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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Grizzlies40%9990
20Timberwolves60%10286
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
40.3
32.5
19
51%
8
1
3
1
1
2
4
4
4-4
100%
6-14
6-13
43%
48%
1-3
33%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.2
37.8
15.0
12
38%
3
8
3
1
0
4
0
3
6-6
100%
3-12
2-4
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.9
33.8
35.3
6
25%
10
3
2
1
0
1
2
8
0-2
0%
3-11
5-9
27%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.0
31.6
20.9
20
102%
4
0
2
1
1
0
0
4
4-4
100%
8-8
3-6
100%
49%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.7
17.8
19.2
2
14%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
47%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
23.7
23.9
14
58%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
5-7
71%
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
1-2
50%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
18.4
19.9
8
58%
4
0
2
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.4
13.9
9.6
5
83%
5
1
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.8
12.6
16.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 25.8
10.2
24.9
4
50%
3
1
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
43%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 20.8
11.2
0
1-3
43%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.6
3.3
0
0-1
48%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.4
3.2
0
1-1
47%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.3
38.3
37.6
27
59%
14
0
0
1
2
3
8
6
3-4
75%
9-15
5-11
60%
49%
2-6
33%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
36.1
32.9
11
33%
10
1
0
1
0
5
3
7
0-2
0%
4-13
6-13
31%
47%
1-3
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.9
30.4
28.5
13
53%
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
1-3
33%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.5
22.4
19.0
4
26%
8
0
0
1
0
1
3
5
2-4
50%
1-6
3-5
17%
48%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
16.2
22.0
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.2
31.8
25.5
12
61%
4
10
2
1
0
4
1
3
0-2
0%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
2-2
100%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.6
22.7
23.6
3
34%
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
1-1
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
17.6
12.4
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.6
16.0
15.9
6
61%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.5
8.6
10.9
8
84%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
3-3
2-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.5
10.7
0
2-3
47%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.0
3.8
0
1-1
50%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.6
3.1
0
0-1
43%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.