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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 3, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs59%99126
20Pacers41%96121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.7
36.1
25.5
16
71%
7
7
0
1
0
0
0
7
5-5
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
51%
3-7
43%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.9
34.2
32.7
31
70%
5
10
1
1
1
4
0
5
6-7
86%
11-17
9-17
65%
52%
1-2
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.1
34.1
30.5
18
76%
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-6
2-5
83%
46%
2-5
40%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
28.0
30.7
22
63%
11
3
0
1
0
2
4
7
6-8
75%
8-14
7-13
57%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
23.9
26.7
13
81%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
53%
3-6
50%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
22.3
26.8
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
20.6
14.5
7
40%
7
0
1
0
0
3
5
2
3-4
75%
2-7
2-3
29%
50%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.9
12.8
8.4
2
33%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
12.7
14.1
17
83%
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
3
5-5
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
47%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
8.1
9.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.8
6.3
8.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.6
0.9
18.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.4
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.0
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
42.9
33.9
14
70%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-8
57%
46%
2-3
67%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
41.9
37.6
22
56%
6
6
0
1
0
1
1
5
3-4
75%
8-15
5-10
53%
49%
1-3
33%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.9
41.6
22.0
19
53%
13
3
0
0
1
2
2
11
2-2
100%
4-11
2-4
36%
49%
3-6
50%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.0
37.4
36.0
35
69%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-3
67%
12-20
5-11
60%
47%
3-4
75%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.3
15.4
16.9
7
48%
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
1-3
33%
3-6
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.0
28.0
33.1
12
39%
2
6
3
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
5-11
5-11
45%
47%
0-3
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.2
23.1
23.1
12
104%
4
1
0
1
2
0
2
2
4-4
100%
4-4
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.1
4.9
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.1
4.8
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.8
14.3
0
2-5
52%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
7.1
0
1-2
48%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.8
3.4
0
0-1
55%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.1
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.2
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.