FinalWin Prob.pScore
1630%89
92
470%96
104
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
101.191100.6
BOS logo BOS
115.69082.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLBOS
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL92
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0ATLMarbury STEAL (2 STL)92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0BOSWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0BOSMarbury REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0BOSMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08ATLMurray Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10ATLHawks Rebound92
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 1:11ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 1:20ATLHawks Rebound92
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 1:21BOSMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 1:31ATLMurray 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)92
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 1:37BOSAllen 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59ATLMurray 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)89
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 2:14BOSDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23ATLMurray Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25ATLHawks Rebound83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26ATLDavis BLOCK (1 BLK)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41BOSMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 283
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59ATLMurray Driving Layup (12 PTS)83
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13BOSMISS Marbury 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52BOSDavis 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03ATLAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17BOSPierce Free Throw 3 of 3 (21 PTS)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 3 (20 PTS)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 3 (19 PTS)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 4:37ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot79
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 4:45BOSPerkins Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)79
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 5:06ATLPierce STEAL (1 STL)79
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 5:27BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)79
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 5:51BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)79
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 5:53ATLMISS Smith 1' Layup79
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 6:00ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)79
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 6:01BOSMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot79
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 6:23ATLHorford 1' Driving Dunk (14 PTS)79
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 6:26ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 6:28ATLMISS Horford 5' Jump Shot77
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 6:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 6:39BOSMISS Marbury 21' Jump Shot77
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 6:59ATLMarbury STEAL (1 STL)77
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 7:13ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw Technical77
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 7:13BOSMoore 1' Putback Dunk (9 PTS)77
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 7:13BOSMoore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 7:14BOSMISS Marbury 16' Jump Shot77
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 7:22BOSCELTICS Rebound77
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 7:22ATLPerkins BLOCK (7 BLK)77
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 7:38BOSPerkins 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Marbury 4 AST)77
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 7:51BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q4 - 7:52ATLMISS Horford 14' Jump Shot77
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q4 - 8:12BOSMarbury Foul Turnover (P1.T14)77
5.0%
87
95.0%
Q4 - 8:30ATLSmith 1' Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)77
3.9%
87
96.1%
Q4 - 8:35ATLHawks Rebound75
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q4 - 8:35ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 8:40ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q4 - 8:41ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot75
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 8:59BOSHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Moore 2 AST)75
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q4 - 9:12BOSMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
5.9%
84
94.1%
Q4 - 9:13ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot75
6.3%
84
93.7%
Q4 - 9:23ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
7.2%
84
92.8%
Q4 - 9:24BOSMISS House 23' Jump Shot75
6.8%
84
93.2%
Q4 - 9:30BOSCELTICS Rebound75
5.8%
84
94.2%
Q4 - 9:32BOSMISS Moore 13' Jump Shot75
6.8%
84
93.2%
Q4 - 9:57ATLMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)75
5.8%
84
94.2%
Q4 - 10:12BOSHouse 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Perkins 2 AST)72
4.2%
84
95.8%
Q4 - 10:15ATLMoore STEAL (1 STL)72
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q4 - 10:18ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)72
6.4%
82
93.6%
Q4 - 10:19BOSMISS House 12' Jump Shot72
6.0%
82
94.0%
Q4 - 10:26BOSMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q4 - 10:27ATLPerkins BLOCK (6 BLK)72
5.5%
82
94.5%
Q4 - 10:43BOSMarbury 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)72
6.4%
82
93.6%
Q4 - 11:05BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
8.6%
80
91.4%
Q4 - 11:06ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 272
8.9%
80
91.1%
Q4 - 11:06ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
10.0%
80
90.0%
Q4 - 11:06ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)71
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q4 - 11:06ATLMISS Smith Layup71
7.5%
80
92.5%
Q4 - 11:29BOSAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)71
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q4 - 11:45BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
7.0%
80
93.0%
Q4 - 11:47ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Dunk71
7.5%
80
92.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL71
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound71
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 43' 3PT Jump Shot71
7.4%
80
92.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSRondo Free Throw 3 of 3 (20 PTS)71
9.1%
80
90.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 3 (19 PTS)71
9.6%
79
90.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 3 (18 PTS)71
10.2%
78
89.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)71
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)70
12.9%
77
87.1%
Q3 - 0:11.0BOSRondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Marbury 3 AST)69
10.9%
77
89.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0BOSMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
15.8%
74
84.2%
Q3 - 0:36.0ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
16.6%
74
83.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0BOSMoore 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)69
18.4%
74
81.6%
Q3 - 1:05ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)69
16.0%
74
84.0%
Q3 - 1:16ATLHawks Rebound67
13.3%
74
86.7%
Q3 - 1:18ATLPerkins BLOCK (5 BLK)67
12.0%
74
88.0%
Q3 - 1:28BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)67
13.3%
74
86.7%
Q3 - 1:42BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
11.4%
74
88.6%
Q3 - 1:43ATLMISS Horford 2' Layup67
12.0%
74
88.0%
Q3 - 2:02BOSMoore Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)67
13.8%
74
86.2%
Q3 - 2:02BOSMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
18.9%
71
81.1%
Q3 - 2:03BOSMISS Pierce Layup67
21.0%
71
79.0%
Q3 - 2:17ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)67
18.9%
71
81.1%
Q3 - 2:17ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
18.2%
71
81.8%
Q3 - 2:31ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)65
16.2%
71
83.8%
Q3 - 2:31BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
15.4%
71
84.6%
Q3 - 2:47BOSCELTICS Rebound65
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q3 - 2:48ATLMISS Murray 2' Layup65
14.5%
71
85.5%
Q3 - 2:54ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw Technical65
16.1%
71
83.9%
Q3 - 3:11BOSRondo Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)65
16.4%
71
83.6%
Q3 - 3:21ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)65
18.8%
69
81.2%
Q3 - 3:38BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)65
21.9%
69
78.1%
Q3 - 3:52ATLHorford 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)65
25.0%
67
75.0%
Q3 - 4:06ATLHawks Rebound63
22.2%
67
77.8%
Q3 - 4:06BOSMISS Rondo Layup63
21.2%
67
78.8%
Q3 - 4:25ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)63
18.9%
67
81.1%
Q3 - 4:43ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
14.4%
67
85.6%
Q3 - 4:44BOSMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot60
13.7%
67
86.3%
Q3 - 5:07BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
12.4%
67
87.6%
Q3 - 5:08ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
13.1%
67
86.9%
Q3 - 5:26BOSPerkins 3' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)60
14.6%
67
85.4%
Q3 - 5:49ATLMurray 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)60
16.5%
65
83.5%
Q3 - 6:12BOSRondo 2' Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)57
12.9%
65
87.1%
Q3 - 6:16ATLRondo STEAL (2 STL)57
14.6%
63
85.4%
Q3 - 6:29BOSPerkins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)57
16.9%
63
83.1%
Q3 - 6:56ATLSmith Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)57
14.6%
63
85.4%
Q3 - 7:14ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
13.1%
63
86.9%
Q3 - 7:14BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 255
12.9%
63
87.1%
Q3 - 7:14BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)55
11.9%
63
88.1%
Q3 - 7:31ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)55
13.0%
62
87.0%
Q3 - 7:46ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
10.0%
62
90.0%
Q3 - 7:47BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
9.5%
62
90.5%
Q3 - 7:55BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
8.6%
62
91.4%
Q3 - 7:56ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
9.0%
62
91.0%
Q3 - 8:15BOSRondo 2' Dunk (9 PTS)52
10.2%
62
89.8%
Q3 - 8:20ATLRondo STEAL (1 STL)52
11.5%
60
88.5%
Q3 - 8:37BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
13.3%
60
86.7%
Q3 - 8:58BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
17.0%
57
83.0%
Q3 - 9:00ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot52
17.7%
57
82.3%
Q3 - 9:19BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)52
19.4%
57
80.6%
Q3 - 9:25BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
24.4%
54
75.6%
Q3 - 9:27ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot52
25.2%
54
74.8%
Q3 - 9:53BOSDavis 3' Running Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Allen 5 AST)52
27.3%
54
72.7%
Q3 - 10:18ATLSmith 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)52
29.9%
52
70.1%
Q3 - 10:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
27.0%
52
73.0%
Q3 - 10:26BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot50
26.2%
52
73.8%
Q3 - 10:36BOSCELTICS Rebound50
24.3%
52
75.7%
Q3 - 10:38ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
25.1%
52
74.9%
Q3 - 10:55ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
27.0%
52
73.0%
Q3 - 10:57BOSMISS Perkins 3' Hook Shot50
26.2%
52
73.8%
Q3 - 11:22ATLBibby 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)50
24.1%
52
75.9%
Q3 - 11:39ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
21.8%
52
78.2%
Q3 - 11:41BOSMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot48
21.1%
52
78.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL48
19.4%
52
80.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound48
21.8%
52
78.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Evans 16' Jump Shot48
20.1%
52
79.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
21.6%
52
78.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
22.0%
51
78.0%
Q2 - 0:15.0ATLHorford 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)48
24.6%
50
75.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0BOSPierce 12' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
21.6%
50
78.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0ATLEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
24.5%
48
75.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0ATLEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)45
24.1%
48
75.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
21.6%
48
78.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Evans Layup44
20.4%
48
79.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)44
21.6%
48
78.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0ATLJohnson 6' Running Bank Shot (15 PTS)44
24.5%
46
75.5%
Q2 - 1:10BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)42
21.6%
46
78.4%
Q2 - 1:10BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)42
22.2%
45
77.8%
Q2 - 1:10BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
24.6%
44
75.4%
Q2 - 1:11BOSMISS Allen Reverse Layup42
25.8%
44
74.2%
Q2 - 1:28ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)42
24.6%
44
75.4%
Q2 - 1:28ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)41
23.9%
44
76.1%
Q2 - 1:28ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)40
21.8%
44
78.2%
Q2 - 1:37BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)39
19.5%
44
80.5%
Q2 - 1:56BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
24.6%
41
75.4%
Q2 - 1:57ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 239
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q2 - 1:57ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 239
26.3%
41
73.7%
Q2 - 2:12BOSRondo 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
26.4%
41
73.6%
Q2 - 2:21BOSCELTICS Rebound39
28.9%
39
71.1%
Q2 - 2:21BOSMISS Davis 2' Layup39
30.8%
39
69.2%
Q2 - 2:30BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
29.0%
39
71.0%
Q2 - 2:32ATLMISS Horford 12' Turnaround Jump Shot39
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 2:54BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)39
31.7%
39
68.3%
Q2 - 3:06ATLJohnson 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)39
28.5%
39
71.5%
Q2 - 3:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
26.4%
39
73.6%
Q2 - 3:11BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup37
25.6%
39
74.4%
Q2 - 3:28ATLBibby 18' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)37
23.7%
39
76.3%
Q2 - 3:35ATLHawks Rebound35
21.8%
39
78.2%
Q2 - 3:35ATLAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)35
20.2%
39
79.8%
Q2 - 3:54BOSDavis 1' Layup (9 PTS)35
21.8%
39
78.2%
Q2 - 4:12BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
23.6%
37
76.4%
Q2 - 4:14ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot35
24.3%
37
75.7%
Q2 - 4:19ATLHawks Rebound35
26.0%
37
74.0%
Q2 - 4:19ATLMISS Murray 12' Jump Shot35
24.3%
37
75.7%
Q2 - 4:39BOSRondo 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)35
26.0%
37
74.0%
Q2 - 4:53ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
28.3%
35
71.7%
Q2 - 4:53ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
27.7%
35
72.3%
Q2 - 5:09BOSDavis 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)33
25.9%
35
74.1%
Q2 - 5:18BOSCELTICS Rebound33
28.3%
33
71.7%
Q2 - 5:18BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup33
30.0%
33
70.0%
Q2 - 5:27BOSMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
28.3%
33
71.7%
Q2 - 5:29ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot33
29.1%
33
70.9%
Q2 - 5:37ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q2 - 5:38BOSMISS Allen 10' Fadeaway Jumper33
30.0%
33
70.0%
Q2 - 6:04ATLJohnson 15' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)33
28.0%
33
72.0%
Q2 - 6:18ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
26.1%
33
73.9%
Q2 - 6:19BOSMISS House 16' Jump Shot31
25.3%
33
74.7%
Q2 - 6:40ATLJohnson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
23.6%
33
76.4%
Q2 - 6:57BOSMoore Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)29
21.9%
33
78.1%
Q2 - 7:06BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
19.7%
33
80.3%
Q2 - 7:07ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
20.3%
33
79.7%
Q2 - 7:27BOSPerkins Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)29
21.6%
33
78.4%
Q2 - 7:40BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
19.7%
33
80.3%
Q2 - 7:41ATLPerkins BLOCK (4 BLK)29
20.3%
33
79.7%
Q2 - 8:01BOSPerkins Layup (8 PTS)29
21.7%
33
78.3%
Q2 - 8:07BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
23.6%
31
76.4%
Q2 - 8:08BOSMISS Marbury Layup29
25.0%
31
75.0%
Q2 - 8:11BOSMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
23.6%
31
76.4%
Q2 - 8:17ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
24.2%
31
75.8%
Q2 - 8:32BOSMoore 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)29
25.6%
31
74.4%
Q2 - 8:49ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)29
27.8%
29
72.2%
Q2 - 9:03BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q2 - 9:03BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
26.0%
28
74.0%
Q2 - 9:17BOSMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
27.5%
27
72.5%
Q2 - 9:18ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
28.1%
27
71.9%
Q2 - 9:42BOSPerkins 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Marbury 2 AST)27
29.7%
27
70.3%
Q2 - 9:56ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)27
32.0%
25
68.0%
Q2 - 10:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
27.5%
25
72.5%
Q2 - 10:07BOSMISS Marbury 22' Jump Shot24
26.9%
25
73.1%
Q2 - 10:23ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
25.4%
25
74.6%
Q2 - 10:23ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 223
24.9%
25
75.1%
Q2 - 10:26BOSHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)23
25.5%
25
74.5%
Q2 - 10:29BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
23.5%
25
76.5%
Q2 - 10:32ATLPerkins BLOCK (3 BLK)23
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q2 - 10:36ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)23
25.5%
25
74.5%
Q2 - 10:37ATLPerkins BLOCK (2 BLK)23
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q2 - 10:51ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
25.5%
25
74.5%
Q2 - 10:52ATLMISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot23
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q2 - 11:08BOSAllen 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)23
25.6%
25
74.4%
Q2 - 11:25BOSMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
27.5%
23
72.5%
Q2 - 11:26ATLMISS Bibby 16' Jump Shot23
28.1%
23
71.9%
Q2 - 11:33ATLHawks Rebound23
29.6%
23
70.4%
Q2 - 11:36ATLMISS Murray 14' Jump Shot23
28.1%
23
71.9%
Q2 - 11:52BOSMoore Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
29.6%
23
70.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS23
31.8%
21
68.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound23
31.8%
21
68.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Marbury 42' 3PT Jump Shot23
33.3%
21
66.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLPachulia 1' Layup (2 PTS)23
31.5%
21
68.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)21
28.9%
21
71.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot21
27.9%
21
72.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0BOSHouse 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marbury 1 AST)21
29.0%
21
71.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
31.5%
19
68.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 220
31.0%
19
69.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
31.1%
19
68.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
30.6%
19
69.4%
Q1 - 1:04BOSMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
29.3%
19
70.7%
Q1 - 1:07ATLMISS Murray 2' Layup20
29.7%
19
70.3%
Q1 - 1:20BOSAllen Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)20
30.7%
19
69.3%
Q1 - 1:39ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T2)20
29.3%
19
70.7%
Q1 - 1:47ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
30.7%
19
69.3%
Q1 - 1:48ATLMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot20
29.7%
19
70.3%
Q1 - 1:53BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
30.7%
19
69.3%
Q1 - 1:59BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
29.3%
19
70.7%
Q1 - 2:00ATLMISS Johnson 1' Layup20
29.7%
19
70.3%
Q1 - 2:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
30.7%
19
69.3%
Q1 - 2:06BOSMISS Allen Layup20
30.2%
19
69.8%
Q1 - 2:27ATLWest 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS)20
29.1%
19
70.9%
Q1 - 2:27ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
26.9%
19
73.1%
Q1 - 2:28ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Layup18
25.9%
19
74.1%
Q1 - 2:31ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
26.9%
19
73.1%
Q1 - 2:32ATLMISS West 1' Layup18
25.9%
19
74.1%
Q1 - 2:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
26.9%
19
73.1%
Q1 - 2:54BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 218
26.7%
19
73.3%
Q1 - 2:54BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
25.7%
19
74.3%
Q1 - 3:04ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
26.9%
18
73.1%
Q1 - 3:04ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
26.4%
18
73.6%
Q1 - 3:18BOSRondo Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
25.2%
18
74.8%
Q1 - 3:34ATLJohnson Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)16
26.9%
16
73.1%
Q1 - 3:50BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)14
25.2%
16
74.8%
Q1 - 4:11ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
28.3%
13
71.7%
Q1 - 4:22BOSDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)12
26.6%
13
73.4%
Q1 - 4:24BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
24.8%
13
75.2%
Q1 - 4:25ATLMISS Johnson 1' Layup12
25.4%
13
74.6%
Q1 - 4:33BOSDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
26.6%
13
73.4%
Q1 - 4:49BOSCELTICS Rebound12
24.8%
13
75.2%
Q1 - 4:50ATLMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
25.4%
13
74.6%
Q1 - 5:17BOSAllen Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)12
26.8%
13
73.2%
Q1 - 5:41ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)12
28.3%
11
71.7%
Q1 - 5:59BOSDavis 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)10
26.7%
11
73.3%
Q1 - 6:21ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)10
28.0%
9
72.0%
Q1 - 6:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
26.4%
9
73.6%
Q1 - 6:30BOSMISS Perkins 1' Layup8
25.8%
9
74.2%
Q1 - 6:43BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
24.7%
9
75.3%
Q1 - 6:44ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot8
25.2%
9
74.8%
Q1 - 6:51BOSRondo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
26.4%
9
73.6%
Q1 - 6:58ATLHorford 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)8
24.7%
9
75.3%
Q1 - 7:10BOSPerkins 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)6
23.0%
9
77.0%
Q1 - 7:30BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
24.4%
7
75.6%
Q1 - 7:31BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
25.6%
7
74.4%
Q1 - 7:38BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
24.4%
7
75.6%
Q1 - 7:39BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
25.6%
7
74.4%
Q1 - 7:56ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
24.4%
7
75.6%
Q1 - 7:56ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
24.1%
7
75.9%
Q1 - 8:15BOSPierce 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)4
22.7%
7
77.3%
Q1 - 8:25BOSCELTICS Rebound4
24.2%
5
75.8%
Q1 - 8:26ATLMISS Smith Dunk4
24.7%
5
75.3%
Q1 - 8:47ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
25.8%
5
74.2%
Q1 - 8:48BOSMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot4
25.3%
5
74.7%
Q1 - 9:13ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)4
24.4%
5
75.6%
Q1 - 9:24ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.8%
5
77.2%
Q1 - 9:25BOSMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot2
22.5%
5
77.5%
Q1 - 9:35BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.6%
5
78.4%
Q1 - 9:36ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
22.0%
5
78.0%
Q1 - 9:58BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)2
22.8%
5
77.2%
Q1 - 10:04ATLDavis STEAL (1 STL)2
24.3%
3
75.7%
Q1 - 10:06ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
25.8%
3
74.2%
Q1 - 10:07ATLMISS Horford 2' Layup2
24.7%
3
75.3%
Q1 - 10:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
25.8%
3
74.2%
Q1 - 10:11ATLPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)2
24.7%
3
75.3%
Q1 - 10:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
25.8%
3
74.2%
Q1 - 10:20ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
24.8%
3
75.2%
Q1 - 10:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
25.8%
3
74.2%
Q1 - 10:26BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup2
25.3%
3
74.7%
Q1 - 10:31BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
24.3%
3
75.7%
Q1 - 10:33ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot2
24.8%
3
75.2%
Q1 - 10:53BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)2
25.8%
3
74.2%
Q1 - 11:02BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 11:03ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot2
28.3%
0
71.7%
Q1 - 11:18ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 11:19BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot2
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 11:38ATLHorford 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. Smith: Tip to Bibby0
26.7%
0
73.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.89 44.7%
BOS
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
13
38
34%
BOS
24
35
69%
Midrange
ATL
12
27
44%
BOS
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
BOS
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
Free Throws
ATL
24
31
77%
BOS
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Murray2162%10.5 / 17
M. Bibby2059%10.0 / 17
J. Johnson1550%7.5 / 15
A. Horford1447%7.0 / 15
J. Smith1338%6.5 / 17
Z. Pachulia528%2.5 / 9
M. Evans214%1.0 / 7
M. West250%1.0 / 2
S. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2166%10.5 / 16
R. Rondo2077%10.0 / 13
G. Davis1979%9.5 / 12
K. Perkins1275%6.0 / 8
R. Allen1042%5.0 / 12
M. Moore990%4.5 / 5
E. House750%3.5 / 7
S. Marbury214%1.0 / 7
T. Allen250%1.0 / 2
H. Walker2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
81
+22
-10
103
BOS
74
+11
-16
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.89 44.7%
BOS
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
110.1
ATL 101.1
BOS 115.6 +14.5
Pace
89.8
90.9
ATL 100.6 +18.3
BOS 82.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.8
ATL 14.3 +3.2
BOS 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
52.8%
ATL 39.1%
BOS 57.3% +18.2%
TO %
13.6%
16.4%
ATL 9.0% +7.8%
BOS 16.8%
ORB %
26.0%
27.9%
ATL 29.5% +6.9%
BOS 22.6%
FTrt
32.3
32.8
ATL 35.6 +7.6
BOS 28.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.1%
60.6%
ATL 51.6%
BOS 65.0% +13.4%
STL %
8.2%
8.3%
ATL 8.8% +1.0%
BOS 7.8%
BLK %
7.4%
7.8%
ATL 4.9%
BOS 15.4% +10.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
55.6%
ATL 44.7%
BOS 61.2% +16.5%
Rim FG%
60.5%
60.2%
ATL 34.2%
BOS 68.6% +34.4%
Mid FG%
40.2%
42.4%
ATL 44.4% +5.9%
BOS 38.5%
3P %
36.6%
39.7%
ATL 27.3%
BOS 42.9% +15.6%
FT %
73.8%
76.7%
ATL 77.4%
BOS 85.7% +8.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
37.8%
ATL 43.7%
BOS 46.7% +3.0%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
40.8%
ATL 31.0% +3.6%
BOS 34.7%
3P Att. %
25.3%
21.4%
ATL 25.3% +6.6%
BOS 18.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLBOS
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes21.726.2
Points92104
Rebounds3738
Assists1626
Steals87
Blocks310
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (9)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)31 (5)
Field Goals31-8740-75
At-the-Rim FG13-3824-35
Midrange FG12-2710-26
2-Point FG25-6534-61
3-Point FG6-226-14
Free Throws24-3118-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 195 · 31
40.1
20
59%
3
6
0
0
1
1
0
3
3-3
100%
7-12
58%
1-4
25%
G · 6'7" 240 · 28
39.0
15
50%
2
5
0
0
2
3
0
2
5-7
71%
5-9
56%
0-4
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 23
37.1
14
47%
8
3
3
1
1
3
2
6
2-2
100%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 23
35.7
13
38%
10
1
1
2
0
3
1
9
2-4
50%
4-12
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'5" 220 · 30
26.5
2
14%
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-4
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
32.1
21
62%
1
1
2
0
3
2
1
0
7-9
78%
1-6
17%
4-7
57%
C · 6'11" 270 · 25
13.2
5
28%
7
0
0
0
2
2
5
2
3-4
75%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
7.2
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 25
6.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
· 6'8" 225 · 23
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 225 · 24
C · 6'11" 275 · 23
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F · 6'9" 237 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · G · 6'3" 202 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
45%
37
16
8
3
10
0
13
24
24-31
77%
25-65
38%
6-22
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.