Final Win Prob. pScore
2136%90
92
1364%95
101
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
107.08691.1
Hornets
117.48681.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH92
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)92
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)92
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)92
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0TORCalderon P.FOUL (P2.PN)92
99
Q4 - 0:31.0TORKapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)92
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0TORSUB: Kapono FOR Moon89
99
Q4 - 0:35.0TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)89
99
Q4 - 0:35.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0TORCalderon P.FOUL (P1.PN)89
97
Q4 - 0:46.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 0:47.0TORMISS Calderon Layup89
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 1:01NOHBrown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (West 6 AST)89
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 1:22TORParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)89
3.8%
94
96.2%
Q4 - 1:30NOHBrown Driving Layup (6 PTS)86
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 1:41TORParker P.FOUL (P2.T4)86
92
Q4 - 1:46TORO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P5.T17)86
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q4 - 1:56TORMoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
5.5%
92
94.5%
Q4 - 1:56NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
4.7%
92
95.3%
Q4 - 2:15NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
3.1%
92
96.9%
Q4 - 2:16NOHMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
4.9%
92
95.1%
Q4 - 2:40TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)86
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q4 - 2:57TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q4 - 2:57NOHMISS Stojakovic 15' Jump Shot83
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 3:10NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 3:11TORMISS O'Neal 11' Hook Shot83
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 3:31NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (West 5 AST)83
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 3:41NOHHORNETS Rebound83
6.5%
89
93.5%
Q4 - 3:41TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
7.3%
89
92.7%
Q4 - 3:59NOHPosey 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (West 4 AST)83
9.2%
89
90.8%
Q4 - 4:20TORBargnani Traveling Turnover (P5.T16)83
17.3%
86
82.7%
Q4 - 4:33TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)83
86
Q4 - 4:34NOHButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)83
24.1%
86
75.9%
Q4 - 4:52TORSUB: Parker FOR Graham83
83
Q4 - 4:52TORBargnani L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)83
83
Q4 - 4:52NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
40.3%
83
59.7%
Q4 - 4:53TORMISS Moon 19' Jump Shot83
43.4%
83
56.6%
Q4 - 5:11NOHPosey 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (West 3 AST)83
49.1%
83
50.9%
Q4 - 5:29TORButler STEAL (1 STL)83
65.3%
80
34.7%
Q4 - 5:49NOHButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (West 2 AST)83
73.0%
80
27.0%
Q4 - 6:09NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)83
80.5%
77
19.5%
Q4 - 6:11TORMISS Bargnani 16' Jump Shot83
82.0%
77
18.0%
Q4 - 6:37NOHBrown 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)83
85.2%
77
14.8%
Q4 - 6:48NOHSUB: Butler FOR Marks83
75
Q4 - 6:48NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)83
75
Q4 - 6:52TORO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (24 PTS)83
88.5%
75
11.5%
Q4 - 7:05NOHStojakovic P.FOUL (P3.T4)81
75
Q4 - 7:14TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
82.6%
75
17.4%
Q4 - 7:15NOHMISS Stojakovic 21' Jump Shot81
81.2%
75
18.8%
Q4 - 7:28TORO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)81
77.9%
75
22.1%
Q4 - 7:28NOHMarks S.FOUL (P1.T3)80
75
Q4 - 7:28TORO'Neal Driving Layup (21 PTS)80
75
Q4 - 7:38TORGraham REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
67.3%
75
32.7%
Q4 - 7:39TORMISS Moon 19' Jump Shot78
62.5%
75
37.5%
Q4 - 7:54NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
67.4%
75
32.6%
Q4 - 7:54NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)78
68.0%
74
32.0%
Q4 - 7:54TORO'Neal S.FOUL (P4.T2)78
73
Q4 - 8:10TORO'Neal Driving Dunk (19 PTS)78
70.8%
73
29.2%
Q4 - 8:29TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
65.0%
73
35.0%
Q4 - 8:29NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
63.3%
73
36.7%
Q4 - 8:36TORMarks STEAL (2 STL)76
59.1%
73
40.9%
Q4 - 8:59NOHPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)76
65.1%
73
34.9%
Q4 - 8:59NOHHORNETS Rebound76
72
Q4 - 8:59NOHMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 276
66.0%
72
34.0%
Q4 - 8:59TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Voskuhl76
72
Q4 - 8:59TORSUB: Calderon FOR Parker76
72
Q4 - 8:5976
72
Q4 - 8:59TORVoskuhl S.FOUL (P3.T1)76
72
Q4 - 9:16TORParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)76
63.5%
72
36.5%
Q4 - 9:16TORParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)75
62.7%
72
37.3%
Q4 - 9:16NOHSUB: West FOR Butler74
72
Q4 - 9:16TORSUB: Graham FOR Kapono74
72
Q4 - 9:16NOHPosey S.FOUL (P3.T2)74
72
Q4 - 9:21TORParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
57.5%
72
42.5%
Q4 - 9:22NOHMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot74
55.8%
72
44.2%
Q4 - 9:32TORVoskuhl 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)74
51.9%
72
48.1%
Q4 - 9:54NOHButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)72
45.6%
72
54.4%
Q4 - 10:00NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
57.9%
69
42.1%
Q4 - 10:02TORMarks BLOCK (2 BLK)72
57.9%
69
42.1%
Q4 - 10:23NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)72
61.7%
69
38.3%
Q4 - 10:48TORO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)72
71.9%
66
28.1%
Q4 - 10:48NOHStojakovic S.FOUL (P2.T1)71
66
Q4 - 10:48TORO'Neal Layup (16 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)71
66
Q4 - 10:57TORParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
61.8%
66
38.2%
Q4 - 10:57NOHMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot69
60.2%
66
39.8%
Q4 - 11:04NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
55.2%
66
44.8%
Q4 - 11:06TORMarks BLOCK (1 BLK)69
56.8%
66
43.2%
Q4 - 11:18NOHButler Traveling Turnover (P3.T14)69
60.2%
66
39.8%
Q4 - 11:24NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
55.3%
66
44.7%
Q4 - 11:25TORMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
56.8%
66
43.2%
Q4 - 11:45NOHStojakovic 22' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)69
60.3%
66
39.7%
Q4 - 12:0069
64
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR69
65.6%
64
34.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
70.0%
64
30.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Daniels 11' Jump Shot69
68.7%
64
31.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0TORParker P.FOUL (P1.T1)69
64
Q3 - 0:19.0TORSUB: Kapono FOR Bargnani69
64
Q3 - 0:19.0TORMoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
64.2%
64
35.8%
Q3 - 0:19.0TORMoon Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)68
63.4%
64
36.6%
Q3 - 0:19.0NOHPosey L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)67
64
Q3 - 0:19.0TORRaptors Rebound67
58.8%
64
41.2%
Q3 - 0:20.0NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot67
57.5%
64
42.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)67
54.5%
64
45.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0TORMISS Parker Layup67
55.8%
64
44.2%
Q3 - 1:02NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)67
57.8%
64
42.2%
Q3 - 1:30TORParker 12' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bargnani 2 AST)67
53.4%
64
46.6%
Q3 - 1:52NOHStojakovic 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)65
48.1%
64
51.9%
Q3 - 1:56NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
58.3%
61
41.7%
Q3 - 1:58NOHMISS Stojakovic Layup65
61.3%
61
38.7%
Q3 - 2:12NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
56.7%
61
43.3%
Q3 - 2:13TORMISS Voskuhl 15' Jump Shot65
58.1%
61
41.9%
Q3 - 2:24TORSUB: Graham FOR Kapono65
61
Q3 - 2:24TORSUB: Voskuhl FOR O'Neal65
61
Q3 - 2:24TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)65
61
Q3 - 2:35TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
61.3%
61
38.7%
Q3 - 2:36NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
59.9%
61
40.1%
Q3 - 2:56TORMoon 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)65
56.8%
61
43.2%
Q3 - 3:11NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Daniels 6 AST)63
51.2%
61
48.8%
Q3 - 3:28TORMoon 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)63
59.8%
58
40.2%
Q3 - 3:49TORMoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
55.8%
58
44.2%
Q3 - 3:49NOHMISS West 12' Jump Shot61
54.3%
58
45.7%
Q3 - 3:58NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
51.0%
58
49.0%
Q3 - 3:59TORMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot61
52.5%
58
47.5%
Q3 - 4:15TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
55.2%
58
44.8%
Q3 - 4:16NOHMISS Daniels Layup61
53.7%
58
46.3%
Q3 - 4:26TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)61
50.1%
58
49.9%
Q3 - 4:29TORSUB: Kapono FOR Graham61
58
Q3 - 4:29TORSUB: Moon FOR Calderon61
58
Q3 - 4:56NOHDaniels Driving Dunk (8 PTS)61
55.2%
58
44.8%
Q3 - 5:05TORBargnani Foul Turnover (P3.T12)61
57.4%
56
42.6%
Q3 - 5:05TORBargnani OFF.Foul (P1)61
56
Q3 - 5:20NOHButler Driving Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)61
62.0%
56
38.0%
Q3 - 5:36NOHStojakovic Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)61
65.4%
54
34.6%
Q3 - 5:36TORRaptors T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec O'Neal )61
53
Q3 - 5:55TORO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)61
69.1%
53
30.9%
Q3 - 5:55TORO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)60
68.4%
53
31.6%
Q3 - 5:55NOHWest P.FOUL (P3.PN)59
53
Q3 - 5:58NOHSUB: Posey FOR Bowen59
53
Q3 - 5:58NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)59
53
Q3 - 5:58NOHBowen P.FOUL (P4.T4)59
53
Q3 - 6:14NOHDaniels 8' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)59
64.5%
53
35.5%
Q3 - 6:25NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
67.9%
51
32.1%
Q3 - 6:26TORMISS Bargnani 19' Jump Shot59
69.0%
51
31.0%
Q3 - 6:46NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)59
71.6%
51
28.4%
Q3 - 7:03TORCalderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)59
75.7%
48
24.3%
Q3 - 7:25TORParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
69.8%
48
30.2%
Q3 - 7:26TORMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
67.4%
48
32.6%
Q3 - 7:46NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)56
69.9%
48
30.1%
Q3 - 8:04TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)56
65.4%
48
34.6%
Q3 - 8:04TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
64.9%
48
35.1%
Q3 - 8:04NOHWest S.FOUL (P2.T3)54
48
Q3 - 8:24NOHWest 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)54
62.2%
48
37.8%
Q3 - 8:44TORO'Neal Foul Turnover (P4.T11)54
65.4%
46
34.6%
Q3 - 8:44TORO'Neal OFF.Foul (P3)54
46
Q3 - 8:56NOHButler Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)54
69.0%
46
31.0%
Q3 - 9:10TORBowen STEAL (2 STL)54
64.7%
46
35.3%
Q3 - 9:28TORRaptors Rebound54
68.1%
46
31.9%
Q3 - 9:28NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
64.8%
46
35.2%
Q3 - 9:28NOHMISS West Tip Shot54
67.1%
46
32.9%
Q3 - 9:29NOHMISS Bowen Layup54
67.1%
46
32.9%
Q3 - 9:30NOHBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)54
64.8%
46
35.2%
Q3 - 9:30NOHMISS West 8' Jump Shot54
67.1%
46
32.9%
Q3 - 9:50NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
64.8%
46
35.2%
Q3 - 9:51TORMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot54
65.8%
46
34.2%
Q3 - 9:54TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
68.2%
46
31.8%
Q3 - 9:56TORButler BLOCK (1 BLK)54
65.8%
46
34.2%
Q3 - 10:01NOHBowen P.FOUL (P3.T2)54
46
Q3 - 10:12NOHWest Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Daniels 5 AST)54
66.9%
46
33.1%
Q3 - 10:28TORO'Neal 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)54
70.0%
44
30.0%
Q3 - 10:42TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
67.0%
44
33.0%
Q3 - 10:42TORMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot52
64.7%
44
35.3%
Q3 - 11:01NOHBowen Driving Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)52
66.0%
44
34.0%
Q3 - 11:26TORO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)52
68.9%
42
31.1%
Q3 - 11:40TORGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
66.0%
42
34.0%
Q3 - 11:42TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 150
63.1%
42
36.9%
Q3 - 11:42NOHButler S.FOUL (P1.T1)50
42
Q3 - 11:42TORBargnani 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)50
42
Q3 - 12:0048
42
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH48
59.6%
42
40.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound48
56.0%
42
44.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Stojakovic 39' 3PT Jump Shot48
58.5%
42
41.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORCalderon Driving Layup (13 PTS)48
55.9%
42
44.1%
Q2 - 0:08.0NOHButler 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
51.7%
42
48.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Voskuhl 1 AST)46
55.8%
40
44.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0NOHWest Inbound Turnover (P2.T10)43
48.4%
40
51.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0TORMoon Dunk (4 PTS)43
45.8%
40
54.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0TORMoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
41.7%
40
58.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0TORMISS Moon 12' Jump Shot41
40.0%
40
60.0%
Q2 - 1:02NOHDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
41.4%
40
58.6%
Q2 - 1:02NOHDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
42.0%
39
58.0%
Q2 - 1:02TORVoskuhl S.FOUL (P2.T4)41
38
Q2 - 1:17TORBargnani 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Moon 2 AST)41
45.5%
38
54.5%
Q2 - 1:28NOHBowen Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)39
41.4%
38
58.6%
Q2 - 1:40NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
39.1%
38
60.9%
Q2 - 1:41TORMISS Voskuhl 12' Jump Shot39
39.8%
38
60.2%
Q2 - 1:55TORRaptors Violation: Delay of game Violation39
38
Q2 - 1:55TORRaptors Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)39
38
Q2 - 1:57TORVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
41.4%
38
58.6%
Q2 - 1:58NOHMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot39
40.7%
38
59.3%
Q2 - 2:22TORCalderon 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)39
38.2%
38
61.8%
Q2 - 2:38TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
35.3%
38
64.7%
Q2 - 2:39NOHMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
34.4%
38
65.6%
Q2 - 3:04TORParker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)37
32.1%
38
67.9%
Q2 - 3:12NOHDaniels Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)34
27.3%
38
72.7%
Q2 - 3:21TORVoskuhl P.FOUL (P1.T3)34
38
Q2 - 3:32NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)34
38
Q2 - 3:36TORCalderon 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
24.5%
38
75.5%
Q2 - 3:41NOHButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)32
22.6%
38
77.4%
Q2 - 3:44TORParker Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)32
20.2%
38
79.8%
Q2 - 3:49TORVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
18.5%
38
81.5%
Q2 - 3:51NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
17.9%
38
82.1%
Q2 - 4:06TORBowen STEAL (1 STL)30
16.7%
38
83.3%
Q2 - 4:13NOHSUB: Butler FOR Posey30
38
Q2 - 4:13NOHDaniels P.FOUL (P1.T3)30
38
Q2 - 4:18NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)30
18.6%
38
81.4%
Q2 - 4:18TORMoon S.FOUL (P1.T2)30
37
Q2 - 4:18NOHWest Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)30
37
Q2 - 4:38TORMoon Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)30
22.4%
35
77.6%
Q2 - 4:44NOHDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
20.5%
35
79.5%
Q2 - 4:56NOHBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
18.5%
35
81.5%
Q2 - 4:58NOHMISS Daniels 12' Jump Shot28
19.9%
35
80.1%
Q2 - 5:13TORVoskuhl Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)28
18.9%
35
81.1%
Q2 - 5:13TORVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
20.8%
35
79.2%
Q2 - 5:14TORMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot28
19.5%
35
80.5%
Q2 - 5:25TORVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
20.8%
35
79.2%
Q2 - 5:26NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
20.2%
35
79.8%
Q2 - 5:40NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
18.9%
35
81.1%
Q2 - 5:41TORMISS Calderon Free Throw 2 of 228
19.2%
35
80.8%
Q2 - 5:41TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
20.7%
35
79.3%
Q2 - 5:41TORSUB: Voskuhl FOR O'Neal27
35
Q2 - 5:41NOHSUB: Bowen FOR Marks27
35
Q2 - 5:41NOHSUB: Daniels FOR Brown27
35
Q2 - 5:4127
35
Q2 - 5:41NOHBrown S.FOUL (P1.T2)27
35
Q2 - 5:44TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
18.9%
35
81.1%
Q2 - 5:45NOHMISS Marks 21' Jump Shot27
18.3%
35
81.7%
Q2 - 6:05TORCalderon 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)27
17.3%
35
82.7%
Q2 - 6:23NOHMarks Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)25
16.0%
35
84.0%
Q2 - 6:51TORCalderon Layup (4 PTS)25
17.3%
33
82.7%
Q2 - 6:55NOHMarks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)23
16.0%
33
84.0%
Q2 - 7:01NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
14.5%
33
85.5%
Q2 - 7:02NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot23
15.5%
33
84.5%
Q2 - 7:21NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
14.5%
33
85.5%
Q2 - 7:22NOHMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
15.5%
33
84.5%
Q2 - 7:41TORBargnani Dunk (7 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)23
14.5%
33
85.5%
Q2 - 7:46TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
13.2%
33
86.8%
Q2 - 7:48NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
12.8%
33
87.2%
Q2 - 8:07TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
12.4%
33
87.6%
Q2 - 8:07TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
12.3%
33
87.7%
Q2 - 8:07NOHSUB: West FOR Wright19
33
Q2 - 8:07NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Butler19
33
Q2 - 8:07NOHPosey S.FOUL (P1.T1)19
33
Q2 - 8:09NOHWright Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)19
11.2%
33
88.8%
Q2 - 8:25NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
10.2%
33
89.8%
Q2 - 8:25TORMISS Calderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
10.5%
33
89.5%
Q2 - 8:34TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Kapono19
33
Q2 - 8:34TORSUB: Calderon FOR Graham19
33
Q2 - 8:34TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)19
33
Q2 - 8:40NOHPosey 23' Jump Shot (10 PTS)19
11.2%
33
88.8%
Q2 - 9:01NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q2 - 9:01TORMISS Kapono 15' Jump Shot19
12.9%
31
87.1%
Q2 - 9:13NOHWright Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)19
13.7%
31
86.3%
Q2 - 9:21NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q2 - 9:22NOHMISS Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q2 - 9:42TORPosey STEAL (1 STL)19
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q2 - 10:03NOHPosey 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)19
14.1%
31
85.9%
Q2 - 10:28TORKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)19
16.8%
28
83.2%
Q2 - 10:43TORRaptors Rebound16
28
Q2 - 10:43TORMISS Parker Free Throw Technical16
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q2 - 10:43NOHHORNETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Posey )16
28
Q2 - 10:56NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q2 - 10:56NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
14.3%
27
85.7%
Q2 - 10:56TORO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.T1)16
26
Q2 - 11:04NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
15.8%
26
84.2%
Q2 - 11:05TORMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
16.2%
26
83.8%
Q2 - 11:12TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q2 - 11:12TORMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot16
16.2%
26
83.8%
Q2 - 11:29NOHWright Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)16
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q2 - 11:46TORMarks STEAL (1 STL)16
15.8%
26
84.2%
Q2 - 12:0016
26
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH16
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound16
15.7%
26
84.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Moon 39' 3PT Jump Shot16
16.2%
26
83.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
17.3%
26
82.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0NOHMISS Posey Layup16
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q1 - 0:19.0TORGraham Foul Turnover (P1.T5)16
16.3%
26
83.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0TORGraham OFF.Foul (P1)16
26
Q1 - 0:23.0TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
17.3%
26
82.7%
Q1 - 0:24.0NOHMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0TORBargnani Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)16
16.2%
26
83.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0NOHPosey 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Marks 1 AST)16
17.3%
26
82.7%
Q1 - 1:08NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
21.1%
23
78.9%
Q1 - 1:12NOHMISS Stojakovic Layup16
21.9%
23
78.1%
Q1 - 1:26NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
21.1%
23
78.9%
Q1 - 1:27TORMISS Kapono 15' Jump Shot16
21.4%
23
78.6%
Q1 - 1:40NOHSUB: Marks FOR Daniels16
23
Q1 - 1:40TORSUB: Parker FOR Calderon16
23
Q1 - 1:40TORSUB: Moon FOR O'Neal16
23
Q1 - 1:40NOHSUB: Brown FOR West16
23
Q1 - 1:40TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
23
Q1 - 1:48NOHWest 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)16
22.2%
23
77.8%
Q1 - 2:12TORO'Neal Layup (8 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)16
24.6%
21
75.4%
Q1 - 2:37NOHStojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)14
22.6%
21
77.4%
Q1 - 2:54TORGraham Layup (3 PTS)14
26.3%
18
73.7%
Q1 - 3:01TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
24.4%
18
75.6%
Q1 - 3:02NOHMISS Daniels Layup12
23.9%
18
76.1%
Q1 - 3:15TORBargnani 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
22.8%
18
77.2%
Q1 - 3:33NOHPosey Layup (2 PTS)10
21.2%
18
78.8%
Q1 - 3:44TORKapono L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)10
16
Q1 - 3:44NOHHORNETS Rebound10
22.8%
16
77.2%
Q1 - 3:44NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
23.9%
16
76.1%
Q1 - 3:50NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
22.8%
16
77.2%
Q1 - 3:52TORMISS Bargnani Layup10
23.3%
16
76.7%
Q1 - 4:01TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
25.3%
16
74.7%
Q1 - 4:02NOHMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot10
24.8%
16
75.2%
Q1 - 4:27TORO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)10
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 4:43NOHWest 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)10
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 5:08TORBargnani 22' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)10
27.2%
14
72.8%
Q1 - 5:24NOHStojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (West 1 AST)8
26.0%
14
74.0%
Q1 - 5:44TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
28.9%
11
71.1%
Q1 - 5:44TORRaptors Rebound7
11
Q1 - 5:44TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 27
28.7%
11
71.3%
Q1 - 5:44TORSUB: Kapono FOR Parker7
11
Q1 - 5:44NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)7
11
Q1 - 5:44NOHStojakovic S.FOUL (P1.T4)7
11
Q1 - 5:57NOHDaniels Dunk (2 PTS)7
29.2%
11
70.8%
Q1 - 6:01TORDaniels STEAL (1 STL)7
30.4%
9
69.6%
Q1 - 6:15NOHWest 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)7
32.1%
9
67.9%
Q1 - 6:24NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
33.6%
7
66.4%
Q1 - 6:25TORMISS Calderon 17' Jump Shot7
34.2%
7
65.8%
Q1 - 6:34TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
35.3%
7
64.7%
Q1 - 6:35NOHMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
34.8%
7
65.2%
Q1 - 6:55TORO'Neal Driving Layup (6 PTS)7
33.7%
7
66.3%
Q1 - 7:13NOHButler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
32.3%
7
67.7%
Q1 - 7:31NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
33.6%
5
66.4%
Q1 - 7:32TORMISS Graham Free Throw 2 of 25
33.9%
5
66.1%
Q1 - 7:32NOHSUB: Posey FOR Bowen5
5
Q1 - 7:32TORGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
34.9%
5
65.1%
Q1 - 7:32NOHWest S.FOUL (P1.T3)4
5
Q1 - 7:33NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
33.8%
5
66.2%
Q1 - 7:34NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
32.2%
5
67.8%
Q1 - 7:35TORMISS Graham Layup4
32.7%
5
67.3%
Q1 - 7:41TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.8%
5
66.2%
Q1 - 7:42NOHMISS Stojakovic Layup4
33.4%
5
66.6%
Q1 - 7:58NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
32.4%
5
67.6%
Q1 - 7:59TORMISS Bargnani 21' Jump Shot4
32.9%
5
67.1%
Q1 - 8:13NOHBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
33.8%
5
66.2%
Q1 - 8:13NOHHORNETS Rebound4
4
Q1 - 8:13NOHMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 24
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 8:13TORO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 8:34NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.9%
4
66.1%
Q1 - 8:35TORMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot4
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 8:44NOHBowen P.FOUL (P2.T2)4
4
Q1 - 8:59NOHStojakovic Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)4
35.3%
4
64.7%
Q1 - 9:13TORO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)4
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 9:21TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 9:22NOHMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 9:36NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 9:37TORMISS Graham 10' Jump Shot2
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 9:47TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.4%
2
64.6%
Q1 - 9:48NOHMISS Daniels Layup2
35.1%
2
64.9%
Q1 - 9:54NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 9:55TORMISS Bargnani 21' Jump Shot2
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 10:18TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.5%
2
64.5%
Q1 - 10:19NOHMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot2
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 10:33TORO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 10:46NOHBowen P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:56NOHButler 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 11:16TORO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
36.0%
0
64.0%
Q1 - 11:35TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:36NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball West vs. Bargnani: Tip to Stojakovic0
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventTORNOH
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.16 58.2%
NOH
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
13
19
68%
NOH
10
19
53%
Midrange
TOR
15
36
42%
NOH
11
24
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
NOH
15
22.5
32
47%
70%
Free Throws
TOR
15
20
75%
NOH
14
16
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2471%12.0 / 17
A. Bargnani1959%9.5 / 16
J. Calderon1673%8.0 / 11
A. Parker1250%6.0 / 12
J. Moon1056%5.0 / 9
J. Kapono660%3.0 / 5
J. Graham338%1.5 / 4
J. Voskuhl233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Stojakovic2874%14.0 / 19
R. Butler1757%8.5 / 15
D. West1761%8.5 / 14
J. Posey1771%8.5 / 12
D. Brown975%4.5 / 6
A. Daniels840%4.0 / 10
R. Bowen338%1.5 / 4
S. Marks250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
70
+8
-16
78
NOH
73
+11
-13
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.16 58.2%
NOH
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
108.6
TOR 107.0
NOH 117.4 +10.5
Pace
92.6
88.0
TOR 91.1 +9.7
NOH 81.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.8
TOR 15.8 −1.9
NOH 17.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
50.1%
TOR 55.8%
NOH 58.0% +2.2%
TO %
13.8%
13.3%
TOR 17.9%
NOH 14.6% −3.3%
ORB %
24.1%
24.6%
TOR 22.9%
NOH 25.7% +2.8%
FTrt
27.9
28.8
TOR 29.0 +7.7
NOH 21.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
55.3%
TOR 65.7%
NOH 72.2% +6.5%
STL %
6.8%
8.2%
TOR 8.1%
NOH 8.1%
BLK %
7.6%
7.2%
TOR 9.3% +3.8%
NOH 5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
53.1%
TOR 58.2%
NOH 58.7% +0.5%
Rim FG%
57.9%
58.6%
TOR 68.4% +15.8%
NOH 52.6%
Mid FG%
42.3%
42.5%
TOR 41.7%
NOH 45.8% +4.1%
3P %
37.2%
36.4%
TOR 50.0% +3.1%
NOH 46.9%
FT %
82.4%
80.7%
TOR 75.0%
NOH 87.5% +12.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.4%
29.0%
TOR 27.5% +2.2%
NOH 25.3%
Mid Att. %
52.3%
47.0%
TOR 52.2%
NOH 32.0% −20.2%
3P Att. %
19.3%
24.0%
TOR 20.3%
NOH 42.7% +22.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.06 and 2.06.
Game TotalsTORNOH
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points92101
Rebounds3436
Assists2326
Steals77
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (0)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)27 (2)
Field Goals35-6936-75
At-the-Rim FG13-1910-19
Midrange FG15-3611-24
2-Point FG28-5521-43
3-Point FG7-1415-32
Free Throws15-2014-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 23
41.2
19
59%
4
2
0
2
5
2
0
4
3-5
60%
5-10
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'6" 210 · 34
39.8
12
50%
5
4
1
0
1
2
2
3
2-3
67%
2-7
29%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
38.3
24
71%
6
3
1
1
5
4
0
6
4-4
100%
10-16
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
35.4
16
73%
5
9
3
0
1
2
1
4
3-4
75%
5-7
71%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 230 · 27
29.8
3
38%
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 205 · 29
29.6
10
56%
7
2
1
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 28
14.9
6
60%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
11.1
2
33%
4
1
0
0
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 25
G · 6'5" 190 · 24
G · 6'1" 185 · 31
F · 6'10" 280 · 22
#43 · F · 6'9" 235 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
58%
34
23
7
4
16
0
8
26
15-20
75%
28-55
51%
7-14
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.