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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Timberwolves13%8885
1Cavaliers87%102107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.6
27.1
28.7
7
40%
5
2
4
1
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
2-6
4-8
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 20.6
26.8
24.6
18
61%
6
2
0
0
1
2
1
5
4-4
100%
7-13
4-9
54%
46%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.2
20.7
17.0
2
16%
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-3
67%
0-5
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.0
18.2
26.2
5
31%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
1-5
20%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.3
17.2
5.7
4
52%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-2
0%
2-3
0-1
67%
37%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.5
29.8
30.7
18
53%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-7
3-7
14%
42%
5-9
56%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.8
27.3
22.5
8
37%
2
4
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-7
2-5
29%
40%
1-3
33%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.1
26.7
24.9
2
50%
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.9
24.0
19.6
9
101%
1
1
0
1
1
3
1
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
2-3
67%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.4
18.6
21.9
10
54%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-3
0%
5-8
4-8
63%
54%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.5
3.5
11.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
39%
0-1
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
5.7
0
1-2
42%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.1
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.2
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 33.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.7
35.9
33.0
13
70%
5
6
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
33.6
38.0
25
68%
12
7
0
2
0
5
2
10
7-10
70%
6-11
8-14
55%
55%
2-3
67%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.3
31.2
34.7
22
74%
0
1
2
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
52%
4-8
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
29.6
31.5
10
50%
9
2
1
1
1
1
3
6
0-0
-
5-10
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.8
24.3
26.6
11
56%
5
2
0
0
2
0
1
4
4-4
100%
2-7
5-11
29%
51%
1-1
100%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.4
24.9
16.6
4
50%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.1
22.0
21.1
12
86%
1
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
4-5
80%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.7
19.3
18.0
4
50%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.4
14.4
10.8
6
77%
5
1
2
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
53%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.6
3.5
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.0
1.2
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.1
17.5
0
1-3
51%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.9
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.