FinalWin Prob.pScore
861%103
94
2439%100
100
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
100.09496.5
IND logo IND
107.59390.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENIND
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN94
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0INDJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)94
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0INDJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)94
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:16)94
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot94
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 0:12.0INDDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)94
3.2%
98
96.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENBillups 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (27 PTS)94
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0INDJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)92
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 0:20.0INDMISS Jack Free Throw 1 of 292
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 0:24.0INDPACERS Rebound92
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0DENMISS Anthony 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)92
3.0%
97
97.0%
Q4 - 0:33.0INDMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0DENBillups 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (25 PTS)92
3.5%
97
96.5%
Q4 - 1:03INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)90
2.4%
97
97.6%
Q4 - 1:03INDPACERS Rebound90
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 1:03INDMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot90
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q4 - 1:27DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)90
2.2%
97
97.8%
Q4 - 1:27DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 289
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q4 - 1:27DENNuggets Rebound89
2.3%
97
97.7%
Q4 - 1:28DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 289
1.4%
97
98.6%
Q4 - 1:28DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)89
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q4 - 1:38INDJack 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)88
1.8%
97
98.2%
Q4 - 1:40INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)88
4.7%
94
95.3%
Q4 - 1:41INDMISS Daniels 6' Jump Shot88
6.9%
94
93.1%
Q4 - 2:05DENAnthony 2' Layup (19 PTS)88
4.9%
94
95.1%
Q4 - 2:16DENNuggets Rebound86
3.5%
94
96.5%
Q4 - 2:16DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q4 - 2:25DENNuggets Rebound86
3.5%
94
96.5%
Q4 - 2:25DENMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot86
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q4 - 2:36INDDaniels 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jack 8 AST)86
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q4 - 3:03INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
6.7%
92
93.3%
Q4 - 3:04INDMISS Jack 28' 3PT Jump Shot86
9.5%
92
90.5%
Q4 - 3:28INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
6.4%
92
93.6%
Q4 - 3:30INDMISS Foster 20' Jump Shot86
9.3%
92
90.7%
Q4 - 3:52INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:15)86
10.7%
92
89.3%
Q4 - 3:53DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
11.9%
92
88.1%
Q4 - 4:08INDFord 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)86
15.1%
92
84.9%
Q4 - 4:23DENBillups 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS)86
20.0%
90
80.0%
Q4 - 4:37INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Jack 7 AST)84
14.8%
90
85.2%
Q4 - 4:44INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)84
26.8%
87
73.2%
Q4 - 4:45DENMISS Kleiza 3' Jump Shot84
29.4%
87
70.6%
Q4 - 4:49DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)84
35.9%
87
64.1%
Q4 - 4:50DENMISS Billups 1' Layup84
29.4%
87
70.6%
Q4 - 4:54INDDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)84
35.9%
87
64.1%
Q4 - 4:56INDPACERS Rebound84
26.8%
87
73.2%
Q4 - 4:59INDMISS Hibbert 10' Jump Shot84
32.9%
87
67.1%
Q4 - 5:18INDJack Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)84
30.7%
87
69.3%
Q4 - 5:18DENAnthony 2' Layup (17 PTS)84
38.3%
86
61.7%
Q4 - 5:18DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
31.0%
86
69.0%
Q4 - 5:18DENMISS Anthony 3' Layup82
26.0%
86
74.0%
Q4 - 5:20DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
31.0%
86
69.0%
Q4 - 5:21DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup82
26.0%
86
74.0%
Q4 - 5:22DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
31.0%
86
69.0%
Q4 - 5:23DENMISS Kleiza 8' Jump Shot82
26.0%
86
74.0%
Q4 - 5:39INDMurphy 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)82
30.9%
86
69.1%
Q4 - 5:52INDPACERS Rebound82
38.1%
84
61.9%
Q4 - 5:52INDMISS Rush 6' Jump Shot82
44.2%
84
55.8%
Q4 - 6:05DENCarter Putback Layup (4 PTS)82
41.4%
84
58.6%
Q4 - 6:07DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
34.6%
84
65.4%
Q4 - 6:08DENMISS Martin 12' Jump Shot80
29.8%
84
70.2%
Q4 - 6:26DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)80
34.4%
84
65.6%
Q4 - 6:27INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
32.3%
84
67.7%
Q4 - 6:38INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)80
27.6%
84
72.4%
Q4 - 6:39DENMISS Martin 4' Layup80
29.5%
84
70.5%
Q4 - 6:59INDDaniels 4' Jump Shot (17 PTS)80
34.2%
84
65.8%
Q4 - 7:22DENBillups 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)80
43.2%
82
56.8%
Q4 - 7:43INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)78
37.0%
82
63.0%
Q4 - 7:58DENNene Foul Turnover (P3.T13)78
50.1%
79
49.9%
Q4 - 8:14INDDaniels Layup (15 PTS) (Jack 5 AST)78
58.2%
79
41.8%
Q4 - 8:30INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
64.5%
77
35.5%
Q4 - 8:32DENMISS Kleiza 1' Layup78
66.3%
77
33.7%
Q4 - 8:33DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)78
70.1%
77
29.9%
Q4 - 8:36DENMISS Carter 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
66.3%
77
33.7%
Q4 - 9:01INDRush 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)78
69.7%
77
30.3%
Q4 - 9:22DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)78
79.0%
74
21.0%
Q4 - 9:22DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)77
77.9%
74
22.1%
Q4 - 9:22DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)76
74.5%
74
25.5%
Q4 - 9:22DENMISS Andersen 1' Layup76
71.4%
74
28.6%
Q4 - 9:24DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)76
74.5%
74
25.5%
Q4 - 9:25DENMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot76
71.4%
74
28.6%
Q4 - 9:44INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)76
74.6%
74
25.4%
Q4 - 9:44INDPACERS Rebound76
69.9%
74
30.1%
Q4 - 9:44INDMISS Murphy 1' Layup76
73.2%
74
26.8%
Q4 - 10:08DENSmith Foul Turnover (P3.T12)76
69.5%
74
30.5%
Q4 - 10:24INDRush 5' Driving Jump Shot (5 PTS)76
74.0%
74
26.0%
Q4 - 10:33INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
78.2%
72
21.8%
Q4 - 10:34DENMISS Andersen 6' Jump Shot76
79.4%
72
20.6%
Q4 - 10:43DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
81.8%
72
18.2%
Q4 - 10:45INDMISS Daniels 1' Layup76
80.8%
72
19.2%
Q4 - 10:47INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
78.2%
72
21.8%
Q4 - 10:49INDMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
80.8%
72
19.2%
Q4 - 10:57INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)76
78.3%
72
21.7%
Q4 - 10:58DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot76
79.4%
72
20.6%
Q4 - 11:07INDMurphy 13' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)76
80.9%
72
19.1%
Q4 - 11:29INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
84.2%
70
15.8%
Q4 - 11:31DENMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 276
84.5%
70
15.5%
Q4 - 11:31DENCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)76
86.3%
70
13.7%
Q4 - 11:47INDDaniels 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)75
84.1%
70
15.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN75
86.9%
68
13.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound75
89.0%
68
11.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Kleiza 30' 3PT Jump Shot75
87.6%
68
12.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0INDJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)75
88.0%
68
12.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0INDJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)75
88.3%
67
11.7%
Q3 - 0:21.0DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)75
90.3%
66
9.7%
Q3 - 0:25.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)72
85.8%
66
14.2%
Q3 - 0:26.0DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot72
84.2%
66
15.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0INDDaniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)72
85.8%
66
14.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENAnthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)72
90.3%
63
9.7%
Q3 - 1:00INDDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
85.8%
63
14.2%
Q3 - 1:00INDMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 269
86.4%
62
13.6%
Q3 - 1:13DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)69
85.3%
62
14.7%
Q3 - 1:17DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
79.4%
62
20.6%
Q3 - 1:19INDMISS Jack 3' Layup66
78.4%
62
21.6%
Q3 - 1:28DENAnthony 18' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)66
76.3%
62
23.7%
Q3 - 1:39DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
72.2%
62
27.8%
Q3 - 1:40INDMISS Rush 12' Jump Shot64
71.1%
62
28.9%
Q3 - 1:53DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)64
68.5%
62
31.5%
Q3 - 2:02DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
63.9%
62
36.1%
Q3 - 2:03INDMISS Foster 19' Jump Shot62
62.5%
62
37.5%
Q3 - 2:21INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
59.4%
62
40.6%
Q3 - 2:23DENMISS Andersen 1' Layup62
60.8%
62
39.2%
Q3 - 2:24DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
63.8%
62
36.2%
Q3 - 2:25DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot62
60.8%
62
39.2%
Q3 - 2:42INDNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)62
63.8%
62
36.2%
Q3 - 2:59INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
59.4%
62
40.6%
Q3 - 3:00DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot62
60.8%
62
39.2%
Q3 - 3:11INDNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)62
64.6%
62
35.4%
Q3 - 3:28DENNene Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)62
60.1%
62
39.9%
Q3 - 3:36INDJack Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)60
56.0%
62
44.0%
Q3 - 3:37INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
51.2%
62
48.8%
Q3 - 3:38DENMISS Martin 12' Jump Shot60
52.6%
62
47.4%
Q3 - 3:57INDGraham 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)60
55.9%
62
44.1%
Q3 - 4:07INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
59.8%
60
40.2%
Q3 - 4:08DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
61.3%
60
38.7%
Q3 - 4:15DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)60
64.6%
60
35.4%
Q3 - 4:16INDMISS Rush 5' Jump Shot60
63.2%
60
36.8%
Q3 - 4:27INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
59.9%
60
40.1%
Q3 - 4:29DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot60
61.3%
60
38.7%
Q3 - 4:51INDJack 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)60
64.7%
60
35.3%
Q3 - 5:04DENAnthony Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T11)60
71.1%
57
28.9%
Q3 - 5:08DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)60
74.8%
57
25.2%
Q3 - 5:11INDMISS Graham 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
73.7%
57
26.3%
Q3 - 5:40DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
71.1%
57
28.9%
Q3 - 5:40DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
70.3%
57
29.7%
Q3 - 5:45DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
68.1%
57
31.9%
Q3 - 5:46INDMISS Nesterovic 4' Jump Shot58
66.8%
57
33.2%
Q3 - 6:02DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)58
64.2%
57
35.8%
Q3 - 6:02DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)57
63.9%
57
36.1%
Q3 - 6:08DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
60.7%
57
39.3%
Q3 - 6:09INDMISS Rush 19' Jump Shot56
59.4%
57
40.6%
Q3 - 6:28INDPACERS Rebound56
56.5%
57
43.5%
Q3 - 6:29INDMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot56
59.4%
57
40.6%
Q3 - 6:41DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
56.5%
57
43.5%
Q3 - 6:41DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
55.2%
57
44.8%
Q3 - 6:47DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)54
52.8%
57
47.2%
Q3 - 6:48INDMISS Ford 3' Layup54
51.4%
57
48.6%
Q3 - 6:57DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)54
48.4%
57
51.6%
Q3 - 7:13DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)54
53.0%
57
47.0%
Q3 - 7:14INDMISS Hibbert 4' Jump Shot54
51.7%
57
48.3%
Q3 - 7:36DENAnthony 1' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)54
48.9%
57
51.1%
Q3 - 7:42DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
45.2%
57
54.8%
Q3 - 7:44DENMurphy BLOCK (2 BLK)52
42.5%
57
57.5%
Q3 - 7:45DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
45.2%
57
54.8%
Q3 - 7:46DENMISS Anthony 5' Jump Shot52
42.5%
57
57.5%
Q3 - 8:04INDHibbert Tip Shot (10 PTS)52
45.7%
57
54.3%
Q3 - 8:05INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)52
49.1%
55
50.9%
Q3 - 8:06INDMISS Hibbert 2' Layup52
52.0%
55
48.0%
Q3 - 8:18DENJones 2' Layup (8 PTS)52
49.1%
55
50.9%
Q3 - 8:23DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
45.7%
55
54.3%
Q3 - 8:25INDMISS Ford 2' Layup50
44.4%
55
55.6%
Q3 - 8:45INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)50
41.6%
55
58.4%
Q3 - 8:46DENMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot50
42.9%
55
57.1%
Q3 - 9:00DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
45.6%
55
54.4%
Q3 - 9:01INDMISS Daniels 13' Jump Shot50
45.1%
55
54.9%
Q3 - 9:22DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)50
42.4%
55
57.6%
Q3 - 9:30DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
35.5%
55
64.5%
Q3 - 9:30INDMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 247
35.0%
55
65.0%
Q3 - 9:30INDDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
33.0%
55
67.0%
Q3 - 9:42DENMartin 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)47
35.4%
54
64.6%
Q3 - 9:55INDJack 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)45
32.2%
54
67.8%
Q3 - 10:17DENAnthony 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)45
39.8%
51
60.2%
Q3 - 10:27DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
36.5%
51
63.5%
Q3 - 10:28INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 143
36.0%
51
64.0%
Q3 - 10:39INDJack Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)43
39.8%
49
60.2%
Q3 - 10:53DENJones 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)43
43.2%
48
56.8%
Q3 - 11:17INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)41
41.1%
48
58.9%
Q3 - 11:25INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)41
47.6%
45
52.4%
Q3 - 11:26INDMISS Ford 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
50.2%
45
49.8%
Q3 - 11:40INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
47.6%
45
52.4%
Q3 - 11:41DENMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot41
48.7%
45
51.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND41
51.3%
45
48.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound41
47.6%
45
52.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Ford 41' 3PT Jump Shot41
50.2%
45
49.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
47.6%
45
52.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot41
49.7%
45
50.3%
Q2 - 0:11.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
51.5%
45
48.5%
Q2 - 0:12.0INDMISS Jack 13' Jump Shot41
50.7%
45
49.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENBillups Foul Turnover (P2.T9)41
48.9%
45
51.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0INDMurphy Putback Dunk (12 PTS)41
51.5%
45
48.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)41
55.6%
43
44.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0INDMISS Daniels 10' Jump Shot41
57.4%
43
42.6%
Q2 - 0:57.0INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
55.6%
43
44.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
56.3%
43
43.7%
Q2 - 1:11INDJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)41
58.4%
43
41.6%
Q2 - 1:11INDJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
58.9%
42
41.1%
Q2 - 1:15DENNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)41
62.4%
41
37.6%
Q2 - 1:22DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
64.6%
41
35.4%
Q2 - 1:23INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
64.0%
41
36.0%
Q2 - 1:31INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)41
62.4%
41
37.6%
Q2 - 1:33DENFord BLOCK (2 BLK)41
63.1%
41
36.9%
Q2 - 1:42DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
64.6%
41
35.4%
Q2 - 1:43INDMISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot41
63.9%
41
36.1%
Q2 - 1:46INDPACERS Rebound41
62.4%
41
37.6%
Q2 - 1:46INDMISS Nesterovic Layup41
63.9%
41
36.1%
Q2 - 1:46INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
62.4%
41
37.6%
Q2 - 1:47INDMISS Daniels 1' Layup41
63.9%
41
36.1%
Q2 - 1:53INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)41
62.4%
41
37.6%
Q2 - 1:54DENMISS Anthony 12' Jump Shot41
63.1%
41
36.9%
Q2 - 2:11DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
65.2%
41
34.8%
Q2 - 2:13INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 2 of 241
64.8%
41
35.2%
Q2 - 2:13INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
62.8%
41
37.2%
Q2 - 2:25DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
65.1%
40
34.9%
Q2 - 2:25DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 240
64.4%
40
35.6%
Q2 - 2:26DENNuggets Rebound40
65.2%
40
34.8%
Q2 - 2:26DENHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)40
63.1%
40
36.9%
Q2 - 2:32DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
65.2%
40
34.8%
Q2 - 2:33INDMISS Hibbert Layup40
64.3%
40
35.7%
Q2 - 2:58DENBillups 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)40
62.2%
40
37.8%
Q2 - 3:09DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
59.8%
40
40.2%
Q2 - 3:10INDMISS Ford 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
58.7%
40
41.3%
Q2 - 3:31INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)38
56.2%
40
43.8%
Q2 - 3:32DENMISS Billups 12' Jump Shot38
57.3%
40
42.7%
Q2 - 3:57INDHibbert Tip Shot (6 PTS)38
59.8%
40
40.2%
Q2 - 3:58INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)38
62.3%
38
37.7%
Q2 - 3:59INDMISS Ford 17' Jump Shot38
64.6%
38
35.4%
Q2 - 4:04DENDaniels STEAL (2 STL)38
62.6%
38
37.4%
Q2 - 4:12INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)38
65.6%
38
34.4%
Q2 - 4:34INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)38
62.6%
38
37.4%
Q2 - 4:34DENMISS Anthony 10' Jump Shot38
63.5%
38
36.5%
Q2 - 4:52DENNuggets Rebound38
65.6%
38
34.4%
Q2 - 4:53INDMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
64.7%
38
35.3%
Q2 - 5:21DENKleiza Tip Shot (7 PTS)38
63.1%
38
36.9%
Q2 - 5:22DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
60.2%
38
39.8%
Q2 - 5:24DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot36
58.3%
38
41.7%
Q2 - 5:31DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
60.2%
38
39.8%
Q2 - 5:33INDMISS Jack 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
59.4%
38
40.6%
Q2 - 5:43INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)36
57.4%
38
42.6%
Q2 - 5:44DENMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot36
58.3%
38
41.7%
Q2 - 6:09DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
60.5%
38
39.5%
Q2 - 6:10INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 2 of 236
60.0%
38
40.0%
Q2 - 6:10INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
58.2%
38
41.8%
Q2 - 6:28DENKleiza Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)36
60.0%
37
40.0%
Q2 - 6:33DENNuggets Rebound34
57.7%
37
42.3%
Q2 - 6:33DENNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)34
55.4%
37
44.6%
Q2 - 6:44INDDaniels Layup (6 PTS)34
57.7%
37
42.3%
Q2 - 7:01INDPACERS Rebound34
60.6%
35
39.4%
Q2 - 7:03DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup34
61.5%
35
38.5%
Q2 - 7:05DENNuggets Rebound34
63.3%
35
36.7%
Q2 - 7:05DENFord BLOCK (1 BLK)34
61.5%
35
38.5%
Q2 - 7:16INDMurphy Foul Turnover (P2.T5)34
63.3%
35
36.7%
Q2 - 7:24INDPACERS Rebound34
60.6%
35
39.4%
Q2 - 7:24INDMISS Jack 1' Layup34
62.5%
35
37.5%
Q2 - 7:29DENSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)34
60.5%
35
39.5%
Q2 - 7:36DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
63.3%
35
36.7%
Q2 - 7:37INDMISS Jack 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
62.5%
35
37.5%
Q2 - 8:00DENNene 5 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)34
60.5%
35
39.5%
Q2 - 8:18DENCarter Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)34
63.3%
35
36.7%
Q2 - 8:18INDJack Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T4)33
60.8%
35
39.2%
Q2 - 8:23DENMurphy STEAL (1 STL)33
58.2%
35
41.8%
Q2 - 8:33INDJack 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)33
60.8%
35
39.2%
Q2 - 8:40INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
63.4%
33
36.6%
Q2 - 8:41DENMISS Nene 2' Layup33
64.2%
33
35.8%
Q2 - 8:43DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
65.9%
33
34.1%
Q2 - 8:44DENMurphy BLOCK (1 BLK)33
64.2%
33
35.8%
Q2 - 8:53DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
65.9%
33
34.1%
Q2 - 8:53INDMISS Murphy 3' Layup33
65.1%
33
34.9%
Q2 - 8:55INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
63.4%
33
36.6%
Q2 - 8:56INDMISS Nesterovic 5' Jump Shot33
65.1%
33
34.9%
Q2 - 8:59INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
63.4%
33
36.6%
Q2 - 9:00INDMISS Rush 3PT Jump Shot33
65.1%
33
34.9%
Q2 - 9:21INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
63.2%
33
36.8%
Q2 - 9:22DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 133
63.6%
33
36.4%
Q2 - 9:28DENNuggets Rebound31
60.7%
33
39.3%
Q2 - 9:29DENMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot31
58.9%
33
41.1%
Q2 - 9:50INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)31
60.7%
33
39.3%
Q2 - 10:05INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
65.6%
30
34.4%
Q2 - 10:06DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
66.4%
30
33.6%
Q2 - 10:24INDNesterovic 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)31
68.0%
30
32.0%
Q2 - 10:39INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
70.2%
28
29.8%
Q2 - 10:40DENMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot31
70.9%
28
29.1%
Q2 - 10:50DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
72.4%
28
27.6%
Q2 - 10:51INDMISS Nesterovic 20' Jump Shot31
71.8%
28
28.2%
Q2 - 11:00INDGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
70.2%
28
29.8%
Q2 - 11:00DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot31
70.9%
28
29.1%
Q2 - 11:11DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
72.0%
28
28.0%
Q2 - 11:12INDMISS Graham 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
71.4%
28
28.6%
Q2 - 11:22INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
69.9%
28
30.1%
Q2 - 11:23INDMISS Rush 27' 3PT Jump Shot31
71.4%
28
28.6%
Q2 - 11:27INDGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
69.9%
28
30.1%
Q2 - 11:29INDMISS Graham 20' Jump Shot31
71.4%
28
28.6%
Q2 - 11:46DENAndersen 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)31
69.9%
28
30.1%
Q2 - 11:47DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
67.8%
28
32.2%
Q2 - 11:48DENMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot29
66.2%
28
33.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN29
67.8%
28
32.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound29
67.8%
28
32.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot29
66.2%
28
33.8%
Q1 - 0:06.0INDJack Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)29
67.3%
28
32.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
65.6%
28
34.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
60.5%
28
39.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
59.3%
28
40.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0INDFoster 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)26
60.5%
28
39.5%
Q1 - 1:02DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)26
63.7%
26
36.3%
Q1 - 1:02DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)25
63.5%
26
36.5%
Q1 - 1:06DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
60.8%
26
39.2%
Q1 - 1:07INDMISS Rush 14' Jump Shot24
60.3%
26
39.7%
Q1 - 1:11INDPACERS Rebound24
59.3%
26
40.7%
Q1 - 1:11INDMISS Jack 3' Layup24
60.3%
26
39.7%
Q1 - 1:27DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)24
59.2%
26
40.8%
Q1 - 1:27DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)23
59.0%
26
41.0%
Q1 - 1:37INDJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
56.2%
26
43.8%
Q1 - 1:37INDJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
56.5%
25
43.5%
Q1 - 1:48DENAnthony 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)22
59.2%
24
40.8%
Q1 - 2:02INDDaniels 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)20
56.7%
24
43.3%
Q1 - 2:18DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
59.3%
22
40.7%
Q1 - 2:18DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
58.9%
22
41.1%
Q1 - 2:42INDMurphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)18
56.6%
22
43.4%
Q1 - 3:00DENMartin Dunk (4 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)18
61.5%
19
38.5%
Q1 - 3:09INDRush Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)16
59.5%
19
40.5%
Q1 - 3:17DENNene 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)16
57.3%
19
42.7%
Q1 - 3:28DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
55.0%
19
45.0%
Q1 - 3:30DENMISS Billups 1' Layup14
53.4%
19
46.6%
Q1 - 3:41INDMurphy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
55.0%
19
45.0%
Q1 - 4:04DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
53.0%
19
47.0%
Q1 - 4:14INDDaniels 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)14
55.3%
19
44.7%
Q1 - 4:16INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
57.4%
17
42.6%
Q1 - 4:17INDMISS Ford 2' Layup14
59.0%
17
41.0%
Q1 - 4:25INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
57.4%
17
42.6%
Q1 - 4:26DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot14
58.1%
17
41.9%
Q1 - 4:43DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
59.7%
17
40.3%
Q1 - 4:45INDMISS Murphy 16' Jump Shot14
59.0%
17
41.0%
Q1 - 5:12DENBillups 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)14
57.2%
17
42.8%
Q1 - 5:31INDMurphy 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)12
55.3%
17
44.7%
Q1 - 5:43DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
57.2%
15
42.8%
Q1 - 6:17INDJack 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
59.8%
15
40.2%
Q1 - 6:26INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
61.7%
13
38.3%
Q1 - 6:27DENMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot12
62.3%
13
37.7%
Q1 - 6:37DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
63.8%
13
36.2%
Q1 - 6:38INDMISS Hibbert 5' Jump Shot12
63.1%
13
36.9%
Q1 - 6:49INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
61.7%
13
38.3%
Q1 - 6:50DENMISS Nene 17' Jump Shot12
62.3%
13
37.7%
Q1 - 7:08INDFord 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)12
64.0%
13
36.0%
Q1 - 7:15INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
65.7%
11
34.3%
Q1 - 7:16DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot12
66.3%
11
33.7%
Q1 - 7:23DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
67.8%
11
32.2%
Q1 - 7:25INDMISS Daniels 18' Jump Shot12
67.1%
11
32.9%
Q1 - 7:36DENBillups Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)12
65.7%
11
34.3%
Q1 - 7:42INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
63.8%
11
36.2%
Q1 - 7:44DENMISS Martin 14' Jump Shot11
64.4%
11
35.6%
Q1 - 7:48DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
65.9%
11
34.1%
Q1 - 7:49INDMISS Hibbert Layup11
65.2%
11
34.8%
Q1 - 7:50INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
63.8%
11
36.2%
Q1 - 7:51INDMISS Hibbert 1' Layup11
65.2%
11
34.8%
Q1 - 7:52INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
63.8%
11
36.2%
Q1 - 7:53INDMISS Ford 15' Jump Shot11
65.2%
11
34.8%
Q1 - 8:11DENJones 1' Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)11
64.1%
11
35.9%
Q1 - 8:25DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
62.1%
11
37.9%
Q1 - 8:26INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
61.5%
11
38.5%
Q1 - 8:29INDJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
60.1%
11
39.9%
Q1 - 8:31INDMISS Ford 8' Jump Shot9
61.5%
11
38.5%
Q1 - 8:48DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)9
60.1%
11
39.9%
Q1 - 9:07INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)6
57.0%
11
43.0%
Q1 - 9:16INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
61.0%
8
39.0%
Q1 - 9:17DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot6
61.5%
8
38.5%
Q1 - 9:22DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
62.7%
8
37.3%
Q1 - 9:24INDMISS Murphy 1' Layup6
62.1%
8
37.9%
Q1 - 9:31DENDaniels STEAL (1 STL)6
60.9%
8
39.1%
Q1 - 9:35DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
62.6%
8
37.4%
Q1 - 9:36INDMISS Hibbert 7' Jump Shot6
62.1%
8
37.9%
Q1 - 9:52INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
60.9%
8
39.1%
Q1 - 9:53DENMISS Nene 3' Layup6
61.4%
8
38.6%
Q1 - 9:55DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
62.6%
8
37.4%
Q1 - 9:56DENMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot6
61.4%
8
38.6%
Q1 - 10:09INDJack 10' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)6
63.1%
8
36.9%
Q1 - 10:28DENBillups 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
64.7%
6
35.3%
Q1 - 10:43INDHibbert 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)4
63.1%
6
36.9%
Q1 - 11:01DENMartin 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
64.8%
4
35.2%
Q1 - 11:15INDHibbert 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)2
63.3%
4
36.7%
Q1 - 11:34DENJones 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)2
64.8%
2
35.2%
Q1 - 11:55INDJack 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)0
63.3%
2
36.7%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Hibbert vs. Nene: Tip to Jack0
64.8%
0
35.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.87 43.5%
IND
0.93 46.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
38
53%
IND
15
36
42%
Midrange
DEN
10
42
24%
IND
12
34
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
IND
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
Free Throws
DEN
22
27
81%
IND
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2756%13.5 / 24
C. Anthony2038%10.0 / 26
Nene1260%6.0 / 10
K. Martin836%4.0 / 11
D. Jones880%4.0 / 5
L. Kleiza840%4.0 / 10
C. Andersen440%2.0 / 5
A. Carter440%2.0 / 5
J. Smith319%1.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Jack2874%14.0 / 19
T. Murphy2261%11.0 / 18
M. Daniels1950%9.5 / 19
R. Hibbert1038%5.0 / 13
B. Rush840%4.0 / 10
J. Foster563%2.5 / 4
T. Ford417%2.0 / 12
R. Nesterovic217%1.0 / 6
S. Graham225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
81
+27
-13
108
IND
82
+26
-11
108
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.87 43.5%
IND
0.93 46.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
108.1
DEN 100.0
IND 107.5 +7.5
Pace
94.5
96.5
DEN 96.5 +5.9
IND 90.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.5
DEN 14.9 +1.0
IND 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
50.1%
DEN 38.3%
IND 43.8% +5.5%
TO %
15.8%
14.4%
DEN 10.9% +0.1%
IND 11.0%
ORB %
27.5%
25.5%
DEN 34.6% +2.5%
IND 32.1%
FTrt
38.2
26.7
DEN 28.7 +5.8
IND 22.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
55.1%
DEN 44.1%
IND 59.5% +15.4%
STL %
9.1%
7.2%
DEN 6.4% +2.1%
IND 4.3%
BLK %
9.7%
8.1%
DEN 15.7% +8.2%
IND 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
53.2%
DEN 43.5%
IND 46.3% +2.8%
Rim FG%
60.5%
56.5%
DEN 52.6% +10.9%
IND 41.7%
Mid FG%
38.7%
40.6%
DEN 23.8%
IND 35.3% +11.5%
3P %
37.1%
37.8%
DEN 28.6%
IND 38.5% +9.9%
FT %
76.0%
80.7%
DEN 81.5% +8.8%
IND 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.7%
35.1%
DEN 40.4% +2.9%
IND 37.5%
Mid Att. %
37.6%
40.6%
DEN 44.7%
IND 35.4% +9.3%
3P Att. %
22.7%
24.4%
DEN 14.9%
IND 27.1% +12.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENIND
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points94100
Rebounds5451
Assists1522
Steals64
Blocks116
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)11 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (9)17 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals34-9437-96
At-the-Rim FG20-3815-36
Midrange FG10-4212-34
2-Point FG30-8027-70
3-Point FG4-1410-26
Free Throws22-2716-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 32
38.4
27
56%
5
7
4
0
2
1
1
4
7-7
100%
7-16
44%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
37.5
20
38%
8
4
1
0
4
3
3
5
3-4
75%
7-21
33%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 250 · 26
33.8
12
60%
10
0
1
4
3
5
3
7
4-6
67%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 31
32.9
8
36%
7
1
0
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 28
15.5
8
80%
3
1
0
2
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 234 · 24
23.6
8
40%
3
0
0
0
0
5
3
0
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23
23.0
3
19%
3
2
0
1
3
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-5
0%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31
22.3
4
40%
12
0
0
3
0
2
5
7
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
13.0
4
40%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 247 · 23
F · 6'8" 225 · 25
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23
#45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
44%
54
15
6
11
13
0
18
36
22-27
81%
30-80
38%
4-14
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.