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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Wizards16%8685
4Magic84%99103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.3
33.5
37.1
14
39%
4
5
1
2
0
0
2
2
2-4
50%
6-16
5-11
38%
40%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.4
28.9
33.4
10
42%
6
1
0
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
5-11
6-13
45%
44%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
28.8
31.5
6
30%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
0-2
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
24.6
28.1
17
48%
4
0
0
1
2
1
1
3
6-6
100%
4-12
4-9
33%
44%
1-3
33%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.0
23.8
30.2
6
34%
4
0
2
1
5
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-8
5-10
25%
51%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.1
23.0
13.2
8
50%
6
0
2
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
4-8
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.1
22.3
14.8
7
70%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
1-2
50%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.2
20.4
17.8
6
30%
7
4
2
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-8
2-6
38%
41%
0-2
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.1
17.2
7.1
3
40%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
3-4
75%
0-2
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.3
13.2
10.6
4
34%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
40%
0-2
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.7
4.3
4.5
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
38%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.7
12.0
0
1-3
43%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.2
5.9
0
0-1
45%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.0
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.1
36.6
38.9
28
73%
20
2
0
1
3
4
5
15
6-14
43%
11-13
7-12
85%
60%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.9
31.6
28.1
7
44%
3
9
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.8
28.9
30.2
14
78%
5
8
1
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
7-8
3-6
88%
47%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
27.7
30.7
23
62%
15
0
0
1
0
0
7
8
6-6
100%
4-11
2-4
36%
51%
3-5
60%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
25.7
26.8
8
44%
4
5
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
51%
2-3
67%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.0
24.8
22.0
4
20%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-10
3-7
20%
47%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.5
22.9
26.7
14
57%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
50%
1-4
25%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.7
14.3
11.2
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.3
12.3
19.7
2
53%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.9
4.2
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.5
4.2
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.0
3.5
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.3
3.5
1.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.8
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.