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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 3, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Timberwolves19%94103
7Jazz81%105102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.1
39.1
31.2
14
61%
9
8
1
0
1
3
1
8
1-1
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
54%
1-3
33%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.6
38.2
30.6
25
55%
8
3
1
1
1
5
1
7
3-6
50%
8-12
5-10
67%
47%
2-8
25%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.0
33.8
30.6
25
85%
5
2
0
1
1
2
2
3
4-4
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
5-8
63%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.3
29.1
21.3
4
40%
3
6
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.6
26.1
31.6
2
33%
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
6-12
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.8
27.2
26.2
18
84%
4
7
0
1
1
6
0
4
4-4
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
42%
2-3
67%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
23.3
3.7
12
75%
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
6-8
0-1
75%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.9
20.0
20.3
3
30%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.5
3.2
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.5
14.9
0
2-4
44%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.3
10.3
0
1-2
40%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 33.2
5.4
0
0-1
41%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.1
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.4
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.8
39.1
36.8
34
72%
2
11
0
1
0
2
0
2
8-8
100%
10-17
6-12
59%
54%
2-3
67%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.4
29.6
30.9
6
28%
5
2
2
1
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
1-9
7-13
11%
54%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.0
28.8
27.5
5
36%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
57%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.9
25.9
29.8
11
61%
6
0
2
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
1-2
50%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
12.0
23.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
53%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.0
32.6
22.0
19
72%
5
1
2
1
1
1
0
5
5-5
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
51%
2-4
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.1
27.7
25.1
12
52%
6
2
1
1
0
2
3
3
4-6
67%
4-9
5-8
44%
55%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.1
26.1
23.0
13
82%
1
2
2
1
3
1
0
1
1-2
50%
6-7
3-6
86%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.8
9.3
8.3
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.4
8.9
9.6
0
0%
0
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.3
3.8
0
0-1
46%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.8
3.1
0
0-1
47%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.3
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.