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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Nuggets46%99103
10Mavericks54%100101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.8
41.5
34.6
43
68%
11
1
1
1
0
1
1
10
5-6
83%
16-26
8-16
62%
48%
2-3
67%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.5
37.1
36.3
5
30%
2
9
0
1
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
0-3
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.2
36.1
32.3
10
56%
5
3
1
1
2
0
1
4
2-2
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.2
16.5
12.7
9
85%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
2-3
67%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
1-1
100%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 23.2
12.3
8.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
29.6
24.7
7
60%
9
1
0
1
1
0
3
6
1-2
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
27.1
27.3
22
92%
3
3
0
1
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
5-5
3-6
100%
50%
4-7
57%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.8
20.9
19.6
4
41%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.7
11.8
15.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.2
7.0
11.5
3
31%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
54%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.5
17.0
1
3-5
58%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.9
2.0
0
0-0
39%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
40.6
32.4
20
51%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
6-6
100%
4-10
5-9
40%
52%
2-7
29%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.8
36.1
34.0
26
45%
11
1
2
1
0
0
3
8
12-13
92%
7-22
8-16
32%
50%
0-1
0%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.1
29.8
30.0
1
6%
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
2
1-4
25%
0-5
3-6
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.7
23.5
19.1
5
66%
5
2
0
0
1
1
4
1
3-4
75%
1-2
2-3
50%
61%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.7
22.9
23.0
3
30%
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
57%
1-2
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.8
30.1
25.5
22
85%
2
4
2
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
47%
5-7
71%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
22.3
8.5
9
58%
8
0
1
0
4
0
5
3
3-4
75%
3-6
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.2
21.6
12.3
7
35%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-7
2-4
14%
46%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.9
13.1
15.5
8
58%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.0
32.0
2
2-4
43%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.9
11.8
0
2-4
49%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.6
4.1
0
0-1
43%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.6
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.