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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Clippers15%8798
6Spurs85%100111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 30.0
39.2
28.0
7
39%
3
3
1
1
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.2
33.8
18.9
23
80%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-3
33%
8-11
2-6
73%
41%
2-2
100%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.3
32.2
34.4
18
65%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
47%
4-6
67%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.7
24.6
31.4
16
72%
6
2
0
1
1
1
1
5
4-7
57%
6-8
6-14
75%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.0
3.0
21.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
37.7
32.0
16
60%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
8-13
5-11
62%
45%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.8
21.6
14.1
3
50%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.9
18.9
18.4
4
29%
4
1
0
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
48%
0-0
-
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.2
17.0
3.3
4
33%
8
2
0
0
1
0
3
5
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
41%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.7
12.1
3.9
7
47%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
1-1
100%
3-7
0-1
43%
52%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
11.9
0
1-3
41%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.9
4.2
0
0-1
46%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 30.0
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
27.0
29.2
8
42%
8
6
1
1
0
0
1
7
1-1
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
49%
1-6
17%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
24.8
28.1
10
71%
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
55%
2-4
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.1
20.2
30.5
11
69%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.9
17.0
35.6
18
83%
1
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
7-9
10-19
78%
54%
1-1
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
13.7
29.0
13
84%
6
2
0
1
2
0
1
5
3-4
75%
5-6
7-13
83%
53%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.9
26.2
8.9
8
40%
1
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-8
1-2
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.6
20.3
22.3
3
30%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
19.4
15.1
14
71%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
19.1
2.7
2
25%
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
43%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
18.7
21.3
10
83%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-5
83%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.7
17.1
20.3
14
89%
1
7
3
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
53%
2-3
67%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.8
16.4
14.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.4
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.0
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.