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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1276ers65%97101
28Hornets35%9293
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.6
38.9
34.2
23
70%
2
8
1
1
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
47%
4-8
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.8
33.1
26.8
12
61%
12
1
1
1
2
1
3
9
2-2
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.9
29.5
32.9
6
26%
3
2
3
1
1
3
1
2
2-4
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
49%
0-4
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 23.7
28.9
31.2
17
66%
7
2
0
1
4
0
1
6
1-2
50%
8-12
4-9
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.4
23.8
21.4
2
20%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.2
30.7
24.5
21
74%
6
4
0
1
0
2
2
4
5-5
100%
8-11
3-7
73%
44%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.5
28.8
25.8
10
42%
4
3
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-11
6-11
45%
52%
0-1
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.2
21.8
27.6
10
46%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
45%
0-1
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.9
4.5
1.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.2
10.2
0
1-2
49%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 22.9
4.8
0
0-1
47%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 32.1
4.0
0
0-1
44%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
3.5
0
0-1
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
39.2
10.6
22
45%
6
1
3
0
2
3
1
5
5-6
83%
7-16
2-3
44%
48%
1-6
17%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
38.3
33.9
19
55%
5
11
0
1
0
3
2
3
5-5
100%
7-15
5-11
47%
46%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.3
31.6
22.6
21
60%
8
1
0
0
0
1
4
4
7-8
88%
7-14
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.3
27.3
27.4
5
43%
7
0
1
1
2
1
2
5
1-4
25%
2-4
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
19.8
18.0
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
24.2
24.6
10
71%
8
2
0
0
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
5-7
5-10
71%
48%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
20.9
34.0
5
50%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.0
13.6
17.4
0
0%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.8
12.8
17.8
9
92%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.3
12.3
5.9
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
27.5
1
3-7
45%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.8
1.9
0
0-0
44%
Carldell Johnson
G · 5'10" 180 · 28.9
1.3
0
0-0
40%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.