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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 7, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Timberwolves17%9193
10Trail Blazers83%10495
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.0
39.5
32.9
7
70%
7
5
1
0
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
53%
1-3
33%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.5
34.1
28.1
28
70%
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
10-16
4-8
63%
47%
2-3
67%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.7
31.7
28.3
18
61%
1
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
6-11
2-6
55%
41%
1-2
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.5
24.9
29.1
6
38%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.3
24.0
13.7
0
0%
7
0
0
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.5
31.9
34.8
23
63%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
10-10
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
44%
1-5
20%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.3
19.6
12.7
11
58%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
55%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.9
12.5
20.7
0
0%
4
0
0
1
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.2
8.9
14.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.4
7.4
18.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
5.5
11.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.8
16.1
1
1-1
46%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.2
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.0
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
40.1
36.4
15
39%
11
0
1
1
0
1
7
4
11-12
92%
2-14
8-15
14%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.6
37.9
36.6
31
75%
4
6
1
1
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
11-17
8-14
65%
52%
2-2
100%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.0
35.0
29.4
8
50%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
2-5
40%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.2
22.9
17.9
12
68%
6
3
0
1
1
0
3
3
4-4
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
53%
0-3
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.4
21.4
26.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
60%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.5
30.6
28.6
14
47%
9
0
2
1
3
1
3
6
0-0
-
7-13
4-8
54%
50%
0-2
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.9
24.4
23.6
5
50%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
1-4
25%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.8
15.4
12.0
6
61%
5
0
0
0
2
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.5
6.8
12.1
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.7
5.5
9.0
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.3
2.3
0
0-1
51%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32.1
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.1
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.3
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.