Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, January 4, 2012
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Rockets | 28% | 99 | 89 | |
9 | Clippers | 72% | 106 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Cavaliers | 40% | 97 | 77 | |
23 | Raptors | 60% | 101 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 16% | 86 | 85 | |
4 | Magic | 84% | 99 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nets | 23% | 87 | 70 | |
11 | Celtics | 77% | 97 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Bobcats | 15% | 95 | 118 | |
13 | Knicks | 85% | 109 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pacers | 25% | 94 | 83 | |
1 | Heat | 75% | 103 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Bulls | 66% | 97 | 99 | |
24 | Pistons | 34% | 91 | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Grizzlies | 40% | 99 | 90 | |
20 | Timberwolves | 60% | 102 | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Suns | 27% | 96 | 89 | |
7 | Mavericks | 73% | 104 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Warriors | 33% | 94 | 95 | |
16 | Spurs | 67% | 100 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Kings | 13% | 95 | 83 | |
3 | Nuggets | 87% | 110 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | 76ers | 65% | 97 | 101 | |
28 | Hornets | 35% | 92 | 93 |
Tuesday, January 3, 2012
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 102 | 103 | |
8 | Thunder | 54% | 103 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Bobcats | 33% | 95 | 101 | |
23 | Cavaliers | 67% | 101 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Hawks | 27% | 89 | 74 | |
2 | Bulls | 73% | 97 | 76 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Kings | 42% | 94 | 96 | |
26 | Grizzlies | 58% | 97 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Bucks | 54% | 99 | 73 | |
21 | Jazz | 46% | 97 | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Rockets | 29% | 94 | 99 | |
6 | Lakers | 71% | 102 | 108 |
Monday, January 2, 2012
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Magic | 65% | 99 | 78 | |
23 | Pistons | 35% | 94 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Warriors | 38% | 96 | 91 | |
18 | Suns | 62% | 100 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 17% | 86 | 92 | |
8 | Celtics | 83% | 99 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pacers | 63% | 97 | 108 | |
26 | Nets | 37% | 92 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Raptors | 19% | 95 | 90 | |
12 | Knicks | 81% | 107 | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Hawks | 32% | 95 | 100 | |
1 | Heat | 68% | 101 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Spurs | 66% | 104 | 96 | |
19 | Timberwolves | 34% | 98 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Thunder | 45% | 100 | 87 | |
5 | Mavericks | 55% | 102 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Bucks | 37% | 100 | 86 | |
9 | Nuggets | 63% | 105 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Hornets | 36% | 94 | 90 | |
21 | Jazz | 64% | 99 | 94 |
Sunday, January 1, 2012
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Bobcats | 13% | 92 | 90 | |
1 | Heat | 87% | 107 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Celtics | 70% | 95 | 94 | |
30 | Wizards | 30% | 88 | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Raptors | 17% | 90 | 96 | |
2 | Magic | 83% | 103 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Nets | 47% | 95 | 82 | |
24 | Cavaliers | 53% | 96 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Mavericks | 69% | 108 | 82 | |
25 | Timberwolves | 31% | 101 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Grizzlies | 26% | 93 | 64 | |
3 | Bulls | 74% | 101 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Lakers | 39% | 100 | 90 | |
4 | Nuggets | 61% | 104 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hornets | 52% | 94 | 80 | |
28 | Kings | 48% | 93 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 103 | 88 | |
9 | Clippers | 57% | 105 | 93 |
Saturday, December 31, 2011
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | 76ers | 49% | 99 | 107 | |
20 | Warriors | 51% | 100 | 79 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Jazz | 19% | 93 | 89 | |
10 | Spurs | 81% | 104 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Knicks | 60% | 100 | 114 | |
25 | Kings | 40% | 97 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Suns | 22% | 93 | 97 | |
5 | Thunder | 78% | 103 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Hawks | 48% | 97 | 84 | |
17 | Rockets | 52% | 98 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pacers | 57% | 97 | 88 | |
26 | Pistons | 43% | 95 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Nuggets | 42% | 101 | 89 | |
7 | Lakers | 58% | 103 | 92 |
Friday, December 30, 2011
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Raptors | 21% | 96 | 86 | |
4 | Mavericks | 79% | 106 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Bulls | 38% | 97 | 114 | |
7 | Clippers | 62% | 101 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | 76ers | 59% | 104 | 99 | |
24 | Jazz | 41% | 100 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 27% | 90 | 81 | |
16 | Bucks | 73% | 98 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Heat | 72% | 107 | 103 | |
21 | Timberwolves | 28% | 100 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Suns | 47% | 92 | 93 | |
22 | Hornets | 53% | 93 | 78 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Rockets | 34% | 93 | 93 | |
15 | Grizzlies | 66% | 99 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Nets | 24% | 89 | 98 | |
13 | Hawks | 76% | 99 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Pistons | 23% | 91 | 85 | |
10 | Celtics | 77% | 101 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Cavaliers | 29% | 90 | 91 | |
17 | Pacers | 71% | 98 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Magic | 65% | 99 | 100 | |
29 | Bobcats | 35% | 94 | 79 |
Thursday, December 29, 2011
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Knicks | 28% | 94 | 82 | |
6 | Lakers | 72% | 102 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Nets | 21% | 90 | 78 | |
7 | Magic | 79% | 101 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Spurs | 49% | 97 | 85 | |
17 | Rockets | 51% | 98 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 43% | 100 | 102 | |
3 | Thunder | 57% | 102 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Bulls | 70% | 97 | 108 | |
28 | Kings | 30% | 90 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Nuggets | 34% | 102 | 102 | |
9 | Trail Blazers | 66% | 108 | 111 |
Wednesday, December 28, 2011
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Heat | 72% | 104 | 96 | |
30 | Bobcats | 28% | 96 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pacers | 57% | 96 | 90 | |
23 | Raptors | 43% | 94 | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 32% | 90 | 83 | |
18 | Hawks | 68% | 97 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Cavaliers | 40% | 95 | 105 | |
20 | Pistons | 60% | 98 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Thunder | 54% | 100 | 98 | |
14 | Grizzlies | 46% | 99 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Clippers | 44% | 100 | 90 | |
8 | Spurs | 56% | 101 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Jazz | 17% | 95 | 100 | |
3 | Nuggets | 83% | 108 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | 76ers | 47% | 100 | 103 | |
16 | Suns | 53% | 101 | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Celtics | 59% | 96 | 78 | |
27 | Hornets | 41% | 93 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Knicks | 65% | 104 | 78 | |
26 | Warriors | 35% | 99 | 92 |
Tuesday, December 27, 2011
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Timberwolves | 27% | 96 | 95 | |
14 | Bucks | 73% | 104 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Hawks | 52% | 97 | 106 | |
20 | Nets | 48% | 96 | 70 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Celtics | 32% | 92 | 107 | |
1 | Heat | 68% | 98 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Kings | 21% | 95 | 79 | |
10 | Trail Blazers | 79% | 105 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Jazz | 27% | 94 | 71 | |
8 | Lakers | 73% | 103 | 96 |
Monday, December 26, 2011
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Lakers | 61% | 99 | 91 | |
23 | Kings | 39% | 95 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Bucks | 64% | 98 | 95 | |
30 | Bobcats | 36% | 93 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Rockets | 31% | 97 | 95 | |
7 | Magic | 69% | 104 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Nets | 53% | 100 | 90 | |
28 | Wizards | 47% | 98 | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Raptors | 43% | 102 | 104 | |
27 | Cavaliers | 57% | 104 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Pistons | 33% | 98 | 79 | |
19 | Pacers | 67% | 104 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Thunder | 63% | 102 | 104 | |
25 | Timberwolves | 37% | 98 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Nuggets | 39% | 99 | 115 | |
3 | Mavericks | 61% | 103 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Grizzlies | 37% | 96 | 82 | |
8 | Spurs | 63% | 101 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Hornets | 30% | 97 | 85 | |
15 | Suns | 70% | 104 | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | 76ers | 37% | 98 | 103 | |
10 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 103 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Bulls | 65% | 100 | 91 | |
21 | Warriors | 35% | 95 | 99 |
Sunday, December 25, 2011
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Celtics | 43% | 97 | 104 | |
13 | Knicks | 57% | 100 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Clippers | 63% | 105 | 105 | |
22 | Warriors | 37% | 100 | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Magic | 42% | 97 | 89 | |
5 | Thunder | 58% | 100 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Bulls | 43% | 97 | 88 | |
3 | Lakers | 57% | 100 | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Heat | 45% | 98 | 105 | |
2 | Mavericks | 55% | 99 | 94 |