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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 12, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Trail Blazers46%10298
19Warriors54%103105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.6
42.2
37.7
37
75%
2
2
2
1
0
3
2
0
6-8
75%
11-16
7-15
69%
49%
3-5
60%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
36.1
35.6
20
68%
3
1
0
1
2
5
3
0
4-4
100%
8-13
7-15
62%
50%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.7
31.4
23.5
10
45%
4
7
3
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
5-10
2-5
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.1
18.1
23.2
8
80%
11
0
0
1
0
3
2
9
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
56%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.2
14.1
14.2
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.4
35.0
32.3
8
27%
12
1
0
1
1
3
1
11
2-2
100%
3-13
5-10
23%
47%
0-1
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.9
25.1
23.5
9
60%
1
5
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.3
19.3
21.4
2
25%
6
0
0
0
1
1
4
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
58%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.5
16.4
23.3
4
34%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-4
3-6
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.7
2.4
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.2
1.4
0
0-0
49%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
1.3
0
0-0
48%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.2
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.0
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.3
43.9
30.3
20
54%
2
3
3
1
0
4
0
2
5-6
83%
6-15
6-11
40%
52%
1-1
100%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.9
43.7
42.0
20
57%
4
6
1
1
2
5
0
4
8-8
100%
3-11
6-12
27%
46%
2-3
67%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.9
38.2
37.4
12
48%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
8-8
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.1
28.7
30.4
14
73%
11
2
1
1
1
0
7
4
6-6
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
25.7
27.1
6
39%
6
0
1
1
2
1
1
5
4-4
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
49%
0-1
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.3
33.8
26.5
24
63%
5
1
1
1
0
1
3
2
5-7
71%
8-15
5-10
53%
50%
1-1
100%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.6
14.3
10.2
9
58%
10
0
1
0
0
1
2
8
3-4
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.8
11.7
17.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
4.2
0
0-1
48%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 23.9
2.5
0
0-1
49%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.2
1.8
0
0-0
42%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
1.0
0
0-0
47%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.4
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.9
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.