FinalWin Prob.pScore
1422%86
89
178%96
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.58694.7
CLE logo CLE
112.58880.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE89
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0CLEWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)89
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0CLEWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0CLEWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0CLEWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0CLEWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)87
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)87
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0CLEMISS Ilgauskas 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0CLEWilliams Free Throw Technical (29 PTS)85
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0CLEWilliams Free Throw Technical (28 PTS)85
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 0:57.0CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup85
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 1:02MIACook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS O'Neal 1' Tip Shot85
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup85
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 1:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
3.1%
91
96.9%
Q4 - 1:24CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
2.6%
91
97.4%
Q4 - 1:41CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
2.3%
91
97.7%
Q4 - 1:42MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
2.8%
91
97.2%
Q4 - 1:55CLEJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)85
4.2%
91
95.8%
Q4 - 2:18MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)85
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q4 - 2:31CLEWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)83
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 2:49MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)83
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 3:07CLEWilliams 9' Running Jump Shot (27 PTS)81
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 3:22MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)81
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 3:33MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 3:34CLEMISS James 21' Jump Shot78
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 3:50MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)78
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 4:13CLEWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (James 12 AST)76
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 4:32CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)76
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 4:34MIAMISS Moon 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 4:51CLEWilliams 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS) (James 11 AST)76
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 5:02CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)76
3.2%
84
96.8%
Q4 - 5:04MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
3.6%
84
96.4%
Q4 - 5:27CLEWilliams 6' Floating Jump Shot (20 PTS)76
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q4 - 5:42MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (25 PTS)76
5.9%
82
94.1%
Q4 - 6:00CLEJames 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)74
4.3%
82
95.7%
Q4 - 6:16MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)74
7.0%
80
93.0%
Q4 - 6:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
9.3%
80
90.7%
Q4 - 6:27CLEMISS Williams 15' Turnaround Jump Shot74
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q4 - 6:51MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)74
6.9%
80
93.1%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q4 - 6:59CLEMISS West 1' Layup71
3.6%
80
96.4%
Q4 - 7:12CLEWilliams Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)71
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q4 - 7:26MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 270
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q4 - 7:34CLEWest Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)70
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q4 - 7:49CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)70
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q4 - 7:50MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 8:16CLESmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q4 - 8:16CLESmith 1' Layup (9 PTS)70
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q4 - 8:18CLEMISS Williams 23' Jump Shot70
7.7%
77
92.3%
Q4 - 8:44MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)70
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q4 - 8:51MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
5.1%
77
94.9%
Q4 - 8:52CLEMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot68
4.7%
77
95.3%
Q4 - 9:11MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS)68
4.7%
77
95.3%
Q4 - 9:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q4 - 9:22CLEMISS James 10' Jump Bank Shot66
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q4 - 9:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)66
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q4 - 10:01MIAHeat Rebound63
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS Cook 8' Running Jump Shot63
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q4 - 10:32CLESmith Dunk (7 PTS) (James 10 AST)63
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 10:54MIABeasley 1' Layup (14 PTS)63
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q4 - 11:12CLESmith 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (James 9 AST)61
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q4 - 11:27CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q4 - 11:29MIASzczerbiak BLOCK (1 BLK)61
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q4 - 11:42CLEGibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 8 AST)61
3.7%
73
96.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE61
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAChalmers Jump Shot (6 PTS)61
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 0:15.0CLEWest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 7 AST)59
4.9%
70
95.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIACook Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)59
7.3%
67
92.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0CLECAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)56
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 0:53.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound56
4.1%
67
95.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0CLEMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot56
4.6%
67
95.4%
Q3 - 1:19MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)56
4.3%
67
95.7%
Q3 - 1:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q3 - 1:33CLEMISS Szczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 1:53CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
4.3%
67
95.7%
Q3 - 1:54MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup56
4.6%
67
95.4%
Q3 - 2:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 2:10CLEMISS Szczerbiak 21' Jump Shot56
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q3 - 2:28CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
4.6%
67
95.4%
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup56
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q3 - 2:41MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 2:43CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 256
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 2:43CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 256
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q3 - 3:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)56
4.6%
67
95.4%
Q3 - 3:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)55
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 3:07MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
4.1%
67
95.9%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot54
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q3 - 3:21CLEWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)54
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q3 - 3:41CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 3:42MIAMISS Moon 1' Layup54
6.0%
64
94.0%
Q3 - 3:46CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)54
6.7%
64
93.3%
Q3 - 4:04CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
5.8%
64
94.2%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Beasley 1' Layup54
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 4:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
7.0%
64
93.0%
Q3 - 4:20CLEMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot54
6.6%
64
93.4%
Q3 - 4:32CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
5.8%
64
94.2%
Q3 - 4:33MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot54
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
7.0%
64
93.0%
Q3 - 4:52CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 2 of 254
6.8%
64
93.2%
Q3 - 4:52CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
6.3%
64
93.7%
Q3 - 5:00CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
6.8%
63
93.2%
Q3 - 5:01CLEMISS James 21' Jump Shot54
8.0%
63
92.0%
Q3 - 5:22MIAHaslem 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)54
7.1%
63
92.9%
Q3 - 5:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q3 - 5:25MIAJames BLOCK (1 BLK)52
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q3 - 5:30CLEWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)52
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q3 - 5:48MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)52
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 5:48MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)51
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 6:03CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)50
4.7%
63
95.3%
Q3 - 6:03CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 250
4.8%
62
95.2%
Q3 - 6:24MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)50
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q3 - 6:42CLEIlgauskas 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)48
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 7:03MIAO'Neal 1' Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)48
4.9%
60
95.1%
Q3 - 7:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q3 - 7:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
4.2%
60
95.8%
Q3 - 7:18CLEMISS James 1' Putback Layup46
4.0%
60
96.0%
Q3 - 7:19CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q3 - 7:21CLEMISS James Layup46
4.0%
60
96.0%
Q3 - 7:40MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q3 - 7:40MIAChalmers Putback Layup (4 PTS)46
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Turnaround Jump Shot44
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q3 - 7:58CLEWest Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T10)44
3.1%
60
96.9%
Q3 - 8:10MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)44
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q3 - 8:35CLEWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 5 AST)41
2.1%
60
97.9%
Q3 - 8:41CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
2.8%
57
97.2%
Q3 - 8:42MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot41
2.9%
57
97.1%
Q3 - 8:57CLEWilliams Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)41
3.3%
57
96.7%
Q3 - 9:04CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
2.9%
57
97.1%
Q3 - 9:05MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot41
3.1%
57
96.9%
Q3 - 9:19CLEWest 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)41
3.4%
57
96.6%
Q3 - 9:45MIAChalmers 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)41
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q3 - 9:49MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q3 - 9:50MIAMISS Moon 23' Jump Shot39
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q3 - 10:03CLEWest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)39
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q3 - 10:19CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
4.6%
52
95.4%
Q3 - 10:20MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot39
4.8%
52
95.2%
Q3 - 10:31CLEIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P2.T8)39
5.3%
52
94.7%
Q3 - 10:39CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
4.6%
52
95.4%
Q3 - 10:40CLEMISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot39
5.1%
52
94.9%
Q3 - 10:57MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)39
4.6%
52
95.4%
Q3 - 11:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
3.7%
52
96.3%
Q3 - 11:10CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 1 of 136
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q3 - 11:15CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
4.2%
50
95.8%
Q3 - 11:16CLEMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q3 - 11:37CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
4.2%
50
95.8%
Q3 - 11:40MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot36
4.4%
50
95.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA36
4.8%
50
95.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound36
4.8%
50
95.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 33' 3PT Jump Shot36
4.4%
50
95.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
4.9%
50
95.1%
Q2 - 0:06.0CLEMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
4.8%
50
95.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIABeasley 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)36
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0CLEWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (West 6 AST)34
3.8%
50
96.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Wade 23' Jump Shot34
5.2%
47
94.8%
Q2 - 1:11CLEJames 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)34
5.7%
47
94.3%
Q2 - 1:35MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q2 - 1:35MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
6.5%
45
93.5%
Q2 - 1:44MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
5.7%
45
94.3%
Q2 - 1:46CLEMISS Ilgauskas 3' Layup32
5.6%
45
94.4%
Q2 - 2:07MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)32
5.2%
45
94.8%
Q2 - 2:16CLEWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)30
4.7%
45
95.3%
Q2 - 2:33MIAWade 10' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)30
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q2 - 2:50MIAHeat Rebound28
3.6%
45
96.4%
Q2 - 2:50CLEMISS West 2' Layup28
3.5%
45
96.5%
Q2 - 3:12MIABeasley 16' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)28
3.3%
45
96.7%
Q2 - 3:31CLEVarejao 10' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)26
2.9%
45
97.1%
Q2 - 3:47CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
3.3%
43
96.7%
Q2 - 3:48MIAMISS Beasley 11' Jump Shot26
3.4%
43
96.6%
Q2 - 4:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
3.8%
43
96.2%
Q2 - 4:02CLEMISS West 17' Jump Shot26
3.7%
43
96.3%
Q2 - 4:25MIABeasley 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
3.4%
43
96.6%
Q2 - 4:41CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)24
3.0%
43
97.0%
Q2 - 4:53MIAMoon 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)24
3.8%
40
96.2%
Q2 - 5:05MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
3.5%
40
96.5%
Q2 - 5:05CLEMISS West 3PT Jump Shot22
3.4%
40
96.6%
Q2 - 5:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
3.2%
40
96.8%
Q2 - 5:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
3.1%
40
96.9%
Q2 - 5:40CLEWest 1' Layup (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)20
2.8%
40
97.2%
Q2 - 5:56CLESzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
3.2%
38
96.8%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
3.3%
38
96.7%
Q2 - 6:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
3.8%
38
96.2%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Bank Shot20
3.4%
38
96.6%
Q2 - 6:17CLESzczerbiak 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (West 5 AST)20
3.8%
38
96.2%
Q2 - 6:26CLEWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
4.1%
36
95.9%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Moon 3PT Jump Shot20
4.3%
36
95.7%
Q2 - 6:40CLEGibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)20
4.7%
36
95.3%
Q2 - 6:54MIAWade 1' Dunk (6 PTS)20
5.7%
33
94.3%
Q2 - 7:04CLEVarejao Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)18
5.2%
33
94.8%
Q2 - 7:13CLESzczerbiak Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)18
4.7%
33
95.3%
Q2 - 7:19CLESzczerbiak Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)18
5.2%
32
94.8%
Q2 - 7:19MIAQuinn Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)18
5.8%
31
94.2%
Q2 - 7:19CLEHickson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)18
6.5%
31
93.5%
Q2 - 7:23CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
5.8%
31
94.2%
Q2 - 7:26MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot18
6.0%
31
94.0%
Q2 - 7:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
6.5%
31
93.5%
Q2 - 7:44CLEMISS West 10' Jump Shot18
6.3%
31
93.7%
Q2 - 8:12CLESzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot18
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q2 - 8:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
6.7%
31
93.3%
Q2 - 8:29CLEMISS Szczerbiak 19' Jump Shot18
6.5%
31
93.5%
Q2 - 8:52MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)18
6.0%
31
94.0%
Q2 - 8:57MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Anthony 1' Layup16
5.0%
31
95.0%
Q2 - 9:24CLEGibson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)16
5.5%
31
94.5%
Q2 - 9:29CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
5.0%
31
95.0%
Q2 - 9:30MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot16
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q2 - 9:48CLEHickson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)16
5.5%
31
94.5%
Q2 - 10:03CLESzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
5.2%
31
94.8%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot16
5.3%
31
94.7%
Q2 - 10:18CLESmith 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)16
5.7%
31
94.3%
Q2 - 10:23CLECAVALIERS Rebound16
6.3%
29
93.7%
Q2 - 10:25CLEMISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
6.8%
29
93.2%
Q2 - 10:38MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot16
6.5%
29
93.5%
Q2 - 10:38CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
6.3%
29
93.7%
Q2 - 10:56CLESmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)16
6.9%
29
93.1%
Q2 - 10:56CLEMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 216
7.1%
28
92.9%
Q2 - 11:07CLESzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q2 - 11:08MIAMISS Quinn 17' Jump Shot16
7.4%
28
92.6%
Q2 - 11:20MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
7.9%
28
92.1%
Q2 - 11:22CLEMISS Hickson 12' Jump Shot16
7.7%
28
92.3%
Q2 - 11:46MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)16
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA14
6.5%
28
93.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLESzczerbiak 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 4 AST)14
6.5%
28
93.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAWright Backcourt Turnover (P1.T8)14
7.4%
26
92.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
8.0%
26
92.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0CLEMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot14
7.8%
26
92.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIACook 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)14
7.4%
26
92.6%
Q1 - 1:00CLEWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)12
6.6%
26
93.4%
Q1 - 1:20MIAWade 2' Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)12
8.4%
23
91.6%
Q1 - 1:37CLEJames 1' Dunk (9 PTS)10
7.5%
23
92.5%
Q1 - 2:00MIAO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
8.4%
21
91.6%
Q1 - 2:21CLEWilliams 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (West 3 AST)8
7.8%
21
92.2%
Q1 - 2:36CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
8.6%
19
91.4%
Q1 - 2:37MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot8
8.8%
19
91.2%
Q1 - 2:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
9.2%
19
90.8%
Q1 - 2:56CLEMISS James 10' Turnaround Hook Shot8
9.0%
19
91.0%
Q1 - 3:15MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)8
8.5%
19
91.5%
Q1 - 3:22CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)8
9.2%
19
90.8%
Q1 - 3:46MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
10.9%
16
89.1%
Q1 - 3:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
10.0%
16
90.0%
Q1 - 4:00CLEMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot6
9.7%
16
90.3%
Q1 - 4:06CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
9.2%
16
90.8%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot6
9.5%
16
90.5%
Q1 - 4:22CLEIlgauskas Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)6
10.0%
16
90.0%
Q1 - 4:38MIAO'Neal Driving Dunk (4 PTS)6
9.2%
16
90.8%
Q1 - 4:52CLEWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)4
8.5%
16
91.5%
Q1 - 5:01MIAIlgauskas STEAL (1 STL)4
10.2%
13
89.8%
Q1 - 5:12MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.2%
13
88.8%
Q1 - 5:13CLEMISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot4
10.9%
13
89.1%
Q1 - 5:25CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10.2%
13
89.8%
Q1 - 5:27MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot4
10.5%
13
89.5%
Q1 - 5:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.1%
13
88.9%
Q1 - 5:42CLEMISS Varejao 8' Running Hook Shot4
10.8%
13
89.2%
Q1 - 6:03MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T5)4
10.1%
13
89.9%
Q1 - 6:18CLEJames 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)4
11.0%
13
89.0%
Q1 - 6:22MIAVarejao STEAL (1 STL)4
11.8%
11
88.2%
Q1 - 6:37CLEWest 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)4
12.8%
11
87.2%
Q1 - 6:55MIAO'Neal 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
13.7%
9
86.3%
Q1 - 7:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.6%
9
87.4%
Q1 - 7:11CLEMISS Varejao 6' Step Back Jump Shot2
12.3%
9
87.7%
Q1 - 7:29MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS)2
11.6%
9
88.4%
Q1 - 7:34CLEWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
10.9%
9
89.1%
Q1 - 7:38CLEWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
10.0%
9
90.0%
Q1 - 7:39CLEMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
10.6%
9
89.4%
Q1 - 8:00CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.0%
9
90.0%
Q1 - 8:02MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
10.1%
9
89.9%
Q1 - 8:21CLEWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 2 AST)0
10.7%
9
89.3%
Q1 - 8:41MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)0
12.4%
6
87.6%
Q1 - 8:43MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
13.4%
6
86.6%
Q1 - 8:45CLEMISS Ilgauskas 2' Layup0
13.1%
6
86.9%
Q1 - 8:52CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
12.4%
6
87.6%
Q1 - 8:53MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot0
12.7%
6
87.3%
Q1 - 9:03MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.5%
6
86.5%
Q1 - 9:04CLEMISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot0
13.3%
6
86.7%
Q1 - 9:13MIAJames STEAL (1 STL)0
12.7%
6
87.3%
Q1 - 9:34CLEIlgauskas 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
13.5%
6
86.5%
Q1 - 9:53CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.6%
4
85.4%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot0
14.8%
4
85.2%
Q1 - 10:11CLEVarejao 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)0
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 10:37MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 10:49CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
17.8%
2
82.2%
Q1 - 10:49CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
18.0%
1
82.0%
Q1 - 11:05CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.4%
0
81.6%
Q1 - 11:07MIAMISS Moon 17' Turnaround Jump Shot0
18.7%
0
81.3%
Q1 - 11:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.5%
0
80.5%
Q1 - 11:34CLEMISS James 21' Jump Shot0
19.2%
0
80.8%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. O'Neal: Tip to Varejao0
18.4%
0
81.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
CLE
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
26
65%
CLE
11
17
65%
Midrange
MIA
16
40
40%
CLE
14
36
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
15
20%
30%
CLE
10
15.0
18
56%
83%
Free Throws
MIA
14
15
93%
CLE
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2550%12.5 / 25
J. O'Neal1979%9.5 / 12
M. Beasley1761%8.5 / 14
U. Haslem1056%5.0 / 9
D. Cook1063%5.0 / 8
M. Chalmers633%3.0 / 9
J. Moon217%1.0 / 6
D. Wright0-0.0 / 1
C. Quinn0-0.0 / 1
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2997%14.5 / 15
D. West1973%9.5 / 13
L. James1439%7.0 / 18
A. Varejao1275%6.0 / 8
J. Smith956%4.5 / 8
W. Szczerbiak660%3.0 / 5
D. Gibson6100%3.0 / 3
Z. Ilgauskas425%2.0 / 8
J. Hickson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+11
-11
86
CLE
73
+8
-15
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
CLE
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
112.0
MIA 103.5
CLE 112.5 +9.0
Pace
90.2
89.1
MIA 94.7 +14.0
CLE 80.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
17.2
MIA 15.2 +2.6
CLE 17.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
51.9%
MIA 46.3%
CLE 56.3% +10.0%
TO %
13.1%
13.4%
MIA 11.2% +5.1%
CLE 16.3%
ORB %
24.6%
27.8%
MIA 20.9% +4.2%
CLE 16.7%
FTrt
28.2
31.2
MIA 18.5
CLE 35.2 +16.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
55.0%
MIA 61.1%
CLE 68.6% +7.5%
STL %
8.7%
8.1%
MIA 9.3% +5.9%
CLE 3.4%
BLK %
9.2%
8.7%
MIA 3.8% +0.8%
CLE 3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
54.3%
MIA 50.6%
CLE 60.4% +9.8%
Rim FG%
59.5%
62.0%
MIA 65.4% +0.7%
CLE 64.7%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.8%
MIA 40.0% +1.1%
CLE 38.9%
3P %
35.7%
39.3%
MIA 20.0%
CLE 55.6% +35.6%
FT %
75.4%
75.7%
MIA 93.3% +17.3%
CLE 76.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
30.3%
MIA 32.1% +8.2%
CLE 23.9%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
43.8%
MIA 49.4% +1.3%
CLE 50.7%
3P Att. %
24.5%
25.9%
MIA 18.5%
CLE 25.4% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions8688
Possession Minutes21.826.2
Points8999
Rebounds3940
Assists2224
Steals83
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)34 (0)
Field Goals36-8135-71
At-the-Rim FG17-2611-17
Midrange FG16-4014-36
2-Point FG33-6625-53
3-Point FG3-1510-18
Free Throws14-1519-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
41.4
25
50%
8
12
4
0
3
2
1
7
5-5
100%
7-19
37%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 205 · 29
39.6
2
17%
5
1
2
0
1
5
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
34.1
19
79%
4
2
0
1
4
4
1
3
5-5
100%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
32.5
10
56%
7
1
0
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
32.0
6
33%
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-6
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
24.6
17
61%
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
18.7
10
63%
3
1
0
0
0
4
2
1
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
6.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
5.8
0
0%
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
4.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
#13 · G · 6'3" 185 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
51%
39
22
8
2
11
0
9
30
14-15
93%
33-66
50%
3-15
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.