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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Warriors33%9495
16Spurs67%100101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.2
44.1
38.3
38
60%
2
7
2
2
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
11-22
6-13
50%
47%
4-8
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.7
38.1
32.1
13
44%
10
0
0
1
0
2
1
9
3-4
75%
5-13
6-13
38%
50%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.8
30.4
28.0
20
81%
3
8
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
3-4
75%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.1
26.8
28.8
0
0%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.8
13.6
13.4
4
67%
5
0
0
0
3
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 21.9
24.7
16.4
10
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
2-6
33%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 29.8
20.2
18.7
8
42%
7
0
1
0
0
1
1
6
2-8
25%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.5
17.0
29.5
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
11.7
19.9
2
100%
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
44%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
10.6
18.7
0
0%
1
0
2
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.8
2.7
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.5
0.2
10.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
40%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.5
1.6
0
0-0
44%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.5
38.1
29.7
17
96%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
0-3
2-3
0%
50%
5-5
100%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.6
34.3
29.0
21
53%
2
8
0
1
0
3
0
2
7-9
78%
7-16
6-11
44%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.7
31.0
25.1
15
70%
11
1
3
1
3
1
1
10
3-4
75%
6-9
5-9
67%
50%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.7
24.4
26.0
12
56%
9
0
1
1
1
0
4
5
4-4
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
52%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.8
19.6
20.3
5
42%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
1-3
33%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.8
19.6
15.7
9
90%
1
8
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
1-1
100%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.0
16.8
21.4
2
15%
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-2
0%
1-6
3-6
17%
53%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.3
16.4
21.5
7
39%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.7
16.1
16.0
3
38%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.5
15.7
12.0
8
82%
2
2
0
0
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.5
8.1
17.7
2
41%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
7.4
0
1-2
52%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.4
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.