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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Bulls66%9799
24Pistons34%9183
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.2
39.7
36.6
17
51%
2
10
2
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
7-9
6-12
78%
49%
0-6
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.7
38.0
39.1
2
17%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-6
5-9
17%
50%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 26.9
34.9
22.2
13
60%
11
4
0
1
2
5
2
9
3-4
75%
5-9
3-5
56%
50%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 33.9
31.5
13.5
14
68%
3
5
0
0
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.1
28.3
27.5
19
60%
7
2
3
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
9-15
5-10
60%
51%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
20.4
20.7
12
56%
7
4
0
0
2
0
2
5
2-4
50%
5-9
3-5
56%
49%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.8
16.5
22.9
9
65%
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-2
0%
3-5
2-5
60%
51%
1-1
100%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.5
11.1
22.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 30.8
9.1
21.2
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
1-2
50%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.1
8.3
5.2
6
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
2-2
100%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
1.2
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.3
0.8
2.5
2
114%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.7
8.4
0
1-2
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.6
35.3
27.6
19
58%
13
5
0
1
1
2
5
8
3-3
100%
8-15
4-8
53%
53%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31.8
32.7
33.0
7
29%
4
4
3
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-10
4-9
30%
46%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.8
28.3
33.9
7
31%
4
0
0
1
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
2-10
3-8
20%
45%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.8
27.3
33.0
13
47%
4
0
1
1
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.7
15.3
33.6
5
46%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
43%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.0
29.8
9.4
10
71%
3
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
1-2
71%
45%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.1
22.1
22.2
4
22%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
41%
0-2
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.0
15.8
5.2
10
53%
1
1
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-1
0%
5-9
1-2
56%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.9
14.9
15.6
4
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.3
13.6
15.4
4
50%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.4
4.9
3.9
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.6
7.4
0
1-2
42%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.3
1.5
0
0-0
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.