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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 7, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Pacers67%103106
30Clippers33%97105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
41.1
36.9
25
63%
1
7
1
1
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
7-13
5-9
54%
50%
3-6
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.8
39.8
35.1
22
75%
15
0
0
1
0
0
0
15
4-4
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
50%
4-9
44%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.2
36.4
36.6
10
29%
2
3
3
2
2
4
1
1
0-0
-
5-15
6-13
33%
51%
0-2
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.0
34.0
30.8
17
58%
2
8
3
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
7-12
6-12
58%
48%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.8
19.7
14.2
10
56%
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
5-9
3-5
56%
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
24.3
21.0
7
30%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
3-4
75%
2-8
2-4
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.1
20.7
24.4
8
95%
9
1
0
1
0
0
3
6
4-5
80%
2-2
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.0
16.1
11.3
5
50%
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.8
8.0
3.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
58%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.2
16.0
0
4-7
54%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
6.2
0
1-2
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.0
2.0
0
0-1
52%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.9
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.5
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.2
45.4
14.8
35
81%
2
6
2
0
1
2
0
2
6-8
75%
7-12
2-4
58%
49%
5-6
83%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.2
43.3
34.5
22
55%
9
1
0
1
0
3
3
6
2-2
100%
10-19
7-15
53%
46%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 30.0
42.4
29.6
10
56%
4
3
1
1
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.1
33.8
21.2
10
35%
7
5
1
1
0
3
2
5
4-5
80%
3-12
3-7
25%
45%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.6
25.9
20.6
8
52%
11
2
0
0
4
3
4
7
2-6
33%
3-5
2-4
60%
57%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
28.7
31.7
20
55%
10
2
1
1
1
0
3
7
4-5
80%
8-15
7-15
53%
49%
0-1
0%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.1
11.9
6.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-2
0%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
5.4
17.9
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
43%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.7
3.3
23.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
54%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.9
18.0
0
3-5
50%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.8
10.5
0
1-3
48%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.5
10.5
0
1-2
46%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.9
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.