FinalWin Prob.pScore
459%103
102
1541%100
107
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
103.099103.5
IND logo IND
105.910196.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND102
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)102
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0ORLMISS Lee 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)102
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 0:07.0INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)102
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 0:12.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)99
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 0:12.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)99
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)99
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
1.4%
103
98.6%
Q4 - 0:19.0INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)99
3.6%
103
96.4%
Q4 - 0:19.0INDMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 299
4.1%
102
95.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0ORLRedick Foul Turnover (P2.T16)99
8.1%
102
91.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
18.0%
102
82.0%
Q4 - 0:46.0INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
15.0%
102
85.0%
Q4 - 1:06INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)99
13.4%
102
86.6%
Q4 - 1:07ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
16.1%
102
83.9%
Q4 - 1:14ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
24.9%
102
75.1%
Q4 - 1:15INDMISS Jack 17' Pullup Jump Shot99
21.5%
102
78.5%
Q4 - 1:28INDPACERS Rebound99
16.5%
102
83.5%
Q4 - 1:28INDMISS Granger 4' Running Jump Shot99
23.3%
102
76.7%
Q4 - 1:41ORLTurkoglu 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (20 PTS)99
18.3%
102
81.7%
Q4 - 2:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:15)97
13.5%
102
86.5%
Q4 - 2:05INDMISS Ford 15' Running Jump Shot97
11.3%
102
88.7%
Q4 - 2:30ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P4.T15)97
7.2%
102
92.8%
Q4 - 2:43INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P1.T10)97
13.6%
102
86.4%
Q4 - 2:55ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)97
10.0%
102
90.0%
Q4 - 2:55ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 296
8.7%
102
91.3%
Q4 - 2:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:14)96
10.9%
102
89.1%
Q4 - 2:55ORLMISS Turkoglu 1' Layup96
7.7%
102
92.3%
Q4 - 3:09INDFord 3' Driving Layup (20 PTS)96
10.8%
102
89.2%
Q4 - 3:18ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)96
14.2%
100
85.8%
Q4 - 3:18ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 295
12.4%
100
87.6%
Q4 - 3:23ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
15.9%
100
84.1%
Q4 - 3:24INDMISS Granger 15' Turnaround Jump Shot95
13.5%
100
86.5%
Q4 - 3:43INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)95
14.7%
100
85.3%
Q4 - 3:43ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 295
15.4%
100
84.6%
Q4 - 3:43ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)95
18.1%
100
81.9%
Q4 - 3:48ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
14.9%
100
85.1%
Q4 - 3:49INDMISS Granger 16' Jump Shot94
13.4%
100
86.6%
Q4 - 4:07INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
10.1%
100
89.9%
Q4 - 4:08ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
11.3%
100
88.7%
Q4 - 4:29INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)94
14.3%
100
85.7%
Q4 - 4:29INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 294
15.2%
99
84.8%
Q4 - 4:41INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
13.9%
99
86.1%
Q4 - 4:41ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 194
14.6%
99
85.4%
Q4 - 4:55INDFord Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)92
10.1%
99
89.9%
Q4 - 5:12INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
23.3%
96
76.7%
Q4 - 5:13ORLHibbert BLOCK (2 BLK)92
25.3%
96
74.7%
Q4 - 5:32INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)92
30.0%
96
70.0%
Q4 - 5:32INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)92
30.9%
95
69.1%
Q4 - 5:36INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
37.2%
94
62.8%
Q4 - 5:37ORLMISS Pietrus 9' Jump Shot92
39.8%
94
60.2%
Q4 - 6:00INDFord Foul Turnover (P2.T9)92
45.8%
94
54.2%
Q4 - 6:03INDJack REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)92
40.3%
94
59.7%
Q4 - 6:04ORLHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)92
42.6%
94
57.4%
Q4 - 6:19ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
48.0%
94
52.0%
Q4 - 6:20INDMISS Ford 9' Jump Shot92
45.6%
94
54.4%
Q4 - 6:39ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)92
40.1%
94
59.9%
Q4 - 6:51ORLMagic Rebound89
26.9%
94
73.1%
Q4 - 6:51ORLJack BLOCK (1 BLK)89
22.8%
94
77.2%
Q4 - 6:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)89
26.9%
94
73.1%
Q4 - 6:52ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
22.8%
94
77.2%
Q4 - 7:06INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)89
29.8%
94
70.2%
Q4 - 7:06INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)89
31.5%
93
68.5%
Q4 - 7:21ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
35.4%
92
64.6%
Q4 - 7:21ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)88
34.5%
92
65.5%
Q4 - 7:32INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)87
29.7%
92
70.3%
Q4 - 7:39INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
42.0%
89
58.0%
Q4 - 7:41ORLMISS Lee 19' Jump Shot87
44.2%
89
55.8%
Q4 - 7:54INDJack 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)87
49.4%
89
50.6%
Q4 - 7:57INDJack REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
55.9%
87
44.1%
Q4 - 7:58INDMISS Ford 2' Layup87
61.0%
87
39.0%
Q4 - 8:20ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)87
57.2%
87
42.8%
Q4 - 8:20ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)86
56.1%
87
43.9%
Q4 - 8:28ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
50.5%
87
49.5%
Q4 - 8:29INDMISS Dunleavy 9' Running Hook Shot85
48.5%
87
51.5%
Q4 - 8:52ORLLee 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)85
44.1%
87
55.9%
Q4 - 9:06ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
39.6%
87
60.4%
Q4 - 9:07INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
37.9%
87
62.1%
Q4 - 9:32ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Turkoglu 11 AST)83
34.1%
87
65.9%
Q4 - 9:47INDGranger 17' Jump Shot (26 PTS)80
24.0%
87
76.0%
Q4 - 10:04ORLBattie 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 10 AST)80
30.6%
85
69.4%
Q4 - 10:17INDGranger 27' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)78
25.9%
85
74.1%
Q4 - 10:32ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
35.6%
82
64.4%
Q4 - 10:32ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)77
34.8%
82
65.2%
Q4 - 10:49INDGranger 18' Step Back Jump Shot (21 PTS)76
30.4%
82
69.6%
Q4 - 11:04INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
37.1%
80
62.9%
Q4 - 11:05ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot76
38.6%
80
61.4%
Q4 - 11:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)76
41.9%
80
58.1%
Q4 - 11:24INDMISS Diener 17' Jump Shot76
40.4%
80
59.6%
Q4 - 11:37ORLRedick 14' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)76
37.0%
80
63.0%
Q4 - 11:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)74
31.9%
80
68.1%
Q4 - 11:45ORLMISS Battie 12' Jump Shot74
28.9%
80
71.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND74
31.8%
80
68.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Turkoglu 9 AST)74
29.2%
80
70.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)71
21.1%
80
78.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0INDMISS Hibbert 9' Turnaround Jump Shot71
20.2%
80
79.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLLee 4' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)71
18.2%
80
81.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
15.0%
80
85.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
14.3%
80
85.7%
Q3 - 1:00ORLBattie 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 8 AST)69
12.8%
80
87.2%
Q3 - 1:16ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
11.3%
80
88.7%
Q3 - 1:18INDMISS Hibbert 4' Turnaround Hook Shot67
10.8%
80
89.2%
Q3 - 1:34ORLTurkoglu 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS)67
9.6%
80
90.4%
Q3 - 1:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)65
7.9%
80
92.1%
Q3 - 1:49INDMISS Rush 15' Fadeaway Jumper65
7.5%
80
92.5%
Q3 - 2:08INDPACERS Rebound65
7.7%
80
92.3%
Q3 - 2:08ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot65
8.1%
80
91.9%
Q3 - 2:28INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Diener 4 AST)65
9.1%
80
90.9%
Q3 - 2:35ORLHibbert STEAL (1 STL)65
12.7%
77
87.3%
Q3 - 2:41ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 2:41INDMISS Hibbert 12' Jump Hook Shot65
14.1%
77
85.9%
Q3 - 2:59INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
12.6%
77
87.4%
Q3 - 3:00ORLMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q3 - 3:08ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw Technical65
16.6%
77
83.4%
Q3 - 3:27INDFord 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
16.5%
77
83.5%
Q3 - 3:35INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
18.9%
75
81.1%
Q3 - 3:36ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
19.8%
75
80.2%
Q3 - 3:55INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)65
22.0%
75
78.0%
Q3 - 3:55INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)65
22.3%
74
77.7%
Q3 - 4:05INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
25.7%
73
74.3%
Q3 - 4:07ORLMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot65
26.9%
73
73.1%
Q3 - 4:32ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
29.8%
73
70.2%
Q3 - 4:32INDMISS Ford Free Throw 2 of 265
29.2%
73
70.8%
Q3 - 4:32INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)65
26.7%
73
73.3%
Q3 - 4:40ORLJohnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T13)65
29.2%
72
70.8%
Q3 - 5:01INDDunleavy Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)65
34.4%
72
65.6%
Q3 - 5:11INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
30.3%
72
69.7%
Q3 - 5:12ORLMISS Lewis 17' Jump Shot65
31.5%
72
68.5%
Q3 - 5:23ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
34.4%
72
65.6%
Q3 - 5:24INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
33.1%
72
66.9%
Q3 - 5:32INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
30.2%
72
69.8%
Q3 - 5:34ORLMurphy BLOCK (1 BLK)65
31.4%
72
68.6%
Q3 - 5:35ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
34.3%
72
65.7%
Q3 - 5:36ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
31.4%
72
68.6%
Q3 - 5:53INDMurphy 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS)65
34.3%
72
65.7%
Q3 - 6:13INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
38.9%
70
61.1%
Q3 - 6:14ORLMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot65
40.2%
70
59.8%
Q3 - 6:30ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
43.1%
70
56.9%
Q3 - 6:31INDMISS Jack 3PT Jump Shot65
41.8%
70
58.2%
Q3 - 6:41INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
38.9%
70
61.1%
Q3 - 6:42ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
40.1%
70
59.9%
Q3 - 6:58INDFord 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dunleavy 4 AST)65
43.1%
70
56.9%
Q3 - 7:15ORLHoward 2' Dunk (13 PTS) (Pietrus 3 AST)65
51.1%
67
48.9%
Q3 - 7:18ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
47.4%
67
52.6%
Q3 - 7:20ORLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
44.6%
67
55.4%
Q3 - 7:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)63
47.4%
67
52.6%
Q3 - 7:36INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot63
46.2%
67
53.8%
Q3 - 8:00ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T12)63
43.4%
67
56.6%
Q3 - 8:15INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
47.7%
67
52.3%
Q3 - 8:15INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)63
48.4%
66
51.6%
Q3 - 8:26INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
51.2%
65
48.8%
Q3 - 8:27ORLMISS Turkoglu 1' Layup63
52.4%
65
47.6%
Q3 - 8:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)63
55.2%
65
44.8%
Q3 - 8:40INDMISS Jack 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
54.0%
65
46.0%
Q3 - 8:47ORLDunleavy STEAL (3 STL)63
51.2%
65
48.8%
Q3 - 9:05INDMurphy 2' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)63
55.5%
65
44.5%
Q3 - 9:22ORLTurkoglu 4' Driving Layup (14 PTS)63
59.0%
63
41.0%
Q3 - 9:30ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
55.5%
63
44.5%
Q3 - 9:31INDMISS Murphy 16' Jump Shot61
54.3%
63
45.7%
Q3 - 9:35INDJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
51.7%
63
48.3%
Q3 - 9:36INDMISS Dunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
54.3%
63
45.7%
Q3 - 9:52ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 7 AST)61
51.7%
63
48.3%
Q3 - 10:03ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
45.1%
63
54.9%
Q3 - 10:04INDMISS Ford 15' Jump Shot58
44.0%
63
56.0%
Q3 - 10:14ORLTurkoglu 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)58
41.6%
63
58.4%
Q3 - 10:20ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
38.2%
63
61.8%
Q3 - 10:22INDMISS Jack 18' Jump Shot56
37.1%
63
62.9%
Q3 - 10:47ORLHoward 2' Dunk (11 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)56
34.8%
63
65.2%
Q3 - 11:05INDGranger 14' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)54
33.0%
63
67.0%
Q3 - 11:28ORLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)54
35.8%
61
64.2%
Q3 - 11:41ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
29.9%
61
70.1%
Q3 - 11:42INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
28.9%
61
71.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL51
26.9%
61
73.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound51
29.9%
61
70.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Lewis 32' 3PT Jump Shot51
27.7%
61
72.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
30.5%
61
69.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
29.9%
61
70.1%
Q2 - 0:18.0ORLTurkoglu Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T10)51
28.4%
61
71.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
30.5%
61
69.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0INDMISS Dunleavy 21' Jump Shot51
29.9%
61
70.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
28.4%
61
71.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
27.9%
61
72.1%
Q2 - 1:03INDFoster Foul Turnover (P1.T7)49
26.0%
61
74.0%
Q2 - 1:06INDGranger Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)49
24.2%
61
75.8%
Q2 - 1:15INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
26.7%
60
73.3%
Q2 - 1:16ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
27.2%
60
72.8%
Q2 - 1:18ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
28.6%
60
71.4%
Q2 - 1:20ORLGranger BLOCK (2 BLK)49
27.2%
60
72.8%
Q2 - 1:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)49
28.6%
60
71.4%
Q2 - 1:22ORLFoster BLOCK (2 BLK)49
27.2%
60
72.8%
Q2 - 1:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)49
28.6%
60
71.4%
Q2 - 1:25ORLMISS Turkoglu 11' Jump Shot49
27.2%
60
72.8%
Q2 - 1:41INDFord 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)49
28.5%
60
71.5%
Q2 - 1:58ORLPietrus 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)49
32.1%
58
67.9%
Q2 - 2:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)46
27.3%
58
72.7%
Q2 - 2:08INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
26.5%
58
73.5%
Q2 - 2:14INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
24.8%
58
75.2%
Q2 - 2:15ORLMISS Turkoglu 4' Driving Layup46
25.5%
58
74.5%
Q2 - 2:34INDGranger 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)46
27.2%
58
72.8%
Q2 - 2:39INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
29.8%
56
70.2%
Q2 - 2:41ORLFoster BLOCK (1 BLK)46
30.6%
56
69.4%
Q2 - 2:55ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
32.5%
56
67.5%
Q2 - 2:56ORLMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot46
30.6%
56
69.4%
Q2 - 3:13INDFoster 2' Layup (2 PTS)46
33.6%
56
66.4%
Q2 - 3:14INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
36.0%
54
64.0%
Q2 - 3:15INDMISS Ford 6' Jump Shot46
38.3%
54
61.7%
Q2 - 3:40ORLRedick 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pietrus 2 AST)46
35.9%
54
64.1%
Q2 - 3:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)43
30.8%
54
69.2%
Q2 - 3:51INDMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
29.9%
54
70.1%
Q2 - 4:00ORLFord STEAL (3 STL)43
27.8%
54
72.2%
Q2 - 4:08INDFord 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)43
31.5%
54
68.5%
Q2 - 4:24ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)43
34.0%
52
66.0%
Q2 - 4:24ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)42
33.6%
52
66.4%
Q2 - 4:37INDGranger 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)41
31.5%
52
68.5%
Q2 - 4:43INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
34.0%
50
66.0%
Q2 - 4:44ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
34.9%
50
65.1%
Q2 - 5:02INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
37.9%
50
62.1%
Q2 - 5:02INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
38.2%
49
61.8%
Q2 - 5:08INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
40.8%
48
59.2%
Q2 - 5:09ORLMISS Redick 14' Step Back Jump Shot41
41.7%
48
58.3%
Q2 - 5:23INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)41
43.6%
48
56.4%
Q2 - 5:39ORLJohnson 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST)41
49.5%
45
50.5%
Q2 - 5:57ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
46.5%
45
53.5%
Q2 - 5:58INDMISS Dunleavy 17' Pullup Jump Shot39
45.6%
45
54.4%
Q2 - 6:12ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
43.7%
45
56.3%
Q2 - 6:12ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 238
42.7%
45
57.3%
Q2 - 6:20ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
44.2%
45
55.8%
Q2 - 6:21INDMISS Granger 22' Jump Shot38
43.2%
45
56.8%
Q2 - 6:27INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
40.9%
45
59.1%
Q2 - 6:28ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
41.9%
45
58.1%
Q2 - 6:44ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
44.2%
45
55.8%
Q2 - 6:45INDMISS Ford 3' Layup38
43.2%
45
56.8%
Q2 - 6:50ORLFord STEAL (2 STL)38
40.9%
45
59.1%
Q2 - 7:09ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
44.6%
45
55.4%
Q2 - 7:10INDMISS Granger 14' Jump Shot38
43.8%
45
56.2%
Q2 - 7:35ORLTurkoglu 13' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
41.7%
45
58.3%
Q2 - 7:51INDMurphy 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)36
39.1%
45
60.9%
Q2 - 8:09INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
42.5%
43
57.5%
Q2 - 8:10ORLMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
43.3%
43
56.7%
Q2 - 8:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)36
45.2%
43
54.8%
Q2 - 8:18INDMISS Jack 8' Jump Shot36
44.4%
43
55.6%
Q2 - 8:34ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)36
42.5%
43
57.5%
Q2 - 8:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)33
37.2%
43
62.8%
Q2 - 8:45INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
36.4%
43
63.6%
Q2 - 9:01ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T7)33
35.1%
43
64.9%
Q2 - 9:13INDJack 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
37.6%
43
62.4%
Q2 - 9:32ORLLee 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS)33
40.1%
41
59.9%
Q2 - 9:35INDJack Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)31
37.6%
41
62.4%
Q2 - 9:41INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
35.1%
41
64.9%
Q2 - 9:42ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot31
35.8%
41
64.2%
Q2 - 9:54INDDunleavy 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Diener 3 AST)31
37.6%
41
62.4%
Q2 - 9:59ORLDunleavy STEAL (2 STL)31
40.1%
39
59.9%
Q2 - 10:05ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
43.3%
39
56.7%
Q2 - 10:06INDMISS Hibbert 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot31
42.5%
39
57.5%
Q2 - 10:21INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
40.6%
39
59.4%
Q2 - 10:21ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 231
41.0%
39
59.0%
Q2 - 10:21ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 231
42.3%
39
57.7%
Q2 - 10:44INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diener 2 AST)31
43.3%
39
56.7%
Q2 - 10:51INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
48.4%
36
51.6%
Q2 - 10:52ORLMISS Cook 13' Jump Shot31
49.2%
36
50.8%
Q2 - 11:11INDHibbert Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)31
51.2%
36
48.8%
Q2 - 11:27ORLCook 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)31
53.7%
34
46.3%
Q2 - 11:48INDHibbert 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)29
51.2%
34
48.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND29
53.7%
32
46.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLBattie 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)29
54.3%
32
45.7%
Q1 - 0:08.0INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)26
48.8%
32
51.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLLee 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
54.2%
29
45.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)24
51.2%
29
48.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)24
51.6%
28
48.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0ORLDunleavy STEAL (1 STL)24
54.2%
27
45.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0INDDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)24
56.1%
27
43.9%
Q1 - 1:09ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
54.9%
27
45.1%
Q1 - 1:09ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
54.5%
27
45.5%
Q1 - 1:15INDHibbert 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
51.8%
27
48.2%
Q1 - 1:36ORLLee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
54.8%
25
45.2%
Q1 - 1:51INDRush Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)22
56.4%
25
43.6%
Q1 - 1:55ORLDiener STEAL (1 STL)22
54.8%
25
45.2%
Q1 - 2:12INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
56.9%
25
43.1%
Q1 - 2:12INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
57.3%
24
42.7%
Q1 - 2:22ORLLewis 12' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
59.5%
23
40.5%
Q1 - 2:35INDHibbert 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)20
56.8%
23
43.2%
Q1 - 2:50INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
59.5%
21
40.5%
Q1 - 2:50ORLMISS Pietrus Free Throw 2 of 220
59.7%
21
40.3%
Q1 - 2:50ORLMISS Pietrus Free Throw 1 of 220
61.1%
21
38.9%
Q1 - 2:50ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
61.3%
21
38.7%
Q1 - 2:51INDMISS Ford 11' Fadeaway Jumper20
60.7%
21
39.3%
Q1 - 3:12ORLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
59.6%
21
40.4%
Q1 - 3:12ORLMagic Rebound19
59.6%
21
40.4%
Q1 - 3:12ORLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 219
59.2%
21
40.8%
Q1 - 3:35INDFord Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)19
59.6%
21
40.4%
Q1 - 3:40ORLFord STEAL (1 STL)19
63.9%
18
36.1%
Q1 - 3:56INDFord Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
66.0%
18
34.0%
Q1 - 4:05ORLLewis 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (5 PTS)19
63.8%
18
36.2%
Q1 - 4:22INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
61.8%
18
38.2%
Q1 - 4:22INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)17
62.1%
17
37.9%
Q1 - 4:25INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
63.8%
16
36.2%
Q1 - 4:26ORLFord BLOCK (1 BLK)17
64.4%
16
35.6%
Q1 - 4:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)17
65.9%
16
34.1%
Q1 - 4:39INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
65.3%
16
34.7%
Q1 - 4:59ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)17
63.8%
16
36.2%
Q1 - 5:11INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
59.5%
16
40.5%
Q1 - 5:35ORLHoward 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)14
57.2%
16
42.8%
Q1 - 5:53INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)12
55.3%
16
44.7%
Q1 - 6:09INDPACERS Rebound12
59.6%
13
40.4%
Q1 - 6:10ORLMISS Lewis 8' Jump Shot12
60.3%
13
39.7%
Q1 - 6:31INDJack 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)12
61.7%
13
38.3%
Q1 - 6:51ORLHoward 3' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)12
65.5%
10
34.4%
Q1 - 7:02INDDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)10
63.9%
10
36.1%
Q1 - 7:06INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
67.5%
7
32.5%
Q1 - 7:07INDMISS Murphy 11' Jump Shot10
68.9%
7
31.1%
Q1 - 7:23INDPACERS Rebound10
67.5%
7
32.5%
Q1 - 7:23ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
68.1%
7
31.9%
Q1 - 7:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
69.5%
7
30.5%
Q1 - 7:45INDMISS Ford 13' Fadeaway Jumper10
68.9%
7
31.1%
Q1 - 8:02ORLHoward 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)10
67.7%
7
32.3%
Q1 - 8:11INDFord 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
65.8%
7
34.2%
Q1 - 8:22ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
67.7%
5
32.3%
Q1 - 8:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
63.9%
5
36.1%
Q1 - 8:31INDMISS Granger 16' Jump Shot5
63.3%
5
36.7%
Q1 - 8:39ORLMurphy STEAL (1 STL)5
62.0%
5
38.0%
Q1 - 8:58INDJack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
63.9%
5
36.1%
Q1 - 9:17ORLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
62.6%
5
37.4%
Q1 - 9:17ORLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
62.2%
5
37.8%
Q1 - 9:28INDJack 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)3
60.5%
5
39.5%
Q1 - 9:41ORLHoward 3' Slam Dunk (2 PTS)3
64.4%
2
35.6%
Q1 - 9:51ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
62.4%
2
37.6%
Q1 - 9:52ORLMISS Howard 2' Slam Dunk1
61.2%
2
38.8%
Q1 - 10:08ORLMagic Rebound1
62.7%
2
37.3%
Q1 - 10:08INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot1
62.1%
2
37.9%
Q1 - 10:24ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
60.8%
2
39.2%
Q1 - 10:24ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 20
60.5%
2
39.5%
Q1 - 10:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
60.9%
2
39.1%
Q1 - 10:32INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
60.4%
2
39.6%
Q1 - 10:44INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.1%
2
40.9%
Q1 - 10:45ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
59.6%
2
40.4%
Q1 - 10:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
60.9%
2
39.1%
Q1 - 10:58INDMISS Ford 4' Jump Shot0
60.3%
2
39.7%
Q1 - 11:09INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.5%
2
40.5%
Q1 - 11:10ORLMISS Howard 11' Turnaround Jump Shot0
60.0%
2
40.0%
Q1 - 11:29INDDunleavy 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)0
61.2%
2
38.8%
Q1 - 11:41INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
62.7%
0
37.3%
Q1 - 11:42ORLGranger BLOCK (1 BLK)0
63.2%
0
36.8%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Murphy vs. Howard: Tip to Johnson0
64.3%
0
35.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.07 53.7%
IND
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
21
62%
IND
11
16
69%
Midrange
ORL
11
27
41%
IND
15
40
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
11
16.5
32
34%
52%
IND
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
Free Throws
ORL
21
33
64%
IND
28
31
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2146%10.5 / 23
H. Turkoglu2050%10.0 / 20
J. Redick1785%8.5 / 10
R. Lewis1657%8.0 / 14
A. Johnson867%4.0 / 6
C. Lee857%4.0 / 7
T. Battie788%3.5 / 4
M. Pietrus321%1.5 / 7
B. Cook233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger3363%16.5 / 26
T. Ford2155%10.5 / 19
T. Murphy2071%10.0 / 14
M. Dunleavy1146%5.5 / 12
J. Jack1056%5.0 / 9
R. Hibbert1056%5.0 / 9
J. Foster2100%1.0 / 1
B. Rush0-0.0 / 2
T. Diener0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
83
+13
-16
96
IND
91
+5
-10
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.07 53.7%
IND
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
108.1
ORL 103.0
IND 105.9 +2.9
Pace
92.5
96.5
ORL 103.5 +6.6
IND 96.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
14.5
ORL 13.9 +1.0
IND 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
50.1%
ORL 50.6% +1.2%
IND 49.4%
TO %
14.6%
14.4%
ORL 14.5%
IND 9.6% +4.9%
ORB %
24.1%
25.5%
ORL 22.7% +13.6%
IND 9.1%
FTrt
35.1
26.7
ORL 41.3 +2.5
IND 38.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
55.1%
ORL 54.3% +2.9%
IND 51.4%
STL %
7.5%
7.2%
ORL 4.0%
IND 8.9% +4.9%
BLK %
8.0%
8.1%
ORL 5.4%
IND 18.8% +13.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
53.2%
ORL 53.7%
IND 55.7% +2.0%
Rim FG%
60.9%
56.5%
ORL 61.9%
IND 68.8% +6.9%
Mid FG%
39.3%
40.6%
ORL 40.7% +3.2%
IND 37.5%
3P %
38.1%
37.8%
ORL 34.4%
IND 37.5% +3.1%
FT %
71.5%
80.7%
ORL 63.6%
IND 90.3% +26.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
35.1%
ORL 26.3% +6.3%
IND 20.0%
Mid Att. %
35.2%
40.6%
ORL 33.8% +16.2%
IND 50.0%
3P Att. %
33.5%
24.4%
ORL 40.0% +10.0%
IND 30.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsORLIND
Possessions99101
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points102107
Rebounds5038
Assists1918
Steals49
Blocks39
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)4 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (1)34 (3)
Field Goals35-8035-80
At-the-Rim FG13-2111-16
Midrange FG11-2715-40
2-Point FG24-4826-56
3-Point FG11-329-24
Free Throws21-3328-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 23
42.0
21
46%
20
0
0
1
3
4
5
15
5-12
42%
8-18
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 30
37.9
16
57%
4
1
0
1
3
5
0
4
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
4-11
36%
F · 6'10" 220 · 30
37.1
20
50%
6
11
0
0
4
4
1
5
7-8
88%
5-11
45%
1-5
20%
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
30.2
3
21%
7
3
1
0
1
2
3
4
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 195 · 34
28.3
8
67%
6
2
1
0
2
1
1
5
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 200 · 23
24.8
8
57%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
24.8
17
85%
4
2
0
0
2
2
0
4
6-6
100%
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
C · 6'11" 240 · 33
10.3
7
88%
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28
4.6
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
C · 6'10" 270 · 34
#29 · G · 5'10" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'0" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 6'0" 175 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
54%
50
19
4
3
16
0
10
40
21-33
64%
24-48
50%
11-32
34%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.