FinalWin Prob.pScore
1739%90
83
1561%94
87
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
100.08376.8
ATL logo ATL
104.88390.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL83
0%
87
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0DETMurray STEAL (1 STL)83
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 0:07.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 0:07.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)83
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0DETMcDyess Tip Shot (6 PTS)83
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETMISS Hamilton 28' 3PT Jump Shot81
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot81
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 0:52.0DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)81
4.1%
85
95.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q4 - 0:57.0DETMISS Wallace 28' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 1:22ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)79
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 1:45DETHamilton Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)79
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q4 - 1:57DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
14.2%
83
85.8%
Q4 - 1:59ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 279
13.2%
83
86.8%
Q4 - 1:59ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)79
10.3%
83
89.7%
Q4 - 1:59ATLHAWKS Rebound79
13.5%
82
86.5%
Q4 - 1:59DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 279
14.4%
82
85.6%
Q4 - 1:59DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)79
18.9%
82
81.1%
Q4 - 2:17DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
15.5%
82
84.5%
Q4 - 2:20ATLMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot78
12.9%
82
87.1%
Q4 - 2:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)78
8.2%
82
91.8%
Q4 - 2:43DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
10.0%
82
90.0%
Q4 - 2:53DETPistons Rebound78
16.7%
82
83.3%
Q4 - 2:53DETMISS Wallace 11' Jump Shot78
11.9%
82
88.1%
Q4 - 3:15ATLMurray Dunk (12 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)78
16.8%
82
83.2%
Q4 - 3:19DETHorford STEAL (1 STL)78
21.4%
80
78.6%
Q4 - 3:32ATLHorford Dunk (18 PTS)78
33.9%
80
66.1%
Q4 - 3:38ATLMISS Smith 1' Layup78
49.0%
78
51.0%
Q4 - 3:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)78
42.0%
78
58.0%
Q4 - 3:45DETMISS Stuckey 3' Layup78
45.1%
78
54.9%
Q4 - 3:56DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)78
52.3%
78
47.7%
Q4 - 3:58ATLMISS Horford 15' Turnaround Jump Shot78
49.1%
78
50.9%
Q4 - 4:25DETHamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (McDyess 3 AST)78
41.9%
78
58.1%
Q4 - 4:35DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)75
25.3%
78
74.7%
Q4 - 4:36ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot75
22.9%
78
77.1%
Q4 - 4:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)75
18.1%
78
81.9%
Q4 - 4:42ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
22.9%
78
77.1%
Q4 - 5:08DETHamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)75
20.9%
78
79.1%
Q4 - 5:12DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)72
12.0%
78
88.0%
Q4 - 5:14DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Bank Shot72
9.6%
78
90.4%
Q4 - 5:22DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
11.9%
78
88.1%
Q4 - 5:23DETMISS McDyess Putback Layup72
9.6%
78
90.4%
Q4 - 5:25DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
11.9%
78
88.1%
Q4 - 5:27DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
9.6%
78
90.4%
Q4 - 5:39DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)72
11.9%
78
88.1%
Q4 - 5:40ATLMISS Smith 4' Driving Jump Shot72
10.8%
78
89.2%
Q4 - 6:01DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
10.6%
78
89.4%
Q4 - 6:23ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)70
8.1%
78
91.9%
Q4 - 6:23ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 270
8.7%
77
91.3%
Q4 - 6:47DETWallace 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)70
7.9%
77
92.1%
Q4 - 7:05ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)68
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q4 - 7:11ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)68
11.7%
74
88.3%
Q4 - 7:12DETMISS Afflalo 2' Driving Layup68
12.7%
74
87.3%
Q4 - 7:36ATLHorford Running Dunk (16 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)68
15.2%
74
84.8%
Q4 - 8:01DETStuckey 2' Running Layup (19 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)68
20.5%
72
79.5%
Q4 - 8:19DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
16.4%
72
83.6%
Q4 - 8:21ATLMISS Bibby 33' 3PT Jump Shot66
15.4%
72
84.6%
Q4 - 8:51DETStuckey Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)66
13.2%
72
86.8%
Q4 - 8:54DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
16.3%
72
83.7%
Q4 - 8:57ATLMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot66
15.3%
72
84.7%
Q4 - 9:16DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)66
14.6%
72
85.4%
Q4 - 9:16DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)65
14.1%
72
85.9%
Q4 - 9:33ATLBibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)64
11.7%
72
88.3%
Q4 - 9:51DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
17.8%
69
82.2%
Q4 - 9:51DETMaxiell Putback Dunk (4 PTS)64
17.8%
69
82.2%
Q4 - 9:54DETMISS Stuckey 17' Fadeaway Jumper62
12.5%
69
87.5%
Q4 - 10:10ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
15.4%
69
84.6%
Q4 - 10:10ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)62
16.1%
68
83.9%
Q4 - 10:31DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)62
18.7%
67
81.3%
Q4 - 10:31DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
18.0%
67
82.0%
Q4 - 10:47ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)60
15.4%
67
84.6%
Q4 - 10:47ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)60
16.3%
66
83.7%
Q4 - 10:47ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)60
18.7%
65
81.3%
Q4 - 10:47ATLMISS Murray 6' Jump Shot60
21.1%
65
78.9%
Q4 - 10:53ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
18.7%
65
81.3%
Q4 - 10:55DETSmith BLOCK (4 BLK)60
19.7%
65
80.3%
Q4 - 11:18ATLBibby 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)60
23.0%
65
77.0%
Q4 - 11:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)60
27.2%
63
72.8%
Q4 - 11:35DETMISS Maxiell 15' Fadeaway Jumper60
28.5%
63
71.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET60
31.4%
63
68.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound60
31.4%
63
68.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Prince 6' Jump Shot60
28.5%
63
71.5%
Q3 - 0:15.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
31.6%
63
68.4%
Q3 - 0:16.0ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 260
31.1%
63
68.9%
Q3 - 0:16.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
28.3%
63
71.7%
Q3 - 0:17.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
32.1%
62
67.9%
Q3 - 0:18.0ATLMISS Murray 18' Jump Shot60
34.9%
62
65.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)60
32.1%
62
67.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0DETMISS Prince 28' 3PT Jump Shot60
33.3%
62
66.7%
Q3 - 1:00DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
36.2%
62
63.8%
Q3 - 1:01ATLMISS Pachulia 12' Jump Shot60
34.8%
62
65.2%
Q3 - 1:18ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
32.0%
62
68.0%
Q3 - 1:19ATLMISS Horford 11' Jump Shot60
34.8%
62
65.2%
Q3 - 1:42DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
32.1%
62
67.9%
Q3 - 1:42DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)59
31.2%
62
68.8%
Q3 - 2:04ATLHorford 3' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)58
28.0%
62
72.0%
Q3 - 2:08ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
32.0%
60
68.0%
Q3 - 2:09DETMISS Bynum 4' Jump Shot58
33.2%
60
66.8%
Q3 - 2:19ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
36.1%
60
63.9%
Q3 - 2:19ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 258
37.2%
59
62.8%
Q3 - 2:27ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
36.2%
59
63.8%
Q3 - 2:28DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot58
37.5%
59
62.5%
Q3 - 2:45ATLMurray 14' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)58
40.6%
59
59.4%
Q3 - 3:07DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)58
44.6%
57
55.4%
Q3 - 3:07DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 257
43.7%
57
56.3%
Q3 - 3:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)57
44.9%
57
55.1%
Q3 - 3:08ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
43.4%
57
56.6%
Q3 - 3:27ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
40.2%
57
59.8%
Q3 - 3:28DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot57
41.6%
57
58.4%
Q3 - 3:36DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
44.9%
57
55.1%
Q3 - 3:38ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot57
43.5%
57
56.5%
Q3 - 4:02DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)57
39.8%
57
60.2%
Q3 - 4:02DETPistons Rebound57
44.8%
57
55.2%
Q3 - 4:02DETMISS Wallace 18' Fadeaway Jumper57
41.3%
57
58.7%
Q3 - 4:30ATLSmith 10' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)57
44.8%
57
55.2%
Q3 - 4:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)57
48.4%
55
51.6%
Q3 - 4:41DETMISS Prince 15' Running Jump Shot57
50.0%
55
50.0%
Q3 - 5:07ATLHorford Putback Layup (12 PTS)57
52.3%
55
47.7%
Q3 - 5:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
56.0%
53
44.0%
Q3 - 5:11ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot57
59.2%
53
40.8%
Q3 - 5:31DETWallace 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)57
56.0%
53
44.0%
Q3 - 5:58ATLSmith Running Dunk (11 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)55
52.5%
53
47.5%
Q3 - 6:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
55.3%
51
44.7%
Q3 - 6:07DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot55
56.6%
51
43.4%
Q3 - 6:31ATLHorford 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)55
59.6%
51
40.4%
Q3 - 6:51ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
63.1%
49
36.9%
Q3 - 6:53DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 255
63.7%
49
36.3%
Q3 - 6:53DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
66.1%
49
33.9%
Q3 - 6:54ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)54
63.4%
49
36.6%
Q3 - 7:07DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)54
58.0%
49
42.0%
Q3 - 7:10DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
54.4%
49
45.6%
Q3 - 7:13DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
51.6%
49
48.4%
Q3 - 7:42DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
54.5%
49
45.5%
Q3 - 7:43ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot52
53.3%
49
46.7%
Q3 - 7:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
50.5%
49
49.5%
Q3 - 7:49DETMISS Wallace 11' Turnaround Jump Shot52
51.7%
49
48.3%
Q3 - 8:15ATLHorford Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)52
54.0%
49
46.0%
Q3 - 8:19DETBibby STEAL (1 STL)52
57.4%
47
42.6%
Q3 - 8:36ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
61.3%
47
38.7%
Q3 - 8:36ATLJohnson Putback Layup (7 PTS)52
61.3%
47
38.7%
Q3 - 8:39ATLMISS Johnson 11' Running Jump Shot52
67.1%
45
32.9%
Q3 - 8:53DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)52
64.6%
45
35.4%
Q3 - 9:07ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
57.0%
45
43.0%
Q3 - 9:07ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
58.1%
44
41.9%
Q3 - 9:32DETStuckey 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS)49
60.6%
43
39.4%
Q3 - 9:55ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)47
57.1%
43
42.9%
Q3 - 9:55ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
53.4%
43
46.6%
Q3 - 9:56ATLMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
56.0%
43
44.0%
Q3 - 10:23DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
52.7%
43
47.3%
Q3 - 10:31DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
49.2%
43
50.8%
Q3 - 10:33ATLMISS Williams Running Layup45
48.1%
43
51.9%
Q3 - 10:36ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
45.6%
43
54.4%
Q3 - 10:38DETSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)45
46.7%
43
53.3%
Q3 - 10:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)45
49.2%
43
50.8%
Q3 - 10:59ATLMISS Williams 11' Running Jump Shot45
48.1%
43
51.9%
Q3 - 11:13DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)45
45.2%
43
54.8%
Q3 - 11:13DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
44.2%
43
55.8%
Q3 - 11:13DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
42.0%
43
58.0%
Q3 - 11:14DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
42.0%
43
58.0%
Q3 - 11:14DETMISS McDyess Tip Shot43
39.5%
43
60.5%
Q3 - 11:17DETMISS Stuckey 2' Driving Layup43
39.5%
43
60.5%
Q3 - 11:42ATLBibby 11' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)43
42.0%
43
58.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL43
45.2%
41
54.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
45.2%
41
54.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)43
46.3%
41
53.7%
Q2 - 0:15.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)43
48.0%
41
52.0%
Q2 - 0:15.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 243
48.6%
40
51.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)43
48.9%
40
51.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 242
48.2%
40
51.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
48.1%
40
51.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot42
47.3%
40
52.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
45.5%
40
54.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0DETMISS Prince 15' Jump Shot42
46.3%
40
53.7%
Q2 - 1:25ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)42
47.7%
40
52.3%
Q2 - 1:44DETMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)42
55.2%
37
44.8%
Q2 - 1:49DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
57.5%
37
42.5%
Q2 - 1:51DETSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)42
55.9%
37
44.1%
Q2 - 1:52DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
57.5%
37
42.5%
Q2 - 1:54DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot42
55.9%
37
44.1%
Q2 - 2:20ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)42
57.2%
37
42.8%
Q2 - 2:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
63.2%
34
36.8%
Q2 - 2:26DETMISS Stuckey 2' Driving Layup42
64.1%
34
35.9%
Q2 - 2:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
66.2%
34
33.8%
Q2 - 2:42ATLMISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper42
65.3%
34
34.7%
Q2 - 3:01DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)42
62.4%
34
37.6%
Q2 - 3:13DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)39
56.9%
34
43.1%
Q2 - 3:15DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot39
54.4%
34
45.6%
Q2 - 3:42ATLJohnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)39
56.9%
34
43.1%
Q2 - 3:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
59.4%
32
40.6%
Q2 - 4:00DETMISS Wallace 11' Hook Shot39
60.5%
32
39.5%
Q2 - 4:19ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)39
61.9%
32
38.1%
Q2 - 4:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)39
58.8%
32
41.2%
Q2 - 4:40DETMISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot39
59.8%
32
40.2%
Q2 - 5:00DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
62.0%
32
38.0%
Q2 - 5:02ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
60.4%
32
39.6%
Q2 - 5:21DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)39
58.5%
32
41.5%
Q2 - 5:30DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
55.5%
32
44.5%
Q2 - 5:32DETMISS Herrmann 3PT Jump Shot37
53.5%
32
46.5%
Q2 - 5:56ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
55.5%
32
44.5%
Q2 - 5:56ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 237
56.2%
31
43.8%
Q2 - 6:01DETHerrmann 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)37
54.6%
31
45.4%
Q2 - 6:18DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
52.3%
31
47.7%
Q2 - 6:20ATLMISS Murray 17' Turnaround Jump Shot35
51.3%
31
48.7%
Q2 - 6:45DETBynum 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)35
49.0%
31
51.0%
Q2 - 7:10ATLMurray 2' Running Layup (4 PTS)33
46.0%
31
54.0%
Q2 - 7:15ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
48.8%
29
51.2%
Q2 - 7:16DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot33
49.7%
29
50.3%
Q2 - 7:36ATLMurray Running Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)33
51.7%
29
48.3%
Q2 - 7:41DETWilliams STEAL (2 STL)33
54.4%
27
45.6%
Q2 - 7:53ATLPachulia Putback Layup (4 PTS)33
57.4%
27
42.6%
Q2 - 7:54ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
60.0%
25
40.0%
Q2 - 7:55ATLMISS Smith 9' Driving Jump Shot33
61.9%
25
38.1%
Q2 - 8:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)33
59.2%
25
40.8%
Q2 - 8:11DETMISS Herrmann 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
60.0%
25
40.0%
Q2 - 8:17DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
61.8%
25
38.2%
Q2 - 8:19ATLMISS Murray 10' Running Jump Shot33
61.0%
25
39.0%
Q2 - 8:40DETBynum 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
59.3%
25
40.7%
Q2 - 9:04ATLSmith Dunk (7 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)31
55.8%
25
44.2%
Q2 - 9:17ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
58.5%
23
41.5%
Q2 - 9:18DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot31
59.3%
23
40.7%
Q2 - 9:35ATLJohnson 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
61.1%
23
38.9%
Q2 - 9:43ATLHAWKS Rebound31
63.6%
21
36.4%
Q2 - 9:43ATLMISS Murray 11' Jump Shot31
65.3%
21
34.7%
Q2 - 9:53DETAfflalo 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)31
63.6%
21
36.4%
Q2 - 10:11ATLPachulia 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)28
58.0%
21
42.0%
Q2 - 10:22ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
60.5%
19
39.5%
Q2 - 10:24DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot28
61.2%
19
38.8%
Q2 - 10:40DETPistons Rebound28
63.0%
19
37.0%
Q2 - 10:40ATLMISS Johnson 30' 3PT Jump Shot28
62.3%
19
37.7%
Q2 - 11:07DETPrince 3' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)28
59.8%
19
40.2%
Q2 - 11:14ATLPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)26
57.4%
19
42.6%
Q2 - 11:17ATLHAWKS Rebound26
54.9%
19
45.1%
Q2 - 11:17ATLMISS Murray 14' Jump Shot26
56.7%
19
43.3%
Q2 - 11:23ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
54.9%
19
45.1%
Q2 - 11:25DETMISS Prince 3' Running Hook Shot26
55.7%
19
44.3%
Q2 - 11:44ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)26
57.5%
19
42.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL26
54.9%
19
45.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
54.2%
19
45.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMaxiell Putback Dunk (2 PTS)26
54.2%
19
45.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0DETMISS Stuckey 2' Driving Layup24
49.9%
19
50.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
51.2%
19
48.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
51.8%
18
48.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0DETPrince 5' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)24
54.3%
17
45.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
51.3%
17
48.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0ATLMISS Evans Driving Layup22
50.7%
17
49.3%
Q1 - 1:15DETStuckey 2' Running Layup (9 PTS)22
49.0%
17
51.0%
Q1 - 1:21DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
45.9%
17
54.1%
Q1 - 1:22ATLMISS Smith Putback Layup20
45.4%
17
54.6%
Q1 - 1:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)20
44.3%
17
55.7%
Q1 - 1:24ATLMISS Smith 2' Driving Reverse Layup20
45.4%
17
54.6%
Q1 - 1:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
44.3%
17
55.7%
Q1 - 1:32ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
45.4%
17
54.6%
Q1 - 1:50DETSmith STEAL (1 STL)20
44.3%
17
55.7%
Q1 - 2:00DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
45.9%
17
54.1%
Q1 - 2:01ATLMISS Horford 4' Jump Shot20
45.2%
17
54.8%
Q1 - 2:21DETPrince 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)20
44.0%
17
56.0%
Q1 - 2:32DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
41.3%
17
58.7%
Q1 - 2:35ATLMISS Horford 16' Turnaround Jump Shot18
40.7%
17
59.3%
Q1 - 2:41DETStuckey Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)18
39.5%
17
60.5%
Q1 - 2:43ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)18
41.3%
17
58.7%
Q1 - 2:56DETPrince 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)18
39.5%
17
60.5%
Q1 - 3:14ATLSmith 3' Layup (5 PTS)16
37.0%
17
63.0%
Q1 - 3:18ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
39.2%
15
60.8%
Q1 - 3:19ATLMISS Smith 3' Running Hook Shot16
40.7%
15
59.3%
Q1 - 3:34DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)16
39.2%
15
60.8%
Q1 - 3:52ATLWilliams 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)13
34.9%
15
65.1%
Q1 - 4:05DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T3)13
36.7%
13
63.3%
Q1 - 4:28ATLWilliams 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
38.9%
13
61.1%
Q1 - 4:46DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)13
40.9%
11
59.1%
Q1 - 4:59ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)11
38.9%
11
61.1%
Q1 - 5:04ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
42.8%
8
57.2%
Q1 - 5:05DETMISS Hamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
43.5%
8
56.5%
Q1 - 5:10ATLHorford Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 5:13DETWilliams STEAL (1 STL)11
42.8%
8
57.2%
Q1 - 5:30ATLBibby 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 5:36DETJohnson STEAL (1 STL)11
47.1%
6
52.9%
Q1 - 5:57ATLBibby 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)11
49.5%
6
50.5%
Q1 - 6:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
51.0%
4
49.0%
Q1 - 6:14DETJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)11
51.7%
4
48.3%
Q1 - 6:35DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
53.2%
4
46.8%
Q1 - 6:37ATLMISS Johnson 16' Fadeaway Jumper11
52.6%
4
47.4%
Q1 - 6:59DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)11
51.0%
4
49.0%
Q1 - 7:14DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
48.8%
4
51.2%
Q1 - 7:15ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot9
48.1%
4
51.9%
Q1 - 7:21ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
46.5%
4
53.5%
Q1 - 7:22DETMISS McDyess 2' Running Layup9
47.2%
4
52.8%
Q1 - 7:43ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)9
48.8%
4
51.2%
Q1 - 8:03DETStuckey 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)9
50.6%
2
49.4%
Q1 - 8:23ATLHorford 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
48.5%
2
51.5%
Q1 - 8:34ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
50.6%
0
49.4%
Q1 - 8:36DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot7
51.2%
0
48.8%
Q1 - 8:48DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
52.7%
0
47.3%
Q1 - 8:50ATLMISS Williams 3' Driving Layup7
52.1%
0
47.9%
Q1 - 9:09DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
50.1%
0
49.9%
Q1 - 9:24DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
47.9%
0
52.1%
Q1 - 9:26ATLMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot5
47.4%
0
52.6%
Q1 - 9:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
46.1%
0
53.9%
Q1 - 9:30ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot5
47.4%
0
52.6%
Q1 - 9:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
46.1%
0
53.9%
Q1 - 9:40DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot5
46.7%
0
53.3%
Q1 - 9:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 9:58ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Bank Shot5
47.4%
0
52.6%
Q1 - 10:16ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
45.1%
0
54.9%
Q1 - 10:17DETMISS Stuckey 27' 3PT Jump Shot5
45.7%
0
54.3%
Q1 - 10:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
47.1%
0
52.9%
Q1 - 10:42ATLMISS Smith 7' Hook Shot5
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 10:58DETWallace 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)5
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 11:19ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
40.8%
0
59.2%
Q1 - 11:38DETStuckey 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)2
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Wallace: Tip to Stuckey0
37.7%
0
62.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.93 46.6%
ATL
0.95 47.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
15
29
52%
ATL
17
26
65%
Midrange
DET
12
32
38%
ATL
13
38
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
ATL
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
DET
14
18
78%
ATL
18
24
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2053%10.0 / 19
R. Stuckey1959%9.5 / 16
R. Wallace1444%7.0 / 16
T. Prince930%4.5 / 15
A. McDyess638%3.0 / 8
W. Bynum675%3.0 / 4
J. Maxiell450%2.0 / 4
A. Afflalo375%1.5 / 2
W. Herrmann233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith1945%9.5 / 21
A. Horford1864%9.0 / 14
M. Bibby1771%8.5 / 12
J. Johnson1243%6.0 / 14
R. Murray1243%6.0 / 14
Z. Pachulia563%2.5 / 4
M. Williams425%2.0 / 8
M. Evans0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
71
+18
-12
89
ATL
76
+14
-7
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.93 46.6%
ATL
0.95 47.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.8
109.2
DET 100.0
ATL 104.8 +4.8
Pace
87.3
89.8
DET 76.8
ATL 90.3 +13.6
Avg. Poss. Time
17.1
15.9
DET 18.8
ATL 15.9 +2.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
50.4%
DET 43.7%
ATL 44.8% +1.1%
TO %
12.7%
13.6%
DET 13.0%
ATL 8.4% +4.6%
ORB %
27.9%
26.0%
DET 33.3% +4.7%
ATL 28.6%
FTrt
28.2
32.3
DET 22.8
ATL 31.2 +8.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.7%
56.1%
DET 53.1% +4.6%
ATL 48.5%
STL %
6.8%
8.2%
DET 6.0%
ATL 8.4% +2.4%
BLK %
7.3%
7.4%
DET 7.8%
ATL 8.2% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
53.2%
DET 46.6%
ATL 47.3% +0.7%
Rim FG%
58.7%
60.5%
DET 51.7%
ATL 65.4% +13.7%
Mid FG%
41.2%
40.2%
DET 37.5% +3.3%
ATL 34.2%
3P %
34.9%
36.6%
DET 27.8% +4.7%
ATL 23.1%
FT %
75.1%
73.8%
DET 77.8% +2.8%
ATL 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.0%
32.2%
DET 36.7% +2.9%
ATL 33.8%
Mid Att. %
53.5%
42.4%
DET 40.5% +8.8%
ATL 49.4%
3P Att. %
16.5%
25.3%
DET 22.8% +5.9%
ATL 16.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.
Game TotalsDETATL
Possessions8383
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points8387
Rebounds4542
Assists1716
Steals57
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)30 (1)
Field Goals32-7933-77
At-the-Rim FG15-2917-26
Midrange FG12-3213-38
2-Point FG27-6130-64
3-Point FG5-183-13
Free Throws14-1818-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 29
37.9
9
30%
7
0
0
2
1
2
2
5
1-2
50%
4-11
36%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 23
37.0
19
59%
8
6
1
1
4
2
2
6
5-6
83%
7-13
54%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 230 · 34
36.2
14
44%
8
3
2
1
1
4
0
8
4-6
67%
2-6
33%
2-7
29%
G · 6'7" 193 · 31
35.4
20
53%
2
1
0
0
3
5
1
1
0-0
-
7-15
47%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 245 · 34
35.1
6
38%
12
3
1
1
2
2
6
6
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 26
18.5
4
50%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
14.6
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'0" 185 · 26
11.9
6
75%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
7.4
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 290 · 27
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22
F · 6'9" 245 · 23
#1 · G · 6'0" 165 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
47%
45
17
5
5
12
0
15
30
14-18
78%
27-61
44%
5-18
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.