Final Win Prob. pScore
2623%87
70
1177%97
89
ORTG#PossPace
Nets
86.48178.5
BOS logo Celtics
109.98184.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNJNBOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS70
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0NJNMorrow 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Farmar 6 AST)70
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0NJNNets Rebound68
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0BOSMISS Pavlovic 23' Jump Shot68
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0NJNJ. Williams 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)68
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0NJNJ. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0NJNMISS Shaw. Williams 17' Jump Shot66
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0BOSMoore 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bradley 2 AST)66
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0NJNShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Farmar 5 AST)66
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22BOSBradley 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25NJNPavlovic STEAL (1 STL)63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41BOSMoore 10' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01NJNShaw. Williams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)63
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22BOSBradley 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)61
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42NJNMorrow 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Farmar 4 AST)61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55BOSStiemsma Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)58
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55BOSCELTICS Rebound58
79
Q4 - 2:55BOSMISS Stiemsma Free Throw 1 of 258
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)58
79
Q4 - 2:55NJNJ. Williams P.FOUL (P1.PN)58
79
Q4 - 3:05BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07NJNMISS Farmar 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25NJNJ. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26BOSMISS Bradley 27' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44NJNFarmar Foul Turnover (P3.T12)58
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44NJNFarmar Offensive Charge Foul (P5.PN)58
79
Q4 - 3:52NJNJ. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53BOSMISS Pavlovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09NJNBradley STEAL (2 STL)58
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12NJNShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14BOSMISS Bradley Free Throw 1 of 158
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14NJNFarmar S.FOUL (P4.PN)58
79
Q4 - 4:14BOSBradley 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)58
79
Q4 - 4:18NJNSUB: Horner FOR Stevenson58
77
Q4 - 4:18BOSSUB: Pavlovic FOR Daniels58
77
Q4 - 4:24NJNFarmar P.FOUL (P3.T4)58
77
Q4 - 4:41BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42NJNMISS Shaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53NJNJ. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54BOSMISS Moore 17' Jump Shot58
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14NJNFarmar Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)58
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14BOSStiemsma S.FOUL (P3.T4)57
77
Q4 - 5:14NJNFarmar 3' Layup (10 PTS)57
77
Q4 - 5:19BOSSUB: Johnson FOR Bass55
77
Q4 - 5:19NJNSUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Okur55
77
Q4 - 5:19BOSBass P.FOUL (P1.T3)55
77
Q4 - 5:39BOSBass 2' Running Dunk (15 PTS)55
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48NJNSUB: Morrow FOR Gaines55
75
Q4 - 5:48BOSSUB: Moore FOR Rondo55
75
Q4 - 5:48BOSSUB: Stiemsma FOR Garnett55
75
Q4 - 5:4855
75
Q4 - 6:04NJNFarmar 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Gaines 6 AST)55
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07NJNOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08BOSMISS Bass 2' Layup53
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 6:10BOSBass REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)53
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 6:12BOSMISS Rondo 6' Jump Shot53
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16NJNJ. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16NJNJ. Williams 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gaines 5 AST)53
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28NJNMISS J. Williams 11' Jump Shot51
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33NJNOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 6:35BOSMISS Daniels 1' Tip Shot51
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)51
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 6:37BOSMISS Daniels 2' Layup51
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)51
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51NJNMISS Gaines 20' Jump Shot51
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13BOSGarnett 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 12 AST)51
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 7:18NJNSUB: J. Williams FOR Shel. Williams51
73
Q4 - 7:18NJNGaines P.FOUL (P4.T3)51
73
Q4 - 7:20NJNRondo STEAL (3 STL)51
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27BOSBradley P.FOUL (P2.T2)51
73
Q4 - 7:38BOSRondo 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54BOSJump Ball Garnett vs. Gaines: Tip to Rondo51
71
Q4 - 7:54NJNSUB: Stevenson FOR Brooks51
71
Q4 - 8:01BOSBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)51
0.2%
71
99.8%
Q4 - 8:01NJNMISS Brooks 10' Jump Shot51
0.3%
71
99.7%
Q4 - 8:27NJNSUB: Okur FOR Petro51
71
Q4 - 8:27NJNSUB: Farmar FOR Morrow51
71
Q4 - 8:27NJNNets Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)51
71
Q4 - 8:27BOSRondo 1' Layup (6 PTS)51
0.3%
71
99.7%
Q4 - 8:30NJNRondo STEAL (2 STL)51
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q4 - 8:41BOSBass 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Rondo 11 AST)51
0.5%
69
99.5%
Q4 - 8:54NJNShel. Williams L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)51
67
Q4 - 8:54BOSCELTICS Rebound51
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q4 - 8:55NJNMISS Morrow 19' Jump Shot51
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q4 - 9:06BOSGarnett P.FOUL (P2.T1)51
67
Q4 - 9:14NJNSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Shaw. Williams51
67
Q4 - 9:14NJNSUB: Gaines FOR Farmar51
67
Q4 - 9:14NJNNets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)51
67
Q4 - 9:15BOSGarnett 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)51
1.1%
67
98.9%
Q4 - 9:33BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)51
1.4%
65
98.6%
Q4 - 9:34NJNMISS Farmar 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
1.5%
65
98.5%
Q4 - 9:42NJNPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
1.7%
65
98.3%
Q4 - 9:43BOSMISS Daniels 10' Jump Shot51
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q4 - 10:02BOSSUB: Garnett FOR Wilcox51
65
Q4 - 10:02BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Dooling51
65
Q4 - 10:02NJNShaw. Williams P.FOUL (P1.T1)51
65
Q4 - 10:13NJNMorrow 1' Layup (4 PTS)51
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q4 - 10:16BOSDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)49
1.3%
65
98.7%
Q4 - 10:41NJNPetro 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Farmar 3 AST)49
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q4 - 10:52NJNFarmar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q4 - 10:54BOSMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot47
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q4 - 11:12BOSBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)47
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q4 - 11:13NJNMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q4 - 11:39BOSWilcox 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)47
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q4 - 12:0047
63
Q3 - 0:00.0NJN47
1.2%
63
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJNNets Rebound47
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJNMISS Petro 12' Jump Shot47
1.3%
63
98.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSSUB: Daniels FOR Pierce47
63
Q3 - 0:02.0NJNNets Rebound47
1.8%
63
98.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0NJNWilcox BLOCK (1 BLK)47
1.6%
63
98.4%
Q3 - 0:16.0NJNShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
1.8%
63
98.2%
Q3 - 0:16.0BOSMISS Bradley 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0BOSWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0NJNMISS Shaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0BOSBass 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)47
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q3 - 1:15BOSWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
2.4%
61
97.6%
Q3 - 1:18NJNMISS Brooks Free Throw 2 of 247
2.4%
61
97.6%
Q3 - 1:18NJNBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)47
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q3 - 1:18BOSPierce P.FOUL (P3.PN)46
61
Q3 - 1:33BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)46
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q3 - 1:33BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)46
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q3 - 1:33NJNFarmar P.FOUL (P2.PN)46
59
Q3 - 1:36NJNBradley STEAL (1 STL)46
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q3 - 1:55BOSBradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)46
3.4%
59
96.6%
Q3 - 2:02BOSSUB: Bradley FOR Rondo46
56
Q3 - 2:17BOSBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)46
5.2%
56
94.8%
Q3 - 2:18NJNMISS Morrow 10' Jump Shot46
5.5%
56
94.5%
Q3 - 2:39BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)46
6.3%
56
93.7%
Q3 - 2:39BOSCELTICS Rebound46
55
Q3 - 2:39BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 246
6.4%
55
93.6%
Q3 - 2:39NJNBrooks Shooting Block Foul (P2.PN)46
55
Q3 - 2:40BOSCELTICS Rebound46
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q3 - 2:40BOSMISS Pierce 2' Layup46
7.1%
55
92.9%
Q3 - 2:59NJNFarmar 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Petro 1 AST)46
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q3 - 3:18BOSPierce Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)44
5.5%
55
94.5%
Q3 - 3:33NJNBrooks Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)44
4.6%
55
95.4%
Q3 - 3:44NJNSUB: Petro FOR Okur44
55
Q3 - 3:44BOSWilcox L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)44
55
Q3 - 3:44NJNNets Rebound44
5.5%
55
94.5%
Q3 - 3:44BOSMISS Dooling 3PT Jump Shot44
5.2%
55
94.8%
Q3 - 3:58BOSBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)44
4.6%
55
95.4%
Q3 - 3:59NJNMISS Farmar 28' 3PT Jump Shot44
4.9%
55
95.1%
Q3 - 4:21BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)44
5.8%
55
94.2%
Q3 - 4:34NJNFarmar Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)44
7.8%
52
92.2%
Q3 - 4:55NJNSUB: Farmar FOR Stevenson44
52
Q3 - 4:55NJNSUB: Brooks FOR Gaines44
52
Q3 - 4:55NJNSUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Shel. Williams44
52
Q3 - 4:55NJNNets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)44
52
Q3 - 4:56BOSPierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)44
9.4%
52
90.6%
Q3 - 5:03BOSBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
12.7%
49
87.3%
Q3 - 5:04NJNMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q3 - 5:28BOSBass 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)44
14.8%
49
85.2%
Q3 - 5:34BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
16.8%
47
83.2%
Q3 - 5:36NJNMISS Okur 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
17.6%
47
82.4%
Q3 - 5:38NJNOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
19.6%
47
80.4%
Q3 - 5:39NJNMISS Gaines 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
17.6%
47
82.4%
Q3 - 5:51BOSWilcox P.FOUL (P1.T3)44
47
Q3 - 6:03NJNShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)44
19.3%
47
80.7%
Q3 - 6:04BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 244
19.0%
47
81.0%
Q3 - 6:04BOSCELTICS Rebound44
47
Q3 - 6:04BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 244
17.7%
47
82.3%
Q3 - 6:04NJNGaines S.FOUL (P3.T4)44
47
Q3 - 6:09NJNSUB: Morrow FOR Brooks44
47
Q3 - 6:09BOSSUB: Wilcox FOR Garnett44
47
Q3 - 6:09BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)44
47
Q3 - 6:09NJNStevenson P.FOUL (P1.T3)44
47
Q3 - 6:15BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)44
16.8%
47
83.2%
Q3 - 6:17NJNMISS Okur 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
17.5%
47
82.5%
Q3 - 6:31NJNOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
19.3%
47
80.7%
Q3 - 6:32NJNMISS Gaines 10' Jump Shot44
17.5%
47
82.5%
Q3 - 6:56BOSBass 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)44
19.3%
47
80.7%
Q3 - 7:09BOSBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
21.5%
45
78.5%
Q3 - 7:11NJNMISS Gaines Free Throw 1 of 144
21.9%
45
78.1%
Q3 - 7:11BOSRondo S.FOUL (P1.T2)44
45
Q3 - 7:11NJNGaines 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
45
Q3 - 7:26BOSPierce 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)42
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q3 - 7:42NJNGaines 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)42
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q3 - 8:10BOSDooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)40
19.1%
43
80.9%
Q3 - 8:37NJNOkur 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)40
24.0%
40
76.0%
Q3 - 8:53NJNNets Rebound38
21.5%
40
78.5%
Q3 - 8:53BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
20.7%
40
79.3%
Q3 - 8:57BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)38
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q3 - 9:01BOSMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
20.3%
40
79.7%
Q3 - 9:16BOSBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)38
18.7%
40
81.3%
Q3 - 9:18BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 138
20.7%
40
79.3%
Q3 - 9:18NJNGaines S.FOUL (P2.T2)38
40
Q3 - 9:18BOSRondo 1' Layup (4 PTS)38
40
Q3 - 9:24BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)38
23.5%
38
76.5%
Q3 - 9:26NJNMISS Gaines 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
24.4%
38
75.6%
Q3 - 9:46BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P3.T11)38
26.4%
38
73.6%
Q3 - 9:46BOSGarnett OFF.Foul (P1)38
38
Q3 - 9:53NJNShel. Williams 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)38
23.6%
38
76.4%
Q3 - 10:07BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)38
25.8%
38
74.2%
Q3 - 10:07BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)38
26.2%
37
73.8%
Q3 - 10:07NJNGaines S.FOUL (P1.T1)38
36
Q3 - 10:12NJNRondo STEAL (1 STL)38
28.4%
36
71.6%
Q3 - 10:39BOSBass 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)38
31.6%
36
68.4%
Q3 - 10:55NJNBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)38
34.6%
34
65.4%
Q3 - 10:55BOSSUB: Bass FOR O'Neal37
34
Q3 - 10:55NJNNets Rebound37
34
Q3 - 10:55NJNMISS Brooks Free Throw 1 of 237
33.9%
34
66.1%
Q3 - 10:55BOSO'Neal Shooting Block Foul (P4.T1)37
34
Q3 - 11:11NJNShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)37
34.0%
34
66.0%
Q3 - 11:12BOSMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot37
33.0%
34
67.0%
Q3 - 11:36NJNGaines 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)37
30.8%
34
69.2%
Q3 - 12:0035
34
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS35
28.1%
34
71.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound35
25.3%
34
74.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Rondo 13' Jump Shot35
27.3%
34
72.7%
Q2 - 0:15.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
25.5%
34
74.5%
Q2 - 0:17.0NJNMISS Brooks 15' Jump Shot35
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0NJNStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
27.4%
34
72.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0BOSMISS Bass Free Throw 2 of 235
27.2%
34
72.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0NJNSUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Shel. Williams35
34
Q2 - 0:33.0BOSBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
25.3%
34
74.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0NJNShel. Williams P.FOUL (P1.PN)35
33
Q2 - 0:33.0BOSBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
28.1%
33
71.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0BOSMISS Bass 2' Layup35
29.5%
33
70.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
28.1%
33
71.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0BOSMISS Pierce 12' Jump Shot35
29.5%
33
70.5%
Q2 - 1:03NJNShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
27.8%
33
72.2%
Q2 - 1:03NJNShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
27.2%
33
72.8%
Q2 - 1:03NJNSUB: Stevenson FOR Gaines33
33
Q2 - 1:03NJNSUB: Farmar FOR James33
33
Q2 - 1:03BOSSUB: Wilcox FOR O'Neal33
33
Q2 - 1:03BOSCELTICS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)33
33
Q2 - 1:03BOSO'Neal P.FOUL (P3.PN)33
33
Q2 - 1:03NJNShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)33
24.5%
33
75.5%
Q2 - 1:03NJNMISS James 21' Jump Shot33
23.4%
33
76.6%
Q2 - 1:25BOSPierce 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)33
24.5%
33
75.5%
Q2 - 1:31NJNPierce STEAL (1 STL)33
27.9%
31
72.1%
Q2 - 1:36BOSBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)33
29.7%
31
70.3%
Q2 - 1:56NJNShel. Williams 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gaines 4 AST)33
27.9%
31
72.1%
Q2 - 2:06NJNGaines REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
24.6%
31
75.4%
Q2 - 2:06BOSMISS Rondo 15' Jump Shot31
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q2 - 2:32NJNShel. Williams 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Gaines 3 AST)31
22.3%
31
77.7%
Q2 - 2:37BOSBradley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)29
20.2%
31
79.8%
Q2 - 2:54BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 2:56NJNMISS Shel. Williams 2' Layup29
18.8%
31
81.2%
Q2 - 3:08BOSPierce P.FOUL (P2.T4)29
31
Q2 - 3:19NJNNets Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)29
31
Q2 - 3:19NJNShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)29
20.1%
31
79.9%
Q2 - 3:24NJNMISS Brooks 2' Layup29
18.5%
31
81.5%
Q2 - 3:32BOSSUB: Bass FOR Dooling29
31
Q2 - 3:32BOSSUB: Bradley FOR Garnett29
31
Q2 - 3:32NJNNets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)29
31
Q2 - 3:34NJNShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)29
20.1%
31
79.9%
Q2 - 3:35NJNMISS Gaines 16' Jump Shot29
18.5%
31
81.5%
Q2 - 4:01BOSGarnett 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)29
19.7%
31
80.3%
Q2 - 4:19NJNBrooks 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS)29
21.5%
29
78.5%
Q2 - 4:29NJNShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q2 - 4:30BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
19.1%
29
80.9%
Q2 - 4:49NJNBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Gaines 2 AST)27
17.8%
29
82.2%
Q2 - 5:08NJNJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
14.7%
29
85.3%
Q2 - 5:10BOSMISS Pierce 12' Jump Shot24
14.2%
29
85.8%
Q2 - 5:24NJNBrooks 3' Layup (10 PTS)24
13.3%
29
86.7%
Q2 - 5:30BOSO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)22
12.0%
29
88.0%
Q2 - 5:32BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
10.9%
29
89.1%
Q2 - 5:32NJNMISS Okur 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
11.2%
29
88.8%
Q2 - 5:51NJNShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
12.0%
29
88.0%
Q2 - 5:54BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 222
11.8%
29
88.2%
Q2 - 5:54BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)22
11.0%
29
89.0%
Q2 - 5:54NJNSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Shaw. Williams22
28
Q2 - 5:54BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)22
28
Q2 - 5:54NJNJames S.FOUL (P2.T4)22
28
Q2 - 6:05NJNSUB: Gaines FOR Farmar22
28
Q2 - 6:05NJNJames Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)22
12.1%
28
87.9%
Q2 - 6:10NJNBrooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
13.5%
28
86.5%
Q2 - 6:12NJNO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)22
12.5%
28
87.5%
Q2 - 6:29BOSGarnett 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)22
13.5%
28
86.5%
Q2 - 6:38BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
14.7%
26
85.3%
Q2 - 6:38NJNMISS Okur 3PT Jump Shot22
15.2%
26
84.8%
Q2 - 6:49BOSGarnett Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)22
16.4%
26
83.6%
Q2 - 6:59BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)22
14.7%
26
85.3%
Q2 - 7:00BOSMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot22
15.8%
26
84.2%
Q2 - 7:21NJNBrooks 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
14.7%
26
85.3%
Q2 - 7:31NJNSUB: James FOR Morrow20
26
Q2 - 7:31BOSSUB: O'Neal FOR Stiemsma20
26
Q2 - 7:31BOSSUB: Pierce FOR Daniels20
26
Q2 - 7:31BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Bradley20
26
Q2 - 7:31BOSStiemsma Personal Block Foul (P2.T3)20
26
Q2 - 7:48BOSDooling 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
13.5%
26
86.5%
Q2 - 8:14NJNFarmar 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
14.8%
24
85.2%
Q2 - 8:26NJNOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
12.4%
24
87.6%
Q2 - 8:27BOSMISS Daniels 2' Layup17
12.0%
24
88.0%
Q2 - 8:41NJNMorrow Foul Turnover (P1.T1)17
11.2%
24
88.8%
Q2 - 8:41NJNMorrow OFF.Foul (P2)17
24
Q2 - 8:53BOSDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
12.3%
24
87.7%
Q2 - 8:53BOSDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
12.6%
23
87.4%
Q2 - 8:53NJNSUB: Okur FOR Petro17
22
Q2 - 8:5317
22
Q2 - 8:53NJNPetro S.FOUL (P2.T3)17
22
Q2 - 8:53BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
13.5%
22
86.5%
Q2 - 8:55BOSMISS Daniels 5' Jump Shot17
14.4%
22
85.6%
Q2 - 9:07BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)17
13.5%
22
86.5%
Q2 - 9:08NJNMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot17
13.9%
22
86.1%
Q2 - 9:20BOSStiemsma P.FOUL (P1.T2)17
22
Q2 - 9:36BOSBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
14.8%
22
85.2%
Q2 - 9:36NJNSUB: Brooks FOR Stevenson17
21
Q2 - 9:36BOSBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
15.1%
21
84.9%
Q2 - 9:36NJNPetro S.FOUL (P1.T2)17
20
Q2 - 9:39BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
16.1%
20
83.9%
Q2 - 9:40NJNMISS Morrow 12' Jump Shot17
16.5%
20
83.5%
Q2 - 9:56BOSGarnett 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
17.6%
20
82.4%
Q2 - 10:10NJNMorrow L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)17
18
Q2 - 10:10BOSCELTICS Rebound17
19.0%
18
81.0%
Q2 - 10:10NJNMISS Petro 18' Jump Shot17
19.6%
18
80.4%
Q2 - 10:32NJNMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
20.8%
18
79.2%
Q2 - 10:34BOSMISS Daniels 8' Jump Shot17
20.3%
18
79.7%
Q2 - 10:57BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
19.0%
18
81.0%
Q2 - 10:58NJNMISS Stevenson 11' Jump Shot17
19.6%
18
80.4%
Q2 - 11:19BOSDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)17
20.7%
18
79.3%
Q2 - 11:33BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)17
19.1%
18
80.9%
Q2 - 11:35NJNStiemsma BLOCK (1 BLK)17
19.6%
18
80.4%
Q2 - 11:43BOSDooling P.FOUL (P2.T1)17
18
Q2 - 12:0017
18
Q1 - 0:00.0NJN17
20.8%
18
79.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0NJNMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
20.8%
18
79.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Daniels 9' Jump Shot17
20.0%
18
80.0%
Q1 - 0:20.0NJNMorrow 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Farmar 2 AST)17
19.2%
18
80.8%
Q1 - 0:43.0NJNMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17.4%
18
82.6%
Q1 - 0:44.0BOSMISS Bradley 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
17.1%
18
82.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
16.4%
18
83.6%
Q1 - 0:50.0BOSMISS Bradley 9' Jump Shot15
17.1%
18
82.9%
Q1 - 1:07BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
16.4%
18
83.6%
Q1 - 1:09NJNMISS Farmar Free Throw 2 of 215
16.6%
18
83.4%
Q1 - 1:09BOSSUB: Dooling FOR Pavlovic15
18
Q1 - 1:09NJNSUB: Petro FOR Okur15
18
Q1 - 1:09NJNFarmar Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
17.4%
18
82.5%
Q1 - 1:09BOSBradley P.FOUL (P1.PN)14
18
Q1 - 1:24BOSSUB: Bradley FOR Rondo14
18
Q1 - 1:24BOSBass 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)14
16.1%
18
83.9%
Q1 - 1:45NJNShel. Williams 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Farmar 1 AST)14
15.2%
18
84.8%
Q1 - 1:59BOSSUB: Stiemsma FOR O'Neal12
18
Q1 - 1:59BOSSUB: Daniels FOR Pierce12
18
Q1 - 1:59NJNSUB: Morrow FOR Brooks12
18
Q1 - 1:59BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
18
Q1 - 1:59BOSO'Neal Personal Block Foul (P2.T4)12
18
Q1 - 2:04BOSPierce 2' Layup (10 PTS)12
13.9%
18
86.1%
Q1 - 2:06BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
15.2%
16
84.8%
Q1 - 2:07BOSMISS Rondo Layup12
15.9%
16
84.1%
Q1 - 2:12BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
15.2%
16
84.8%
Q1 - 2:13NJNO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)12
15.5%
16
84.5%
Q1 - 2:19NJNShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
16.3%
16
83.7%
Q1 - 2:20NJNMISS Farmar 1' Layup12
15.5%
16
84.5%
Q1 - 2:37BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)12
16.3%
16
83.7%
Q1 - 2:44BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
15.2%
16
84.8%
Q1 - 2:45NJNMISS Okur 7' Jump Shot12
15.5%
16
84.5%
Q1 - 3:09BOSBass 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)12
16.2%
16
83.8%
Q1 - 3:16BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
17.3%
14
82.7%
Q1 - 3:17NJNMISS Okur 20' Jump Shot12
17.8%
14
82.2%
Q1 - 3:39BOSRondo Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)12
18.8%
14
81.2%
Q1 - 3:49NJNFarmar P.FOUL (P1.T4)12
14
Q1 - 3:56NJNSUB: Farmar FOR Gaines12
14
Q1 - 3:56NJNOkur P.FOUL (P1.T3)12
14
Q1 - 3:56BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
17.4%
14
82.6%
Q1 - 3:56BOSMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
18.3%
14
81.7%
Q1 - 4:16NJNBrooks 2' Layup (6 PTS)12
17.5%
14
82.5%
Q1 - 4:37BOSSUB: Pavlovic FOR Dooling10
14
Q1 - 4:37BOSSUB: Bass FOR Garnett10
14
Q1 - 4:37BOSO'Neal P.FOUL (P1.T3)10
14
Q1 - 4:37NJNShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
16.6%
14
83.4%
Q1 - 4:37NJNMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
15.8%
14
84.2%
Q1 - 4:55BOSPierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)10
16.7%
14
83.3%
Q1 - 5:09BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
18.9%
11
81.1%
Q1 - 5:11BOSMISS Dooling 3PT Jump Shot10
19.8%
11
80.2%
Q1 - 5:23NJNOkur 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
18.9%
11
81.1%
Q1 - 5:46BOSGarnett 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)8
18.0%
11
82.0%
Q1 - 6:08NJNJames 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gaines 1 AST)8
18.9%
9
81.1%
Q1 - 6:18NJNJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
18.0%
9
82.0%
Q1 - 6:20BOSMISS Garnett 17' Jump Shot6
17.7%
9
82.3%
Q1 - 6:46NJNBrooks 2' Layup (4 PTS)6
17.2%
9
82.8%
Q1 - 6:46NJNNets Violation: Delay of game Violation4
9
Q1 - 6:51BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
16.4%
9
83.6%
Q1 - 7:09BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
15.7%
9
84.3%
Q1 - 7:10NJNMISS Brooks 13' Jump Shot4
16.0%
9
84.0%
Q1 - 7:28NJNNets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)4
9
Q1 - 7:35BOSPierce Dunk (5 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)4
16.8%
9
83.2%
Q1 - 7:40BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
17.6%
7
82.4%
Q1 - 7:41NJNMISS Gaines 11' Jump Shot4
17.8%
7
82.2%
Q1 - 7:56BOSPierce P.FOUL (P1.T2)4
7
Q1 - 8:03BOSGarnett 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)4
18.5%
7
81.5%
Q1 - 8:23BOSO'Neal Violation:Defensive Goaltending4
7
Q1 - 8:23NJNGaines 3' Layup (2 PTS)4
18.0%
7
82.0%
Q1 - 8:43BOSRondo 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)2
17.6%
7
82.4%
Q1 - 8:48NJNBrooks P.FOUL (P1.T2)2
5
Q1 - 9:02BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
18.6%
5
81.4%
Q1 - 9:04NJNMISS Brooks 21' Jump Shot2
18.8%
5
81.2%
Q1 - 9:12NJNBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.4%
5
80.6%
Q1 - 9:12BOSMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot2
19.2%
5
80.8%
Q1 - 9:27BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.0%
5
81.0%
Q1 - 9:29NJNMISS Gaines 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
19.2%
5
80.8%
Q1 - 9:36NJNJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
19.7%
5
80.3%
Q1 - 9:37BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot2
19.6%
5
80.4%
Q1 - 9:47NJNShel. Williams Violation:Kicked Ball2
5
Q1 - 9:59BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.6%
5
80.4%
Q1 - 10:00NJNMISS Shel. Williams 9' Jump Shot2
19.8%
5
80.2%
Q1 - 10:27BOSO'Neal Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)2
20.8%
5
79.2%
Q1 - 10:40BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.4%
3
78.6%
Q1 - 10:42NJNMISS Gaines 14' Jump Shot2
21.5%
3
78.5%
Q1 - 10:52BOSDooling P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
3
Q1 - 11:01BOSPierce 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)2
22.0%
3
78.0%
Q1 - 11:13NJNBrooks 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
22.5%
1
77.5%
Q1 - 11:32NJNJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.7%
1
77.3%
Q1 - 11:32BOSMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot0
22.7%
1
77.3%
Q1 - 11:44BOSPierce Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)0
22.9%
1
77.1%
Q1 - 11:44NJNNets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Brooks )0
0
Q1 - 11:51NJNJames P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball O'Neal vs. Shel. Williams: Tip to Garnett0
23.4%
0
76.6%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNJNBOS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
0.88 43.8%
BOS
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NJN
13
19
68%
BOS
13
22
59%
Midrange
NJN
13
35
37%
BOS
16
33
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NJN
4
6.0
20
20%
30%
BOS
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
NJN
6
10
60%
BOS
13
21
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Brooks1747%8.5 / 18
J. Farmar1155%5.5 / 10
A. Morrow964%4.5 / 7
S. Williams857%4.0 / 7
S. Gaines833%4.0 / 12
S. Williams542%2.5 / 6
M. Okur425%2.0 / 8
J. Williams467%2.0 / 3
D. James250%1.0 / 2
J. Petro233%1.0 / 3
D. Stevenson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2471%12.0 / 17
B. Bass1568%7.5 / 11
K. Garnett1488%7.0 / 8
A. Bradley1161%5.5 / 9
R. Rondo844%4.0 / 9
K. Dooling542%2.5 / 6
E. Moore583%2.5 / 3
J. O'Neal225%1.0 / 4
M. Daniels213%1.0 / 8
C. Wilcox2100%1.0 / 1
G. Stiemsma150%0.5 / 1
S. Pavlovic0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NJN
68
+12
-13
80
BOS
68
+14
-13
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
0.88 43.8%
BOS
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.7
100.6
NJN 86.4
BOS 109.9 +23.5
Pace
90.5
90.8
NJN 78.5
BOS 84.6 +6.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.8
NJN 18.3
BOS 17.0 −1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
49.6%
NJN 43.2%
BOS 53.5% +10.3%
TO %
15.8%
15.4%
NJN 14.2%
BOS 13.9% −0.3%
ORB %
28.0%
19.9%
NJN 23.3%
BOS 33.3% +10.0%
FTrt
26.9
25.7
NJN 13.5
BOS 29.6 +16.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
66.5%
NJN 50.0%
BOS 68.6% +18.6%
STL %
8.2%
8.3%
NJN 9.9% +1.3%
BOS 8.6%
BLK %
6.3%
8.7%
NJN 1.8%
BOS 7.4% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.75 and 2.75.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
51.8%
NJN 43.8%
BOS 54.3% +10.5%
Rim FG%
53.6%
57.7%
NJN 68.4% +9.3%
BOS 59.1%
Mid FG%
39.5%
41.9%
NJN 37.1%
BOS 48.5% +11.4%
3P %
34.2%
36.7%
NJN 20.0%
BOS 37.5% +17.5%
FT %
77.7%
77.8%
NJN 60.0%
BOS 61.9% +1.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.7%
32.5%
NJN 25.7%
BOS 31.0% +5.3%
Mid Att. %
40.5%
48.0%
NJN 47.3%
BOS 46.5% −0.8%
3P Att. %
27.8%
19.4%
NJN 27.0% +4.5%
BOS 22.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNJNBOS
Possessions8181
Possession Minutes24.823.0
Points7089
Rebounds3445
Assists1524
Steals87
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (3)33 (2)
Field Goals30-7435-71
At-the-Rim FG13-1913-22
Midrange FG13-3516-33
2-Point FG26-5429-55
3-Point FG4-206-16
Free Throws6-1013-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 200 · 23
34.5
17
47%
2
0
2
0
1
2
1
1
2-4
50%
6-13
46%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 260 · 33
31.1
4
25%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
26.4
8
57%
9
0
2
0
1
2
5
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 200 · 26
23.6
8
33%
1
6
0
0
2
4
0
1
0-1
0%
4-9
44%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 24
18.5
2
50%
4
0
2
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 180 · 25
27.0
11
55%
1
6
0
0
3
5
0
1
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
22.0
9
64%
3
0
1
0
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 230 · 26
19.6
5
42%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31
14.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 247 · 26
11.6
2
33%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 260 · 21
7.3
4
67%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 230 · 24
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#43 · F · 6'9" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
70
44%
34
15
8
1
13
0
10
24
6-10
60%
26-54
48%
4-20
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.