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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 1, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Jazz55%106112
21Warriors45%104104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.7
41.9
33.4
6
25%
0
20
1
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
3-11
6-11
27%
52%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.9
40.1
36.6
21
60%
9
6
3
2
1
1
4
5
5-6
83%
8-15
6-11
53%
56%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.8
26.1
30.5
23
77%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
8-9
89%
6-7
4-9
86%
50%
1-4
25%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.3
19.8
22.8
10
36%
9
0
2
1
0
3
4
5
0-0
-
5-14
5-10
36%
54%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
19.2
21.3
2
20%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
52%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.0
28.8
27.4
17
71%
7
1
1
1
0
4
2
5
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.1
26.2
27.5
17
63%
6
3
2
1
0
2
2
4
5-8
63%
6-10
5-9
60%
53%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
21.2
21.3
12
61%
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
52%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.8
10.7
11.8
4
34%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
50%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.3
6.1
12.8
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.2
4.7
0
0-1
43%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.7
3.1
0
0-1
46%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.1
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.2
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.9
41.1
34.0
20
52%
2
3
2
1
1
2
0
2
3-5
60%
7-13
3-7
54%
46%
1-4
25%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
35.3
30.7
13
69%
5
3
0
1
2
4
0
5
1-1
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
30.0
25.0
8
67%
12
1
1
1
2
3
4
8
0-0
-
4-6
4-7
67%
59%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.6
25.5
11.1
20
67%
8
0
0
0
4
1
3
5
6-9
67%
7-11
2-5
64%
49%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.9
14.9
19.7
3
38%
1
2
2
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.3
33.3
28.1
27
86%
3
3
1
1
0
5
0
3
6-6
100%
6-8
5-11
75%
50%
3-5
60%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
25.2
13.2
5
31%
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
48%
1-3
33%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
17.5
33.2
2
20%
4
5
0
2
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
0-2
3-7
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.1
14.0
18.0
6
68%
2
4
1
0
2
1
0
2
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
3.1
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 24.0
2.3
0
0-0
48%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.2
1.7
0
0-0
42%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.9
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.4
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.