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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Kings13%9583
3Nuggets87%110110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.6
33.5
30.6
23
51%
4
0
1
1
1
0
4
0
6-6
100%
7-15
4-9
47%
46%
1-5
20%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.1
27.6
23.8
3
20%
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
43%
0-3
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.3
24.0
20.8
6
30%
4
0
1
0
1
2
2
2
2-2
100%
2-9
4-8
22%
46%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.3
23.3
31.1
8
37%
5
3
1
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-10
5-11
30%
44%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.6
22.5
26.3
6
61%
5
2
1
1
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 22.9
28.1
10.4
4
22%
2
1
3
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
36%
0-5
0%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.9
27.1
25.2
7
27%
3
3
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-6
29%
40%
1-6
17%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.4
25.3
25.3
26
81%
3
0
3
1
3
2
1
2
8-9
89%
9-12
4-10
75%
41%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.5
17.3
19.2
0
0%
5
0
2
0
0
2
2
3
0-1
0%
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.3
6.2
17.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.0
5.1
10.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 23.9
5.1
0
0-1
44%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.6
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.2
26.0
32.8
8
40%
5
6
3
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
3-8
5-9
38%
56%
0-1
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
25.1
33.4
8
67%
4
3
2
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.9
24.4
8.6
10
58%
11
0
1
0
0
5
2
9
2-6
33%
4-6
1-3
67%
51%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.5
20.4
15.4
11
67%
3
3
0
0
1
3
0
3
3-5
60%
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.2
20.4
26.9
11
69%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
53%
1-2
50%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.8
30.7
20.9
12
58%
4
8
0
1
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
47%
1-2
50%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.9
19.7
27.7
15
75%
5
1
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
51%
1-2
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.8
19.3
29.7
8
67%
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
4-8
80%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.5
18.3
14.2
8
80%
7
0
3
0
3
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
58%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 25.8
18.1
7.5
6
44%
2
3
3
0
1
3
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.1
9.8
3.0
7
93%
4
0
0
0
4
1
1
3
3-4
75%
2-2
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.4
8.0
2.4
6
100%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.3
27.6
1
5-8
60%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.1
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.