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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Cavaliers40%9777
23Raptors60%10192
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.6
31.6
27.4
19
46%
6
0
0
1
1
2
1
5
2-4
50%
7-14
4-9
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.3
30.6
28.0
3
26%
13
3
3
1
1
2
5
8
3-4
75%
0-4
3-6
0%
53%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 19.8
26.2
24.3
12
38%
3
4
0
1
0
2
2
1
6-6
100%
3-12
4-8
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.5
23.7
18.9
10
63%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 36.5
21.0
22.0
8
58%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.9
24.6
25.4
4
25%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
41%
0-3
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.6
21.9
27.4
2
17%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
2-5
-
49%
0-5
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
21.8
23.1
7
44%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
47%
1-1
100%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.2
17.4
7.9
6
52%
3
1
0
0
3
1
3
0
4-4
100%
1-4
1-1
25%
55%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 20.8
16.4
20.3
1
9%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-5
3-7
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mychel Thompson
F · 6'6" 211 · 23.6
2.4
9.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.0
2.4
1.6
5
125%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.4
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.0
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
37.1
32.8
25
66%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
4-10
6-12
40%
50%
5-8
63%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.3
36.8
35.4
13
81%
6
11
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
5-5
3-6
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.2
34.1
35.0
31
81%
7
3
0
1
1
2
0
7
6-7
86%
8-9
6-12
89%
49%
3-7
43%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.7
26.6
25.3
6
50%
4
1
2
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
59%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.6
16.9
22.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-6
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
26.5
15.0
4
20%
8
2
2
1
2
3
2
6
2-4
50%
1-8
2-3
13%
49%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
22.6
15.9
8
57%
7
1
0
0
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
56%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.1
14.6
21.0
3
38%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-7
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.6
11.3
14.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 36.6
11.2
7.1
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.9
2.4
2.8
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
6.1
0
1-2
46%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.8
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.0
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.