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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 3, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers
87
2Magic
116
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.3
32
36
26
9
5
1
1
0
2
1
8
10-10
100%
5-15
7-14
33%
51%
2-5
40%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.8
32
28
10
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
5-12
5-11
42%
47%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.3
30
36
10
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.7
29
33
5
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
1-1
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
27
31
7
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-3
33%
3-8
3-7
38%
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.4
18
9
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
1-1
17%
42%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.1
18
15
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
1-3
33%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.1
12
20
7
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
41%
1-1
100%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.4
12
12
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.6
12
4
5
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
1-1
100%
2-6
0-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.7
11
17
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.0
7
3
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
2-3
67%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.9
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.6
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.0
31
36
13
4
6
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-3
33%
6-6
4-8
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.5
28
25
10
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
2-3
67%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.3
27
36
20
11
0
1
1
3
0
2
9
4-8
50%
8-13
7-12
62%
58%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.7
27
31
11
2
10
4
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
3-7
100%
42%
1-5
20%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.7
25
34
22
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
5-5
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
5-7
71%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
29
24
3
7
2
1
1
1
0
0
7
1-1
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
51%
0-3
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.1
21
11
7
8
1
1
0
3
1
1
7
0-1
0%
2-3
1-3
67%
54%
1-1
100%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
17
13
10
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-9
2-3
44%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.5
15
15
10
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
2-3
67%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.8
8
9
4
2
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.9
6
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
2-3
67%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.1
6
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.1
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.