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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 19, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Trail Blazers23%8892
1Cavaliers77%9897
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.5
46.9
28.5
17
45%
7
0
0
1
1
3
2
5
2-2
100%
6-14
4-8
43%
45%
1-4
25%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.7
46.8
36.0
24
58%
7
7
0
1
0
2
0
7
11-11
100%
5-12
7-14
42%
47%
1-4
25%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.1
44.1
34.2
12
60%
5
7
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
41%
2-4
50%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.4
35.0
30.2
13
86%
11
0
0
0
2
2
1
10
5-8
63%
4-4
3-5
100%
55%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.8
34.2
9.8
14
47%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
7-14
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.0
37.0
20.8
3
25%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.2
12.3
12.0
7
47%
9
0
0
0
0
0
4
5
5-8
63%
1-4
2-3
25%
52%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.6
4.8
13.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.8
4.1
5.2
2
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
0-1
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.7
34.2
1
6-13
47%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.3
2.7
0
0-1
45%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32.2
1.7
0
0-0
44%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.3
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 230 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
46.8
39.8
26
48%
11
10
1
2
2
0
0
11
6-11
55%
10-19
8-14
53%
54%
0-3
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.2
43.3
36.6
12
38%
6
3
0
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
2-6
5-9
33%
51%
2-9
22%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
41.0
31.7
9
30%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
4-11
3-6
36%
50%
0-3
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
31.6
31.6
8
45%
8
0
0
1
0
0
3
5
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
53%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.8
29.2
27.0
21
67%
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
5-6
83%
8-13
5-10
62%
50%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.1
24.2
10.6
8
67%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.3
23.8
20.5
1
13%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.6
19.0
18.0
12
102%
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
1
2-2
100%
5-5
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.4
6.2
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.5
3.4
0
0-1
55%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.0
3.0
0
0-1
52%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
1.9
0
0-0
48%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.9
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.0
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.