Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, February 12, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Heat | 42% | 93 | 95 |
 | 14 | Bulls | 58% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 60% | 96 | 99 |
 | 11 | Mavericks | 40% | 92 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, February 11, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Bobcats | 74% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Magic | 68% | 102 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Raptors | 41% | 91 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Pistons | 65% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Bucks | 58% | 102 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 72% | 94 | 89 |
| 19 | Hornets | 28% | 87 | 77 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Lakers | 46% | 103 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Thunder | 19% | 90 | 92 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 81% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Knicks | 44% | 102 | 124 |
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Tuesday, February 10, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 26% | 92 | 90 |
| 15 | Hawks | 74% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 65% | 101 | 95 |
| 17 | Pacers | 35% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 51% | 97 | 99 |
| 14 | Heat | 49% | 96 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 64% | 95 | 108 |
| 23 | Nets | 36% | 91 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 51% | 98 | 110 |
 | 25 | Timberwolves | 49% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 48% | 91 | 102 |
| 16 | Bulls | 52% | 92 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 22% | 96 | 100 |
| 12 | Mavericks | 78% | 106 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 42% | 107 | 127 |
| 18 | Warriors | 58% | 110 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Thunder | 13% | 95 | 98 |
| 3 | Lakers | 87% | 109 | 105 |
Monday, February 9, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 42% | 91 | 73 |
| 25 | Bobcats | 58% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 43% | 97 | 91 |
| 13 | 76ers | 57% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 59% | 92 | 80 | |
| 30 | Grizzlies | 41% | 89 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 65% | 97 | 112 |
| 23 | Bucks | 35% | 92 | 124 |
Sunday, February 8, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 25% | 85 | 105 |
| 1 | Celtics | 75% | 94 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 32% | 95 | 101 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 68% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 37% | 87 | 92 |
| 16 | Heat | 63% | 91 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 19% | 91 | 84 | |
| 4 | Magic | 81% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 31% | 97 | 108 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 66% | 103 | 117 |
| 30 | Wizards | 34% | 98 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 28% | 92 | 97 |
| 14 | Hornets | 72% | 100 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 39% | 100 | 113 |
| 27 | Thunder | 61% | 104 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 45% | 95 | 107 |
| 9 | Pistons | 55% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 54% | 107 | 96 |
| 20 | Warriors | 46% | 105 | 116 |
Saturday, February 7, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 27% | 92 | 121 |
| 17 | Hawks | 73% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 43% | 91 | 84 |
| 16 | 76ers | 57% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 53% | 99 | 70 |
| 22 | Nets | 47% | 98 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 59% | 95 | 70 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 41% | 92 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 34% | 95 | 114 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 66% | 100 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 24% | 93 | 90 |
| 4 | Rockets | 76% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 55% | 92 | 126 |
| 24 | Bucks | 45% | 90 | 121 |
Friday, February 6, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 51% | 92 | 102 |
| 25 | Bobcats | 49% | 91 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magic | 59% | 103 | 102 |
| 15 | Pacers | 41% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 66% | 102 | 110 |
| 20 | Knicks | 34% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Clippers | 45% | 94 | 126 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 55% | 95 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 36% | 90 | 92 |
| 13 | Hornets | 64% | 95 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 66% | 99 | 93 |
| 26 | Thunder | 34% | 93 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 72% | 101 | 124 |
| 27 | Wizards | 28% | 94 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 68% | 105 | 111 |
| 30 | Kings | 32% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 31% | 104 | 105 |
| 11 | Suns | 69% | 110 | 115 |
Thursday, February 5, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 43% | 98 | 94 |
| 16 | 76ers | 57% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 31% | 94 | 110 |
| 1 | Celtics | 69% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 40% | 98 | 87 |
| 10 | Jazz | 60% | 101 | 115 |
Wednesday, February 4, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Clippers | 13% | 89 | 96 |
| 4 | Magic | 87% | 103 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 66% | 103 | 115 |
| 17 | Raptors | 34% | 97 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 47% | 96 | 115 | |
| 26 | Wizards | 53% | 97 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 36% | 86 | 90 |
| 12 | Pistons | 64% | 91 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 61% | 101 | 107 |
| 21 | Knicks | 39% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 71% | 96 | 93 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 29% | 89 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 51% | 98 | 94 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 49% | 97 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 27% | 89 | 107 |
| 10 | Hornets | 73% | 97 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 66% | 102 | 114 |
| 27 | Thunder | 34% | 97 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 94 | 99 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 61% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 52% | 107 | 112 |
| 18 | Warriors | 48% | 106 | 124 |
Tuesday, February 3, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 23% | 88 | 83 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 77% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 34% | 101 | 116 |
| 14 | Pacers | 66% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 59% | 93 | 100 |
| 15 | 76ers | 41% | 90 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 45% | 96 | 85 |
| 22 | Nets | 55% | 98 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 28% | 91 | 100 |
| 6 | Rockets | 72% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 32% | 92 | 96 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 68% | 98 | 104 |
Monday, February 2, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 31% | 95 | 105 |
| 1 | Magic | 69% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 38% | 92 | 113 |
| 26 | Wizards | 62% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Clippers | 27% | 89 | 95 |
| 17 | Heat | 73% | 97 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 64% | 108 | 126 |
| 20 | Knicks | 36% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 89 | 97 |
| 10 | Hornets | 61% | 93 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 15% | 99 | 81 |
| 8 | Suns | 85% | 112 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 32% | 90 | 86 |
| 15 | Jazz | 68% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 60% | 102 | 110 |
| 18 | Warriors | 40% | 99 | 105 |
Sunday, February 1, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 19% | 90 | 101 |
| 4 | Celtics | 81% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic | 61% | 99 | 113 |
| 13 | Raptors | 39% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 54% | 90 | 90 |
| 12 | Pistons | 46% | 88 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Thunder | 47% | 102 | 118 |
| 28 | Kings | 53% | 103 | 122 |
Saturday, January 31, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 40% | 104 | 122 |
| 16 | Pacers | 60% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 32% | 93 | 85 | |
| 14 | 76ers | 68% | 99 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 60% | 97 | 111 |
| 23 | Heat | 40% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 78% | 103 | 115 |
| 30 | Grizzlies | 22% | 93 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Clippers | 38% | 93 | 94 |
| 25 | Wizards | 62% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 22% | 96 | 93 |
| 6 | Rockets | 78% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 49% | 95 | 107 |
| 22 | Bucks | 51% | 96 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | 33% | 87 | 93 | |
| 5 | Spurs | 67% | 93 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 25% | 96 | 122 |
| 8 | Suns | 75% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 36% | 95 | 108 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 64% | 99 | 122 |
Friday, January 30, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 60% | 90 | 86 |
| 13 | Pistons | 40% | 86 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 38% | 96 | 103 |
| 17 | Pacers | 62% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 27% | 90 | 94 |
| 15 | 76ers | 73% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 33% | 92 | 96 |
| 14 | Raptors | 67% | 98 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 37% | 95 | 88 | |
| 16 | Hawks | 63% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Clippers | 13% | 84 | 95 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 87% | 99 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 69% | 106 | 132 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 31% | 99 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bobcats | 21% | 88 | 99 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 79% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Thunder | 22% | 95 | 90 |
| 12 | Jazz | 78% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 26% | 96 | 91 |
| 8 | Hornets | 74% | 104 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 54% | 102 | 109 |
| 25 | Kings | 46% | 101 | 88 |