FinalWin Prob.pScore
1742%93
95
1458%95
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
100.09588.7
CHI logo CHI
96.996103.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI95
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAMarion Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)95
99.3%
93
0.7%
Q4 - 0:03.0CHISefolosha Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T19)93
62.1%
93
37.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAHinrich STEAL (3 STL)93
43.3%
93
56.7%
Q4 - 0:06.0CHIGordon Free Throw 3 of 3 (34 PTS)93
67.3%
93
32.7%
Q4 - 0:06.0CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 3 (33 PTS)93
70.4%
92
29.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 3 (32 PTS)93
73.8%
91
26.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)93
92.6%
90
7.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot93
95.1%
90
4.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0CHIThomas Dunk (15 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)93
95.8%
90
4.2%
Q4 - 0:38.0CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
96.8%
88
3.2%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIANoah BLOCK (2 BLK)93
97.3%
88
2.7%
Q4 - 1:02CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)93
97.1%
88
2.9%
Q4 - 1:02CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)93
97.4%
87
2.6%
Q4 - 1:12MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS)93
97.9%
86
2.1%
Q4 - 1:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)91
95.4%
86
4.6%
Q4 - 1:33CHIMISS Noah Layup91
94.3%
86
5.7%
Q4 - 1:42MIAWade 11' Fadeaway Bank Shot (22 PTS)91
90.4%
86
9.6%
Q4 - 1:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
85.1%
86
14.9%
Q4 - 1:59CHIMISS Thomas 9' Jump Shot89
83.0%
86
17.0%
Q4 - 2:20MIAWade Driving Dunk (20 PTS)89
76.2%
86
23.8%
Q4 - 2:32MIACook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
70.6%
86
29.4%
Q4 - 2:35CHIMISS Rose Layup87
65.9%
86
34.1%
Q4 - 2:50MIAChalmers Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)87
53.9%
86
46.1%
Q4 - 3:17CHIRose Driving Layup (16 PTS)85
46.5%
86
53.5%
Q4 - 3:27CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)85
53.8%
84
46.2%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Floating Jump Shot85
58.7%
84
41.3%
Q4 - 3:54CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (31 PTS)85
63.5%
84
36.5%
Q4 - 4:00CHINoah REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)85
78.6%
81
21.4%
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
80.7%
81
19.3%
Q4 - 4:23CHIThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)85
85.0%
81
15.0%
Q4 - 4:23CHIMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 285
86.0%
80
14.0%
Q4 - 4:33MIAHaslem 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST)85
84.7%
80
15.3%
Q4 - 4:49CHIRose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)83
79.5%
80
20.5%
Q4 - 5:10MIAHinrich STEAL (2 STL)83
68.4%
80
31.6%
Q4 - 5:36CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)83
75.7%
80
24.3%
Q4 - 5:36CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)83
77.6%
79
22.4%
Q4 - 5:36CHIBULLS Rebound83
81.1%
78
18.9%
Q4 - 5:36CHIMISS Gordon Driving Layup83
84.6%
78
15.4%
Q4 - 5:54MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)83
81.2%
78
18.8%
Q4 - 6:10CHIThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T17)80
66.5%
78
33.5%
Q4 - 6:19CHINoah REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)80
59.2%
78
40.8%
Q4 - 6:21CHINoah REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)80
59.2%
78
40.8%
Q4 - 6:21CHIMISS Noah Tip Shot80
64.4%
78
35.6%
Q4 - 6:23CHIMISS Gordon 15' Jump Shot80
64.4%
78
35.6%
Q4 - 6:29CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
59.2%
78
40.8%
Q4 - 6:31MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot80
61.5%
78
38.5%
Q4 - 6:46CHIHinrich Layup (8 PTS)80
66.6%
78
33.4%
Q4 - 6:51MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)80
72.8%
76
27.2%
Q4 - 7:03CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)80
76.3%
76
23.7%
Q4 - 7:03CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 1 of 280
77.8%
75
22.2%
Q4 - 7:14MIAWade Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)80
76.0%
75
24.0%
Q4 - 7:18MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
71.0%
75
29.0%
Q4 - 7:21MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot78
66.5%
75
33.5%
Q4 - 7:34MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
71.0%
75
29.0%
Q4 - 7:35CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 278
70.2%
75
29.8%
Q4 - 7:35CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)78
65.7%
75
34.3%
Q4 - 7:38CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
70.6%
74
29.4%
Q4 - 7:40MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
72.5%
74
27.5%
Q4 - 7:58CHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)78
76.5%
74
23.5%
Q4 - 8:19MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)78
83.1%
71
16.9%
Q4 - 8:27CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)76
79.0%
71
21.0%
Q4 - 8:37CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
74.6%
71
25.4%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot76
76.0%
71
24.0%
Q4 - 8:58CHIHinrich Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)76
79.1%
71
20.9%
Q4 - 9:16CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
81.3%
69
18.7%
Q4 - 9:18MIAThomas BLOCK (2 BLK)76
82.3%
69
17.7%
Q4 - 9:24MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
84.5%
69
15.5%
Q4 - 9:27MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot76
82.3%
69
17.7%
Q4 - 9:46CHINocioni 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)76
84.6%
69
15.4%
Q4 - 9:59CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
87.6%
67
12.4%
Q4 - 10:01CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
87.7%
67
12.3%
Q4 - 10:19CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
86.0%
67
14.0%
Q4 - 10:21MIANoah BLOCK (1 BLK)76
86.8%
67
13.2%
Q4 - 10:45CHIGordon 16' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)76
88.5%
67
11.5%
Q4 - 10:53CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
90.7%
65
9.3%
Q4 - 10:54MIAMISS Marion Layup76
91.2%
65
8.8%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
91.1%
65
8.9%
Q4 - 11:13CHIMISS Nocioni 18' Jump Shot76
90.6%
65
9.4%
Q4 - 11:31CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
89.4%
65
10.6%
Q4 - 11:32MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot76
90.0%
65
10.0%
Q4 - 11:46MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
91.2%
65
8.8%
Q4 - 11:49CHIMISS Gordon Layup76
90.7%
65
9.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA76
89.4%
65
10.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0CHINocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)76
89.9%
65
10.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
93.2%
62
6.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
93.6%
62
6.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
94.3%
62
5.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0CHIMISS Nocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
94.0%
62
6.0%
Q3 - 1:00MIABeasley 12' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)76
93.3%
62
6.7%
Q3 - 1:19CHIHinrich Layup (4 PTS) (Noah 3 AST)74
90.8%
62
9.2%
Q3 - 1:37MIABeasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)74
92.5%
60
7.5%
Q3 - 1:44MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
89.1%
60
10.9%
Q3 - 1:46CHIMISS Noah Layup71
88.5%
60
11.5%
Q3 - 2:04MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)71
85.7%
60
14.3%
Q3 - 2:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
80.5%
60
19.5%
Q3 - 2:11CHIMISS Gordon 16' Jump Shot68
79.6%
60
20.4%
Q3 - 2:14CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)68
77.4%
60
22.6%
Q3 - 2:16CHIMISS Gordon Layup68
79.6%
60
20.4%
Q3 - 2:22MIANocioni STEAL (2 STL)68
77.5%
60
22.5%
Q3 - 2:40CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)68
80.6%
60
19.4%
Q3 - 2:40CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)68
80.9%
59
19.1%
Q3 - 2:51MIABeasley 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
83.4%
58
16.6%
Q3 - 3:09MIAHeat Rebound66
79.5%
58
20.5%
Q3 - 3:10CHIMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot66
78.5%
58
21.5%
Q3 - 3:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)66
76.2%
58
23.8%
Q3 - 3:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
75.5%
58
24.5%
Q3 - 3:29MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
73.0%
58
27.0%
Q3 - 3:32CHIMISS Hinrich 12' Jump Shot64
71.9%
58
28.1%
Q3 - 3:44MIABeasley Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)64
69.1%
58
30.9%
Q3 - 3:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
65.4%
58
34.6%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot62
62.3%
58
37.7%
Q3 - 4:12CHIGordon Driving Layup (23 PTS)62
64.8%
58
35.2%
Q3 - 4:25MIAWade Driving Dunk (14 PTS)62
68.0%
56
32.0%
Q3 - 4:40CHIRose Driving Layup (14 PTS)60
64.8%
56
35.2%
Q3 - 4:43CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
68.1%
54
31.9%
Q3 - 4:46MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot60
69.4%
54
30.6%
Q3 - 4:58CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)60
72.3%
54
27.7%
Q3 - 4:58CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)60
72.9%
53
27.1%
Q3 - 5:14MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)60
73.7%
52
26.3%
Q3 - 5:17CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)60
77.2%
52
22.8%
Q3 - 5:34MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T14)60
73.8%
52
26.2%
Q3 - 5:40CHINoah 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T14)60
77.3%
52
22.7%
Q3 - 5:57MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
73.8%
52
26.2%
Q3 - 5:57MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
73.2%
52
26.8%
Q3 - 6:00CHIGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)58
70.9%
52
29.1%
Q3 - 6:17CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
66.0%
52
34.0%
Q3 - 6:19MIAMISS Quinn 16' Jump Shot58
67.2%
52
32.8%
Q3 - 6:41CHIGordon Dunk (21 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)58
69.8%
52
30.2%
Q3 - 6:57MIABeasley Dunk (8 PTS) (Marion 4 AST)58
72.9%
50
27.1%
Q3 - 7:15MIAHeat Rebound56
68.3%
50
31.7%
Q3 - 7:16CHIMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot56
67.3%
50
32.7%
Q3 - 7:34MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)56
64.8%
50
35.2%
Q3 - 7:52CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)54
61.4%
50
38.6%
Q3 - 7:53CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
68.3%
47
31.7%
Q3 - 7:55MIAThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)54
69.4%
47
30.6%
Q3 - 8:04CHIThomas Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)54
70.9%
47
29.1%
Q3 - 8:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)54
67.5%
47
32.5%
Q3 - 8:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
66.8%
47
33.2%
Q3 - 8:36CHIThomas Slam Dunk (9 PTS)52
64.4%
47
35.6%
Q3 - 8:40MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)52
67.5%
45
32.5%
Q3 - 9:08CHIGordon Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)52
70.2%
45
29.8%
Q3 - 9:13CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
73.2%
43
26.8%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
74.1%
43
25.9%
Q3 - 9:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
76.0%
43
24.0%
Q3 - 9:23MIAMISS Chalmers 28' 3PT Jump Shot52
74.1%
43
25.9%
Q3 - 9:47CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
76.1%
43
23.9%
Q3 - 9:47CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
76.6%
42
23.4%
Q3 - 9:47CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
78.6%
41
21.4%
Q3 - 9:47CHIMISS Rose Layup52
80.3%
41
19.7%
Q3 - 10:05MIAAnthony Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T12)52
77.5%
41
22.5%
Q3 - 10:22CHIDeng Layup (6 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)52
80.0%
41
20.0%
Q3 - 10:41MIAMarion Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)52
82.2%
39
17.8%
Q3 - 10:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
80.0%
39
20.0%
Q3 - 10:47CHIMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot50
79.3%
39
20.7%
Q3 - 10:56CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
77.6%
39
22.4%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot50
78.4%
39
21.6%
Q3 - 11:15CHIThomas Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P4.T11)50
79.2%
39
20.8%
Q3 - 11:36MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)50
76.7%
39
23.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI50
79.3%
39
20.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Rebound50
76.8%
39
23.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Rose 37' 3PT Jump Shot50
78.5%
39
21.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIARose STEAL (1 STL)50
76.3%
39
23.7%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
78.1%
39
21.9%
Q2 - 0:22.0CHIMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot50
77.6%
39
22.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMarion 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
76.3%
39
23.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
73.2%
39
26.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
73.7%
38
26.3%
Q2 - 1:14MIAHaslem Dunk (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)48
75.7%
37
24.3%
Q2 - 1:20CHINoah Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)46
72.5%
37
27.5%
Q2 - 1:30MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)46
70.6%
37
29.4%
Q2 - 1:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
72.5%
37
27.5%
Q2 - 1:50CHIMISS Gordon 10' Jump Shot46
72.0%
37
28.0%
Q2 - 1:58MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)46
70.6%
37
29.4%
Q2 - 2:16MIAHeat Rebound44
66.6%
37
33.4%
Q2 - 2:17CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot44
65.7%
37
34.3%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMarion Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)44
63.6%
37
36.4%
Q2 - 2:41CHIThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)42
60.7%
37
39.3%
Q2 - 2:59MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)42
57.6%
37
42.4%
Q2 - 3:10CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)40
54.4%
37
45.6%
Q2 - 3:10CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)40
54.7%
36
45.3%
Q2 - 3:13CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
56.9%
35
43.1%
Q2 - 3:15MIAMISS Wade 16' Pullup Jump Shot40
58.0%
35
42.0%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
60.5%
35
39.5%
Q2 - 3:29CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 240
60.0%
35
40.0%
Q2 - 3:29CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)40
57.8%
35
42.2%
Q2 - 3:35CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
60.0%
34
40.0%
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot40
61.0%
34
39.0%
Q2 - 3:48CHIRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)40
63.4%
34
36.6%
Q2 - 3:51MIAWade Layup (6 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)40
60.0%
34
40.0%
Q2 - 3:54MIACook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
57.5%
34
42.5%
Q2 - 3:56MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot38
55.0%
34
45.0%
Q2 - 4:03CHIDeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)38
56.7%
34
43.3%
Q2 - 4:14CHIBULLS Rebound38
53.5%
34
46.5%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS Marion Layup38
54.5%
34
45.5%
Q2 - 4:34CHIThomas Running Dunk (7 PTS)38
56.8%
34
43.2%
Q2 - 4:40CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
59.5%
32
40.5%
Q2 - 4:42MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
60.5%
32
39.5%
Q2 - 4:57MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
62.7%
32
37.3%
Q2 - 4:59CHIMISS Nocioni Layup38
61.7%
32
38.3%
Q2 - 5:16MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)38
59.3%
32
40.7%
Q2 - 5:34CHIRose Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)36
56.3%
32
43.7%
Q2 - 5:51CHIBULLS Rebound36
59.3%
30
40.7%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot36
60.2%
30
39.8%
Q2 - 6:00MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
62.1%
30
37.9%
Q2 - 6:02CHIMISS Nocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
60.7%
30
39.3%
Q2 - 6:21MIABeasley Layup (4 PTS)36
58.4%
30
41.6%
Q2 - 6:24MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
56.1%
30
43.9%
Q2 - 6:26MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
53.8%
30
46.2%
Q2 - 6:43MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
56.1%
30
43.9%
Q2 - 6:46CHIMISS Sefolosha 8' Jump Shot34
55.1%
30
44.9%
Q2 - 7:09MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
52.7%
30
47.3%
Q2 - 7:09MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
52.3%
30
47.7%
Q2 - 7:18MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
49.9%
30
50.1%
Q2 - 7:21CHIMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot32
49.0%
30
51.0%
Q2 - 7:26MIANocioni STEAL (1 STL)32
47.0%
30
53.0%
Q2 - 7:30CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)32
49.9%
30
50.1%
Q2 - 7:49MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)32
47.0%
30
53.0%
Q2 - 7:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
41.5%
30
58.5%
Q2 - 7:57CHIMISS Nocioni Layup29
40.6%
30
59.4%
Q2 - 8:05CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
38.8%
30
61.2%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
39.5%
30
60.5%
Q2 - 8:25MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
41.3%
30
58.7%
Q2 - 8:27CHIMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot29
40.5%
30
59.5%
Q2 - 8:48MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)29
38.8%
30
61.2%
Q2 - 8:48MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
41.3%
30
58.7%
Q2 - 8:48MIAHinrich BLOCK (1 BLK)29
39.5%
30
60.5%
Q2 - 9:15CHIRose 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)29
41.1%
30
58.9%
Q2 - 9:19CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
43.7%
28
56.3%
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
44.5%
28
55.5%
Q2 - 9:43CHIRose 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
46.4%
28
53.6%
Q2 - 9:56MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
49.1%
26
50.9%
Q2 - 10:03CHINoah Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)26
43.7%
26
56.3%
Q2 - 10:13CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
41.1%
26
58.9%
Q2 - 10:17CHIMISS Nocioni 15' Turnaround Jump Shot26
42.9%
26
57.1%
Q2 - 10:40MIAQuinn Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)26
41.1%
26
58.9%
Q2 - 10:59CHIHinrich 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
43.7%
26
56.3%
Q2 - 11:15MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)26
46.1%
24
53.9%
Q2 - 11:31MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
41.1%
24
58.9%
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot23
39.4%
24
60.6%
Q2 - 11:42MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw Technical23
41.1%
24
58.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI23
41.1%
24
58.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Rebound23
38.6%
24
61.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Noah Tip Shot23
40.4%
24
59.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
38.8%
24
61.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0CHIMISS Thomas 6' Hook Shot23
40.0%
24
60.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
38.8%
24
61.2%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot23
39.3%
24
60.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
40.6%
24
59.4%
Q1 - 0:35.0CHIMISS Deng Layup23
40.0%
24
60.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)23
38.8%
24
61.2%
Q1 - 1:14CHIThomas Dunk (5 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)20
33.9%
24
66.1%
Q1 - 1:34CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
36.7%
22
63.3%
Q1 - 1:37MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot20
37.2%
22
62.8%
Q1 - 1:52MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
38.2%
22
61.8%
Q1 - 1:55CHIMISS Hinrich 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
37.8%
22
62.2%
Q1 - 1:58CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
36.7%
22
63.3%
Q1 - 2:02CHIMISS Gordon Layup20
38.0%
22
62.0%
Q1 - 2:06MIANoah STEAL (2 STL)20
36.7%
22
63.3%
Q1 - 2:23CHIThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
38.5%
22
61.5%
Q1 - 2:23CHIMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 220
39.0%
21
61.0%
Q1 - 2:37MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)20
38.9%
21
61.1%
Q1 - 2:47MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
36.3%
21
63.7%
Q1 - 2:49CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
35.8%
21
64.2%
Q1 - 2:55CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
34.6%
21
65.4%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot18
35.2%
21
64.8%
Q1 - 3:24CHIGordon Layup (11 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)18
36.6%
21
63.4%
Q1 - 3:29MIANoah STEAL (1 STL)18
38.7%
19
61.3%
Q1 - 3:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
40.9%
19
59.1%
Q1 - 3:40CHIMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot18
40.3%
19
59.7%
Q1 - 3:57MIABeasley 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)18
38.8%
19
61.2%
Q1 - 4:09MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
36.5%
19
63.5%
Q1 - 4:10CHIMISS Thomas Driving Layup16
35.9%
19
64.1%
Q1 - 4:22MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
34.4%
19
65.6%
Q1 - 4:33CHIGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)16
36.5%
19
63.5%
Q1 - 4:38CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
34.4%
19
65.6%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS Marion 14' Jump Shot16
35.0%
19
65.0%
Q1 - 5:00CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)16
36.5%
19
63.5%
Q1 - 5:00CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)16
36.8%
18
63.2%
Q1 - 5:20MIAMarion Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)16
38.4%
17
61.6%
Q1 - 5:24CHINoah Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
36.6%
17
63.4%
Q1 - 5:39MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
34.4%
17
65.6%
Q1 - 5:39MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
34.0%
17
66.0%
Q1 - 5:53MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
32.7%
17
67.3%
Q1 - 5:57CHIMISS Gordon 18' Fadeaway Jumper12
32.1%
17
67.9%
Q1 - 6:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
30.7%
17
69.3%
Q1 - 6:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
30.3%
17
69.7%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
29.0%
17
71.0%
Q1 - 6:15CHIMISS Gordon 13' Running Jump Shot10
28.4%
17
71.6%
Q1 - 6:38MIAAnthony 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)10
27.2%
17
72.8%
Q1 - 6:59CHIDeng Layup (2 PTS)8
25.6%
17
74.4%
Q1 - 7:02MIADeng STEAL (1 STL)8
27.1%
15
72.9%
Q1 - 7:26CHINoah Layup (2 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)8
29.0%
15
71.0%
Q1 - 7:33CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
30.6%
13
69.4%
Q1 - 7:36MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot8
31.2%
13
68.8%
Q1 - 7:51CHIThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)8
32.6%
13
67.4%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMarion Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
30.6%
13
69.4%
Q1 - 8:33CHIGordon 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)6
28.9%
13
71.1%
Q1 - 8:47MIAChalmers 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)6
30.6%
11
69.4%
Q1 - 9:07CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)4
29.6%
11
70.4%
Q1 - 9:13CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.2%
8
66.8%
Q1 - 9:15MIAMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot4
33.7%
8
66.3%
Q1 - 9:18MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
34.8%
8
65.2%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot4
33.6%
8
66.4%
Q1 - 9:31CHIThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
34.8%
8
65.2%
Q1 - 9:31CHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
35.1%
7
64.9%
Q1 - 9:42MIAMarion Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T1)4
36.8%
6
63.2%
Q1 - 9:55CHIGordon Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Noah 2 AST)4
38.4%
6
61.6%
Q1 - 10:08MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
40.4%
4
59.6%
Q1 - 10:20CHIRose 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Noah 1 AST)2
38.7%
4
61.3%
Q1 - 10:40MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)2
40.4%
2
59.6%
Q1 - 11:02CHIRose Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)0
38.7%
2
61.3%
Q1 - 11:16CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.2%
0
59.8%
Q1 - 11:18MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot0
40.7%
0
59.3%
Q1 - 11:40CHIThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
41.9%
0
58.1%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Noah vs. Anthony: Tip to Gordon0
40.2%
0
59.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.6%
CHI
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
22
77%
CHI
21
35
60%
Midrange
MIA
14
38
37%
CHI
9
27
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
CHI
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
Free Throws
MIA
12
13
92%
CHI
30
35
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2446%12.0 / 26
M. Beasley2195%10.5 / 11
D. Cook1464%7.0 / 11
S. Marion1260%6.0 / 10
U. Haslem1071%5.0 / 7
M. Chalmers638%3.0 / 8
C. Quinn330%1.5 / 5
J. Jones350%1.5 / 3
J. Anthony233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Gordon3463%17.0 / 27
D. Rose1856%9.0 / 16
T. Thomas1568%7.5 / 11
K. Hinrich857%4.0 / 7
A. Nocioni739%3.5 / 9
L. Deng643%3.0 / 7
J. Noah536%2.5 / 7
T. Sefolosha0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+9
-17
87
CHI
77
+11
-19
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.6%
CHI
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
108.4
MIA 100.0
CHI 96.9 +3.1
Pace
90.2
93.2
MIA 88.7
CHI 103.3 +14.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.1
MIA 16.2
CHI 13.9 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
49.3%
MIA 53.2% +8.2%
CHI 45.0%
TO %
13.1%
14.7%
MIA 18.5%
CHI 18.2% +0.3%
ORB %
24.6%
28.0%
MIA 23.7% +0.8%
CHI 22.9%
FTrt
28.2
30.0
MIA 16.7
CHI 50.0 +33.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
55.4%
MIA 65.8% +1.3%
CHI 64.5%
STL %
8.7%
7.9%
MIA 15.8% +5.4%
CHI 10.4%
BLK %
9.2%
8.3%
MIA 12.9% +4.6%
CHI 8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
52.6%
MIA 54.6% +1.8%
CHI 52.8%
Rim FG%
59.5%
56.2%
MIA 77.3% +17.3%
CHI 60.0%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.7%
MIA 36.8% +3.5%
CHI 33.3%
3P %
35.7%
38.1%
MIA 38.9% +26.4%
CHI 12.5%
FT %
75.4%
79.6%
MIA 92.3% +6.6%
CHI 85.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
35.0%
MIA 28.2%
CHI 50.0% +21.8%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
46.2%
MIA 48.7%
CHI 38.6% +10.1%
3P Att. %
24.5%
18.9%
MIA 23.1% +11.6%
CHI 11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes25.722.3
Points9593
Rebounds3637
Assists2520
Steals1510
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)17 (2)19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (0)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)29 (2)
Field Goals38-7831-70
At-the-Rim FG17-2221-35
Midrange FG14-389-27
2-Point FG31-6030-62
3-Point FG7-181-8
Free Throws12-1330-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
38.9
12
60%
7
4
3
2
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
38.3
24
46%
2
7
1
2
3
2
0
2
6-6
100%
9-21
43%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
34.7
10
71%
7
1
3
0
3
4
2
5
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
33.7
6
38%
4
5
4
0
3
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
9.9
2
33%
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
30.5
21
95%
7
3
1
2
3
4
2
5
2-2
100%
8-9
89%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
29.9
14
64%
5
2
0
0
0
4
2
3
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
4-6
67%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
14.3
3
30%
2
2
2
0
1
2
0
2
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
9.8
3
50%
1
0
1
2
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · G · 6'2" 205 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
55%
36
25
15
8
17
0
9
27
12-13
92%
31-60
52%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.