FinalWin Prob.pScore
2419%90
94
281%102
110
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
98.99593.3
ORL logo ORL
115.89597.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL94
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)94
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot94
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLGortat 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MILAlexander Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MILMISS Alexander Free Throw 1 of 293
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0ORLMISS Pietrus 20' Jump Shot93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MILBell 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)91
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15ORLGortat Tip Shot (10 PTS)91
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15ORLMISS Gortat Tip Shot91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17ORLMISS Battie 12' Jump Shot91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36MILBell Reverse Layup (17 PTS)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43ORLRichardson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56MILAlexander 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MILBucks Rebound87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MILGortat BLOCK (2 BLK)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41MILAlexander Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46ORLMISS Lue 6' Jump Shot85
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MILAlexander Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)85
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MILMISS Alexander Free Throw 1 of 284
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10ORLMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 284
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10ORLAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26MILAllen 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39ORLPietrus Driving Layup (6 PTS)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53MILMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14ORLHoward Tip Shot (18 PTS)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17ORLMISS Alston Driving Layup82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29MILBell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:23ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24MILMISS Alexander Tip Shot77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:26MILMISS Sessions Reverse Layup77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:32ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:32ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35MILMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot77
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 5:46ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)77
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 5:46ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 277
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 5:58ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 5:59MILMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 6:04MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 6:05MILMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Shot77
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 6:17ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 6:17ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 277
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 6:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 6:37MILMISS Bell Free Throw 2 of 277
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 6:37MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)77
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 6:50MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 6:51ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 7:01ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 7:03MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 7:13ORLPietrus Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)76
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 7:13ORLPietrus Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)76
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 7:22ORLMAGIC Rebound76
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 7:22ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 7:22ORLMISS Battie Tip Shot76
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 7:24ORLMISS Redick 21' Jump Shot76
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 7:45MILAlexander Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)76
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 7:45MILAlexander Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)75
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 8:00ORLPietrus Driving Layup (2 PTS)74
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 8:13MILBell 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)74
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 8:19ORLPietrus Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)72
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 8:31ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)72
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 8:33MILMISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot72
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 8:45MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 8:47ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 172
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 8:50ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)72
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 8:54MILMISS Sessions 19' Jump Shot72
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 9:09ORLGortat Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST)72
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 9:34MILVillanueva 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)72
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 9:53ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)70
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 10:03MILRedick STEAL (2 STL)70
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 10:22ORLGortat Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)70
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 10:27ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)70
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 10:28MILMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot70
2.5%
82
97.5%
Q4 - 10:51ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (18 PTS)70
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q4 - 10:59ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q4 - 11:00MILMISS Sessions 10' Running Jump Shot70
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q4 - 11:12MILBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q4 - 11:13ORLMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
4.7%
80
95.3%
Q4 - 11:37ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)70
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q4 - 11:40MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 270
4.2%
80
95.8%
Q4 - 11:40MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 270
4.8%
80
95.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL70
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound70
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute 10' Jump Shot70
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILElson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)70
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILGortat BLOCK (1 BLK)70
4.7%
80
95.3%
Q3 - 0:10.0MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
5.3%
80
94.7%
Q3 - 0:11.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute 18' Jump Shot70
4.7%
80
95.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)70
5.3%
80
94.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0MILBogans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sessions 4 AST)70
7.9%
77
92.1%
Q3 - 0:54.0ORLLee 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)67
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q3 - 1:19ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
8.1%
74
91.9%
Q3 - 1:20MILMISS Ridnour Free Throw 2 of 267
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q3 - 1:20MILRidnour Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)67
9.5%
74
90.5%
Q3 - 1:27MILElson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)66
8.0%
74
92.0%
Q3 - 1:30ORLMISS Turkoglu 14' Jump Shot66
7.6%
74
92.4%
Q3 - 1:38ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
6.8%
74
93.2%
Q3 - 1:39MILMISS Ridnour 22' Jump Shot66
7.1%
74
92.9%
Q3 - 1:49ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)66
8.0%
74
92.0%
Q3 - 1:49ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)66
8.2%
73
91.8%
Q3 - 2:03ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
9.8%
72
90.2%
Q3 - 2:04MILMISS Ridnour 20' Jump Shot66
10.3%
72
89.7%
Q3 - 2:12MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
11.6%
72
88.4%
Q3 - 2:14ORLMISS Lee 18' Jump Shot66
11.0%
72
89.0%
Q3 - 2:33MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)66
9.8%
72
90.2%
Q3 - 2:46MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
6.9%
72
93.1%
Q3 - 2:48ORLMISS Lee Free Throw 2 of 263
6.8%
72
93.2%
Q3 - 2:48ORLLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)63
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q3 - 2:51MILAlston STEAL (3 STL)63
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q3 - 3:01ORLLewis 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS)63
8.3%
71
91.7%
Q3 - 3:03ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
9.7%
69
90.3%
Q3 - 3:06ORLMISS Lewis Reverse Layup63
10.9%
69
89.1%
Q3 - 3:25ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
9.7%
69
90.3%
Q3 - 3:27MILMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Hook Shot63
10.2%
69
89.8%
Q3 - 3:35MILElson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)63
11.5%
69
88.5%
Q3 - 3:37MILMISS Mbah a Moute 8' Jump Shot63
10.2%
69
89.8%
Q3 - 3:49MILElson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)63
11.5%
69
88.5%
Q3 - 3:50ORLMISS Lee 3PT Jump Shot63
10.9%
69
89.1%
Q3 - 4:07MILJefferson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)63
9.8%
69
90.2%
Q3 - 4:10MILElson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)60
7.3%
69
92.7%
Q3 - 4:11MILMISS Bell 16' Jump Shot60
6.4%
69
93.6%
Q3 - 4:26MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
7.3%
69
92.7%
Q3 - 4:27ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
6.9%
69
93.1%
Q3 - 4:41MILMbah a Moute 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)60
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q3 - 5:05ORLAlston Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)58
5.4%
69
94.6%
Q3 - 5:10ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
7.3%
66
92.7%
Q3 - 5:13MILMISS Sessions Layup58
7.7%
66
92.3%
Q3 - 5:15MILBucks Rebound58
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q3 - 5:15MILLewis BLOCK (3 BLK)58
7.7%
66
92.3%
Q3 - 5:32MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q3 - 5:33ORLMISS Gortat 4' Hook Shot58
8.2%
66
91.8%
Q3 - 5:35ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
7.3%
66
92.7%
Q3 - 5:37ORLMISS Lewis Floating Jump Shot58
8.2%
66
91.8%
Q3 - 5:48ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
7.3%
66
92.7%
Q3 - 5:51MILMISS Sessions 8' Jump Shot58
7.7%
66
92.3%
Q3 - 6:04ORLAlston Driving Layup (7 PTS)58
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q3 - 6:11MILSessions 9' Jump Shot (19 PTS)58
10.0%
64
90.0%
Q3 - 6:27ORLLewis 7' Hook Shot (14 PTS)56
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q3 - 6:43ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
10.0%
62
90.0%
Q3 - 6:43MILMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot56
10.5%
62
89.5%
Q3 - 6:59ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T7)56
11.6%
62
88.4%
Q3 - 7:09MILSessions 5' Jump Shot (17 PTS)56
10.1%
62
89.9%
Q3 - 7:23ORLLee 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)54
8.8%
62
91.2%
Q3 - 7:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
11.6%
59
88.4%
Q3 - 7:37MILMISS Villanueva 17' Jump Shot54
12.1%
59
87.9%
Q3 - 7:48MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
13.3%
59
86.7%
Q3 - 7:49ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot54
12.8%
59
87.2%
Q3 - 8:00ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
11.6%
59
88.4%
Q3 - 8:01MILMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
12.1%
59
87.9%
Q3 - 8:16ORLLewis 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)54
13.3%
59
86.7%
Q3 - 8:19ORLMAGIC Rebound54
15.0%
57
85.0%
Q3 - 8:19ORLMISS Alston Layup54
16.5%
57
83.5%
Q3 - 8:35ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
15.0%
57
85.0%
Q3 - 8:36MILMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 154
15.3%
57
84.7%
Q3 - 9:03ORLAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 5 AST)52
13.2%
57
86.8%
Q3 - 9:13ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
17.0%
54
83.0%
Q3 - 9:16MILMISS Villanueva 8' Hook Shot52
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q3 - 9:27MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
19.2%
54
80.8%
Q3 - 9:28ORLMISS Lee Driving Layup52
18.5%
54
81.5%
Q3 - 9:30ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
17.0%
54
83.0%
Q3 - 9:33MILMISS Jefferson 7' Jump Shot52
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q3 - 9:47ORLLewis Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)52
19.2%
54
80.8%
Q3 - 10:00MILGadzuric Layup (6 PTS)52
21.6%
52
78.4%
Q3 - 10:02MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
18.9%
52
81.1%
Q3 - 10:03MILMISS Jefferson Layup50
17.4%
52
82.6%
Q3 - 10:18MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
18.9%
52
81.1%
Q3 - 10:20ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 250
18.6%
52
81.4%
Q3 - 10:20ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)50
17.5%
52
82.5%
Q3 - 10:32MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
18.9%
51
81.1%
Q3 - 10:32MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
18.5%
51
81.5%
Q3 - 10:46ORLLee Layup (9 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)48
16.8%
51
83.2%
Q3 - 10:56MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)48
18.9%
49
81.1%
Q3 - 10:56MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)47
18.5%
49
81.5%
Q3 - 10:59ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)46
16.8%
49
83.2%
Q3 - 11:15MILVillanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)46
14.7%
49
85.3%
Q3 - 11:26MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
11.6%
49
88.4%
Q3 - 11:27MILMISS Sessions 14' Jump Shot43
10.6%
49
89.4%
Q3 - 11:38MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
11.6%
49
88.4%
Q3 - 11:40ORLMISS Turkoglu 8' Fadeaway Jumper43
11.2%
49
88.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL43
10.2%
49
89.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound43
11.6%
49
88.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Jefferson 31' 3PT Jump Shot43
10.6%
49
89.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLRedick Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)43
11.5%
49
88.5%
Q2 - 0:07.0MILGortat STEAL (1 STL)43
13.3%
47
86.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
14.5%
47
85.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
16.7%
45
83.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0MILMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
17.2%
45
82.8%
Q2 - 0:54.0ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
18.2%
45
81.8%
Q2 - 0:54.0ORLMISS Redick Free Throw 1 of 243
18.5%
44
81.5%
Q2 - 1:15MILJefferson Reverse Layup (10 PTS)43
18.5%
44
81.5%
Q2 - 1:35ORLRedick 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)41
16.2%
44
83.8%
Q2 - 1:52MILBell 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)41
18.6%
42
81.4%
Q2 - 2:03MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
16.1%
42
83.9%
Q2 - 2:04ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
15.6%
42
84.4%
Q2 - 2:12ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
14.4%
42
85.6%
Q2 - 2:13MILMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot39
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 2:27ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)39
16.1%
42
83.9%
Q2 - 2:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
19.8%
39
80.2%
Q2 - 2:33ORLMISS Alston Layup39
21.3%
39
78.7%
Q2 - 2:48MILElson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)39
19.9%
39
80.1%
Q2 - 2:58ORLAlston 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
17.9%
39
82.1%
Q2 - 3:11MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
19.3%
37
80.7%
Q2 - 3:11MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
19.0%
37
81.0%
Q2 - 3:19MILBucks Rebound35
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 3:19MILLewis BLOCK (2 BLK)35
16.3%
37
83.7%
Q2 - 3:23MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 3:24ORLMISS Lewis 23' Jump Shot35
17.1%
37
82.9%
Q2 - 3:38MILJefferson 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
15.7%
37
84.3%
Q2 - 3:49MILElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
14.4%
37
85.6%
Q2 - 3:52MILMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot33
13.2%
37
86.8%
Q2 - 4:07ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
14.1%
37
85.9%
Q2 - 4:07ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
14.6%
36
85.4%
Q2 - 4:07ORLMAGIC Rebound33
15.5%
35
84.5%
Q2 - 4:07ORLMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
16.8%
35
83.2%
Q2 - 4:27MILJefferson Layup (4 PTS)33
15.5%
35
84.5%
Q2 - 4:28MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
14.1%
35
85.9%
Q2 - 4:30MILMISS Jefferson Driving Layup31
13.0%
35
87.0%
Q2 - 4:54ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)31
14.1%
35
85.9%
Q2 - 5:05ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
17.2%
32
82.8%
Q2 - 5:06MILMISS Jefferson 12' Jump Shot31
17.7%
32
82.3%
Q2 - 5:17MILBucks Rebound31
18.9%
32
81.1%
Q2 - 5:17ORLMISS Lewis 10' Running Jump Shot31
18.4%
32
81.6%
Q2 - 5:40MILSessions 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)31
17.2%
32
82.8%
Q2 - 5:58ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)29
15.5%
32
84.5%
Q2 - 6:01ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
18.7%
29
81.3%
Q2 - 6:06MILMISS Sessions 21' Jump Shot29
19.4%
29
80.6%
Q2 - 6:27MILBucks Rebound29
20.9%
29
79.1%
Q2 - 6:28ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot29
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q2 - 6:46MILRedick STEAL (1 STL)29
18.7%
29
81.3%
Q2 - 6:58MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
20.9%
29
79.1%
Q2 - 6:59ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 2 of 229
20.6%
29
79.4%
Q2 - 6:59ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 229
19.5%
29
80.5%
Q2 - 7:08ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q2 - 7:09MILMISS Mbah a Moute 14' Jump Shot29
19.0%
29
81.0%
Q2 - 7:35ORLTurkoglu 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)29
20.3%
29
79.7%
Q2 - 7:53MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)29
22.1%
27
77.9%
Q2 - 8:05ORLMISS Redick Free Throw Technical26
18.3%
27
81.7%
Q2 - 8:09ORLGortat Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)26
18.3%
27
81.7%
Q2 - 8:15MILAlston STEAL (2 STL)26
20.0%
25
80.0%
Q2 - 8:39ORLTurkoglu 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)26
21.8%
25
78.2%
Q2 - 8:54MILMbah a Moute 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)26
23.8%
23
76.2%
Q2 - 9:13MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
21.5%
23
78.5%
Q2 - 9:15ORLMISS Gortat 9' Hook Shot24
20.9%
23
79.1%
Q2 - 9:31MILRidnour 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)24
19.7%
23
80.3%
Q2 - 9:52ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)21
16.5%
23
83.5%
Q2 - 10:17MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
15.1%
23
84.9%
Q2 - 10:17MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 220
14.8%
23
85.2%
Q2 - 10:32MILBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
15.2%
23
84.8%
Q2 - 10:33ORLMISS Pietrus 15' Jump Shot20
14.8%
23
85.2%
Q2 - 10:48ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
13.8%
23
86.2%
Q2 - 10:49MILMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot20
14.2%
23
85.8%
Q2 - 11:03ORLTurkoglu 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)20
15.3%
23
84.7%
Q2 - 11:19ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
16.6%
21
83.4%
Q2 - 11:21MILMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
17.1%
21
82.9%
Q2 - 11:29MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
18.1%
21
81.9%
Q2 - 11:30MILMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot20
17.1%
21
82.9%
Q2 - 11:50ORLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)20
18.1%
21
81.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL20
16.6%
21
83.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)20
16.6%
21
83.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILBucks Rebound20
17.6%
21
82.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute 6' Jump Shot20
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
17.6%
21
82.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0MILHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)20
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
17.6%
21
82.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLMISS Lee Free Throw 2 of 220
17.5%
21
82.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLMISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 220
16.5%
21
83.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
16.6%
21
83.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILMISS Elson 20' Jump Shot20
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLHoward 4' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)20
17.7%
21
82.3%
Q1 - 1:00MILJefferson Driving Dunk (2 PTS)20
19.5%
19
80.5%
Q1 - 1:11ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T3)18
17.4%
19
82.6%
Q1 - 1:17MILSessions 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
16.5%
19
83.5%
Q1 - 1:27MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 1:29MILMISS Jefferson 22' Jump Shot16
14.3%
19
85.7%
Q1 - 1:37MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 1:39ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot16
14.6%
19
85.4%
Q1 - 2:05MILSessions 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
14.1%
19
85.9%
Q1 - 2:12MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
12.8%
19
87.2%
Q1 - 2:13ORLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot14
12.5%
19
87.5%
Q1 - 2:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
12.0%
19
88.0%
Q1 - 2:27MILMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot14
12.2%
19
87.8%
Q1 - 2:43MILBucks Rebound14
12.8%
19
87.2%
Q1 - 2:44ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot14
12.5%
19
87.5%
Q1 - 3:12MILMbah a Moute Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)14
11.7%
19
88.3%
Q1 - 3:25MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
10.8%
19
89.2%
Q1 - 3:26ORLMISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
10.6%
19
89.4%
Q1 - 3:39ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
10.0%
19
90.0%
Q1 - 3:40MILMISS Villanueva 19' Jump Shot12
10.2%
19
89.8%
Q1 - 3:54ORLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
10.8%
19
89.2%
Q1 - 3:57ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
10.0%
19
90.0%
Q1 - 3:58MILMISS Elson 15' Jump Shot12
10.3%
19
89.7%
Q1 - 4:14ORLLee Layup (7 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)12
10.8%
19
89.2%
Q1 - 4:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
11.6%
17
88.4%
Q1 - 4:27MILMISS Sessions 20' Jump Shot12
11.9%
17
88.1%
Q1 - 4:40ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
12.6%
17
87.4%
Q1 - 4:40ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 212
13.0%
16
87.0%
Q1 - 4:54MILGadzuric Dunk (4 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)12
12.6%
16
87.4%
Q1 - 5:15ORLHoward 6' Hook Bank Shot (4 PTS)10
11.9%
16
88.1%
Q1 - 5:27MILSessions 14' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
12.7%
14
87.3%
Q1 - 5:37MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11.9%
14
88.1%
Q1 - 5:38ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
11.6%
14
88.4%
Q1 - 5:46ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 5:48MILHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)8
11.2%
14
88.8%
Q1 - 5:58MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
11.9%
14
88.1%
Q1 - 5:59ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot8
11.6%
14
88.4%
Q1 - 6:15MILBell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)8
10.8%
14
89.2%
Q1 - 6:35ORLLewis Layup (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)8
11.7%
14
88.3%
Q1 - 6:38ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
12.5%
12
87.5%
Q1 - 6:41MILLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)8
12.9%
12
87.1%
Q1 - 6:54ORLLee 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)8
13.6%
12
86.4%
Q1 - 7:07MILBell 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
15.3%
9
84.7%
Q1 - 7:21ORLJohnson 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
14.4%
9
85.6%
Q1 - 7:40MILVillanueva Slam Dunk (2 PTS)6
15.3%
7
84.7%
Q1 - 7:52MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.4%
7
85.6%
Q1 - 7:54ORLMISS Alston Layup4
14.0%
7
86.0%
Q1 - 8:13MILLee STEAL (1 STL)4
13.1%
7
86.9%
Q1 - 8:20MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.1%
7
85.9%
Q1 - 8:22ORLMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
13.8%
7
86.2%
Q1 - 8:35MILSessions 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
13.1%
7
86.9%
Q1 - 8:42MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.2%
7
87.8%
Q1 - 8:44ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot2
11.9%
7
88.1%
Q1 - 9:06ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.5%
7
88.5%
Q1 - 9:08MILMISS Gadzuric 15' Jump Shot2
11.7%
7
88.3%
Q1 - 9:24ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)2
12.2%
7
87.8%
Q1 - 9:45ORLMAGIC Rebound2
14.1%
4
85.9%
Q1 - 9:47MILMISS Jefferson 22' Jump Shot2
14.4%
4
85.6%
Q1 - 9:58ORLHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
15.1%
4
84.9%
Q1 - 10:17MILLewis STEAL (1 STL)2
14.1%
4
85.9%
Q1 - 10:24MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.1%
4
84.9%
Q1 - 10:25ORLMISS Howard Layup2
14.8%
4
85.2%
Q1 - 10:40ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.1%
4
85.9%
Q1 - 10:41MILMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot2
14.4%
4
85.6%
Q1 - 10:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
15.1%
4
84.9%
Q1 - 10:56ORLHoward Putback Dunk (2 PTS)2
15.1%
4
84.9%
Q1 - 10:59ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 11:17MILGadzuric 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
15.6%
2
84.4%
Q1 - 11:33ORLLee Dunk (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)0
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 11:37MILAlston STEAL (1 STL)0
15.6%
0
84.4%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Gadzuric: Tip to Villanueva0
16.6%
0
83.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.89 44.3%
ORL
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
11
23
48%
ORL
20
32
63%
Midrange
MIL
19
54
35%
ORL
12
27
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
ORL
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
Free Throws
MIL
16
24
67%
ORL
19
32
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bell1979%9.5 / 12
R. Sessions1959%9.5 / 16
R. Jefferson1326%6.5 / 25
C. Villanueva1150%5.5 / 11
J. Alexander857%4.0 / 7
L. Mbah a Moute729%3.5 / 12
D. Gadzuric675%3.0 / 4
L. Ridnour450%2.0 / 4
K. Bogans338%1.5 / 4
F. Elson225%1.0 / 4
M. Allen250%1.0 / 2
D. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Lewis1963%9.5 / 15
H. Turkoglu1869%9.0 / 13
D. Howard1864%9.0 / 14
C. Lee1667%8.0 / 12
R. Alston1150%5.5 / 11
M. Gortat1056%5.0 / 9
J. Redick857%4.0 / 7
M. Pietrus650%3.0 / 6
A. Johnson250%1.0 / 2
J. Richardson2100%1.0 / 1
T. Battie0-0.0 / 2
T. Lue0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
86
+19
-9
105
ORL
86
+11
-9
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.89 44.3%
ORL
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
109.0
MIL 98.9 +16.8
ORL 115.8
Pace
93.0
92.5
MIL 93.3
ORL 97.0 +3.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.5
MIL 15.4
ORL 14.8 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
52.0%
MIL 42.4%
ORL 56.9% +14.5%
TO %
14.6%
14.6%
MIL 8.9% +1.6%
ORL 10.5%
ORB %
27.9%
24.1%
MIL 24.5% +4.0%
ORL 20.5%
FTrt
30.6
35.1
MIL 26.1
ORL 40.0 +13.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
54.4%
MIL 41.7%
ORL 51.2% +9.5%
STL %
7.9%
7.5%
MIL 4.2%
ORL 8.4% +4.2%
BLK %
6.5%
8.0%
MIL 6.8%
ORL 9.1% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
54.4%
MIL 44.3%
ORL 56.1% +11.8%
Rim FG%
55.5%
60.9%
MIL 47.8%
ORL 62.5% +14.7%
Mid FG%
40.3%
39.3%
MIL 35.2%
ORL 44.4% +9.2%
3P %
36.3%
38.1%
MIL 40.0%
ORL 42.9% +2.9%
FT %
78.0%
71.5%
MIL 66.7% +7.3%
ORL 59.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
31.3%
MIL 25.0%
ORL 40.0% +15.0%
Mid Att. %
45.9%
35.2%
MIL 58.7%
ORL 33.8% +24.9%
3P Att. %
20.8%
33.5%
MIL 16.3%
ORL 26.3% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsMILORL
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes24.423.5
Points94110
Rebounds4448
Assists1521
Steals48
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (6)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)40 (1)
Field Goals36-9241-80
At-the-Rim FG11-2320-32
Midrange FG19-5412-27
2-Point FG30-7732-59
3-Point FG6-159-21
Free Throws16-2419-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
40.8
19
79%
3
2
1
0
2
3
0
3
1-3
33%
6-8
75%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 190 · 23
34.8
19
59%
2
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
3-3
100%
8-16
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 233 · 29
32.6
13
26%
7
1
0
0
2
2
1
6
2-2
100%
4-20
20%
1-4
25%
F · 6'11" 232 · 25
19.8
11
50%
4
1
0
0
1
4
1
3
4-4
100%
2-7
29%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 240 · 31
15.2
6
75%
6
0
0
0
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 23
26.1
7
29%
6
1
1
1
1
1
2
4
1-4
25%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33
22.0
2
25%
7
1
1
2
0
3
5
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29
18.6
3
38%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
11.2
4
50%
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
8.8
8
57%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
4-6
67%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 33
5.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 31
4.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#22 · G · 6'6" 215 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · C · 7'0" 260 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
44%
44
15
4
4
9
0
13
31
16-24
67%
30-77
39%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.