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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 1, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Spurs40%8984
10Trail Blazers60%93102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.8
27.8
31.5
15
46%
2
4
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
7-15
8-15
47%
51%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
26.0
25.4
13
66%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
3-4
75%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.8
25.6
18.5
14
42%
4
2
3
0
0
2
2
2
2-4
50%
6-15
4-8
40%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
25.4
27.7
8
67%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
2-4
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.0
15.3
30.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
25.3
10.4
6
33%
5
3
3
0
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
3-9
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.8
20.2
18.3
10
54%
0
4
0
1
0
4
0
0
3-5
60%
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.7
18.7
18.1
5
63%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.9
17.3
19.6
4
67%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
58%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.6
17.2
13.9
5
83%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.4
14.1
23.8
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
49%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
7.2
6.1
4
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.3
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.6
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
34.7
34.4
26
74%
7
4
3
1
0
0
1
6
6-8
75%
10-14
7-14
71%
50%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.0
29.8
25.0
15
84%
2
6
0
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
3-3
100%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.4
27.8
27.1
3
39%
10
1
0
0
1
2
2
8
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
57%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.6
27.5
33.9
26
73%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
9-13
6-13
69%
49%
2-4
50%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.2
22.2
18.4
4
29%
6
1
3
1
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
50%
0-2
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.9
30.1
22.9
6
29%
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
0-3
1-3
0%
50%
2-7
29%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.4
27.0
28.2
5
32%
6
1
1
1
2
1
0
6
3-4
75%
1-5
4-8
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.8
20.2
15.3
12
87%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
5-5
2-5
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.7
10.7
14.7
2
53%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.5
7.3
9.4
3
40%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.3
2.6
4.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32.1
1.9
0
0-0
47%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.1
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.2
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.