | 13% | 89 | 96 |
| 4 | Magic | 87% | 103 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 66% | 103 | 115 |
| 17 | Raptors | 34% | 97 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 47% | 96 | 115 | |
| 26 | Wizards | 53% | 97 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Heat | 36% | 86 | 90 |
 | 12 | Pistons | 64% | 91 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 21 | Knicks | 39% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 29 | Grizzlies | 29% | 89 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 51% | 98 | 94 |
 | 22 | Timberwolves | 49% | 97 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Bulls | 27% | 89 | 107 |
| 10 | Hornets | 73% | 97 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 66% | 102 | 114 |
| 27 | Thunder | 34% | 97 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 94 | 99 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 61% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 52% | 107 | 112 |
| 18 | Warriors | 48% | 106 | 124 |
Tuesday, February 3, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 23% | 88 | 83 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 77% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 34% | 101 | 116 |
| 14 | Pacers | 66% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 59% | 93 | 100 |
| 15 | 76ers | 41% | 90 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bucks | 45% | 96 | 85 |
| 22 | Nets | 55% | 98 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 28% | 91 | 100 |
| 6 | Rockets | 72% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 5 | Nuggets | 68% | 98 | 104 |
Monday, February 2, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 31% | 95 | 105 |
| 1 | Magic | 69% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 38% | 92 | 113 |
| 26 | Wizards | 62% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Clippers | 27% | 89 | 95 |
| 17 | Heat | 73% | 97 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 64% | 108 | 126 |
| 20 | Knicks | 36% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 89 | 97 |
| 10 | Hornets | 61% | 93 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 15% | 99 | 81 |
| 8 | Suns | 85% | 112 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 32% | 90 | 86 |
| 15 | Jazz | 68% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 60% | 102 | 110 |
| 18 | Warriors | 40% | 99 | 105 |
Sunday, February 1, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 19% | 90 | 101 |
| 4 | Celtics | 81% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic | 61% | 99 | 113 |
| 13 | Raptors | 39% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 54% | 90 | 90 |
| 12 | Pistons | 46% | 88 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Thunder | 47% | 102 | 118 |
| 28 | Kings | 53% | 103 | 122 |
Saturday, January 31, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 40% | 104 | 122 |
| 16 | Pacers | 60% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 32% | 93 | 85 | |
| 14 | 76ers | 68% | 99 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 60% | 97 | 111 |
| 23 | Heat | 40% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 78% | 103 | 115 |
| 30 | Grizzlies | 22% | 93 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Clippers | 38% | 93 | 94 |
| 25 | Wizards | 62% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 22% | 96 | 93 |
| 6 | Rockets | 78% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 49% | 95 | 107 |
| 22 | Bucks | 51% | 96 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | 33% | 87 | 93 | |
| 5 | Spurs | 67% | 93 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 25% | 96 | 122 |
| 8 | Suns | 75% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 36% | 95 | 108 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 64% | 99 | 122 |
Friday, January 30, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 60% | 90 | 86 |
| 13 | Pistons | 40% | 86 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 38% | 96 | 103 |
| 17 | Pacers | 62% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 27% | 90 | 94 |
| 15 | 76ers | 73% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 33% | 92 | 96 |
| 14 | Raptors | 67% | 98 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 37% | 95 | 88 | |
| 16 | Hawks | 63% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Clippers | 13% | 84 | 95 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 87% | 99 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 69% | 106 | 132 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 31% | 99 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bobcats | 21% | 88 | 99 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 79% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Thunder | 22% | 95 | 90 |
| 12 | Jazz | 78% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 26% | 96 | 91 |
| 8 | Hornets | 74% | 104 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 54% | 102 | 109 |
| 25 | Kings | 46% | 101 | 88 |
Thursday, January 29, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 40% | 92 | 88 |
| 3 | Magic | 60% | 95 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 46% | 97 | 114 |
| 10 | Suns | 54% | 98 | 104 |
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 43% | 98 | 99 |
| 19 | Pacers | 57% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 9% | 88 | 100 |
| 1 | Celtics | 91% | 106 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 36% | 91 | 71 |
| 23 | Heat | 64% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 49% | 97 | 107 |
| 21 | Nets | 51% | 98 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 49% | 101 | 104 |
| 18 | Knicks | 51% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 55% | 95 | 98 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 45% | 94 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 39% | 93 | 81 |
| 9 | Hornets | 61% | 97 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 37% | 93 | 102 |
| 28 | Thunder | 63% | 97 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 32% | 90 | 95 |
| 7 | Rockets | 68% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 29% | 101 | 93 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 71% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bobcats | 24% | 86 | 74 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 76% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 60% | 98 | 95 |
| 30 | Clippers | 40% | 94 | 75 |
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 14% | 89 | 110 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 86% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 25% | 96 | 111 |
| 3 | Magic | 75% | 105 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 74% | 100 | 100 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 26% | 91 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 47% | 94 | 106 |
| 12 | Jazz | 53% | 95 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bobcats | 20% | 90 | 117 |
| 2 | Lakers | 80% | 101 | 110 |
Monday, January 26, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 58% | 101 | 103 |
| 26 | Wizards | 42% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 47% | 94 | 79 |
| 24 | Heat | 53% | 95 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 54% | 101 | 98 |
| 20 | Knicks | 46% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 39% | 97 | 90 |
| 25 | Bucks | 61% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 37% | 90 | 86 |
| 11 | Hornets | 63% | 94 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 59% | 99 | 85 | |
| 28 | Thunder | 41% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 76% | 98 | 113 |
| 30 | Clippers | 24% | 89 | 88 |
Sunday, January 25, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 26% | 90 | 100 |
| 1 | Celtics | 74% | 99 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 33% | 94 | 85 |
| 2 | Lakers | 67% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 44% | 99 | 104 |
| 15 | Hawks | 56% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 26% | 96 | 97 |
| 16 | Raptors | 74% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 49% | 89 | 108 |
| 13 | Pistons | 51% | 90 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 39% | 94 | 93 |
| 14 | Pacers | 61% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 45% | 99 | 108 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 55% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 32% | 97 | 97 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 68% | 103 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Clippers | 25% | 96 | 92 |
| 18 | Warriors | 75% | 105 | 107 |
Saturday, January 24, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 29% | 97 | 110 |
| 14 | 76ers | 71% | 104 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 69% | 98 | 97 |
| 25 | Heat | 31% | 91 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 55% | 95 | 99 | |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 45% | 94 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 35% | 100 | 104 |
| 21 | Bucks | 65% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 47% | 94 | 102 |
| 9 | Jazz | 53% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 25% | 90 | 87 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 75% | 99 | 100 |