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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 3, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Kings20%100111
12Suns80%111139
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.3
41.0
32.7
29
67%
4
5
1
1
0
4
0
4
7-8
88%
5-11
4-7
45%
49%
4-7
57%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.9
37.6
27.4
22
60%
10
0
2
1
0
3
5
5
0-1
0%
11-16
4-8
69%
49%
0-2
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.3
33.2
26.7
11
43%
6
1
0
0
1
0
0
6
3-4
75%
1-6
3-6
17%
48%
2-5
40%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.7
29.7
29.6
23
75%
6
1
1
1
0
1
4
2
9-10
90%
7-11
5-9
64%
51%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
28.2
36.0
3
26%
4
8
0
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
1-5
5-9
20%
49%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 36.1
23.9
20.1
5
50%
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.5
19.9
24.8
17
73%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
4-6
67%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
3-3
100%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.1
10.3
7.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
4.6
2.1
1
17%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
4.6
2.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.9
3.6
3.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.7
3.2
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.7
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.2
31.2
35.8
29
73%
3
9
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
9-15
6-11
60%
56%
3-4
75%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.1
28.3
28.1
11
56%
11
5
1
1
1
3
1
10
2-4
50%
0-3
3-5
0%
54%
3-5
60%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 36.5
25.4
34.8
12
72%
3
2
0
1
0
4
0
3
2-3
67%
5-7
6-11
71%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.2
25.2
33.0
19
59%
5
2
1
1
0
0
3
2
5-5
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
53%
2-4
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 37.1
23.5
32.0
11
78%
6
1
2
1
3
1
0
6
3-7
43%
4-4
8-12
100%
62%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.7
28.4
22.6
15
69%
6
0
0
1
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
55%
4-8
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.0
21.1
4.7
8
65%
4
0
1
0
3
2
2
2
4-5
80%
2-3
1-1
67%
58%
0-1
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.3
20.6
14.6
6
32%
6
0
0
0
2
1
6
0
0-1
0%
3-9
2-4
33%
58%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
18.1
11.8
11
69%
5
5
2
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 26.3
14.9
7.1
15
76%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
5-7
1-2
71%
55%
1-2
50%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.1
3.5
6.5
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.4
9.0
0
1-3
51%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.