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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Suns27%9689
7Mavericks73%10498
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.9
37.6
22.1
22
67%
10
0
0
0
1
2
1
9
2-3
67%
10-15
4-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.5
37.4
31.3
10
35%
4
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
1-3
33%
3-9
3-6
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.9
36.6
28.4
15
60%
4
12
3
1
0
4
2
2
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
2-6
33%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.2
34.3
25.2
14
50%
3
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
7-13
3-7
54%
47%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.6
25.2
22.5
7
88%
10
0
0
0
1
4
1
9
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.5
19.4
19.9
9
51%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.3
17.1
21.0
4
50%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.1
10.6
20.4
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.8
10.4
17.1
4
72%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
1-1
3-6
100%
50%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.6
6.5
5.3
4
41%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-1
25%
41%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.5
4.8
15.9
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.5
8.6
0
1-2
56%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.5
34.5
33.0
20
50%
6
7
0
1
0
3
1
5
6-7
86%
7-17
7-13
41%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.8
27.7
31.8
3
25%
5
3
4
2
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
1-4
25%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.7
27.1
27.2
13
41%
7
2
1
1
0
2
6
1
1-2
50%
6-14
4-8
43%
52%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.1
23.4
20.3
5
36%
12
1
1
0
1
1
5
7
1-2
50%
2-6
2-3
33%
55%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.4
9.7
19.3
6
75%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.3
33.1
29.5
18
72%
3
5
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
49%
5-8
63%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.2
24.6
20.5
4
86%
5
1
0
1
1
1
3
2
2-3
67%
1-1
2-4
100%
57%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.2
22.9
17.2
15
55%
5
0
2
0
0
1
0
5
2-4
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
53%
1-4
25%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.9
22.1
19.9
7
32%
6
5
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
0-2
0%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.9
9.3
7.9
4
33%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.7
5.5
5.5
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
1-2
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
10.7
0
2-3
52%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
2.4
0
0-1
46%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.