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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Hornets59%10093
23Knicks41%97103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.6
42.2
39.1
29
66%
7
1
1
1
0
2
2
5
7-7
100%
11-18
9-17
61%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.9
40.4
37.9
22
53%
2
10
3
3
0
3
0
2
5-6
83%
7-15
8-15
47%
53%
1-3
33%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
40.4
33.7
5
23%
4
1
0
1
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
47%
1-6
17%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.9
34.6
22.8
11
37%
14
0
1
1
1
1
7
7
1-2
50%
5-12
3-6
42%
54%
0-2
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.3
17.0
19.8
6
60%
3
0
2
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
54%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.2
27.3
28.3
7
44%
3
1
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.6
19.6
17.1
9
75%
3
1
3
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
3-4
75%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.6
10.9
14.4
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 34.0
7.6
8.5
2
50%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.3
7.3
0
1-1
50%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.9
3.6
0
0-1
45%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
2.8
0
0-1
45%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.8
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.9
39.6
34.7
15
52%
8
1
1
1
1
3
1
7
2-3
67%
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
1-4
25%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.1
35.6
31.5
23
69%
8
2
0
1
0
3
1
7
4-4
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
5-11
45%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.2
34.8
20.8
11
43%
5
6
3
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
42%
1-6
17%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.6
33.8
33.8
15
90%
4
7
1
1
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
0-0
2-4
-
45%
4-7
57%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
33.1
27.2
18
60%
11
0
0
1
0
2
4
7
0-0
-
9-15
5-8
60%
56%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.0
19.6
25.4
7
72%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 24.8
19.0
26.5
8
50%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
51%
0-1
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.3
17.0
20.1
4
100%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
7.5
13.2
2
35%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 26.3
7.0
0
1-2
54%
Joe Crawford
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.8
4.9
0
1-1
46%
Courtney Sims
C · 6'11" 245 · 25.4
1.4
0
0-0
48%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.6
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 33.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.