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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 7, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Warriors36%100120
21Bucks64%105127
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.9
44.5
24.1
23
56%
4
11
2
1
0
7
1
3
5-6
83%
9-14
4-8
64%
45%
0-4
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.0
37.2
34.3
32
71%
5
3
0
1
0
3
1
4
6-6
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
45%
6-10
60%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
30.9
25.1
10
63%
7
3
1
1
0
2
0
7
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.1
27.8
12.1
15
93%
4
2
1
0
4
1
0
4
5-7
71%
5-5
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.6
21.2
27.5
5
64%
8
0
1
1
1
5
2
6
1-2
50%
2-3
5-10
67%
48%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.3
37.5
19.9
22
55%
5
5
0
1
2
2
0
5
8-11
73%
7-13
4-7
54%
49%
0-2
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
23.8
23.6
9
65%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
10.0
17.8
4
69%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
7.2
23.4
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
19.5
1
3-5
59%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
14.9
0
2-3
48%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 24.0
10.5
0
1-2
46%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.4
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.3
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.7
39.4
38.0
35
73%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
13-16
81%
8-13
6-13
62%
49%
2-4
50%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
28.3
31.3
15
47%
2
9
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
5-14
6-12
36%
49%
1-1
100%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.5
26.2
34.7
14
47%
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
3-9
7-13
33%
51%
2-5
40%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.0
20.9
14.5
3
39%
7
0
2
0
1
1
4
3
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
20.9
31.9
11
70%
6
0
0
1
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
5-7
4-7
71%
51%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.0
38.6
24.3
16
53%
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-13
2-4
38%
48%
2-2
100%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.8
27.4
11.4
10
56%
3
1
5
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.1
20.0
19.7
17
84%
4
5
2
1
0
3
1
3
7-7
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
46%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.7
13.4
10.6
4
29%
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.2
5.0
4.4
2
53%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
13.3
0
2-4
49%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.5
4.8
0
0-0
41%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.