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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 12, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Heat42%9395
14Bulls58%9593
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.8
38.9
33.8
12
60%
7
4
3
1
2
2
2
5
0-0
-
6-9
5-9
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.1
38.3
36.6
24
47%
2
7
1
2
2
3
0
2
6-6
100%
9-21
8-17
43%
51%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.7
34.7
33.5
10
73%
7
1
3
1
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
33.7
34.6
6
38%
4
5
4
2
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.5
9.9
24.8
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.1
30.5
17.4
21
97%
7
3
1
0
2
3
2
5
2-2
100%
8-9
4-8
89%
48%
1-1
100%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.8
29.9
23.4
14
64%
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
41%
4-6
67%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.4
14.3
12.2
3
28%
2
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
1-4
25%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.4
9.8
11.9
3
50%
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
11.0
0
1-2
46%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.2
4.3
0
1-1
47%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.5
4.1
0
0-0
44%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.2
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.0
43.3
34.0
5
37%
11
3
2
1
2
4
5
6
3-4
75%
1-5
4-7
20%
53%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.9
41.8
32.8
34
61%
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
14-16
88%
10-19
4-9
53%
47%
0-2
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.4
38.9
31.0
18
57%
4
6
1
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
7-13
6-13
54%
50%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
38.0
36.7
15
68%
8
3
1
1
2
6
0
8
5-7
71%
5-8
5-11
63%
46%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.8
28.1
33.2
6
44%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
5-11
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.1
26.7
25.0
8
57%
2
5
3
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
46%
0-2
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.2
16.9
22.1
7
39%
4
0
2
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.8
6.3
12.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.4
7.7
0
1-3
48%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.2
5.7
0
1-1
52%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.2
2.0
0
0-0
38%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
1.9
0
0-0
48%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32.1
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.