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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 6, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Raptors36%9092
13Hornets64%95101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.3
41.2
35.0
19
59%
4
2
0
1
2
5
0
4
3-5
60%
5-10
4-10
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.6
39.8
31.1
12
49%
5
4
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-3
67%
2-7
3-6
29%
47%
2-4
50%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.3
38.3
33.0
24
68%
6
3
1
1
1
5
0
6
4-4
100%
10-16
5-12
63%
46%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
35.4
21.8
16
74%
5
9
3
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
5-7
2-4
71%
53%
1-2
50%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
29.8
29.9
3
39%
3
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
1-3
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.7
29.6
19.1
10
56%
7
2
1
1
1
0
2
5
2-2
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
52%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.0
14.9
18.7
6
60%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
11.1
1.1
2
33%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.9
32.9
1
6-13
50%
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.2
9.3
0
1-3
46%
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.6
5.4
0
1-1
49%
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.3
1.2
0
0-0
46%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.7
44.1
35.9
28
72%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
3-3
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
7-11
64%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
41.6
28.0
17
57%
8
5
1
1
1
3
0
8
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
45%
3-9
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
39.7
38.7
17
60%
10
6
0
1
0
3
2
8
5-5
100%
6-12
8-17
50%
50%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.9
28.0
18.7
8
40%
0
6
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-8
2-3
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.2
16.2
9.1
3
39%
2
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.1
33.3
29.2
17
72%
5
3
1
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
4-8
50%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
20.0
16.1
9
77%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.5
13.2
10.1
2
50%
4
1
2
0
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.7
3.9
10.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
54%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.8
22.3
1
4-8
53%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.2
17.1
0
2-4
52%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.8
8.6
0
1-2
45%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.3
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.